2017 Personality 21: Biology & Traits: Performance Prediction 

"Match the career you pursue to your temperament, rather than trying to adjust the latter." JBP, best life coach out there

Dr.Peterson, I recently went through a journey into the underworld and managed to slay the dragon and come out with the gold. I have newfound confidence in myself, reignited my passion towards my work, and sorted out my immediate and long term future goals. My room is cleaner than ever and I couldn't have done it without the framework you provided through your lectures online. Thank you for all your hard work

Here is a pretty detailed outline of this lecture: 0:00 Introduction 3:17 Ethical perspective on hiring. 6:00 Failure rate among managers is high. 7:32 Biases in interviews. 8:45 Binomial effect size display. 12:58 Walter Mischell 14:28 Measuring productivity is a problem. 17:51 Applying lab measures in a real world. 18:43 Probability of a company using a productivity test is inversely proportional to its accuracy. 19:10 Criticism of Myers-Briggs test. 19:40 Problems with the tests that work. Percentiles and percentages. 23:58 Introducing a product to a big company. 25:15 Typical duration in a position in a big company is 4 years. 26:00 Publishing a book. 26:40 Entrepreneurship. 29:37 When making decisions, people do not think about succeeding, they think about failing. Primary goal is to be invisible and left alone. 30:18 Zebra story. 34:56 People don't want happiness. They want not being hurt. 35:54 Price's law. 38:11 Variation in productivity is a function of the job complexity. 39:30 Economics of effective testing. 40:47 Galton board visualisation. Heroic normal distribution :) 42:40 Genetic vs societal differences. 44:17 Gender differences are largest in Scandinavia. 44:50 Pareto distribution. Simulation of a trading game. 47:00 Next lecture. Why productivity is not normaly distributed ? 48:30 Zero is a qualitatively different number. 50:24 Simulation again. 52:13 Is Pareto distribution a consequence of production being measured and social ? 53:39 Reinforcing feedback loop. 54:03 Example of the feedback: loosing a job. 55:34 Is problem inside or outside you ? 58:16 Social proof. People don't want to get in trouble for their decisions. 1:01:35 Income inequality. 1:02:50 Computers are intelligence and conscientiousness multipliers. 1:03:32 Silicon Valley. 1:04:48 Predictors of real life success. IQ. 1:05:54 Best cure against decreasing IQ - physical exercise, both aerobic and anaerobic. 1:06:47 Industriousness. Micro habits. Goals. 1:10:24 Where to look for worthwhile things ? 1:11:55 People don't want to specify conditions of failure. 1:12:57 Schedule. Make it so it's not a prison. Ratio of responsibility vs reward. 1:16:40 Worth of time. 1:18:07 Negotiation - don't walk away resentful and angry, walk away thrilled. 1:21:01 People who whine about being alive are dangerous to themselves and other people. 1:21:29 Social networking. 1:22:41 Who's a friend ? a) you can tell them bad news; b) you can tell them good news. 1:25:23 Skills. 1:25:44 Talking to someone who is supervising you. Don't be a problem to people who give you money. 1:26:42 Should you take an opportunity ? Take it if you can learn something that's applicable to other opportunities. 1:27:57 Wealth is something you have when all your money is taken away.

This is one of my favorite lectures. Having you online is like having a decent parent after having tried to grow up without any. Thank you!!

This lesson was definitely worth 75 bucks of my time.

My heart smiles whenever I see a new video from Dr. Peterson. RU-vid time well spent!

The only man I can think of who is (or should be) the greatest inspiration for himself. I hope you reflect on your own beautiful thoughts sir

I scroll my recommended feed and I think RU-vid has gone down the drain. Then I watch Jordans lectures, and now I’m grateful RU-vid is still around

I’m convinced this is the single most valuable video on RU-vid

29:00 gets interesting. Watch it again People want to be invisible and want to not fail 34:00 people don’t want to be happy. They want to not be unhappy (anxious or in pain) 53:30 depressive spiral triggered by being fired 59:00 i don’t want the best for the company I want to make a decision Thant don’t get me into trouble 1:04:00 what you can do to be successful 💙 1:07:30 sources of motivation according to personalities

Jordan sounds like he just finished cleaning his room

Every time I watch this guy it makes me feel good and motivated. How is he getting hatred from people?

- People don't want to be happy, they want to be not in pain - People want to remain in the herd, outside becomes bait for predators - Price's Law - The square root of the number of people operating in a productive domain produces half the output (follows Pareto distribution) - Income is naturally a positive feedback loop (Matthew Principle) - Match the career you pursue to your temperament, rather than trying to adjust the latter. To be successful - IQ - aerobic and anaerobic - Conscientiousness (orderliness + industriousness) - Create goals that you actually want and a place you want to stay away from. Who are you trying to be? - Specify conditions for failure - Family, friends, educational, time outside work - Micro-processes - Schedule - negotiate with yourself (you are an employee and a boss) - Stop wasting time - Leaving a conversation resentful means you still had something to say - Surround yourself with people you want to be - maintain relationships - Learn skills - public speaking, coding - Every time you are offered an opportunity to learn take it

You hit the nail when you said, 'People want to be invisible and left alone.'

"Develop your skills...because wealth constitutes what you have when they take all your money away." Wow! Stunningly profound. This is one of truest statements you will ever hear in your life. There are a billion places on the internet which will give you information, some of it true, but much of it false or useless. Listening to Jordan Peterson is one of the infinitesimally few places you can gain useful and executable knowledge and wisdom. And it costs you nothing more than your time and attention.

I think likes on RU-vid comments might be pareto-distributed.

Out of breath from sorting everything.

The thing i really appreciate about this man as an educator is that he’s the only one I’ve ever seen to not just teach from a PowerPoint or whatever is going to be exactly on an exam. He engages the students, trying to teach them actual stuff that is going to be useful not just in the course but in their careers and in life.

I've found I've picked up these strange hand gestures when talking to people. Lol! What a genuine treasure Dr. Peterson is.

Just when I think my weekend can't get any better... Cheers Doc!

This lecture series is absolutely addictive... Guess the elevator was out again before he got to class.

Just finished cleaning my room, now to watch Peterson videos!

That is one of the best and most life-changing lectures I have ever heard.

This is definitely in the top 5 for his best lectures.

These lectures have changed my life...

1:26:20 - "Don't be a problem for the people who want to give you money".

The last 40 minutes of this video are absolutely mind blowing! Even when I thought his lectures cannot get any better! Thank you Dr. Peterson for sharing your knowledge with us.

This one is not only a psychological course, it's of tremendous value in the area of entrepreneurship.

Did he just finish a marathon?

This man that has my undivided attention. I respect him

I got emotional at the end. Thank you Dr. Peterson

I've watched as much of his content as I've been able to and read his first book. His authenticity is undeniable. We're lucky to be alive in a time where a man with such impeccable articulation of life's most difficult scenarios and ALSO an antidote to self destruction is available for free. I appreciate you Dr. Peterson. From my heart, Thank You.

That one girl is ALWAYS late. Needs a good sorting

Anyone else notice "roughly speaking" slipping into their own everyday speech? Like, my wife will ask me to do something (like clean our room), and I'll say "in a minute... roughly speaking."

One of the best videos yet. Providing a tremendous amount practical advice everyone can use (to an even greater degree than normal). Thanks Dr. Peterson

Listening to that last section made me whip out my notebook real fast. I started setting up a list of goals and I realized just how many different sections there have to be to encompass a balanced set of aims. So far I've got goals for my career, job, social life, hobbies, skills new and old, spiritual attainment, finance, and I'm just beginning. Truly not enough hours in the day to afford to waste any time. - from 1/1/2023

Amazing. This is one of his best and most practical lectures I've seen to date. Everything he is preaching is completely true as I've applied them in my life and seen the results! Well done...

It is really surprising how enjoyable a lecture can be.

WOW!!!! Jordan Peterson's lectures are ALWAYS SO Fascinating, and full of interesting information, and concepts! I'm almost exhausted from trying to listen closely, and follow the flow of ideas! I feel like a Hockey Goalie! I don't dare take my mind off of the puck!.... Whew!!! .....

I am so thankful for this talks. Its like listening to someone similar to a wise grandfather that tells you the rules of the game of life and motivates you to move. I am actually sorted myself out and restarted my education thanks to this talks to get a better life. Thank you Jordan.

Jordan B Peterson is truly one dominant lobster 🦞 Edit: Roughly speaking!

Dr. Peterson, can u tell the story of what you experienced right before this lecture? I mean you're breathless.

This just gives such a sense of direction that simply isn't given anywhere else (that I know of). So valuable to watch the full lecture instead of little "Jordan Peterson Inspiration | This Will Change Your Life | Make A Damn Schedule | Jordan B. Peterson" type videos

I feel like you’ve been explaining the choice’s for joy (in a biblical way) , where were you when I needed you, to know thy self is a great start for the journey! Working on the understanding of myself is completely a very complex puzzle! Thank you for sharing your gift, you are a blessing for humanity!

To all Jordan fans - Instead of doing the same lame jokes over and over and over again... ("Hey buckos", "I cleaned my room and slayed a dragon", "brb have to rescue dad from underworld") ...why don't you post notes from the lectures, share your experience (ACTUAL experiences) of executing on the things Jordan talks about, post questions of challenges you face when trying to use the thing he talks about in your life, or maybe just post some damn time stamps? The comment section here is 100x better than 99% of comment sections on RU-vid, at least it used to be, but I guess now that his audience is growing at such a staggering pace it's inevitable that the majority of people watching are just simply going to be lazy. In any case, if you guys actually watch this because you are trying to make yourselves and the world better, then these ridiculous comments of trying to spin old jokes in new ways all the time are pretty damn useless. Do something useless with your time if you're going to make a fucking post. /End rant.

Engineer: "Here's the problem and here is the solution" Google: "Get the fuck out of here"

For those wondering about the heavy breathing, he could be suffering from an anxiety attack. He has said that he suffers from anxiety. I do too, as well as my sister, and we both start breathing like that when we get an anxiety attack sometimes. It's a fairly common symptom if you look it up. Also, constant death threats probably don't help.

This man is a bloody genius

What a deep and insightful lecture. Thank you prof. Peterson!!!

Peterson said the first thing towards which I have a strong critique. He argued, essentially, that there isn't much you can do to provide someone with more information than if you provide them a computer. I would argue that giving someone teachers would radically alter their access to information because of specializations. It is well known the effect a good teacher can have, it accelerates and improves learning more than anything else. Someone who goes to a good university is NOT operating on the same informational landscape as someone scavenging the internet. That is my contribution.

One of my favorite talks of his. Rare form here. Thank you JBP - you're a life saver.

I have worked under 4 different supervisors and Peterson is absolutely correct in that bad supervisors can cause companies to fail. To me it's a lack of common sense and math.

I plan to study economics and I found this video particularly​ interesting.

Community colleges in USA have open admission and a very high dropout rate. Students socially passed in high school enter, many can read only at the 8th grade level and math at the 4th to 6th grade level. I know bec I tested them. This was in a state with a large minority population and minority organizations got many state legislators elected and then put pressure on the public schools to socially pass students. It began with "why arent our children graduating in the same numbers as whites". It put legislative and political pressure on the school systems to have two h.s. graduation certificates one called general and the other called endorsed...they had to find terms for the two that sounded the least pejorative they could find. Community colleges then were required fo admit anyone with either diploma to enter them. So that accounted for the very low completion rate of minority students. This of course was not good for the minorities....in effect lying to them saying yes you are ready for college level work then they couldnt read the texts. Of course those students were frustrated, could not understand why they couldnt get good grades and it caused a drop in self esteem.....it wasted taxes at the state and federal levels bec they almost all got financial aid...so resources were used up to no good effect for them. Colleges were and are happy to have them bec as long as they make it to the cut off funding date, the college gets all that extra revenue. I HATED seeing only one Black student graduating in a class of ADN associate degree nursing students year after year when I worked at a community college, but the bigger societal question was...do we want registered nurses authorized to administer drugs who cannot read and write and esp cannot do math at even a 12th grade LEVEL? Not even minorities want that to happen. Competency is competency.....if a person cannot,perform the job they cant.

there are few things in life that please me more than watching and/or listening to someone who is at the top of there game. i'm sure the good Dr could explain why that is so, why we enjoy the sight and sounds of success and brilliance.

Imagine going down in Internet history as having come in late for a Jordan Peterson class. As of today, 480,000 views and counting.

*Insert out of context JBP quote because upvotes are my only source of validation*

This is one of the best lecture and advise, just wow! I wish I was in university days applying this knowledge

These lectures are incredible, man. Thank you so much for letting us sit in this classroom with everybody.

Oh dear ..... I am gonna have to watch this one several times....so much to absorb in each and every sentence: the work talk, the happiness talk, and.....zebras.

I predict some cleaning of rooms. Roughly speaking.

What an enlightening and motivational video! Motivational speakers are put to shame

This man is the literal embodiment of the good father

One phenomenon. Two phenomena. Just like one criterion, two criteria. Both derived from Greek second declension neuter nouns. I can't believe he's gotten this far without someone correcting him.

when you know better than the students in the room that he TOTALLY has told the zebra story before. #fanboy.

Wow! His story about selling his performance tests gives real insight into his bleak-but undeniably reasonable-outlook on the risks of being a creative.

Looking sharp Doctor.

Why is it the people who are already on the right track, or at least, trying to be, are listening to this priceless advice, while people who need it the most, and we all know someone like that, couldn't care less?

This lecture seems absolutely captivating compared to his other ones.

The schedule thing can be seen as less constricted too if you don't plan everything to a T. I only schedule the times I exercise and my work schedule, which I put on a separate calendar to remind myself of how I work, but the rest I schedule how I see fit. So that varies on how badly I think I gotta do laundry or sweep my floor. For things like doing the dishes, that's a daily thing cuz when you live in a small space, you gotta make sure you keep the chaos at bay, because it grows very quickly.

For my own reference- This is the best lecture in the whole playlist. 7:44 Binomial Effect size display 18:56 The Myer-Briggs personality test has no predictive utility with regards to performance prediction. 27:35 27:49 "They're not gonna buy anything unless they are on fire & you're selling water." 35:52 Price's law (Pareto principle), Square root law. 36:09 IQ (intelligence) is normally distributed. Same for Conscientiousness. 36:19 But productivity & also creative output are distributed on the Pareto distribution. Most of the activity/production happens at the extremes of the normal dist curve. 47:54 36:40 ***** 38:11 ******* 52:14 53:35 ******** 57:09 ****************** 58:39 Social proof is like the end all be all of sales. (Social proof is like outsourcing the analysis of a thing to the market itself)******** 1:02:49 Computational devices are an intelligence & conscientiousness multiplier (leverage) ********* 1:02:57 1:03:33 Effectiveness of a place like Silicon Valley. 1:04:59 All Predictors of Performance 1:07:18 The future authoring program does more of a situational analysis than a psychological analysis. 1:15:53 "It's like you're a bad employee and a worse boss". 1:22:26 Power through social capital. 1:26:09 Don't be a problem to people who wanna give you money. 1:26:33 How to evaluate an opportunity. 1:27:46 Skills/competence as better than wealth. 1:27:57 Real Wealth is what you have left when someone takes all your money away. ******** In an economy, consumption tends towards more distribution but production tends towards more concentration. By nature, consumption is distributed but production is concentrated. That is why the natural course of a nascent industry/market is ultimately a monopoly. (But that is also not good for society) Changed my mind cause of this lecture, that it's better to bet on your strengths than your weaknesses. (cause everything as has to align properly for you to end up in the better portion of the Pareto distribution. Weaknesses are redressable only to a certain extent & won't place you in the top 1%, hence one shouldn't bet on them) ********

To those who have everything more will be given and to those who have nothing everything will be taken!! phenomenal visualization.

chased by dragons all the way across campus, and all they managed was too unsort his collar

I adore this man...

I’m amazed at how much of his lectures I recognized from studying myself and others. I love how well he articulates his idea and would love to exchange ideas with him one day

I think this and the previous video combine to make the best collective Peterson talks I've seen. And I've seen hundreds of hours believe me. I only wish I could have seen his closing remarks for the class. I felt it was a remarkable series with an anti-climatic fade out ending.

Thanks for putting that into perspective for me. I've always considered myself pretty bad at math, but now I realize that 73rd percentile isn't actually bad at all!

Jordan seems a little out of breath. Yet another interesting lecture. I'm addicted :)

1:11:30 to about 1:20:00 is great tactical advice for actually meeting goals. I often fall into that trap of vacillating between self tyranny and total self indulgence. Gotta negotiate and figure out a set of behaviors that I could actually do and find rewarding and enjoyable while I do them.

I really enjoyed the sharing of frustration about how our economic society is organised. Managing a small sales and services company catering to the needs of large corporations brings huge frustration potential, requires nearly inhuman patience, but can be incredibly rewarding. Thank you for your insights, they are really helpful in constantly adjusting and powering through!

Hey Mr. Peterson. I don't agree with you on everything but I think you always give out great content. Very educational! especially when you talk about archetypes, movie allegory and philosophy/religion. I hope your Patreon haters don't make you stop making content. Keep on keeping on, bro.

everything this guy says blows my mind

1:11:50 THESE COUPLE OF MINUTES ARE PURE GOLD & SPEAK DIRECTLY TO MY SOUL

50 min mark till the end of the video - It's extraordinary!

30:05 People's fundamental motivation. Wow. Just wow. Wisdom here folks.

This is one of the best in the class I feel.

Gosh what a brilliant lecture! I'm always fascinated when I learn things from Peterson!

Just want to take the 1000th comment to say thank you to Dr. Peterson for creating excellent content.

Man, the Zebra stripes and happiness is amazing

Probably the best video on RU-vid

This might be the most important video on all of RU-vid in terms of individual well-being and setting yourself up to optimal performance, while avoiding of suffering/pitfalls, in life. Watch it again, every time life throws you a curveball.

Fantastic explanation when questioning social-norms and biology. I preferred this much more over the “that’s the way it is” or “just be yourself” answers that my parents gave me.

Is this man never not teaching a class? Probably out of breath from sprinting from one class to another.

This is the advice I've been looking for.

Again fantastic lecture

I wish JP touched on matching your temperament to your career... was really hoping to elaborate on that concept. Anyone have any links to talks regarding this by him?

Thank you Dr. I am listening.

I was waiting for this year's lecture on the topic! Thank you Dr. Peterson

Firstly I want to say, I greatly appreciate you posting your lectures, love your books (12 rules and maps of meaning) and agree with - let's say 80%, in keeping with Pareto principles ;) - of what you say. I have considerable respect and this is mainly what motivates me to voice these opinions for consideration. But there are always one or two things. ;) My main problem here is that the ideas presented for recruitment are mainly useful at the micro (organisation) level because the resources are clearly limited. So some companies - might theoretically - recruit the best people. But then what of the others? Do we have a handful of successful monopolies and then let the rest go to the wall? Society currently functions by having everyone in work (or as many people as possible). Presumably things are going to get really bad at the bottom if all the 'best' people are working for all the 'best' companies (assuming it is individualistically determined and not - as I suspect - as much to do with structures and motivated roles within structures)? Organisational culture is surely a key player in this. Surely football teams - changes of manager - new structures and new levels of motivation and confidence demonstrate this kind of thing. Meanwhile many of the solutions you offer would bash confidence and likely achieve the opposite to your intention - or alternatively create a structure of such conscientious people that you lose all balance - and end up with the kind of hierarchy you talk of politically - where it becomes tyrannical due to lack of openness. Unless you aim to artificially address this too, but before long you're facing all the complexities of social group performance which may not correlate with individual performance - and indeed, there are a number of football teams that demonstrate this point too (the Dutch national team was filled with super stars at one point but they didn't play for each other at all - not even a little bit. Meanwhile there are some national teams that don't have many superstars but play a very solid game achieving results way above expectations that might be expected based on individual player skills and abilities alone). I also think there's a misunderstanding here about the use of Myers Briggs. This is often used in team building activities - not to hire and fire people based on their skills and merits which would be disastrous for moral and organisational trust. Instead, it's used to help people understand themselves and their colleagues and it's pretty good for that. It can help people understand their motivations, their strengths and their weaknesses. Certainly I've never seen better accounts of personalities than via Myers Briggs. Regarding Price's Law, interestingly, if 100 of 10,000 do 50% of the work, from a choice of 9,900 it seems reasonable you could build an organisation of 100 good people where 10 would do half the work. So the key determinant to output would appear to be structure and organisational culture rather than any inherent personality traits or IQ per se. I think you were on the right line with zebra's. Sometimes it seems to me you look at the individual then try to interpret the 'whole' through the individual and I just don't think that works out too well. With zebra's you understood, it is by fitting into the group that the zebra survives and in this way it's more the 'whole' that gives the individual meaning. It can not be looked at as an individual zebra - individually it doesn't work. I suspect the fact you seek to monetise this introduces its own bias (and I don't think you do this cynically - because I think you're a legitimate well intentioned person for what it's worth). But as you know from your own work on maps of meaning, 'meaning' and interests shape where and how we pay attention to things.