My name is Jason McIntosh, a professional trader with over three decades of experience. I'm also the founder of Motion Trader - a stock advisory service that uses share price momentum to help identify some of the best ASX stocks to buy now.
This RU-vid channel provides educational videos to help you decide when to buy and sell shares. I also provide a weekly market commentary that uses technical analysis of stocks to help identify where the stock market may be heading.
If you want to learn more, go to www.motiontrader.com.au/
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This channel is for GENERAL ADVICE only.
For more information about Motion Trader and our FSG go to: www.motiontrader.com.au
It amazes me how people are naive when it comes to markets. One geopolitical event and you are looking at -20 or -30%. It always looks it will travel further but there is a trigger and all those gurus then say, "nobody saw it coming."
Great point Jason! The Equal Weight ASX200 is climbing fast, just 2% below its previous all time high achieved almost 3 years ago. So the trend upwards is now broadly supported. This is encouraging news for long-only stock investors, which means retail/small players.
Thanks Jason, Fib trend ext saying the next top on the SPY is around 600. Never try to pick tops. The trend is always your friend. I am staying long with targets and trailing stop.
Thanks Jason, Fib trend ext saying the next top on the SPY is around 600. Never try to pick tops. The trend is always your friend. I am staying long with targets and trailing stop.
I'm obsessively watching every TA and TBH the indexes always stop working at tops/end of bottoms IMHO. Everyone is predicting everything is about to go sharp up to the right and will never stop. OK, so why isn't SP500 already at 40,000 or 100,000? Why have past rallies stopped? All I know is that my individual basket of stocks - I just sold them because they all got to that point where they always stall and sell off. And these indexes are a basket of stocks. People have been talking about SPY as if it's not a basket of stocks, and are making ever more ridiculous claims that everything will go vroom up very sharp. Not to nitpick but you said there is a "set up for a rally" in the Russell. I mean, the entire year has been a multiple-expansion fueled rally. You know that. We all see it. Why do people think that keeps going forever when it never has gone forever?
Crash starts Tuesday at the latest. Including gold and uranium. I have never seen such crowed trades. Thwrw are no more traders with balls. If tou are not 100% bearish on this market, you dont know what you are doing.
What's amazing to me is how almost every TA is talking about these markets like they are hypothetical indexes, not a basket of stocks or commodities that represent real things. We've been squeezing so many stocks up on low volume for three weeks. Not sure what can maintain it. Everyone just be drawing the line up and to the right is not looking very smart. On a subjective level, after 10 years of this, I realize that the media mania last week was a bearish indicator. During an actual healthy run, there is no reason to hang on every word every Fed chair says, no reason to put Tom Lee on TV twelve times a week to make up ever-more-bizarre talking points such as the "melt up" narrative or the "stocks are actually cheap cuz feelings" stuff he started this week. No reason to upgrade stocks that do not have growing earnings (looking at you, MCD and LOW!). I've usually found myself pissed off at stupid "will stocks go to a batrilrrionmillion by tomorrow?" articles, angry as hell - then I realize a month later that that was basically the day the market topped. The scary part is that the media hasn't been this insane, manic, and detached from reality since right before the covid crash Oh, and Jamie Dimon said on the earnings calls that assets and stocks are overpriced, so no buyback. So he basically called his own stock overpriced. Somehow the media managed to miss that even though he repeated it - but they did magically report that he thinks a soft landing was achieved, despite him not saying that!
Thanks Jason, another positive week based on the Charts. My old favourite EBR has broken out of a doldrums since completing a major fund raising, with a smaller retail offer ending last Wednesday. I'd expect this strong performance to continue as it counts down the months towards FDA approval of its WISE medical device that will revolutionise the lives of many with heart pacenakers and failed leads.