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Maybe it is just a "cultural" thing a) James Baker as an American was used to do some hypothetical thinking of his own (only to discover later that his president was not happy about it ?) b) People like Edoeard Sjevardnadze never would allow themselves such hypothetical thinking, but only carried out direct orders from Moscow ? I am what surprised to hear that Bush had to remind Baker what was his policy toward the East-European countries: did he go to meet the Soviet leader that unprepared ? Did he sufficiantly stressed he was hypothetically speaking, and this without backing of his president, knowing very well the Russian way of decision making is very different than the American way ? Confusion has set in.... There is another question possible: is it a good thing NATO expanded to the East, or would it have been better if let's say the integration of Eastern Europe in the Western way of living would have stopped with EU-integration, and a large demilitarized zone would have been created, going from let's say Berlin to 200 km west from Moscow ? I'm of course only introducing a hypothesis, I'll have to check with my King what he thinks about it, so don't get confused here.... We'll never know, but what is clear: after things like the INF treaty with its far reaching on site inspections (never seen before), after cuts in defense budgets in the West etc. we're back in the Cold War rhetoric, and in Ukraine, it even turned hot. Defense budgets are skyrocketing again (1000 Billion USD annually for NATO) and the INF treaty is dead again. Maybe, just maybe, things could have gone differently. But they didn't, and we have to face the new situation....
At ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-aHj0K9PofCw.html Sarotte explains that secretary of state Baker hypothetically spoke with President Gorbatchov about NATO not expanding one inch to the east. President H.W. Bush sr. however later on rejected that option and communicated that crystal clear to Baker and Gorbatchov. Conclusion of Prof. Sarotte is that there is no treaty at all of the frequently quoted "not one inch" expansion of NATO. Neither written nor oral.
Does this woman still work for CIA? Is she part of operation mocking bird? 🤣 Is it true that the people of CIA are liars, thieves and cheats and don't conform to anything that is considered good morals?
Die Politiker haben Bulgarien an die USA verkauft, sodass Millionen armer BürgerInnen aus Hunger das Land verlassen mussten. Wegen dieser sogenannten "Demokratisierung", die nur eine Umverteilung von unten nach oben war.
The number of outlets in which his research is featured might be more impressive if it were not precisely these media which are peddling so much propaganda and tendentious reporting in this war. Instead of coming up with new terminology ('pre-bunking') and 'clever' strategies to stifle debate, it would be better to get news networks to take their job seriously.
Thank you very much for a great substantive lecture, but I would like to correct one inaccuracy in your statement. The demolition of the Berlin Wall was not one of the tensions in this region, the demolition of the Berlin Wall was a consequence of Polish resistance to the Russian occupation in the form of the "Solidarity" social movement. Without the Polish struggle for freedom - supported by the US - the geopolitical possibility of German reunification would not have opened up. Ukraine's desire to be free of русский мир creates constant "tension" in the region.
Personally not as Ukrainian, but as a Libyan who exposed to war, his incertio series especially antifragile was life changing for me! .. thank you prof. Taleb.
Ferget lil pup Presidents, publishers & pawns. When the FAKE deMockracy MAFIA unelected, undemocratic U$ BIG PIMP-dog Bank$tas/MICC-MilitaryIndu$trialComplexCongress/FAKE-media - BARK$ "No Profit in Peace!" The FAKE deMockracies weak World JUMP way mo' than 1-inch!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
First create a real democratic system and peace and then, maybe, some business are possible. As a beggars and arms dealers hardly other countries are interested in any business
Очень скептично отношусь к "памяти и конфликтам". Так то подобные вещи нужно показывать детям, чтобы они не повторяли ошибки взрослых и не жили слепой ненавистью. Однако вместо этого делается целая программа? Т.е. другие специальности либо априоре знают это, либо идут лесом? Лучше бы просто ввели подобную программу на первом курсе для всех вместо очередной української мови или физкультуры. Так то мы её прошли за 9-11 лет в школах, а в универе это пустая трата времени. А лучше просто курс рационального мышления и развития идентичности, чем представленная выше программа.
Just read Eliot Cohen article in the Atlantic.. Chicago Rules. All I can say is read it .. because it is 1000% right on the money .. and absolutely the ONLY WAY to deal with Putin and his henchman Oligarchs …
The best modern Bulgarian politician. Due to his reforms, Bulgaria is part of the EU and NATO, rather than a poor grey zone like Moldova. Thank you, Ivan Kostov
