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156. Less Wrong, Rationality, and Logicbros | THUNK 

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I focus a lot on improving my critical thinking skills & knowledge of bias, but I may just be honing deadly weapons to be wielded by the mad specter that sometimes possesses me.
Links for the Curious
Reply to Davis-Stober et al.: Violations of rationality in a psychophysical task are not aggregation artifacts (Tsetsos et al, 2016) - www.pnas.org/co...
The Polarizing Impact of Science Literacy and Numeracy on Perceived Climate Change Risks (Braman et al, 2012) - scholarship.law...
“Realism about Rationality,” by Ricraz on LessWrong - www.lesswrong....
@TheSoundDefense on Twitter - th...
Practical Reason (Wallace, 2014) - plato.stanford...
A likely logicbro on imgur - imgur.com/gall...
“Adam Ruins Logic,” by Eternal Life Fan - • Adam Ruins Logic
“America the Intelligent,” by Peter Moore - today.yougov.c...

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14 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 91   
@MrJethroha
@MrJethroha 6 лет назад
Scariest thing I've watched all October
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
Glad I'm not the only one. @_@
@MrJethroha
@MrJethroha 6 лет назад
@@THUNKShow
@pokebreeder125
@pokebreeder125 6 лет назад
My main fear with stuff like this is that it can easily become cult-like and fulfill the human need to belong in away that fulls biases of conformity.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
LW rationalists are deathly afraid of exactly this, to the point that the community has a running joke about it being a cult.
@Arbmosal
@Arbmosal 6 лет назад
There is also a big part in the sequences on this ;)
@personzorz
@personzorz Год назад
Too late, they are a cult
@Fiddling_while_Rome_burns
@Fiddling_while_Rome_burns 6 лет назад
Definately one of you most interesting vids. Never heard the term Logic Bros before but it covers so many of the "Skeptical Community" video makers and commenters out there. I've definately met many of them in the comments section and you sum them up nicely. A lot of them very clueless people who have developed competance at a kind of rhetorical/logic which will work against average people without philisophical education and fan their egos but do little else. On the other hand logic as an ideology and it being used as surrgate religion for gaining power over other people using simlar tactics to religion is a subject I'm interested in. The similarity with which people deploy Logical Fallacies and Bible quotations to try and bulldoze people amuses me. At the beginning you mention how logicians justify themselves by contrasting logic with fractured thinking and dogmaticism. This is similar to those atheists who make videos like, "Answers to the 10 Most Ridiculous Things Christians Say," then pat themselves on the back for being so intelligent. I used to comment, wouldn't it be better to make a video. "Answers to the 10 Best Arguments Christians make." they never ever do though. It's the same with logic. For someone like Less Wrong to convince me they would not have to contrast logic with dogmatism, they would have to contrast it with Praxis, Pragmatism and Empiricism. Which I would guess is not the game.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
Thanks! I do think there's some sort of continuum of rational discourse, with intense self-directed skepticism on one side & mindless rhetorical hand-waving at the other, & there are certainly channels I've watched that wander into that area. (THUNK among them, unfortunately.) Regarding empiricism, there's an extended bit I cut from the script about the fetishization of "science" (whatever that is) as objectivity incarnate, which made mention of the cultural assumptions implicit to its practice & the influence of bias over its direction & interpretation. Long story short, I'm kind of in an existential funk that any potential source of knowledge of the objective world more complex than physics is so corrupted as to be almost totally unreliable.
@AmaranthOriginal
@AmaranthOriginal 6 лет назад
I feel kind of weird whenreading about this sort of thing. I suffer from perpetual underconfidence and often worry I'm completely wrong about things. So I'm usually the one who fact-checks the quote from the opposing party that sounds too good to be true, or looks at the paper that supposedly pwns me. I don't look at every paper because I eventually need to sleep, but especially on issues that matter to me, I tend to think "what if I'm wrong" and look. I'm not saying I've never done this, though I must admit I don't remember any incidents. It's more that I tend to be more concerned with being correct than feeling correct, and I've had no alternative but to alter my worldview accordingly in the past in order to keep myself aligned with new information. not that constantly doubting yourself is fun.
@theuglyhat8718
@theuglyhat8718 6 лет назад
I have struggled with this problem in the past as well and the solution i came up with is to just have some got damn humility about the beliefs you hold. If a person has gotten far enough in their rational thinking to apply that knowledge to their worldview and to their philosophy then they should be aware of the fallability of human thinking. If you are aware of all the biases and fallacies affecting your rational thinking and still claim that your conclusion, which you reached using just that rational thinking, has to be infallable then that is nothing short of pretentiousness. This also takes me back to the principles of thunk video 135 and arguing to learn. If one doesn't hold any humility regarding their own viewpoint when they enter a discussion, then they aren't just showing a lack of respect to the other person. They are also doing something deprimental to their own understanding of the subject by denying themself the chance to learn from the other persons viewpoint and better understand the shortcomings of their own. This is the truth no matter who actually starts out with the strongest understanding of the subject and as such it's always better to have some humility about your beliefs, even if you are confident in being right. That's my conclusion atleast.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
I reached more or less the same conclusion: a kind of pervasive skepticism, ratcheting my certainty in everything down a few pegs. I hope this is the appropriate reaction to discovering yet another reason to distrust one's epistemic equipment. :-/
@benmusgrove7490
@benmusgrove7490 6 лет назад
Damnit Josh, I didn't need this ethical crisis right now! Curse you and your consistent ability to remind us in a timely and thoughtful fashion to appraise our own beliefs and not just those of others! For real though, excellent video. I feel like you're keeping a lot of people here, myself included, a little more honest with this channel.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
Thanks. If it's any consolation, I am going thru exactly the same crisis, & it's keeping me up at night. :-/
@gladysg7773
@gladysg7773 3 месяца назад
This video is great stuff I stumbled upon and also a needed discussion. This reminds me of something I read where a spiritual teacher cautioned that the ego can use anything for its own purposes, including spirituality, and people can fall into traps of spiritual egoism and spiritual materialism. Even the practice of dissolving the ego can become something for the ego to reinforce itself. It’s definitely a knife’s edge as you say.
@teddyscribner4742
@teddyscribner4742 5 лет назад
I knew this day would come.
@DanyIsDeadChannel313
@DanyIsDeadChannel313 5 лет назад
Prehaps LessWrong may be filled with wanna be rationals, but his greatest work "rationality: Ai To Zombie" is a collection of the best essays about this topic and I am quite happy to see the author is humble and works for AI safety ethics. To quote from Cultish countercultishness: " Cults feed on groupthink, nervousness, desire for reassurance. You cannot make nervousness go away by wishing, and false self-confidence is even worse. But so long as someone needs reassurance-even reassurance about being a rationalist-that will always be a flaw in their armor. A skillful swordsman focuses on the target, rather than glancing away to see if anyone might be laughing. When you know what you’re trying to do and why, you’ll know whether you’re getting it done or not, and whether a group is helping you or hindering you."
@DanyIsDeadChannel313
@DanyIsDeadChannel313 5 лет назад
P.S: The book is amazing , best way to read it is to do it bite chunks everyday. Saddest thing is to start something that you truly would like to solve and find out that somebody already figured it out (historical example given : Ramanujuan rediscovering Euler's formulas and then being embarrassed by it). Even if you think you may come to another conclusion, both are wrong because one should discover if it had been already done and then do it yourself while keeping an eye on the already done stuff. You come both to same conclusion, not a waste of time really because this time you know when to stop your efforts. If not then you can branch yourself and know that you are the right one.
@HuseyinOmerErgen
@HuseyinOmerErgen Год назад
It is worth mentioning that those issues are a part of the conversation in the LessWrong community as well. I don't know how your channel treats links so, in the name of caution, I will drop a link to a prominent example as a reply to this comment.
@chiar0scur0
@chiar0scur0 6 лет назад
Absolutely been on both ends of logicbroism, though I like to think I left a lot of it behind... How far back do you go in your own writing before you hate the author?
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
Probably on the order of months. -_-
@mrosskne
@mrosskne Год назад
intuition, feeling, common sense > reason, science
@НАРМАНДАХБЯМБАДОРДЖКОНЦЕРН-г2л
Wow, that's some content, I like you
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 5 лет назад
Thanks! I like you too! :D
@MartinLichtblau
@MartinLichtblau 5 лет назад
Metacognition is what you need, to check and balance your own thinking.
@passingthetorch5831
@passingthetorch5831 6 лет назад
Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem is the scariest. But this video is also terrifying. On the other hand, as a mathematician, I understand that one must have axioms, self-evident truths, to reason from.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
I don't know if reasoning happens (as we like to imagine it does) as a deductive flow from axioms to corollary truths - it may be that our beliefs exist in a perpetual state of shifting allegiances, & that what we think of as "reasoning" only happens when we're forced to choose between incidentally conflicting nodes in that web.
@auggiemarsh8682
@auggiemarsh8682 Год назад
Brilliant insights. Especially at 4:48.
@michaelsuazo5321
@michaelsuazo5321 6 лет назад
I'm glad to see these thoughts shared. Refreshed even. And also unsettled. Tools in the wrong hands can be dangerous indeed and I frequently struggle in trusting that I'm using my own properly. It's nice to know I'm not alone in that endeavor. As far as being a part of a group, I feel the struggle there too. The moment I start seeing the forest for the trees is the moment I become disillusioned with membership and am desperate to escape. Less Wrong though. I may just check it out. Thanks for you insight!
@IamTheHira
@IamTheHira 5 лет назад
This video deserves many more views.
@repker
@repker 6 лет назад
this is like an AA meeting for us internet denizens with a superior intellect than the poor, poor layman, bless their souls i think captain d has a talk related to staving off the logicbro inside us all. i may be misremembering tho
@pyrgakis
@pyrgakis 3 года назад
Amazing description, loved it
@causmosis
@causmosis 6 лет назад
Was it a conscious decision to not put the direct Patreon link in the video description? I know it is visually displayed briefly at the end of the video...but you'd be suprised how many more clicks it may get if more prominently displayed as a hyperlink there. ...I say this because I shamefully never noticed it in the video until AFTER I Googled "Thunk Patreon" in disbelief it didn't already exist (it obviously does). In the end I found it and joined of course, but idiot proofing never hurts when it comes to generating web traffic right? #unsolicitedonlinepresenceMGMTadvice This is one of the best channel on RU-vid BTW. It's saved under my "unequivocally good for humanity" list of web content...it's a short list.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
I have a weird reluctance to make money on THUNK, so it's at least partially intentional. 😣 Sorry that my weirdness made it hard to find, I'm continually astonished that people like you support the show monetarily. Thank you so much.
@anakimluke
@anakimluke 6 лет назад
Could anyone expand a bit on the "citing papers that I've not read" subject? Where exactly does the problem lie? I thought it was ok to cite papers I've not read because doing so did not imply that I had read them. Related to this, one point I can think of is there might be papers that disagree with each other and not mentioning it would not be nice.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
It might be that you simply have too much intellectual integrity to even imagine such a thing, but in the past, when I've been trying to argue someone into submission, I would say a thing that I thought was probably true in support of my point & (to "prove" it) go to Google Scholar & search for literally any paper title that seemed to suggest such a thing. It's an absurd rhetorical gesture at being knowledgeable.
@zorro_zorro
@zorro_zorro 3 года назад
Research shows that citing papers that you have not read is not an intellectually honest thing to do (Yudkowsky, 15 feb. 2010)
@calcutlass
@calcutlass 6 лет назад
damn, I gotta stop being a logicbro.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
You & me both. :-/
@bunny1866
@bunny1866 6 лет назад
6:15 I guess as usual Nietzsche was on to something significant about human cognition...
@wcropp1
@wcropp1 6 лет назад
Bunny S this also made me think of Mr. Nietzsche. We may indeed be more like a “will” with an ability to use instrumental rationality as opposed to beings capable of truly objective reasoning. At least that’s the picture most psychological research paints, contra much of the philosophical tradition.
@nelsonbassett5719
@nelsonbassett5719 6 лет назад
Where does Nietzsche talk about this? I'm interested in learning more.
@bunny1866
@bunny1866 6 лет назад
@@wcropp1 Yes and like the video says it really is a scary thought... I have seen a lot of the psychology in recent 50 years as one big experiment showing us just how little in control we actually are... Nietzsche does call this belief a "superstition" and likens it to people's belief in souls. Lol happy Halloween from existentialist perspective I guess
@bunny1866
@bunny1866 6 лет назад
@@nelsonbassett5719 Nietzsche talked about this stuff throughout his life but he properly starts addressing it in Beyond Good and Evil in the first section called the prejudice of the philosophers. If you haven't read N or his contemporaries then I would suggest looking into the work of Robert Solomon on Nietzsche ideas on rationality. He usually does good introductions.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
Dude was cynical & angry & insightful about a lot of things.
@reddragdiva
@reddragdiva 6 лет назад
There's the obvious punchline missing from this video: specifically, the scariest thing they *did* think of. Of course, Elizabeth Sandifer got a whole book out of it.
@tochoXK3
@tochoXK3 3 года назад
You mean Rokos Basilisk / The Basilisk murders ? To be frank, I don't like the transhumanist vibes (The possibility of superhuman AI must be taken seriously, space colonisation is possible, cyonics is a good idea etc.) but I'm able to still enjoy basically everything else
@me000
@me000 2 года назад
Do you read Dan Luu's blog? He seems to be very good at being rational.
@MonoOne101
@MonoOne101 6 лет назад
by this logic i should consider the Idea itself to be potentially misleading or the idea that it may be misleading to be misleading
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
A standard non-self-refuting philosophical formulation of skepticism is as a framework that individual claims of knowledge are , rather than a declaration, e.g.: "If I'm justified in believing X, then I'm justified in believing that ~Y, but I'm not justified in believing that ~Y because my epistemic apparatus isn't trustworthy."
@zorro_zorro
@zorro_zorro 3 года назад
This sentence is misleading! Being too sure that a framing is less wrong than others can be misleading. The fact that your confirmation bias apparently learns to use the framing against you leads to misleadings. Being actually careful in order not to be mislead is probably less misleading.
@benywoka2697
@benywoka2697 5 лет назад
Sophisticated
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 5 лет назад
I try. :P
@mimojimi
@mimojimi 10 месяцев назад
what would we do if today was our last day
@eahere
@eahere 6 лет назад
Liked for mentioning of less wrong. I'd love it if you discussed some of eleizers writings!
@MClaudeW
@MClaudeW 4 года назад
Long term project
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 4 года назад
The longest!
@mattcollins5974
@mattcollins5974 2 года назад
I have no idea what you just said
@barraman.
@barraman. 5 месяцев назад
hello, mhhhh yes, a big mac and. mhhhh three, no, four colas, thank
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 5 месяцев назад
🍔🥤🥤🥤🥤 That'll be $13.50 at the next window, have a nice day.
@SbotTV
@SbotTV 6 лет назад
The scariest thing about this video is when you unironically said "the collapse of Western Civilization." That's a pretty well-known dogwhistle at this point... You should think about what you really mean and what both yourself and others picture in their minds when you say that. People who explicitly say they fear the collapse of Western Civilization are typically Nazis, in the current state of things. And it makes sense that it'd be used that way; when you say "Western Civilization", even though you might actually be referring to a school of thought or a geographic region, I think we can agree that the phrase conjures up images of white people. This goes in the opposite direction: if you really mean "white people" when you say "Western Civilization", then you can hide your true intentions behind the sanitized meaning. It'd be much easier to protect the discourse from exploitation if everyone who wasn't intentionally using "Western Civilization" and similar terms as dogwhistles would just stop using them whatsoever. This way, there will be a clearer division between Nazi propaganda and more academic discourse -- and it will be more difficult to disguise one as the other. Thinking about the way you used the phrase, from the perspective of a person in the process of being radicalized by the far right, this person has been fed a narrative of a group of outsiders (non-white people, migrants, Muslims, Jews, LGBT+ people, social justice advocates, and communists) trying to collapse "Western Civilization" (the white race). When they get to the end of this video, and you tell them that fearing the collapse of "Western Civilization" is justified, what they hear is reinforcement of that narrative fed to them by the far right, which is certainly not what you intended. In fact, Nazi discourse is specifically designed to exploit these connotations so it can slip into more "civil" discussion without seeming to lose continuity, sort of like a Mott and Bailey argument. To avoid helping the Nazis, we must try to break that continuity, either explicitly or by simply a avoiding the dogwhistles altogether. This way, it will be harder for Nazis to embed themselves into the discourse.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
Thanks for this - it was an unscripted segment, & the phrase was on the brain from consuming a ton of Contrapoints videos about exactly the point you're raising here. I am ashamed.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
FWIW I was thinking "the collapse of capitalism."
@LoneSwordsmanTheory
@LoneSwordsmanTheory 6 лет назад
@@THUNKShow And unsubbed.
@LoneSwordsmanTheory
@LoneSwordsmanTheory 6 лет назад
@@schmendrick I don't like the trend of self-loathing that permeates the left. Western civilization, flaws and all, is where I live. There's a world of difference between criticizing & wanting to address problems, or hating it so much that you want to burn the whole thing down. I'm very wary of those that lean towards the latter, Contrapoints and the original commenter included.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
I don't hate civilization (Western or otherwise), I want to fix it - I worry about its arc & terminus, the ways in which it is likely to fail, how its current implementation is morally inadequate, etc. That's why I don't like playing into a narrative designed to frighten people into paranoid tribalistic nationalism - I think that's probably how we end up burning the whole thing down.
@CraigTalbert
@CraigTalbert 3 года назад
You make a good point, but I'm going to logic bro you for a second. One of the common distinctions you'll find on LW is the difference between instrumental rationality and epistemic rationality. Instrumental rationality is what you're discussing here where you taking your intellectual faculties and align them with a specific goal. Epistemic rationality is arguing specifically about the truth of things. Yes, learning some rhetorical rational-sounding tricks can be abused or misused. But this is basically true of anything. Dan Kahan's cultural cognition work is also good here.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 3 года назад
> Yes, learning some rhetorical rational-sounding tricks can be abused or misused. But this is basically true of anything. Absolutely! That's sort of what I'm claiming in the video. "This person is clearly committing epistemic rationality sin #52, therefore I can safely ignore them." is extraordinarily common, & becomes even easier the more epistemology you study.
@_VISION.
@_VISION. 2 года назад
​@@THUNKShow What would you want them to do instead of ignoring the person? What is the difference between "instrumental rationality" and pragmatism?
@TheMythogenic
@TheMythogenic 3 года назад
ahah, that was nice :D
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 3 года назад
Thanks! :D
@ferulebezel
@ferulebezel 6 лет назад
I've never heard the term but shouldn't it be "Logic Bro" or maybe hyphenated.
@calcutlass
@calcutlass 6 лет назад
nah, it's internet shit.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
It might as well be; it's not a particularly widespread term as yet, so there's probably still room for variants in spelling, etc.
@jacobb8397
@jacobb8397 6 лет назад
@antytrend
@antytrend 5 лет назад
Logicbros! Lol
@hoagie911
@hoagie911 Год назад
I checked out LessWrong a few years back and my god it is an echo chamber and a cult around Yudcuntski. They his writings like the Bible. When what he writes doesn't make sense, they desperately try to interpret it in a favourable way. There's a pathological aversion to actual work done in philosophy. Instead they prefer sitting on their assess and coming up with basic ideas 1st year philosophy students learn about in their first week, except philosophy students are actually exposed to a range of ideas and criticisms. There's also not much looking in depth into scientific literature; rather it's enough to find something which agrees with you and Yudcraptree
@billyscenic5610
@billyscenic5610 3 года назад
Reason is a slave.
@N4LNba777
@N4LNba777 4 года назад
Dude, are you telling that LessWrong has some kind of logical fallacy that they don't notice? You are very welcome in this community then. Do you think that we don't understand the structure of the brain or how brain reinforces bad ideas? I don't see how anything you are saying can be applied to LessWrong, to be honest. Also, everybody in the community warns everyone else about issues with weaponized rationality.
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 4 года назад
AFAIK there isn't anything in this episode implying that LW-ers don't know about this?
@sirtalkalot3211
@sirtalkalot3211 6 лет назад
It's funny, that you simply assume climate change to be true.
@calcutlass
@calcutlass 6 лет назад
xD
@THUNKShow
@THUNKShow 6 лет назад
I wrote that line in an explicitly ambiguous fashion. "Consider this study by Braman et al in 2012, which suggests that scientific literacy & familiarity with mathematics doesn’t correlate with any particular attitude about climate change, the way we might expect, but with cultural polarization about the subject." I don't state what attitude one might expect (it's true, it's false, or something else), merely that one might expect scientific literacy & numeracy to cause convergence on one attitude, rather than divergence.
@sirtalkalot3211
@sirtalkalot3211 6 лет назад
@@THUNKShow Ah, I guess I read between the lines too much then, no worries. Well, since I guess you're interested in the subject, I was thinking about, what ideas our modern Western societies might be convinced of, that might be wrong and simply are regarded in high esteem because of group think. All societies we know of believed in some bullshit, so it would be mad to assume we didn't. Now the difficult thing is only, to see what bs we believe in. Historically, there usually were things you could state in every society, things you shouldn't state in any society and things that you shouldn't state in some societies. So, we today have some taboos that didn't exist before, the saying of which is pretty frowned upon. I can't think of many, but some would be Holocaust denial, Facism and racism. Now, obviously these things are bad, I'm just poking at painful ideas, so we might find taboos of our modern era, and I believe these might be some. If you compare facism to Communism, nobody really cares if you're a communist, or perhaps an Islamist. People might think you're a bit dull, but if you're a facist, you're evil. This is despite communism being just as deadly lunacy as fascism. Now, holocaust denial. I don't deny it, but let me put fourth the idea, that holocaust denial really shouldn't be a big deal. In the end, that person simply says, something different happened to a few million people in the past. People do that all the time. New archeological findings, new wars being discovered, some old ideas being disputed, new ones being held up. Who cares? Well, deny the holocaust and you're basically a demon to most people. Idk, maybe I'm also on the wrong track here, looking forward to your reply.
@Arbmosal
@Arbmosal 6 лет назад
@@sirtalkalot3211 I will try to see what you are getting at. Clearly what you say is not about the specific examples you list, but you are tying to point at something else. As I understand you are trying to 1) make the point that there are taboos, 2) you think it is bad to have them (yes?) I would argue that there are costs to E. G. Not frowning upon holocaust denial. Engaging in discussion might lend credibility to the deniers who are absolutely wrong and are also not really seeking truth but approvement from their tribe. As for your fascism example I will say that your assessment of being a fascist being worse than being an islamist seems wrong to me. And even if: we (I. E. Civilization) mustered the power to shun fascism. We might not be able to replicate it for more bad stuff. But we shouldn't back off the established shunning just to be fair. Who wants to be fair to bad stuff anyway?
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