Hello Pete, enjoying the content. Can i ask why you raise to 2.2 bb first in with AKo? Im not the best poker player but i tend to raise larger to around 3.5 + 1 for any limpers. Hope the rest of WCOOP goes better for you.
Thanks mate. Yeah I would raise bigger if I wasn't opening the pot but I've always stuck with 2.2bbs in tournaments. Maybe I should be raising bigger when stacks are deep but sometimes I slip into auto pilot.
Spraggy doesn't share his actual thoughts. He shares what he wants to share. Maybe he put them on AK or AQ. When I'm playing live and I believe someone shoves AK pre I call with hands like 45 or 56 suited. Spraggy probably narrowed down their ranges with some tells and jammed thinking he was flipping.
The Truth is you can play 4 h and if you make Money or come to FT is by 1 or 2 hands, yesterday i fold KJs 2 before me go AI i think they have Monsters and they have K9 and 37 bs and i woulda win that pot and 1 other when i dont fold, Result were i have 150 k instead of half and gets FT or Top 15 instead of gets 22 also with no little bit luck i dont get 22 also but so often 1 or 2 cards Shows if you cone in Money and FT or not. I play 3,4 Tourneys yesterday in 1 i come on 22 from 1348 what o.k is but so close to FT where the Money is everytime.
Was already wondering where you were, for some reason you are a breath of fresh air. keep it up my man. BR management is key :) Variance is a b*tch haha
Seems nice but the only problem that I’ve found it’s that you play 8 handed so where you say mid position it’s actually UTG +1 I’ve seen you say it multiple times and that my friend will ruin you in guessing the range of the people . UTG and UTG +1 plays almost the same cards but UTG+1 can play more like K7 K8 Q8 suited and can be hard for you guessing that
Nice video and explanation bro. May I please ask where can I see the exact chart you've used in level 2, with KJ card. I'm new to poker. It will be very helpful. Thanks
Spraggy is playing a hyper-turbo PKO and he 5x covers. His hand is suited & and should never be dominated other than pocket pairs. He has 37% equity pre-flop for a hit of 20% of his stack. He covers the UTG raiser so he isn’t incentivised to call him off unless he has an absolute monster which he won’t have a lot of the time, 99, TT, KQs, KQo, AJs etc. are all folding as Spraggy is showing strength 4betting all in against UTG raise. Idk if that’s what your guy was thinking but I a sure you Spraggy was thinking that
This one was an absolute joy to watch! I've decided I'm going to do the same thing as you. Hopefully it will improve my poker game. I have made the final table three times, with my best result being first place in a $16.50 bounty tournament about a month ago. Since then, however, I've just been losing, losing, and losing some more. Anyway, off to watch the rest of your videos now. Please don't stop making them, because I've learned more from your videos than I have from any others. :)
Do you run pre flop equity ranges? I think the 95s guy is just a donk play, but spraggy knew he was about 27% with a big stack, also it’s a hyper so shoving ranges wider for the shorties. Add the 500 euro bounty makes it tempting. The 95s is the absolute bottom of a 27% range and the showing range crushes it. I think spraggy folds there 😂
Kjo is a fine open at low stakes because People play worse trash and won’t 3b you enough…. Remember those charts you see are assuming your opponents are also perfect bots
the math is behind spraggy let me try and simplify it to you lets say thet players start a tournament with 10k stack (not sure this is the case but probably is in this case every chip is worth 1k$/10k so 0,1$. here he is risking 6900 chips=690$ to win 14800 (all in, call, original raiser, blinds and ante) which is roughly 1480$ plus a bounty of 500$ total 1960$ so he needs 690$/1980$=34,8% equaty aggaints his calling range and he also wins the pot if the player folded adding to the EV of the shove. Even though he wont win often the times he will, will make this shove profitable. The charts from gtowizard dont account for bountys at all so using them in this case. Was on your side of the argument until i stepped a step back and look at it from this point. If you dont like playing like this i would simply suggest staying out of KO tournaments which are more about "basic" poker strategy
I find in low stakes the OOP donk on a low board with draws is overwhemingly a pair to the board or a low overpair. Sometimes will be a fd or combo draw here but definitely not going to be balanced in any way. I imagine AK calls in theory against a balanced opponent, but might consider exploitatively folding against more straightforward players. Nice videos!
I understand where your sleepless nights come from. I’ve been there, it might still happen once in a while. As a recreational (well, studied recreational) I have actually had your thoughts, however, with all that said, a saying from Lex comes to mind: If you see any of these top players do something, you should 100% do it as well in the same spot even if you don’t understand (yet) why they do it. The math checks out in the Spraggy hand, the math checks out in your hand ( did you know you can shove that exact hand vs even a HJ open - it’s that strong ). When the math checks out, you do it, doesn’t matter what happens, this is the only way you actually play poker. It might look stupid at times you might make mistakes along the way, just focus on correcting the mistakes and move on. As a side note, GTO tools do not account for bounties, if you factor in the bounty as a stack and add it to the pot as dead money, you might be surprised of the results (the math is: every bounty is worth a starting stack, and you add the number of stacks that represent the bounty as dead money in the pot - in your case, make the BTN RFI bigger (add the starting stack to it so it will be like 7BB), the run GTO again, 95s might be a call and you have way less fold equity then you think). As a side side note, you mentioned that late reg is over, but the timer in the video is still ticking and you are in the level 6 of the tournament( talking about the exact spot in the video, not saying it didn’t happen in the spot you mentioned), this probably means that in the spot in the video, you have less than a starting stack and he has even bigger odds to call. Good luck! I like your content
Any person who plays the game has degeneracy tendencies otherwise they wouldn't play the game. If there weren't bounty implications, the 74s would have been mucked without a single thought. If the hand wasn't suited, it would have been folded. Spraggy knows the numbers, he wouldn't choose this spot every time. Poker can be a very instinctual game especially for thinking and intuitive players. The way you play hands can change radically depending on mood, feeling and many other fundamentals. This is what makes the potentially lucrative game so enthralling because it's ever changing due to the diversity and ingenuity of individual play. Another note - If you watch Spraggys video closer you'll see it wasn't an UTG open, it was in fact an UTG+1 open. This changes everything. Ranges and all that (save the writing). If it was an UTG open, he'd probably muck. Also, due to the stack sizes (with the information provided) he likely covered the table so he can push off the initial raiser (who could have had a high VPIP or a fishy player or perhaps the complete opposite, a tight player, thus enforcing a fold) then be heads up against possible broadway combinations where your odds are essentially a coin flip. For example if the all in player had AA, the 7-4s has still around 20% probability of winning (pre flop). Not bad for 7 high (and that's without seeing any cards). Another example - If the UTG+1 had A10s and the small stack jammed AQo (which he had), believe it or not, the numbers state that whilst the AQo is still the favourite but the 7high has a higher percentage of winning the pot than the A10s! These are the exact numbers on a poker calculator specifically for these 3 hands (not including any other players folded hands (so 3 max playing with 48 cards). AQo Win - 38.72% A10h Win - 23.37% 74s Win 33.98% This is an example of equity and how playing in bounty tournaments changes decision making entirely. It's not "Oh this is only a 1k, I can afford to lose". It's calculated gambling strategy. In summary, Spraggy would have made these plays tones of times online in similar spots. It's a numbers game, he's playing math and riding that tidal wave of variance.
I really appreciate the time you’ve taken to give me your thoughts. I hear what you’re saying. Maybe I’m just not playing a high enough volume to be able to take the hits of the variance.
I think we’re going to have to agree to disagree. The original poster saying that “20% chance of winning with 7 high is pretty good” is just madness to me lol
As a fellow clueless poker player I see it exactly the same as you do!! I feel in your online hand it is a case of “it’s only a small buy in and I could win a min bounty here” type scenario. I haven’t watched too much scraggy but what I have he defo knows what he is doing in the game!! I think in this instance though it is mental play! There can be no way he thinks he is good there?!? The only way I can possibly rationalise the situation is, I think, he is maybe thinking more about content, very different video if he loses that hand, maybe doesn’t even make the edit and just explains at a later hand he “lost a few hands” or something!! Hope it helps you sleep knowing you are not going mad thinking you are the only one perplexed by this!!!
You could be on to something there. I hadn't considered the content aspect of it all. Seems like an expensive way to get a clip for social media though lol. At least I'm not the only one that thinks its mad. That is good to know. What level of buy in do you think it would take before he didn't make that sort of play though?
All depends on bankroll or if he has people backing him, can’t see that type of play going down too well if someone has staked you!! It might not be worth it but if he gets a few million views off it then he has earned more than the bounty!!
Thanks for the video! Nice editing! great thinking process I learn a lot. in hand #1 why do you bet big on the river? what hands will call you? if you get called on this bet size you probably be beaten by any Ax (backdoor hearts) maybe pocket 22 who float (and now you might don't realize ur equity) QJ QT probably folds after the A on the river. I would try to bet tiny about 1/3 1/2 pot size for value
first hand, sick value bet otr, idk if u get that call from pair of queens, some of the time for sure. the KJ open is fine for sure, people hate folding (f.e. 3rd hand, they just dont care, i do not either if i am tilted) so if u hit its get paid way more then it sould so, if its indiffrent open, no problemo. but if u wana play it safe and not much decission making, folding is cool too. with the editing is very cool, little bit too much with the sound of the red crossmark. little too loud, bec its not that of a plesurable sound, sometimes less is more, keep it going buddy.
in this video some middling poker from two players even tho only one is in middle position. will the passive nit make it to a showdown or will the maniac lag run garbage thru per usual?
Some people I swear don’t like their chips you raise he re raises and you call what else does he think you have what does he think he’s gonna get to fold once that 3rd 10 comes out what are the real odds he has what he’s trying to represent even the straight would be checking the river
It’s a bad run out for the bluff. 3rd 10 made it an easy call for hero, so it was just a bad run out for him. He was in too deep to fold though, he can get a lot of missed draws to fold.
@@therealseagullpete what’s supposed to hero you here that you beat?? You’re gonna fold out a q with that big of a bet imo and he has ton of missed flush draws as well that are gonna fold to a bet but might bluff if you check. Check call or block are the only options
@@therealseagullpete all good, first time on the channel and I was enjoying the video and commentary. Thought you did an amazing job. Time to go check out some others now.
