I calculated 1 in 231,525 ie 1 x 21 x 5 x 21 x 5 x 21 = 231,525 which is still very unlikely, if you divide that by 8,305 (the number of episodes) it is 1 in 27.8777 which is unlikely, but conceivable.
You all know they stack the decks to encourage this kind of thing to happen right? Consonant, Vowel, Consonant, Vowel Consonant is a pretty common thing.
@@jonathanmoeg1202 Haha what? Really? What about the word "really" - the Y is a vowel. "Very" - the Y is a vowel. How would you pronounce the word "cynical"? You can't do that with consonants... I don't get it. Whoever made that grammatical rule made a mistake 😂
"Amazing Countdown moment as Rachel Riley spells her name at odds of over 4.48 million to 1 !!!" No, the "Odds" are 1:1 because the episode in which it occurs is not chosen. There would have to be only one draw for those odds.
Well, It's actually just a peculiarity of categorisation in English. Y is only considered a vowel if there are no other vowels if none other are present. So for instance, in Y it is considered a vowel, but in a word like 'actually,' it's a consonant. Don't ask me why, I didn't make the rules
Even with equal distribution (and you have to ignore the fact that the contestant needs to choose the right sequence...it happens eventually) it would be 21x5x21x5x21 (21 different consonants and 5 different vowels)...Not even 250k/1 chance. That said, if you want to take into account the distributions you also need to factor in the fact that there's fewer tiles after the first 2 have been placed and the odds of each letter appearing changes slightly as you progress.
