Educational sports betting videos created by a sharp profitable sports better. Learn how to make money sports betting and stop donating to these billion dollar companies!
Im in maine grinding these trashy offshores and sweepstake books. i get profit M-F then college football comes up and like every game scores 120 points so most profit gets destroyed
Circa and Bookmaker are the bets but Outlier doesn’t have their odds. I would just use a market average. So you can start your search with Pinnacle but make sure you devig with a couple other retail books to find good value!
I recommend checking out a few more of my videos and then joining my free discord! discord.gg/7q8WTn3tYp You can ask me questions and we also have a paid version with all the tools I use!
Yes it does! I typically only take bets under +200 odds or worse (33% win probability) if you are new to EV betting I typically suggest only playing +150 odds or worse (40% win probability)
@@ClosingDime no problem, I’m on your discord but I’m slowly building my bankroll. I’m down to low numbers from following people making picks vs your system. Once I get enough to invest/ bet with I’ll be going premium with you.
Can u explain how bet sizes work. Currently I’m doing every bet based on the odds. I do bets and make everything a total pay out of $150. Is this a profitable strategy long term?
You bet size should be based on your edge and the win probability of an event! The Kelly criterion formula uses both statistics to determine a % of bankroll you should bet! In reality bet sizing isn’t that important because if you placing bets with an edge you will make money long term. Using the Kelly formula should increase your growth Make sure your unit size is 1% or less of your total bankroll also
Ok thanks I understand I think. I use outlier so for example this prop that says 9.78 ev its +114 odds it says vig is 7.54% and Kelly 8.56% what do i bet if my bankroll is around $7k?
My other videos are based on my bot. I also work for a company called Outlier producing content for them! Let me know if you have questions in the discord
Great work right on the money. Understanding these formulas combined with software that calculates all of these things instantly across multiple books is essentially all you need to be a profitable sports better. The problem is getting limited :/
This video sounds like you work for the sports books dude. How does this not make you outraged??? These books use their software to prevent themselves from going bankrupt. But they don’t use any software from keeping their customers from going bankrupt. We call these ppl, ppl that have a gambling problem. The sportsbooks call these ppl their VIP customers and will take every penny they can from them. Absolutely sickening. Ppl killing themselves daily over their gambling addiction and the books don’t give a shit.
I’m not outraged because I know they would go out of business if they didn’t limit profitable bettors. Gambling addiction is real and I do believe they have good systems in place to identify problem gamblers but that’s a serious problem and another topic for sure. I know all these books have teams trying to identify problem gamblers but I don’t know how effective they really are
Great video!! Keep them coming! Can you make one on making multiple bets on the same game? Should you or shouldn’t you and if you should what should you watch out for?
Both provide +EV plays but their website is more customizable. The discord basically finds plays to my criteria. The discord also has a much larger data base to pull info from when it comes to additional books and markets
I'm surprised there was no mention of looking at closing line value I felt like that was the main way most books would figure out if someone was an advantage bettor.
Ya the sports book operators didn’t mention anything about the closing line which is weird but they have spoken about it on pass meetings. They definitely consider the closing line % to find advantage bettors
Sup dawg! I found you last night. I was looking for someone that was doing Positive Ev Betting. So here I am. I will be following along with you on RU-vid
I'm using oddsjam for EV betting for betting on college football you were saying don't use pinny for a sharp book. I don't have circa or bookmaker books available. What other retail books would be sharp for college?
Hey thanks for the question! There are no sharp retail books on college football or any main market. Check out the discord! We have Circa, Bookmaker and Pinnacle odds for $29.99/month. Oddsjam doesn’t offer those books unless you have the platinum plan which they advertise for $1,000+ a month
@@ClosingDime I’ll see you soon! Weighting for subscription for this month to end. OddsJam is very pricey not seeing profits to justify subscription price.
Binge watching your videos haha looking forward to making some money with you. Signed up for Premium yesterday and had a really good day thanks to you! One question: when you started, was your unit 1% = $20 (if i remember correctly in one of your videos that you started with $2,000) Thanks again!