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Excess Returns
Excess Returns
Excess Returns
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We take complex investing topics and make them understandable for everyday investors.

Subscribe to get new interviews every week with great investors and deep dives into topics like macroeconomics, value investing, factor investing, and more.
A Practical Guide to the 4% Rule
59:35
Месяц назад
The Soft Landing Scenario with Simeon Hyman
47:44
2 месяца назад
Комментарии
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz 22 минуты назад
The Inflation Rate is the Fed Funds Rate.
@stiffeification
@stiffeification 2 часа назад
The answer is always: be globally diversified. People advocating for VOO only just make me shake my head.
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 часа назад
If you enjoyed this interview with Jason, you might also like our Show Us Your Portfolio interview with him where we discussed how he manages his personal portfolio. You can find it here ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-mtAMInVYBtU.html
@mr.q8023
@mr.q8023 12 часов назад
I mean, Powell confirmed the Sept cut. What else you want
@marysmith3710
@marysmith3710 День назад
This is one of the best interviews chock full of information that would take years to learn.
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 23 часа назад
Thank you!
@christianschmidt9673
@christianschmidt9673 День назад
Dude, I lost 70k while listening to this episode!! 😒
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns День назад
Apparently there are some crypto bots that face a similar problem.
@jamesmorris913
@jamesmorris913 День назад
At 45:00-46:00 min, when you went into the professional, perpetual, doom and gloom "mongers" who are ALWAYS amongst us..JEREMY GRANTHAM'S and PETER SCHIFF'S faces, simultaneously popped into my mind! I've met HOSPICE PATIENTS, with a sunnier outlook on life, than those two characters!! They're living examples of the old adage.."Even a broken clock is right, twice a day". LOL!!
@markmap4677
@markmap4677 День назад
For many decades, the S&P500 has been touted as the premier way to build wealth through an equity portfolio, and has been the index that has been hardest "to beat". This has been because of the "market capitalization weighting effect" ( could be considered a returns "factor" ? ). Building an equal weighted portfolio using the size & value factors (small & large value), via low cost ETFs, combined with a stripped down version of the S&P500 ( the QQQ / Nasdaq 100 trust ETF ) creates a portfolio that has handily beaten the S&P500 over ten rolling 30 year periods since 1986 - this performance with equivalent downside volatility. The small & large value allocations have provided a downside volatility offset to that of the Nasdaq 100 during "downsides" ( during 2000-2002 & 2022 decline periods for example ), while the "capitalization weighting effect" embedded in the QQQ has produced the "alpha" for the portfolio on the "upsides". And the portfolio holds 400+ of the same companies as the S&P500 ( those being shared within the portfolios of the Vanguard "Value" ETF (VTV) and QQQ ). Therefore, you get a "redesigned" S&P500 with 1) a market cap weighting tilt 2) a size and value factor tilt and 3) a "quality" factor tilt ( a number of companies in the "iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF" being shared with VTV and QQQ ).
@filippxx
@filippxx День назад
Good stuff
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns День назад
Thank you!
@julioerse2999
@julioerse2999 День назад
Subset: Band Superheavy
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz День назад
Great episode! You guys are right, RU-vid commenters are the worst!! 😂🤣… hey, wait a minute… 🤔… this is feeling very meta… 😉 keep up the good work! 👍 I just follow the KISS method for investing: Keep It Stupid, Simple!
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns День назад
Thank you! We love all our RU-vid commenters.
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz День назад
@@ExcessReturns awww… I’m feeling the love 🤗 🥲 ❤️ Excess Returns!
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz День назад
Warren Buffet is to Sir Mix-A-Lot as I like a good cigar butt is to I like big butts and I cannot lie… that’s College Board certified 👍yes, I feel at home here. Excess Returns 🚀 🌖
@CultishCreative
@CultishCreative День назад
these are the deep connections we are here for
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz День назад
@@CultishCreative yes!! I’m all in on Excess Returns!
@laurenmckeel
@laurenmckeel 2 дня назад
Thank you for a great video. financial education is what the world needs most right now. I studied and researched about crypto and stocks for a while and got stuck on the learning curve. Thanks to Loraine Souvenir program, i've grasped trading concepts, boosting my earnings through her daily signals and insights.
@krystalnicolex3
@krystalnicolex3 2 дня назад
I've just looked up her full name on my browser and found her webpage without sweat, very much appreciate this
@JoseBohorquez-ws4mg
@JoseBohorquez-ws4mg 2 дня назад
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
@napcensen
@napcensen 2 дня назад
It's truly refreshing to see a comment about Loraine Souvenir. I've also had the pleasure of working with her for several months after discovering more about her online. She has a knack for simplifying complex issues, whether it's a market surge or decline. Her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the curve. I'd call her a guru, for sure
@AriesBor
@AriesBor 2 дня назад
The beauty of her approach is her dual focus: while she aggressively pursues profit opportunities, she's equally tenacious about shielding investors from potential pitfalls. It's a balance few can achieve.
@callumenzo
@callumenzo 2 дня назад
Nice to see this here. A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until they’re burned by their own emotions-no offense. I remember last year, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, so I researched licensed advisors and thankfully came across Loraine. She’s helped grow my reserve, despite inflation, from $152k to nearly a 7-figure sum as of today..Her insights and daily siignals are worth following.
@Martensalberto
@Martensalberto 2 дня назад
I’ve been making a lot of losses trying to make profit trading. I thought trading on a demo account is just like trading the real market. Can anyone help me out or at least advise me on what to do?
@CherriDesporte
@CherriDesporte 2 дня назад
I will advice you should stop trading on your own if you keep losing.
@CherriDesporte
@CherriDesporte 2 дня назад
If you can, then get a professional to trade for you I think that way your assets are more secure.
@CherriDesporte
@CherriDesporte 2 дня назад
I’d recommend viola patterson , her profit is great even when there’s a dip
@WandaMarlin
@WandaMarlin 2 дня назад
Hey i'm shocked you just mentioned and recommended viola patterson, i thought i was the only one trading with her
@CherriDesporte
@CherriDesporte 2 дня назад
you dont need to be shocked haha because i'm also a huge beneficiary of her
@paulbellefleur1115
@paulbellefleur1115 2 дня назад
Summary - Diversity and you're probably stupider than you think you are
@rrrfamily565
@rrrfamily565 2 дня назад
Context is necessary. Andy has been short the market for a while and he's losing money. Reason why he's calling Prof Jeremy in such bad language. What a shame.
@AmandaStewart0908
@AmandaStewart0908 2 дня назад
I lost over $80k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Belinda Owens .
@Josephbasta827
@Josephbasta827 2 дня назад
I'm surprised that you just mentioned Belinda Owens here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, i'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.
@DaveCulbertson
@DaveCulbertson 2 дня назад
The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.
@carolynvo7802
@carolynvo7802 2 дня назад
Belinda Owens has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's
@Rodriguezpaul-9
@Rodriguezpaul-9 2 дня назад
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
@Teresalepore019
@Teresalepore019 2 дня назад
After I raised up to 125k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states also paid for my son's surgery Glory to God shalom.
@thaddeus46
@thaddeus46 3 дня назад
After listening to this cacophony of "advice," I am evermore convinced that simple indexing is the correct path for 90% of all investors.
@HepCatJack
@HepCatJack 3 дня назад
I like Dan Villalon's take on diversification. Peter Lynch had taken positions in both Enron and Worldcom but it didn't blow up his portfolio because he was diversified. He also wasn't ignorant of how to look at fundamentals. If Enron and Worldcom had been two of a concentrated Buffett-style eight portfolio stock, he likely wouldn't have the track record he had.
@JSteve321
@JSteve321 3 дня назад
Great video.
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 дня назад
Thank you!
@anderson6379
@anderson6379 3 дня назад
Brilliant idea, great topic. Thanks for sharing.
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 дня назад
Thank you!
@PvP_Darwinism
@PvP_Darwinism 3 дня назад
So is this interview from Monday the 12th or later?
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 дня назад
Yes. It was recorded Monday the 12th.
@IKTGWIW
@IKTGWIW 3 дня назад
Excellent!
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 дня назад
Thank you!
@ryantinney
@ryantinney 3 дня назад
Wonderful
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 дня назад
Thank you!
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz 3 дня назад
Great episode! The best advice confirmed my biases! The worst advice caused heart palpitations, sweating, headaches, dizziness, and blurred vision… you know, I don’t think I heard much of what the bad advice givers had to say… Can I get more of Simeon Hyman poking fun at the doom and gloom Chicago Boys? I can’t get enough of that!! Those doomers from Chicago ruining the world 😂🤣😂
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 3 дня назад
Thank you! There were some in there that challenged our beliefs as well. It was great to be able to get such a variety of investors to do it.
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz 3 дня назад
@@ExcessReturns 😂 it is good to hear differing points of view on investing. Glad you’re providing them!
@theusualyt
@theusualyt 3 дня назад
pick and mix
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 4 дня назад
Thank you for watching this video! If you enjoyed it, you might also like our conversation with Andy where he explained how he manages his personal portfolio. You can find it here ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-4e9k7nnmrAA.html
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 4 дня назад
Thank you for watching this video! If you enjoyed it, you might also like our conversation with Meb where he explained how he manages his personal portfolio. You can find it here ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-oY_PwABNJ7M.html
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 4 дня назад
Thank you for watching this video! If you enjoyed it, you might also enjoy our episode where we broke down the biggest lessons we learned from this conversation. You can find it here. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-DOTwQ5k8lcQ.html
@lawLess-fs1qx
@lawLess-fs1qx 4 дня назад
always reminded of the story of the story of the husband & wife who went to a CFA in 1990. They both invested 50k. She retained the CFA to manage the pitfalls of investing. The husband died in 2020. Her portfolio was worth 480k. Husband still had the same 1990 portfolio. It was now worth $1.42m. 250% better return by not trying to time downturns, interest rate changes or pivot to momentum stocks.
@thetankslayer-at-Nijmegen1944
@thetankslayer-at-Nijmegen1944 4 дня назад
50% stock allocation is not very convincing and very risky as I prefer to least 25% stock allocation, which would be safer and sustainable if you would like to achieve the consistent positive return to have decent sharpe ratio with optimal beta below 0.06. and it would be extremely dangerous to have 50% exposure to stocks as only a few stocks have low correlations to S&P500.
@molodoychilovek1949
@molodoychilovek1949 4 дня назад
You can skip the first part of this video to get to the lessons learned starting at 1:04 and the last 11 minutes.
@Hernan21132
@Hernan21132 4 дня назад
Technical analysis, sharp insights, and solid strategies are crucial for success in trading. Understanding market trends and making informed decisions can make all the difference. A big shoutout to Loraine Souvenir for her exceptional guidance and support in mastering these essential skills! so glad I started her program.
@TreytonFerreira-hv7kz
@TreytonFerreira-hv7kz 4 дня назад
I've just looked up her full name on my browser and found her webpage without sweat, very much appreciate this
@Osvaldomalt3223
@Osvaldomalt3223 4 дня назад
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
@efdofly
@efdofly 4 дня назад
It's truly refreshing to see a comment about Loraine Souvenir. I've also had the pleasure of working with her for several months after discovering more about her online. She has a knack for simplifying complex issues, whether it's a market surge or decline. Her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the curve. I'd call her a guru, for sure
@NeonPolygon
@NeonPolygon 4 дня назад
The beauty of her approach is her dual focus: while she aggressively pursues profit opportunities, she's equally tenacious about shielding investors from potential pitfalls. It's a balance few can achieve.
@fuzzyeti
@fuzzyeti 4 дня назад
Nice to see this here. A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until they’re burned by their own emotions-no offense. I remember last year, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, so I researched licensed advisors and thankfully came across Loraine. She’s helped grow my reserve, despite inflation, from $152k to nearly a 7-figure sum as of today..Her insights and daily siignals are worth following.
@chuckdiezel7652
@chuckdiezel7652 4 дня назад
Big fan of Toby keep bringing him back to hold the record
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 4 дня назад
We plan to!
@gloriajaimesa2811
@gloriajaimesa2811 5 дней назад
Thank you ! Listening this by the lake after an amazing week in the market. When i look at Yen futures, the contracts of large traders are no longer shorts. But now, i see the yen is starting to weaken again, so it's risk on again.
@Williamesq12327
@Williamesq12327 5 дней назад
I leant that Dividend paying companies are typically not going to grow in stock price as much and the overall market. But they do tend to be stable mature companies. I want to invest around 600K for retirement, is this good strategy?
@Lemariecooper
@Lemariecooper 5 дней назад
There's nothing wrong with dividend investing in stable companies, but I recommend consulting an expert if you're looking to invest that amount for retirement.
@tahirisaid2693
@tahirisaid2693 5 дней назад
I'm nearing retirement as well and have greatly benefited from working with a financial advisor. Since I didn't start investing early, I knew I couldn't rely on the compound interest from index funds. Interestingly, I've managed to earn more profit than some of my peers who have been investing for years.
@jessicasquire
@jessicasquire 5 дней назад
This caught my interest. I worry that I have a couple more months before retirement, and I want to switch to using a financial advisor, but I don’t really know how to find one.
@tahirisaid2693
@tahirisaid2693 5 дней назад
*Nicole Anastasia Plumlee* is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@jessicasquire
@jessicasquire 5 дней назад
I searched for her name on the internet, found her page, and reached out via email to schedule a conversation. Thank you.
@greg.ocallaghan
@greg.ocallaghan 5 дней назад
“Passive flows don’t affect valuation, I just don’t believe it” -> jeeez what universe does this guy live in?? He says there’s no evidence of it. Has he ever listened to Mike Green and all the work he’s done on it? The fact that passive flows may continue and therefore a passive indexing strategy may still be superior for the coming years/decade, doesn’t mean that passive flows don’t impact overall valuations. He just wants to believe the market is priced by active value investors and that passive participants are just in for the ride… It’s ok to believe that passive flows bid up the stock market and that THEREFORE a passive index strategy may the the smartest thing to do. He’s just intellectually lazy on that point.
@sdcaeastcountyfamily
@sdcaeastcountyfamily 6 дней назад
T sum it all up, this is yet another way that the market makers use to screw the amateurs out of their life savings. Nothing to see here, move along. 😂
@27photogger
@27photogger 4 дня назад
What do you mean please?
@philmaz14
@philmaz14 6 дней назад
Great interview!
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 6 дней назад
Thank you!
@markmap4677
@markmap4677 6 дней назад
I'll stay put in domestic equities. After all of the low volume summer doldrum market hullaballo, the S&P550 now back positive for August .
@MichaeldeSousaCruz
@MichaeldeSousaCruz 6 дней назад
Why does Andy believe that the Fed does not control its own Fed Funds Rate?
@lulubelle551
@lulubelle551 6 дней назад
Andy is definitely the GOAT!
@rrrfamily565
@rrrfamily565 2 дня назад
He's short the market for a while and losing money. Maybe you meant the GOAT for losing money? 😂
@lulubelle551
@lulubelle551 2 дня назад
@@rrrfamily565 Absolutley NOT!!! Andy is teriffic! VERY SMART!
@manus100
@manus100 7 дней назад
Andy is very measured.
@mokhtarahmadi3169
@mokhtarahmadi3169 7 дней назад
Andy is the GOAT 🔥
@magrino5515
@magrino5515 7 дней назад
Vix futures went up to 43something, not 35 to be precise.
@BenjaminLevi-h9j
@BenjaminLevi-h9j 7 дней назад
I lost over $80k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better trader now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Kerrie Farrell.
@HenrySamuel-q2c
@HenrySamuel-q2c 7 дней назад
How please?? Please help me I really need to gain My losses back
@MichaelRichard-d2z
@MichaelRichard-d2z 7 дней назад
I think I'm blessed if not I wouldn't have met someone who is as spectacular as expert KERRIE FARRIER. Highly recommend 👌
@PrincessWilliams-p9p
@PrincessWilliams-p9p 7 дней назад
Same here, I'm blessed only.God knows how much I praise her, £32,000 every week! I now have a good house and can now afford anything and also support my family, and never will I forget to pay my tithes because God has been so faithful to me and my family
@LucasOwen-o5l
@LucasOwen-o5l 7 дней назад
Yeah! Our government has no idea how people are suffering these days. I feel for people with disabilities not getting the help they deserve. Thank you mrs KERRIE FARRIER, imagine investing $10,000 and received $52,500
@HenrySamuel-q2c
@HenrySamuel-q2c 7 дней назад
Please I'm new to this, how can she be contacted?
@Matt04108
@Matt04108 7 дней назад
This is a fantastic interview thanks, really helpful
@ExcessReturns
@ExcessReturns 7 дней назад
Thank you!
@carolynvo7802
@carolynvo7802 7 дней назад
I lost over $70k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Natalie Strayer.
@linasr1693
@linasr1693 8 дней назад
When i saw how many views this video has after 2 years it confirms for me once again, that i have an edge, such a legend sharing information and all the upcoming new or old traders dont have the attention capability to listen to this.
@lawLess-fs1qx
@lawLess-fs1qx 8 дней назад
love the OPEX talk with Brent Is there a site where calls vs puts percentages are available. eg, amzn 50 %calls, 40% puts?