Your giving Kansas too much credit, they are limping in and I wouldn't be surprised if Self doesn't sit everyone and concede to try to get healthy. In any case, they are not beating Houston. You are giving UCF way, way, way too much credit. They aren't beating BYU and certainly not Tech.
Cincy is still in the picture. If they win 3 which is doable figuring Kansas will be without their 2 best players and they already barely lost to Baylor then they will be on the bubble. If they can win 4 games they are 100% in but that is will be hard winning 4 in 4 days but if anyone can do it Cincy can because of their defense.
I respect you putting upsets in your Big 12 predictions, but Kansas I don’t think will win I’m predicting Baylor or Texas Tech to pull out as big 12 champs. I’m with you with Houston losing.