क्या Jairam Mahto की वजह से AJSU को ज्यादा सीट नहीं देगी BJP, JBKSS की वजह से मुश्किल में गठबंधन ? 

About Video : क्या Jairam Mahto की वजह से AJSU को ज्यादा सीट नहीं देगी BJP, JBKSS की वजह से मुश्किल में गठबंधन ?
हाल ही में खत्म हुए लोकसभा चुनाव के बाद झारखंड में भाजपा कमजोर हुई है और बैकफुट पर भी है। सवाल सिर्फ बाबूलाल के नेतृत्व पर ही नहीं है, बल्कि पार्टी के रिवावइवल की भी है। ऐसे में आने वाले विधानसभा चुनाव में भाजपा किसी भी तरह का रिस्क नहीं लेना चाहेगी। इसी का फायदा उठा कर आजसू अधिक सीटों की डिमांड कर सकती है। यह आंकड़ा कितना होगा, अभी नहीं कहा जा सकता है, लेकिन हमारा अनुमान है कि पिछले चुनावों में जितनी सीटें आजसू को मिली थी, उससे अधिक सीटें आजसू चाहेंगी। लेकिन भाजपा की तैयारी है कि वे इस बार आजसू को पहले की अपेक्षा कम सीटों पर ही अड़ी रहे.
After the recently concluded Lok Sabha elections, BJP has weakened in Jharkhand and is also on the backfoot. The question is not only on Babulal's leadership but also on the revival of the party. In such a situation, BJP will not want to take any kind of risk in the upcoming assembly elections. Taking advantage of this, AJSU can demand more seats. It cannot be said right now what this number will be, but our guess is that AJSU will want more seats than the number of seats it got in the last elections. But BJP is prepared to insist on fewer seats for AJSU this time than before.
The reason behind this is that in the Lok Sabha elections, BJP or NDA candidates could not get an edge in those assembly seats where AJSU has MLAs or where AJSU has influence. Even NDA candidate Chandprakash Choudhary could not get an edge from areas like Silli and Gomia. BJP is interpreting this to mean that AJSU has become weak due to the arrival of Jairam. In such a situation, they would not want AJSU to be given more seats.
Let us try to decode the equation between AJSU and JBKSS. See, till now the Mahato voters had only two options, JMM and AJSU. BJP neither has a Mahato leader of that stature nor is Congress a party of the Kurmis. It is also true that the Kurmis are angry with the NDA, which means they are angry with AJSU as well. And with the rise of Jairam, they have got a new strong option. You see that Jairam Mahato has got the maximum votes in Gomia. Whereas in Giridih, AJSU had given its candidate. Similarly, in Silli, Devendranath Mahato of JBKSS has also got a good lead. What conclusion do you draw from these figures?
This was about the Lok Sabha. In the Assembly, the situation can go even more in favor of Jairam. That is, this narrative is not wrong that the biggest loss due to the rise of Jairam is going to be to AJSU. And the BJP is well aware of this. For BJP, this election is for revival, but for AJSU it is a fight for existence. AJSU is a party that won 2 seats by contesting on 53 seats. Here, Jairam has proved his mettle in the Lok Sabha elections itself. Now, on the seats where AJSU and JBKSS will face each other, it will be understood who is going to win in future politics.
All these factors are such that are giving BJP the basis to have more seats. And this is the reason why AJSU can get upset with BJP and separate. Although it is too early to say this, but when you look closely at the episode of formation of the Union Cabinet of 2024, it is clearly visible that AJSU was unhappy about not getting a place in the cabinet. This resentment was also seen in many mild ways. This resentment can increase, this is our guess.
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