Making #Money is Simple, but Life is Hard. The good news is that you don't have to do it alone!
There's no such thing as 'self-made' #success.
While the fundamentals of #wealth creation are truly simple, life (as you may have discovered by now) can be quite difficult. Follow this channel for practical information on understanding and navigating a pathway to freedom through #investment, #character, and #culture.
Let me help you discover and develop your unfair advantage, break through barriers, and build an investment portfolio that sets you free. I share principles of financial well-being within the context of suffering, and I collaborate with others in virtuous #business and real estate investment opportunities.
Typically, my clients are active investors who feel they may have reached a plateau. If you think you could benefit from #coaching, #mentorship, or a supportive #community, please reach out to me.
is your prediction still on point for 2025? inventory is low, rates are high, demand is still high, builders cant keep up, forclosures are about ramp up. my thought is the cycle got extended. What are your updated thoughts?
Gold looks like an uproductive and failing investment because it is seen as an ASSET, ever since Nixon forced the world into fiat currency and indirectly made gold an asset. Gold is not an asset, gold is not currency, gold is money. An empire is good as the money which backs it. Gold is the best form of money. Empires decline when they debase their gold into worthless metals/notes. The answer is in history. The real reason why the Byzantines survived almost a millenium later than their fellow Romans was because they had religiously adhered to their gold standard, and did not debase their gold solidus until the 11th century, which lead to their decline in the 15th. The cause of an empire's decline is deficit spending from war, and the debasement of gold. Or the replacement of money, to currency, in tough times. Another example is the British Empire, they had recalled their golden sovereigns out of circulation because of WW1. They fully left the gold standard in 1931 and the rest is history.
New world's tallest building: The Line Neom in Saudi Arabia. Check! Recession: Check! Land prices goe a bit down (in Belgium) check! Could be just a bump in the road but it does not look good..
Hi Jeff, I am looking to buy commercial real estate, specifically apartment buildings. They often calculate the value differently. Does your 18.6 year cycle apply to commercial real estate? Do you have any historic figures for apartments ?
Enjoyed you presentations. I have two original Roy Wenzlick charts on my wall that use to hang in my grandfather's real estate development office in Wash DC. I also represented Homer Hoyt's son in the 1980's as a land broker selling his dad's 143 acre farm in Gainsesville, Va.rex peters
Some investors believe in market timing strategies, for good reasons. Economic cycles have repeated for nearly two centuries. The average cycle length is 18.5 years. Based on this historic experience, we can expect the next systemic crash in 2026. My own analysis indicates that the underlying causes are very much alive and pulling us toward a crash even more devastating than what occurred in 2008. My analysis and what might be done to mitigate the depth and duration of the coming crash is here for those who might find this of interest: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ZI73OVxCCgQ.html Beginning on August 3rd, I will be leading six discussion lectures based on this analysis, hosted by the Henry George School of Social Science in New York. This series is offered free of charge but registration is required. Edward J. Dodson, M.L.A.
Some investors believe in market timing strategies, for good reasons. Economic cycles have repeated for nearly two centuries. The average cycle length is 18.5 years. Based on this historic experience, we can expect the next systemic crash in 2026. My own analysis indicates that the underlying causes are very much alive and pulling us toward a crash even more devastating than what occurred in 2008. My analysis and what might be done to mitigate the depth and duration of the coming crash is here for those who might find this of interest: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ZI73OVxCCgQ.html Beginning on August 3rd, I will be leading six discussion lectures based on this analysis, hosted by the Henry George School of Social Science in New York. This series is offered free of charge but registration is required. Edward J. Dodson, M.L.A.
Huge issue with this is that the chart from a real estate perspective is already invalidated during this cycle. The pandemic was supposed to bring prices lower in your video and it didn’t. The prices nearly doubled. Now we are seeing pull backs.
EXACTLY! Kenneth, let me explain - the mid cycle slowdown/recession involves a stock market correction and slower/below average economic growth, but NOT lower land prices. Why? SImply the stimuls provided by govts during this time is specifically designed to support the price of land. And in March 2020 govts went HARD on pumping money into the economy. It all ended up in land prices. Now that stimulus is withdrawn in a era of rising rates and inflation a normalising of land prices is occuring. This literally is the advantage you have over anyone else if you understand this cycle..
as i know, mid 2008 was the big housing crash then Sept 2008 financial institution collapsed. maybe 2027 we'll see next crash. it is also similar with benner cycle, he predict 2026 is the time to sell, good price.
If you're worried about your property losing value ... only buy a property a vibrant prosperous area ... not some baron wasteland that look like scenes out of The Hills Have Eyes 2
Thanks it's good but I feel we should buy real estate shares rather than buying properties ,.... I am in India and HV brought real estate stocks like Godrej properties Macrotech developers and list goes on.....my special thanks to Akhil Patel and Phil Anderson on this theory
Where can I find data showing that the average house prices rose or fell during those periods? The charts I've found do no not line up with the 18 year theory.
Hi Jeff, been watching a few of your vids and wanted your input on purchasing a property with all cash vs. conventional loan. If home prices go down, the ROI % on a conventional loan may be much lower than an all cash deal, but the actual dollar amount lost would be the same. I would care about the actual dollar lost, not the ROI %. Also, with all cash, I am putting all eggs in one basket whereas with financing, I can spread out my real estate investment across many properties. From this, it looks like financing is the way to go no matter what unless I'm missing something, such as still having to pay for mortgage?
Hi Jeff, I hope you see my comment. This video was super useful for me as I am a 23 year old dude interested in the world of investing. Right now I have a very small net worth, so I focus on the stock market, but in the future I plan to join the real estate market. This is the first video I saw from you and I am looking forward to check out your other contents. I hope that you are doing well and you keep on sharing your knowledge despite the low number of viewers. Quality content is not appreciated by the masses it seems. Your presentation was easy to follow and very informative, and I appreciated the literature you recommended. I immidiately shared the video to my friends who might be interested.
Yes, it's literally a creativity killer. We just have to looks at thousands of testimonials on fb/twitter of people describing what's known now as " long covid". Thye got through the infection phase very easily but few months down the line, starting having brain fog lasting anywhere between 1-2yrs.
I heard of the housing cycle years ago. Now that my teenage daughter shows intrest in real estate I figured I would search this. If one was looking to buy rental properties, it would be wise to buy them up on the down cycle I assume? Also I always enjoy big moves in the stockmarket. Thanks
It is very difficult (impossible) to precisely time a market. I think the most solid advice I would offer is to avoid the 'Winner's Curse'. Longterm thinking, with conservative leverage, and sufficient cash-flow to weather a storm are other good principles of risk management.
Hi Jeff, great video and thank you for acknowledging the work of Phil Anderson, Fred Harrison and the team at Property Sharemarket Economics. One of the reasons why our forecasts are so accurate is that we overlay the sharemarket, economy and commodity cycles with the 18.6 year cycle. Let us know if you'd like to set up an interview for your subscribers, regards PSE Team :)
Ok cool your $100,000 house increases in value by %2 but your are paying around at least %3 interest on the $80,000 you borrowed. So aren't you losing almost $400. Nvm rent covers the %3 and the rest of the loan sorryyyy
