We’re at the halfway stage of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. While we won’t know the verdict of the people till June 4, many “political experts” mostly from the anti-Modi tribe have declared that the NDA is in trouble. That the 2024 Lok Sabha election will be a near repeat of the 2004 Lok Sabha election. In that election, the Atal Bihari Vajpayee-led NDA was widely tipped to win comfortably. The NDA was riding on the “India Shining” slogan and a fractured Opposition was not expected to pose a challenge. But in the end, the NDA lost.
The “political experts” say they’re confident because there are “2004-like factors” at play in 2024. First, a lower voter turnout than in 2019. This they say was also true of the 2004 election when fewer electors voted compared to 1999. Second, the existence of ground-level anti-incumbency despite the BJP having denied tickets to a fourth of its sitting MPs. And the absence of any one leader projected against PM Modi, which prevents the election from assuming the character of a presidential-style face-off.
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12 июн 2024
