When you say horses take a step up in class or step down in class... Where do you get that information from is it in the form if so where at... I'm lost on that one
Yeah it's on the form, the condition of the race is listed under racetype. G1 G2 G3 are highest class races for example. A horse like the 11 is coming out of an OC or optional claimer which is a much weaker and less "classy" field than this grade one race, so that would be a significant step up in class
I've seen graded stakes horses who drop in class and can't win and I've seen maiden winners win grade 1s.....nowadays 80% of the fields in graded stakes are pathetic and the fields are small because breeding has killed horse racing(hell they'll retire 2yr olds now for stud,it's sad)....class doesn't mean anything overwhelming majority of time..bet the horses you like or go off sire/jockey trainer combo and I promise those 3 will pay off more than class/times/speed figs every day of the week
Playing the 2 and 7 w/p ,,, looks like a lot of speed on to soften up National Treasure ,, also 2,7 exacta box 📦 and using both in multiple race exotics 😂
NT is only 1/4 @ 9Fs. Means he is vulnerable. Bright Future has tactical speed, is undefeated at trip/strip and his connections are on 🔥. Graveyard of Favorites claims another victim. Betting the #9 horse WP.
Alvarado already said go time with the 11 so expect a quick pace...FM never been 5 to 1, can stalk, 9 grade 1 winner has had issues but talented...plenty of ways to go on exotics...NT legitimate favorite...watch the weather...as far as we know these are all male horses...😅
Most likey scenario is #3 will run #9 into the ground and to fast for #10 who likes to aggressively stalk....#3 may hold but #5 is coming from right off the pace...ill go 5-11 w 5-6-7-11-12 exacta and 3-5 w 3-5 w 1-2-4 trifecta...you always have to fade a horse or so to have any chance of success,im fading the #9 HARD PASS
I think the one horse is a hell of a value at 20-1. I suspect he may go off slightly lower, but should still be 15- 1 at worst. He fires everytime, has one of those trainers that has a very small barn, so hes going to be taken care of and trained with a ton of attention, and lastly, HAS Tapit in his breeding. Not saying he should be a favorite, but id absolutely put him in my exotics at that price, and gamble he can handle the extra distance. P.S. Keep up the great work Mystery, love your videos bro.
I agree with you about the #1 horse's value. Never out of the money. If he gets some pace to run into, he could be dangerous. Good luck and thanks for supporting my channel!
Disarm is my guy... Well positioned to get a good ground saving trip; There should be a decent deal of early pace in front of him to set up his patented late kick. Loved his strong 2nd in last year's Travers over same surface. Going to play him across the board. Good luck!
