2023 Bowman Draft Baseball - Buyer's Guide! Investment Info & Case Break Simulations

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WATCH BEFORE YOU BREAK!!!
Make more informed decisions when buying into breaks and buying sports cards overall. I will break it all down for you here.
Here's what you get from my videos:
Product Info
Aesthetic review
Hit breakdown
The top dollar amount you should spend on a team by case cost and distribution of Pull Types
Checklist strength metric, created by me to help determine which teams may provide the best ROI breakdowns
Total product strength score between 0-5
Master checklist summary
Cards types and quantities
Print runs for all teams
Number of cards with each print run
Number of cards with each team
Case break simulation of 20 cases
One case results of cards pulled by team, type, and print run
Twenty case results by team, type, and print run
Overall suggestion
By scraping and aggregating data from sports-reference.com and google, I have developed quantitative values representing the STRENGTH of a checklist for each team.This means that the top team in each category has cards with players representing the most popular and talented players. One major factor in this score is the number of searches for a player specifically regarding sports cards and memorabilia.
Popularity is equal to online search trends in specific categories during a specific time frame
200x Case Breaks simulated with an algorithm I built. Analysis of the product What cards are pulled by team and print run for one case and then for 200 cases. Use this to inform your purchases, but do not expect me to be correct 100% of the time. I take no responsibility for you not getting hits in a break you buy into.

Опубликовано:

21 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 29

@kjmontalv1 6 месяцев назад

Great job bro. The hobby needs break downs like this

@sportscardanalysis 6 месяцев назад

Thank you!

@krishdasgupta7313 5 месяцев назад

Do you have a web site to look at this stuff? Well done

@Robert_Janes 10 месяцев назад

That was a phenomenal analysis!

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Thank you!

@jdssportscards 7 месяцев назад

Dude we need to chat. What’s the best way to get in touch with you?

@DfromDANDE 10 месяцев назад

Super breakdown, well done man. Loved that.

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Thank you! Any other metrics interest you? I can always add to it.

@Falker_Sports_Cards 10 месяцев назад

This is an awesome assumed value breakdown. Love it! I think the problem some people can get into with this is that there are definitely some shorter printed base autos of guys along with in previous years guys who didn't have any signed cards of a specific color or of any color (only had base autos). I would assume the same to be true this year as well but time will tell when more product is opened and what hits the open market (or doesn't in this case). What we need from Topps is an actual breakdown of what those shorter printed base subjects are and who doesn't have color autos. That would be a good thing IMO for them to release that info along with checklists. For example, if I remember correctly in 2022 Draft, Daulton Rushing for the Dodgers only had base autos and a b/w raywave auto (only found in Lite boxes). No one knew this until analysis was done on resale of his cards from different marketplaces. So for the avg consumer buying into breaks trying to get his auto at release not knowing that info until it's noticed later there are zero color autos of the guy, they could be mislead by Topps and waste a lot of money on what was assumed to be ROI they would get. So while this is a great baseline if all was equal, I just don't think in reality it is. That said though, bravo on the work, this is absolutely incredible stuff! Certainly not taking ANYTHING away from what you've done here, this is amazing! Just wanted to create the convo around that stipulation.

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Hey man, great feedback and well thought out. I appreciate that. I agree that it would be ideal for Topps to release more information on the cards they are including in the product. I can only do analysis on the information I have, and I feel that it is better to be armed with SOME information rather than NO information. Sure there will be an unknown margin of error, but unless I get an inside contact at Fanatics, I don't think I will have the means to account for that error. My biggest goal for this channel is to help people understand how products differ in strength and potential ROI, particularly with the checklists. Are you buying a product that has only a few top players? Panini used to get me all the time with this and I can't tell you how many low value autos I own from them. At the very least, these videos should help people understand that. If the baseline ROI metrics aren't valuable to you, I do hope that other aspects of my videos are. Theres a lot there. Thanks again for the feedback and let me know if you'd like to see something new or different in my analysis.

@Falker_Sports_Cards 10 месяцев назад

@@sportscardanalysis Oh, I think the entire video is exceptionally valuable, and I plan to use your analysis moving forward for other future product releases as well. What I had mentioned is something no one can really know until after the fact in a reactive world unfortunately and by that time it's too late if one has already paid into assumptions based off checklist. It's not something anyone can know and we can only assume all is equal until we find out it's not. And to be fair, its a small sample of subjects in bowman this typically even applies to anyway. So I appreciate the proactive nature of these videos to help us all out! New sub here.

@ZiggyNo 10 месяцев назад

GREAT video. 1st time sub. I will have to check out your channel. Are you breaking down Prizm NFL? Thank you

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Yes absolutely! Panini is terrible with getting checklists out early, so as soon as it drops, I’ll be analyzing it

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Oh yeah, also, thanks so much for the sub!!

@ZiggyNo 10 месяцев назад

@@sportscardanalysis did you ever use groupbreakchecklist? I’m completely focusing on buying into breaks for 2024. I’m launching a channel in 2024 to follow my breaks mail days and sales strategies. Your content is AWESOME 🤩

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Awesome! I love buying into breaks and even more I love breaking cards myself. I’ve use groupbreakchecklist, but I wanted more, so I created my channel. I’ll be sure to follow you to see your hits and mail days

@ZiggyNo 10 месяцев назад

@@sportscardanalysis I’d like you to connect with Breakcomp I think you could offer a collaboration that provides real time break PYT prices with your probabilities

@josephc5493 10 месяцев назад

Great video. What site are you showing? Is this something you make for yourself or is this public?

@sportscardanalysis 10 месяцев назад

Thank you! I make this document each time I do a video. It’s not posted anywhere, but I am looking into creating a website for it. I’ll update folks if/when I do

@dadsellsstuff5611 10 месяцев назад

Just watched and subscribed. Fantastic stuff with an obvious ton of work and insight. I agree with the poster above that access to your sheet would be very valuable. I’d even support with a donation for it!