Remove your personal information from the web at joindeleteme.com/DAVIDLIN, use code DAVIDLIN for 20% off DeleteMe international Plans: international.joindeleteme.com Dead cat bounce or renewed bull rally? Tell us what you think in the comments below. FOLLOW CHRIS VERMULEN: The Technical Traders: thetechnicaltraders.com/davidlin/ Subscribe to my free newsletter: davidlinreport.substack.com/
The market's direction can swiftly change, with indexes frequently transitioning from a bear market to a bull market precisely when the news is most negative and investor sentiment reaches its lowest point.
For the average person, the strategies are fairly demanding. In actuality, most professionals who have the necessary abilities and knowledge to complete such occupations do so successfully.
Well agreed, I'm quite lucky exposed to finance at early age, started job at 19, purchased first home at 28, got married shortly afterwards to raise kids early. Going forward, got laid-off at 40 amid covid '19 outbreak, immediately consulted with an advisor in order to stay afloat and after subsequent investments, I'm barely 10% short of $1m ballpark goal as of today.
ANNETTE MARIE HOLT'' is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
U.S. t bills are the same as junk bonds. In order to get buyers you need to keep raising yields as the national debt keeps going higher. things are not improving.
I'm looking at high-yield dividend stocks. Selling 200k worth of equities is stupid without reinvesting it. I might turn to cash soon if I don't invest it. Any particulars? (Buying bonds or CDs is not for me)
Don't get any such ideas. If I were you, I would bother less and buy gold and bitcoin. There are more institutional investors in long bonds than individuals and they are all relinquishing their long term holdings.
I agree, while higher interest rates increase bond yields, they also hurt long-term bondholders who can't wait for their bonds to mature. IMO You are better off for next 5 years by buying the dip now.
As an lnvesting enthusiast, I often wonder how top level investors are able to become millionaires off investing. . I’ve been sitting on over $545K equity from a home sale and I’m not sure where to go from here, is it a good time to buy into stocks or do I wait for another opportunity?.
People dismiss the importance of advisors until they are burned by their own emotions. I remember a couple of summers ago, following my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to assist my business stay alive, so I looked for qualified consultants and came across someone with the highest qualifications. She has helped me raise my reserve from $275k to $850k, despite inflation.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?.
With bond yields rising and stock prices falling, what's the best strategy to capitalize on the current market? I'm considering whether to diversify my $400K stock portfolio.
The market is volatile at this time, hence I will advice you get yourself a financial advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the share/etf you focus on.
No doubt, having the right plan is invaluable, my portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 100% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take till Q2 2025.
*Marissa Lynn Babula* is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
I learned that the stock market was a rich man's game (yes, grandparents lost it all back then and preached that forever) but I've been around long enough to really taste how great it can be. To be profitable, with inflation at 6.1% These are surely desperate times, but in my opinion, there is no market condition that a good financial advisor cannot navigate, especially those that have existed since the crisis of 2008 and before.
Is there any chance you could recommend who you work with? I've wanted to make this switch for a very long time now, but I've been very hesitant about. I'll appreciate any recommendation.
Picking stocks is a risky thing to do, particularly for non-professionals. I learnt that in 2020, when I lost almost everything. But I switched to using a financial advisor and I've been returning at least $38k every month so I’ve been sticking to investing via an Advisor.
I'm an amateur with a portfolio of 180k and I've got some real estate holdings too, but it's hard for me to build confidence. I want to invest another 70k over a one month span, but I want to be strategic about doing it so I can grow more and not stay stagnant. Are these good stock suggestions?
DYI never ever shows you where the market is going. That's why you DCA in quality stocks on dips and invest for the long term. Most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
Agreed, the role of advisors an only be overlooked but not denied. I was shocked that I made more money with investing than hard work, not even my CEO income. Earning ''return on investment'' fetched me millions within a space of 5 yrs.(But I still enjoy working)
I'm cautious about giving specific recommendations since this is an online forum and everyone situation is unique, But I've worked with "Melissa Elise Robinson" for years and highly recommend her. Look her up to see if she meets your criteria.
One thing I have learned about the stock market is that it is very very manipulated. It will not let investors know when it go up or down. It will always do the opposite what investors think it might do... If investors can figure out what the market is going to do, companies will go bankruptcy.... So I don't waste my time and energy to bother what the market is going to do...... for me .. Long & short-term trading is generally safer, allowing investors to weather market volatility. I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Sandy Barclays, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
If the market has taught me anything, it's that it always recovers, but I can't seem to focus on the long run, when major factors like my retirement and my reserve are wreaking havoc on inflation. I require a solid data trajectory and solution as soon as possible.
Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Sandy insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.
Venturing into new investment avenues shows your proactive approach to financial growth amidst these uncertain times. Diversifying your portfolio can help manage risks effectively.
He said last time it will keep going down. This guy changes his mind with the trend. I followed multiple of his short term calls and ended up losing money, market went the other way. Better listen to David hunter if you wanna make money, who's more of a contrarian longer term swing trader
I agree. I think valuations are too high partly because baby boomers want to pad their retirement accounts before reallocating to treasuries, etc. I’m guessing there will be a tipping point where the selling causes a drop, which causes panic selling. This event might get triggered by the next drop, regardless of the cause. You might like Michael Pento. Be nimble!
PE’s have been crazy high for a while (when compared to historical normals)….the stock market isn’t tied to valuations anymore, however, more closely tied to the money supply.
@@jmd3236 thats' why it's pointless to speculate based off information that's already priced in. the market does what it wants to do. and 70% of the time it goes up. We to the MOOOOOOOOON!
Please don't interview someone who knows no more than we do. Basically there's just too much liquidity in the market and the market makers are much manipulative than the punters. Just let the big boys finish their magic and the market will take it's natural course. Meantime you can call it anything you like !
@@jayk3551 Cut the governments' budgets by 50% and rinse and repeat until the problem is solved. Governments are addicted to taxes, fees, regulations, and en -sla- vement through taxes.
@@jayk3551 It only takes decades to wean them out of the entitlements. The government are not your parents and family needs to step up; otherwise, you'd become a ward of the courts.
The bulls are overweight, especially at their bellies! Their bounce may be much higher than Dead Cats, but when and not if they fall and hit the ground, all those smelly and sticky offals will spill out and STINK TO HIGH HEAVEN! 🤢
such a great talk mit my favorite chris!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! chris is a real specialist und so great in his analysis. wishing more and more frequently streams with you david. than you so much. you are one of my favorite stream sources. best wishes from switzerland.
Don't get me wrong but I have got to say it. I've been following David since Kitco days, and he had many interviews with Chris, I listened to at least 70% of these interviews. Chris was right in his predictions maybe less than 10%. The numbers are just numbers you get the message. If you want a crystal ball to tell you what to do, Chris is the last person to hand it over
Some are doing well, most are not. Many silver miners are a disaster relative to pricing a few years agp. Newmont fell from $80 to $29 (....). Now $50 - but so what for all those who bought at $60+.
The drop in bonds was concerning to me at first because it didn’t make fundamental sense. Until I look at a chart of Bond yields. Then it became apparent. This is a technical pullback in bond yields. It’s not based on fundamentals. It’s temporary
Your guest, Chris is both a very intelligent trader and a very credible market analyst. The bottom line is the high PE stocks have two major forces driving them: the low intelligence "buy the dip" crowd, and the super intelligent AI-driven market movers like JP Morgan.
Very little of these moves are driven by retail investors, so words like "panic" and "fear" don't really apply to the kinds of hedging and trading done by institutions who DO drive the market moves
You all need to change your terminology and train of thought. Instead of saying or thinking; "We are entering a 'bullish' scenario, instead think that we are entering a 'dollar destruction' period when looking at 'revaluations' to the indexes when grinding out new highs.
David, thanks for bringing up the miners and confounding relationship between metal price and stock price. Reply and conversation confirmed my suspicions, but I still like them because a bump in metal price will eventually make miners really move.
For a trade you are good. Be very close to the exit. I think the middle and long end of the curve surges much much higher... like 15 to 18%. I mean the US Govt is super broke, even more broke then they know. When they need to stimulate who is going to lend at 4%? No one. There's too much risk of the dollar going to zero or default. The bond vigilaties will come back out just like they did last October. And not to be super pessimistic... i think all markets get crushed. Nothing is going to do well except maybe commodities. Next we get a liquidity, collateral, and credit (debt) crisis all at the same time. If you have studied past recession or depressions you know that just one is bad. 3 together will rival Great Depression stuff. Could I be wrong? Of course. If I am wrong than the purchasing power of the dollar is going down even faster. AT some point inflation gets so bad we end up in an inflationary depression... no one has the purchasing power to buy anything but basics. We are already very close to that now. Please be careful.
Personally i wouldn't sleep easy having a big position in gold. Its overpriced for what little real world use it has. Kind of like a better version of bitcoin but with technology evolving and forcing change i think a dinosaur like gold will be nearly worthless within a decade or 2. The logic to hold gold will become less and less relevant as the worlds financial system changes
Chris is great but when it comes to dollar is if market will be dropping big and it’s bear market for long dollar will drop a lot cause investors will anticipate fed to print
Trying to time the market is the dumbest thing ever. It's been routinely proven to almost never work. This guy is trying to predict the future. Just buy and hold. The short term is irrelevant.
His point is simple. Risk reward ratios. Yes the market can go higher. Yes it can make new highs. Then what. It goes up forever. Get real. This market will get cut in half. When the fed cuts watch the long end of the curve. This all started with easy money. So it will end with rates north of 20 percent.
Most don't have skill to trade price action. Trend following is the second best thing. You never get the bottom or tops but you get the middle and if the instrument you are trading is not choppy... your good. We only need the middle. Now if you have skills and can trade price action. You are always the first on the train and the first off the train. Last thing, Trend trading is horrible in a sideways market to tell ... just go to the next higher time frame if swing trading the 4 hour chart go up to the daily and look at ADX. If it is below and declining from 25 it is range bound. How other set of tools to trade that. You use a momentum indicator... sell when RSI get above 70 and go long when it gets below 25. Now know at some point it will break out of that range. You will be wrong at some point. That is why we use stop loss orders. If you got stopped out of a range bound trade. You automatically go the other way. Then you are back into a trend and use the trend trading tool box. What I just took you 99% of market participants do not know. The only thing that is hard is when to get out on a winning trade. It is a bit science and a bit art. Get out too soon, you left too much on the table, get out too late and you give back too much money. This is the hardest part, the rest is pretty easy.
This dude is sounding more and more like a perma bear. The weekly 20 MA hasn’t even been touched yet. When interest rates drop, his stakeholders won’t accept paying a 1% hedge fund fee on a 3% yield from Tbills because he just sat out of the market all year when S&P index funds jumped 17+%.
The point I was making is he’s comfortable sitting in cash because yields are so high but he’s been calling for a crash literally all year. A pull back in the market is not the same as a crash. He’s a fund manager, but he’s not even beating the market. That was my point.
I think next we get a liquidity, collateral, and credit (debt) crisis all at the same time. The only thing that is not going to get crushed is commodities. They are real... everything else is worth what folks say it is. I tell folks all the time... you are worth half of what you think you are. Folks think I am crazy... we will see soon enough. Just waiting on that rate cut and the yield curve reinversion now.
Damn that is not good. CNBC (and all the media companies) are owned by very rich folks. Those folks need liquidity... folks to sell too. I think the 10 year dips when the FED cuts and then surges higher, much higher when the US Government needs to borrow to stimulate. Think about it. The FED is either going to save the dollar or they are going to let the markets crash. Which way do you think they are going to go. If history has anything to say about it ... they will try to devalue the dollar (inflate their way out) it has worked in the past. The reason it will not work this go, is that the debt levels are too high and folks are going to demand a much higher yield to loan to the US Government. I think we get a 70s/80s event... when yields surge.. not the short end... the middle and long end. If I am correct that means TLT long term holders are on the wrong side of the trade. WE will know soon enough. Please be careful.
Dead Cat Bounce Back To The bloody top of the 20s???? WTF are you guys serious?,, And yep, the prices of asets are directly calculated by an untterly useless prediction called the Fibonacci. Dont believe me? Go trade THE FORWARD levels of the fib sequence.
