@@SenFGr they exist. Very compact bases resist miners better, so if you have maximum leveling there is a good chance that the district will not be taken in 2 attacks. Yes, such bases are very easy to demolish with Sparky, but let's close our eyes to that.
At 2000+ peak 2shots are really hard, even sen fails most of them. His record is 7 in a weekend if the record hasn't been broken yet, out of 16 raids, so that's a hitrate of around 44%. On a regular week you could expect around 5 peak 2shots from sen, so that's a 31% hitrate.
i usually dont go for bases that arent possible in order to save my attacks (i have limited number of accounts), meaning my hitrate is higher than if i went for every single one a clan faces. my hitrate with cherrypicking ~50%, but otherwise like hornet said ~30%. A good hitrate for a peak attacker is ~10% (1-2 per week). A good hitrate for a peak attacker from a clan in the top 10 is ~20% (3 per week). Aim for ~10%, and that would put you among the best in the world.
i wasnt completely sure that the air defense goes down, and inferno dragon pathing is random which means it could step inside of the air defense range. i thought it was a risk not worth taking