he’s one of the many actors who you have to remind yourself is british cuz he can pull off non-british accents so well and he gets casted in exclusively non-british roles (as far as i’m aware. haven’t seen black mirror yet, to be fair) 🤣🤣
I am so glad All Quiet is getting all the deserving mentions. That was my best film last year. I have only yet to watch Triangle of Sadness and Woman Talking
No wonder RRR is not nominated in more categories in BAFTA. In RRR all villains are British and they are cruel. British Jury won't like that. British are quite good at whitewashing Atrocities committed during colonial period.
Right?! I was like out of both supporting actresses in that movie, they really thought Jamie Lee Curtis was the better choice. I mean don’t get me wrong she was good but Stephanie Hsu was a lot better!
No wonder RRR is not nominated in more categories in BAFTA. In RRR all villains are British and they are cruel. British Jury won't like that. British people are quite good at whitewashing Atrocities committed during colonial period. No wonder they will select RRR.
Park Chan-wook over in Korea is screaming “HOW MANY MASTERPIECES DO I NEED TO MAKE BEFORE I GET RECOGNITION?!!!” Also, the Brit’s didn’t like RRR because of the whole, “Fuck the British empire” message. 😂 I also wouldn’t underestimate Matilda the Musical if I were you. It’s one of the biggest British musicals of all time and also did a pretty good job adapting it.
@@mistybluemoon3254 Oldboy is the movie he’s most known for and arguably one of the most influential movies of the 2000’s. A LOT of action movies heavily borrowed from his style. I think that Thirst is another of his underrated masterpieces.
I think "Decisions to Leave" has some flaws, the most prominent being that it's difficult to grasp the plot and it's neither a suspenseful thriller, nor a romantic love story or a surprising mystery. editing and cinematography were superbly executed but made the whole movie feel very artificial. "All Quiet on the Western Front" is the much more accessible movie, delivers in the technical aspects aswell and, of that I'm pretty sure, will win best International Feature Film.
Well, it has a higher metascore than the other strong candidates for best picture, and features the best performance female/male/supporting/lead of 2022. Tremendous film, timely, well crafted. I hope that awards bodies will see that.
BAFTAS hate Spielberg for some reason... So the Fabelmans snub makes sense... AVATAR 1 suffered the similar fate during its BAFTA run back in 2009 And ofc the British people hate RRR🙃 (it's a surprise that it made the foreign film shortlist) Also last year the BAFTAS were almost redundant..... So who knows.... I don't think Fabelmans and Avatar are going home empty handed.... And as for RRR... Well, every single nom is going to be a celebration
@@Lanosrepbut it has been a trend in recent yrs that the Baftas are snubbing him left and right.Why they even snubbed him for Lincoln.... And come on man Fabelmans is really his best film in years.... He deserves to win
Really excited that all quiet got those acting mentions, I really hope they get nominated cause those were 2 of the best performances this year. Btw they longlisted A LOT of their EE Rising Star award nominees/winners: Harris Dickinson, Lashana Lynch, Ben Whishaw, Daniel Kaluuya, Micheal Ward, Barry Keoghan, Eddie Redmayne, Carey Mulligan, Michelle Williams. All of them have been nominated or won that award.
For everyone saying Fabelmans or Woman talking not being released in the UK, this is always the case. As a film lover from the UK, its frustrating to always get to see these films until after the Oscars have happened. However at the BFI film festival, these films were shown so voters will have seen it. So its not a factor for nominations. You have to remember that pop culture in UK is very different to the US. For example everyone is talking about Matilda here right now. It's been top 3 in the UK box office for the last 3 weeks and (as a teacher) we are talking about it in school. I even saw it in the West End this year. Films like Fabelmans, women talking, Tar aren't really popular with the mainstream here. Meanwhile Banshees did big numbers at the UK box office. (Massive fan of Oscar expert and Brother Bro! Keep up the great work!)
I’m in the UK too and it’s nice to see someone else frustrated waiting for the Oscar films. All the hype builds in the USA a few months or so before, and then we get them after the majority have seen it. And then we often get super limited releases so when they all come out practically back-to-back in January/February you gotta rush to see it as quickly as possible!
@@pb.j.1753 Yh of course, but trust me. This happens every year. They will be limited release and no one will watch them outside of people like me who are the minority here sadly
I wouldn't solely put too much on the Box Office. Bare in mind, The Whale is officially released next month in the UK and that still made the cut. I think whatever made it to the Film Festival in the UK last year is eligible.
No wonder RRR is not nominated in more categories in BAFTA. In RRR all villains are British and they are cruel. British Jury won't like that. British are quite good at whitewashing Atrocities committed during colonial period. They are oblivious to merit of RRR.
I was not quiet when All Quiet on the Western Front got all these mentions. I've been saying that it was coming strong for a while and here we are. The lack of The Fablemans mentions doesn't surprise me when it comes to the actors; however, Spielberg not getting a Director nomination does surprise me considering he was once the heavy frontrunner. I didn't understand the lack of mentions for Avatar in Cinematography and Director. Wasn't it something groundbreaking?! Stephanie Hsu being left out hurts.
Aftersun casting: yes, there’s a feature in today’s Guardian about the art of street casting, and the main person featured, who discovered Frankie Corio, also cast the unknowns in Fish Tank, Rocks, American Honey...
All Quiet and Triangle of Sadness will sneak up to the Best Picture lineup come the Oscars noms. It's not boding well for Babylon, Women Talking, RRR, and Glass Onion (even the Fabelmans in the technical categories). Hoping Aftersun and Decision to Leave gets more hype though.
Off topic, but a little note from a Croatian person that Burić (last name of Zlatko Buric) is pronounced like "Burich", not "Burik" :) btw. love your channel, I enjoy listening to your reasoning behind every choice and admire your award show knowledge
I think, especially regarding Fablemans, The Irishman honestly was really a breaking point. I think after the season people realised that this was a film that in retrospect had clogged up a tonne of nominations despite the fact that really VERY few people loved the film and that in hindsight name power had propelled it to an initial set of assumptions that just would never have happened had the name Scorsese not been anywhere near it. I think since then it's been tougher to simply assume the MASSIVE names are going to just automatically make these lists. Plus Fablemans has the issue of 'prestige films about films' fatigue that has also plagued Babylon and is extremely strong outside the US where Hollywood's constant self-mythologising just comes across as annoying.
My one issue with the film is it made the war scenes look exciting and borderline “fun” (I know there is real debate about the possibility of making an anti-war film, but Dunkirk did a better job of making war more terrifying than exciting than All Quiet did). Considering that is kind of the opposite of the point of the book/movie, that’s pretty bad to me.
@@thrawncaedusl717 I don't really know how anyone could look at those battle scenes and think war looked fun. I honestly haven't been more horrified by the carnage of war in a film since "Come and See," and I think Berger effectively melded Klimov's horrors with what Mendes did in "1917." Just seeing the effect war has on Felix Kammerer's Paul, how his very soul is being leached out of him with every grueling minute of combat . . . that's horrifying stuff and I think Berger outdid Spielberg in "Saving Private Ryan" in that respect.
All Quiet is my fav movie of 2022 so this was a GIFT for me. But seriously Im keeping all my joints crossed for Margot Robbie to squeeze into Best Actress even if last year nobody from BAFTA got in. Also PLEASE ACADEMY put Babylon in Best Picture the only excuse I´ll accept is if RRR AND All Quiet get in instead
to answer your question, Top Gun is going to sneak in and take Adapted Screenplay from Women Talking and then after it wings PGA win Best Picture. Women Talking i knew wouldn't do well in this season, and it is FIGHTING to grab that 10th BP slot. 1. Top Gun 2. EEAAO 3 Banshees 4 Fabelmans 5 TAR 6 Elvis 7 Avatar 8 Babylon 9 All Quiet you mean to tell me its going to win adapted screenplay when if Buckley misses SAG shes 100 guaranteed out of the race? Everyone is so focused on the Original Screenplay heavy hitters yall are completely ignoring and allowing Top Gun to simmer but stay under the radar until the right moment and boom Best Pic. Plus Top Gun probably can get director if it gets DGA, and Cruise is getting into Best Actor. (No chance all nominees are first time nominees) and with wins for cinematography, sound, editing. Top Gun is here to win
along with everything everywhere, top gun maverick is the most acclaimed by critics and audiences of the year, people are brushing it over because its a blockbuster. But its one of the best of its kind that we have seen
No wonder RRR is not nominated in more categories in BAFTA. In RRR all villains are British and they are cruel. British Jury won't like that. British people are quite good at whitewashing Atrocities committed during colonial period.
g*ddamnit, i hate that you might be right 🤬🤬 top gun’s great, but everything everywhere is a modern day classic that will (hopefully) be remembered even more fondly in the years to come. i’m still holding onto hope that it’ll get a screenplay and supporting actor combo like several films have done in the past few years, or if banshees takes screenplay, it could get a director/acting combo (again, if that sonuvabitch mcdonaugh doesn’t take it either (jk banshees was also great)), and it may even win all 3 plus best picture on it’s best day. there’s also still a chance for a best actress win and nominations in a few below the line categories to boost eeaao’s chances. to play devil’s advocate though, top gun could get away with a screenplay and editing win, like crash in 2006, which also beat out brokeback, which won screenplay *and* director, but i’m still holding onto hope for everything everywhere because it’s still in the race and i’m blinded by passion (so you don’t have to remind me in the replies, btw lol)
Also if Women Talking Babylon, and Glass onion, fall so After Sun, Triangle Sadness, and All Quite can make it in for Best Picture, in my opinion is a fair trade, because that would in my opinion make this best picture line up up there with like 1995, 1976, and 1977, and in terms of a iconic perfect best picture line up.
I'd be surprised if Aftersun gets a bunch of Oscar nom, more than 5 for my surprise. It's definetely a fantastic movie and it's one of my favorite movies of the year but given a lot of strong Oscar buzz from a lot of movies particulary EEAAO, Fabelmans and Banshees, it made Aftersun seemed like an overlooked Oscar contender
@@Bjork4s true, but I DO feel like its gaining momentum... which in the lead up to noms is really important, it means people are watching it... as of today, no I dont expect it gets much (MAYBE Paul Mescal) but if films like Fablemans keep dropping, perhaps Aftersun can rise!
@@lilchaos4792 to win? Probably not, but I thinks its got a chance at getting noms in those categories... we've seen the screenplay get in some places, we've seen it get actor in some places as well
I feel so vindicated that people are finally taking All Quiet seriously as I've been on its train since September. It takes one look at its IMDb -- not only its rating but more importantly, its number of ratings -- to conclude something everyone is sleeping on: people actually SAW this movie. It has 100k ratings on IMDb (which in covid times is insane for any non-franchise movie, let alone a FOREIGN, subtitles film), maintaining an almost 8/10. People saw this movie and people love this movie. I'm not saying there is no way it misses the 10 on Oscar morning, but it shouldn't and I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't.
The question with these longlists is always how much of it shows strength with the voters who overlap with AMPAS, and given that most of the longlists are smaller than they were in years past, it probably means we'll see more nominations at the Oscars that didn't show up here. Especially with Best Picture (we're talking about a longlist of 10 films, are we really expecting the Oscar Best Picture list to be an exact match? That seems highly unlikely...)... I do think Steven Spielberg will prevail at the Oscars, given how celebrated he is in Hollywood (though, yeah, he's probably not going to win now...)
Nah I don’t think it’s over for Spielberg, lets be real, BAFTAs do their own thing and have on multiple occasions had people win who didn’t even get nominated for Oscar’s. Take last year, Jessica won Oscar, didn’t even get nominated for bafta. Sure not making longlist is worse but like lets be real, it’s still shows how it’s becoming less reliable.
Well, mostly they match. Of course it won't be 100% the same, but BAFTA are the most accurate predictors since the British Academy invited 900 members this year. A lot AMPAS members.
@@aqualcunopiaceclassico3201 true, but golden globes and critics nominated both Spielberg for Director and John Williams for Score, and Batman made shortlist for score and didn’t for Oscar’s so it seems a bit different in some more major categories this year. It’s one thing to be nominated in one award and not in another, it’s completely different to be nominated in 2 major awards and not even make longlist for one, seems a bit weird, just like Batman not making oscar longlist.
@@AndrewUdal Well, it is not going to be a 100% overlap, but usually it is pretty good, especially tech categories. The golden globes are not that good predictors. They couldn't even get Minari a single acting nomination, nor a director one.
Didn't they start doing like separate committees for categories recently? That could be why so many movies show up randomly, including "The Fabelmans."
I feel so justified in my "All Quiet and Triangle of Sadness are better contenders than Babylon, Pinocchio, Women Talking, and Glass Onion, and Triangle is above Avatar on ballots." take that I've had since like late November.
THIS many snubs is unreal. what I’ve gotta say is that with last years lineup and the fact that none of the actresses got into BAFTA, how accurate can the BAFTAs be now?
Unlike GG and CC, there’s overlap between BAFTA members and Academy members, so… probably pretty accurate. I’m expecting some curveballs at the Oscars now!
@@monicamerle1417 Actually they are still pretty accurate. Just acting nominations have gone a little bit off the trail due to juries. But they are still the best predictors, especially the longlists. And you have to consider two more factors: first, bafta has invited more members from US and AMPAS; second, this year the longlists were in January and not early december, with more time to catch up on stuff, I think they are even more accurate.
Yo. I'm not sure Fabelmans has even come out in the UK. Can't find any grosses for it on BoxOfficeMojo at least. Obviously it was eligible, but I wonder if anyone over there has seen it?
It doesn’t need to. Screeners have been out for a while. Plus, there’s overlap between BAFTA and Academy members, so I bet they have seen it. That’s not a good sign. 😳
It has NOT been widely released. There may have been a showing on 23/11/2022, on the day it was reportedly released in North America. The opening date in England, Scotland, Ireland and Wales according to BBFC is 27/01/2023. Tickets are for sale on line right now.
PB. J. It is relevant here. Literally no one in the UK seems to have seen it. Maybe a few voters (if any), but certainly not the entire nominations body of BAFTA. The Fabelmans has won 17 awards and is nominated for 153 awards already this season (certainly not in the UK), so an entire omission from this prestigious awards body makes absolutely no sense either. Logistically and logically there would be no reason for The Fabelmans to simply cede nomination positions to many less-heralded films.
@@pb.j.1753 Sure, if "snooze" means thoughtful, nuanced, and meaningful... I definitely hope it makes it in screenplay and actor. Not everything has to be flashy.
@@JRRLewis like i require every film to be flashy 🙄 I can like slower and nuanced films without liking Living. Admittedly, it’s been a full 12 months since I have seen it but that’s the impression I was left with. A snooze.
Avatar, Women Talking and The Fabelmans have underperformed in the longlist. Olivia Colman missing is very SHOCKING but very happy to see Michael Ward on the list. Best Actress: Blanchett, Davis, Deadwyler, Thompson, Williams and Yeoh (Very happy for Ackie but not sold on her making the final nomination; same with De Armas. Emma Thompson will get nominated and possibly Leslie Manville. Something is telling me that Michelle Williams could be vulnerable and might NOT make the finals but as of now, these are my 6 predictions for Best Actress) Best Actor: Butler, Farrell, Kaluuya, Kammerer, Mescal and Nighy (I have a feeling Cruise & Fraser won't make the final nominations. With Western Front leading the longlist, I can really see Kammerer making the final and Kaluuya being the only MOC, he can make the final nominations too) Supporting Actress: Bassett, Chau, Condon, Curtis, De Leon & Wood (I'm NOT too sure about Monae & Mulligan getting in. I would love to see Lynch getting in but don't think it will happen neither will Thompson) Supporting Actor: Gleeson, Keoghan, Quan, Schuch, Ward and Wishaw (I think this will be the 6 that will make the final nominations)
Uh, Fabelmans made it to the shortlist for Best Picture so that's not a reason. After all, BAFTA voters are usually sent screener link for movies like that to watch in order to make it to the shortlist if they're good
For Best Animated Feature, I vote for Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio or Puss In Boots The Last Wish or Marcel to win it. Three of my favourite animated movies of the year, made it to my top 20 best list of 2022 movies
No wonder RRR is not nominated in more categories in BAFTA. In RRR all villains are British and they are cruel. British Jury won't like that. British are quite good at whitewashing Atrocities committed during colonial period. British people are oblivious to any merit of RRR.
I’m sadly losing faith in Women Talking. I thought it’d have an awards season trajectory similar to Little Women, but BAFTA kinda messed that up today. If it disappoints at SAG I’m gonna have to remove it
