Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Ryan Kelly, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape..
🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw 00:00 - Real Vision Turns 10: Party Announcement 00:46 - Introduction to the Show 01:36 - Big Picture of the Current Macro Landscape 02:16 - Debate Between Bulls and Bears: Overview 04:54 - Stock Valuations: Growth vs. Value 05:28 - Inflation Shifts to Labor Market Focus 09:33 - Normalization of the Economy and Markets 12:03 - Challenges in Interpreting Data Post-Pandemic 15:18 - Inflation Risk Not Gone Yet: Portfolio Considerations 19:03 - China’s Impact on Global Inflation 20:33 - Fed’s Potential Rate Cut and Global Liquidity 23:03 - Real Rate and Debt Service Impact on the Fed 25:16 - Bond Vigilantes and Government Debt 28:49 - Portfolio Strategies for a Rate-Cut Environment 34:56 - Tactical Asset Allocation: Neutral Equities and Bonds 37:52 - Extending Duration in Bond Portfolios 39:19 - Value Stocks and Market Rebalancing 43:14 - Sensitivity to Interest Rates: Sectors to Watch 48:14 - Final Thoughts and Key Takeaways: Staying Disciplined, Invested, and Diversified
🔥 Level UP! with RV Pro Crypto rvtv.io/3vtCggd (00:00) - Real Vision’s 10th Anniversary Celebration (00:46) - Introduction: Crypto ETFs vs. OTC Trades (02:05) - Guest Introductions: Reed Worbit & Greg (03:17) - Overview of Flowdesk: Market Making & OTC Trading (05:11) - Market Making vs. OTC Explained (08:38) - Example of an OTC Trade (12:25) - Market Impact of OTC Trading (16:24) - Introduction of Bitcoin & Ethereum ETFs in the US (18:11) - ETF Market Structure: Bitcoin vs. Ethereum (20:39) - Flowdesk’s Role as a Liquidity Provider (LP) for ETFs (22:54) - Impact of ETF Inflows on Market Prices (26:33) - Benefits of ETFs for Retail & Institutional Investors (29:24) - Potential Risks & Benefits of ETFs for the Crypto Ecosystem (32:30) - Price Impact of ETF Inflows & Outflows (35:35) - On-Chain Data & ETF Trading (40:18) - Challenges with ETF Adoption (43:25) - Market Depth & Liquidity Improvement Through ETFs (45:05) - Regulations Around Market Manipulation for OTC Desks (46:24) - Final Thoughts & Key Takeaways
🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw 00:00 - Sponsor: Monetary Metals 01:11 - Real Vision Virtual Party Announcement 01:36 - Ash Bennington Welcomes Cem Karsan 02:25 - Overview of the Recent 50 Basis Point Rate Cut 03:34 - The FED’s Strategy and Impact on Market Psychology 05:48 - Asymmetry of Rate Cuts in the Current Economic Environment 06:53 - Short-Term Market Dynamics: Liquidity and Volatility 08:06 - The Rise of Populism and Its Impact on Economic Policies 10:05 - Economic Ideologies: The Right vs. Left in Financial Markets 12:46 - The Impact of FED Policy on Inequality and Market Trends 14:42 - Populism and Inequality: A Historical Perspective 16:14 - Long-Term Economic Cycles and Their Impact on Markets 18:15 - Challenges of Passive Investing in a Changing Economic Landscape 19:18 - Election Year Trends and Market Performance 21:23 - Short-Term Market Mechanics: The Impact of Options Expiration 24:13 - Market Structure and Flow Dynamics Explained 27:15 - The Dominance of Index Trading and Structured Products 30:08 - The Role of Options in Defining Market Behavior 33:26 - The Evolution of Options Trading and Its Impact on Markets 35:21 - Explaining Gamma and Its Effects on Market Volatility 38:24 - Dealers’ Hedging Strategies and Their Market Impact 41:20 - Reflexivity in Markets: Feedback Loops and Amplification 44:34 - Historical Market Events and Their Structural Impact 46:53 - The Risks of Crowded Trades and Market Reflexivity 49:48 - Current Market Trends: Short-Term Liquidity Driven Upside 50:49 - Seasonal Effects and Market Behavior During Year-End 55:15 - Impact of Leveraging Effects and Reinvestment at Year-End 58:09 - The Effect of Election Year on Market Volatility 59:34 - Key Market Factors Leading into the Fourth Quarter 01:00:42 - Market Outlook: Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Concerns 01:01:20 - Positioning Strategies for the Fourth Quarter 01:02:21 - Closing Remarks and Key Takeaways
Is it really smart to load up on bonds, with the extended debt ceiling expiring Jan 1, 2025 (and the only prospect of repayment being reissuance), and with the curve currently steepening?
"only a war w Hezbollah and not with lebanon" is blatantly ignoring what the psychotic leader of the israeli entity is saying. But agreed, market doesn't care.
@@andreassteno5717 "we have a few Dems hanging on the walls at the office as well." why do you hang random mental patients on your walls? "We are a Geopolitical research house.." and so you hang portraits of politicians on your walls to help what?
Please study- Bruce Lipton, Ken Honda and ,Polyface farm and Joel Salatin and Trinity Vandenacre thanks. Please send this video to The Vice President of America and other presidents the bottom half of the globe world.
Most people in Europe are appalled by Trump. What do like most about him? His mendacity? His rap sheet? His rapeyness? His demagoguery? His racism? His sexism? His autocratic bent? His ignorance? Inquiring minds….
🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw 00:00 - Sponsor: Monetary Metals 01:23 - Macro Mondays: Overview of Rate Cut and Market Reactions 02:21 - Analysis of Recent Rate Cut and Market Reactions 03:38 - Impact of 50 Basis Point Cut on the Economy 05:22 - Historical Analysis of Rate Cuts and Market Performance 06:27 - Employment Data: Second Jobs and Part-Time Employment Trends 07:42 - Impact of Inflation on the Labor Market 08:22 - Reliability of Employment Data and Revisions 10:19 - Seasonality in Employment Data During Election Years 11:33 - Impact of U.S. Election Uncertainty on Hiring 12:41 - Impact of Hiring Uncertainty on the Economy 13:15 - Predictions for the Fed’s Actions for the Rest of the Year 14:23 - Using Withheld Taxes to Gauge Job Market Strength 15:34 - Expected Rate Cuts and Market Positioning 16:09 - U.S. Debt Ceiling and Fiscal Policy Risks 17:14 - Impact of Debt Ceiling on Treasury Issuance and Liquidity 18:46 - U.S. Treasury Cash Balance and Debt Ceiling Dynamics 20:00 - Impact of Treasury Issuance on Liquidity and Risk Assets 21:02 - Treasury Performance Before and After Debt Ceiling Deals 22:07 - Middle East Geopolitical Risks and Impact on Markets 24:43 - Positioning Strategies: Fixed Income and Liquidity Trends 25:19 - Macro Regime Models and Asset Class Performance 27:58 - Macro Regime Models for Different Regions 28:32 - Fair Value Models for Fixed Income 29:40 - Analyzing Trends in Fixed Income and Risk Assets 31:21 - Window Dressing by Banks: Impact on Markets 34:30 - Impact of Cross-Currency Basis on Liquidity 35:43 - Strategies for Managing Risk During Window Dressing Periods 36:55 - Potential Impact of Ground Operations in the Middle East 38:33 - Closing Remarks and Market Outlook
Dr Sri-Kumar is spot on in his analysis. Right now we have asset inflation and the Jay Powell is throwing more wood on the asset inflation fire. Dr. Sri-Kumar is correct, do nothing would have been the best course of action.
