Analytics Model Predicts 2024 Records For All 16 SEC Teams 

Expecting 12-0 with Texas, even with their easy schedule, is ludicrous. I guarantee you they’ll lose to at least one team between Michigan, Oklahoma, Georgia and A&M

I'd prefer that we get zero hype. We tend to be allergic to it. WPS! Also that Florida schedule is insane. Someone at Florida pissed of the wrong person.

In the SEC, a projected easy schedule can be brutal by the time fall rolls around. It's happens not every year, but often.

Alabama currently has 2 of 16 in recruiting so think the whole 8-4 sky is falling a little to pre mature the same people who were saying Georgia was gonna 3Peat only to lose in their own State to Alabama in SEC Championship Game. DeBoer took a 4-8 Washington to 11 and 14 win Seasons. That’s with him building from the ground up let alone now inheriting a Dynasty.

They must still be on dial up internet in Mississippi.

Floridas schedule is just INSANE. I’m an Arkansas fan so I had no idea until a few days ago, but they’ll be lucky to get a single win towards the back half of the season. It feels like a vendetta against them tbh

Vegas has Missouri win total at 9.5, but heavy juice on the UNDER. Don't overlook the prices of some of these Over/Unders yall. For example, Notre Dame has a win total of 9.5, but the over is priced at -175. The Under is priced at +140. So that means if you bet $100 on the Over, even if you are right and win the bet, you only win $58 dollars even though you risked $100. Yet if you bet the Under and win, you win $140...nearly 3x the amount you would win if you bet the Over and won. Very rarely are these over/under win totals evenly priced.

The guy just glosses over UCF as one of two wins. Love it.

LSUs schedule sets up very well. Toughest 3 games ole miss, bama and ou are all in tiger stadium. Last time tide and rebs were in BR they left with a L. CBK has his team in a better place than the other 9 opponents.

We will revisit this in November

Any info on how good a predictor this model has been in years past (% accuracy)? It seems relatively reasonable, but curious how it has been previously. That would have been some nice summary data to lead with.

Florida’s schedule is based on last year’s results and is tough in name only. The talent on this Florida team is incredible so predicting only two wins is laughable.

I couldn't find the A&M Segment

I don't see UT losing to OU.

I’ve been telling people Florida will be lucky to win 3

It really works out for Ole miss trust me 🤷🏽‍♂️

Lifelong Rebel fan. Love what Kiffin has done. But...I just can't see 11-1 with GA and OK (home) and LSU in Tiger Stadium.

The national media would love for Texas abd Oklahoma to come in and have successful years in the SEC. But what is often overlooked is that both programs were middling around in the BIG 12 and it wasn't until the news that they were changing conferences that booster support and program excitement were rejuvinated. Both programs have already been able to recruit and build their teams based off of future revenue and donor support numbers. It should be no surprise they will be able to immediately compete.

Texas has the weakest schedule out of OU and Texas.

I will take the over on TN. I believe that defense will be much improved and offensive numbers will get back to those '22 numbers.

We lost 7 with a terrible OL. We exceeded expectations two of three years and then just couldn't overcome a terrible OL. Last year we had the worst P5 OL. The question is, do you think we will again with the transfers, how we recruited and the number of injuries there last year.

Florida and Oklahoma have rhe two hardest schedules in the country. LSU starts September with an easy schedule

Mike love you & the show, but this guy is smoking crack. MIZ will be 10-2 to 11-1. He's way to high on TEX, A&M, & OLE MISS. ALA is not going 8-4. This guy is huffing glue. OU has lost so much production including Gabriel. Ole Miss is all based on the transfer portal. You can't just throw an OLine together. Dudes a dud. Would love to see his predictions for 2023. I bet MIZ was 5-7. ARK was 10-2. ALA 9-3. LMAO

He said that Ole Miss host LSU at home, yet it literally showed on the screen they have LSU at LSU.

Things to know about Arkansas: •They lost only two games by more than one possession in both 2021 & 2022, and only 3 in 2023. They’ve been way more competitive than you seem to think. •If they go 3-9 that means Bobby Petrino has produced nothing for the offense, which isn’t going to happen

😮 totally agree..UF most likely going 2-10 or 3-9 at the best and then Sunbelt Billy is fired before Halloween 😮 the sooner that UF fires him the better his ending total win/lose record will be 😮

Do you really Texas is going to be better next year than they were this year? I don't think so. Oklahoma's offense is unknown, but their defense will definitely be better next year.

😮 we believe SCarolina going 4-8 gets Shame Beamer fired before Thanksgiving assuming he makes it pass Halloween 🎃 without getting send to the house.😮

Ole Miss plays LSU at Tiger Stadium in 2024.

The problem with Florida has been we have fired our last 2 coaches the year after they go to the SEC championship game, just bc its a rebuilding year. Secondly we fire coaches without a plan or candidate in place; which is how we landed Billy. We also have a Athletic director that could care less about our programs, he has hired one coach to date that has a winning record. Also I dont want to hear we dont have the talent excuse, we have been in the top 20 in talent composite every year.Lastly, if we fire Sunbelt billy just to go out and hire 4-8 Deion, i will take all of my gator gear to goodwill and find a new sec team, not georgia tho.

🐀☠️Hotty Toddy

I think Arkansas will be 3-0 going into the Auburn game. Then, they have 7 games in which they could easily lose (Auburn, Texas A&M, Tennessee, LSU, Ole Miss, Texas, Missouri). However, only two of those games are on the road. I think Arkansas goes either 2-5 or 3-4 in those seven games. That would put them at either 7-5 or 8-4. Not great, but miles better than 3-9.

Only team I came to listen to (auburn) you didn’t even do. How you do vandy but not auburn?!

Damn he’s hating on Arkansas bad

Texas has a good season and people lose their minds lol. 10-2 if things really go their way. 9-3 is more likely.

What did he project A&M?

There zero doubt oklahoma has the tuffest sec schedule.. Florida has a tuff out of conference.. but in the sec it is oklahoma

Mr. Science.😂😂. Gators gave 4 games away last year.

😮 we believe a 10-2 SEC team gets into the 2024 College Playoffs. But does the CFB Playoff Committee let the SEC get 4or5 teams into the first ever 12 team playoffs.?😮

16:49 Texas played one of the very weakest schedules last year. Sheesh.

Folks talk up A&M every year. If they make a bowl this year, call it a successful season.

t-sips are NOT going undefeated

And Oklahoma sent their qb off.. and texas lost alot in the trenches on de... i look for their to fall off a bit

VFL here so no love for FL... I still have them going 6-6 tho. Too many of their key games are at home

This is how I see it finishing 1. 13-0 Ohio St (Big 10 champ) 2. 11-2 UGA (SEC champ) 3. 11-2 FSU (ACC champ) 4. 11-2 Utah (Big 12 champ) 5. 12-1 Group of 5 (highest Go5 champ) 6. 11-1 Oregon/Penn St 7. 11-2 Oregon/Penn St (Big 10 champ loser) 8. 10-2 Texas/Ole Miss 9. 10-2 LSU 10. 10-2 Tennessee 11. 10-2 Mizzu 12. 10-3 Texas/Ole Miss (SEC Champ loser) OUTSIDE LOOKIN IN 10-3 Miami (ACC Champ loser) 10-3 Kansas (Big 12 champ loser) 10-2 Clemson 9-3 Notre Dame 9-3 Alabama 9-3 Kansas St 9-3 Syracuse

This dude high on dope

The Lornhorns have won exactly one big road underdog game in the last several years and they did beat this year all the Big12 teams with inferior resources and far less talent. Then SEC starts them off with as light of a schedule as ossible with cupcake SEC road games up to perhaps the last one. And now with the Jimboesque contract extension, this team is ripe to under-achieve. Then the schedule makers give Florida what it did.

I got LSU at 10-2. USC is interesting week one, but we have more talent on both sides of the ball and have a better coaching staff. Our 3 toughest games are at home. TWO of those 3 games are after we come off a bye week. Oklahoma is at the end of the season, and although they will be good, we will have an entire season with an elite defensive staff, to have improved our defense. I can see us losing to TAMU on the road and to either Bama or Oklahoma at home. Those players that played that Ole Miss team, want revenge in the worst of ways. Not only will we have the best OL in the SEC, it should be the best OL in the country. We only replace the center, and the guy we are replacing him with is way more talented (played in relief last season), than the guy we had the past 2 years. Four of LSU's 5 starting OL for 2024, have started 90% or more of the games over the past 2 seasons. The RB Kaleb Jackson, just look out for this monster. Will remind you of the Fournette and Derrius Guice days. The elite home run hitter freshman will be in as well as the veteran RB who, IMO, is the best blocking RB in the country. Our QB is a 4th year player who has had tons of reps over the last 3 seasons (219 pass attempts), and has played in several big time games for quarters (Auburn, Alabama), halves (Arkansas as a freshman, UGA), and even whole games (Wisconsin). He's definitely ready. He also has a 2 year starter at TE coming back for year 3, and a top 5 at WR that rivals anybody in the country. Defensively, i think we'll do enough to field a top 65 defense. Im not even projecting us to do anything in the playoffs, but i am projecting us to make it at 10-2.

God damn Mike. What did you do to piss all these people off 😂

Why would SEC fans think that OU and Texas (the top two programs from the Big 12) would come into the SEC and struggle? They are both powerhouse traditional football programs with multiple National Titles (OU has seven). The SEC has been dominated by Alabama for over a decade and only Georgia and LSU have recently contended with them. The rest of the SEC is average at best. Now that Saban is gone, get ready for OU and Texas to be at the top of the pack right there with Georgia year in and year out.

Aggies vs tu for Championship

I enjoyed this topic, but it's probably not going to happen in your own version. I think that it could be a competitive conference and someone else rather than Georgia or Texas could win the SEC conference. Florida could be competitive in the SEC conference and surprise a lot of people. College football landscape is a massive upgrade through the transfer portal and NIL deals. I believe that needs to be seriously addressed to its ruining college sports.

ND starts at #5 even if they are ranked #1… no conf championship. 🤷‍♂️

Let’s go big orange

Mullen went to 3 new years 6 bowls in a row. Muschamp had an 11 win season. The gators should win 6-7 games this year. These guys don't know what they're talking about

Shave the mustash bro😊

Tennessee goes to the playoff

UF going winless

Kentucky 7-5 floor 10-2 ceiling. Top 5-6 team in the SEC

12:43 have you seen ole mrs’s schedule? How can she NOT win 11? She can hobble her way across the street with a walker and the help of two men with hip replacements-she’s winning double digits

Favoring LSU is WILD. Literally what does LSU have? Lost their Heisman winning QB and best WR and return the worst defense we’ve seen in a decade in the SEC?

Tennessee has a good schedule Oklahoma I say we win but lose to Georgia but anything can happen Oklahoma is make or break for Tennessee to secure a spot in the CFP

Best thing that could’ve happened for Bama is if Milroe stayed in the portal. He is not a QB for Deboer, coming from Penix that was all pass and zero legs, to Milroe that is all legs and god awful zero pass. 9 wins for Bama is a successful season.

Dang Mike people really mad at you in the comments lol. Entertaining video. Thanks!

It's a painful year to be a UF fan

Imma be honest I can see Carolina going 6 and 6 if we are lucky with no injury players

Arkansas were 4-8 but lost 5 games by one score. If they have just a little better offense they possibly win those games. This year they have one of the weakest schedules that they've had in a while and you have them winning less. Lol 😆

I don't think any sec schedule is week and plus there's no team going undefeated , so analytics is wrong

I bet this guy wrote a colom for the Orlando sentinel.

You got the Ole Miss/LSU game wrong. You said Ole Miss hosts LSU, which is in fact, wrong. Ole Miss has to go on back to back SEC road games and they have to play LSU at home coming off a bye as the 2nd road game. IMO, they go into their 2nd bye at 8-2. Lane Kiffin is still Lane Kiffin. LSU had statistically the worst defense in LSU history last season, with 3 dropped TD passes (2 by the same WR, and one by a RB), went on the road in a night environment, and still only lost by 6 points. UGA will be UGA as usual.

I’m from Mississippi give me a break on the audio you gotta be kidding me

The SOONERS ARE COMING!

who is this guy?

Time will tell. I don't see Alabama doing worse than 10-2.

Playoff committee aint gonna let a 10 win sec team in with two of those wins being against cupcakes

Sleeping on the future...Go Gators!!

Uga was undefeated in the regular season smh...they went 12-0

Keep hating we love that shit! Hookem

Love everyone underestimation of the Alabama team thats beat Georgia 5 out of 6 games and i predict Alabama will beat Georgia in Tuscaloosa all Georgia worried about Texas ok you won't even get out of Tuscaloosa without a loss.

My analytics predict Texas will go 8-4.

1) Eliminate Conference Championship games. 2) Conference selects defacto Conference champion through round-robin schedule wins and strength of schedule. (This will ensure every team enters the playoffs having played same number of regular season games.) 3) Expand to 16 teams playoffs (to eliminate byes in postseason) with automatic bid 1 thru 11 (currently 11 conferences) and 12 thru 16 are 5 next best at large teams and home team advantage for top 8 teams for Sweet 16 round. Since it is single elimination, no team would be at risk of playing each other more than twice in above scenario. Ideally, conferences will realign to form 8 superconferernces with at least 16 teams each.

Florida will geaux to a bowl..

Some drop off for Bama expected, new coach, staff, etc. your dreaming or a hater if you think they are an 8 and 4 team!

So I’m assuming these folks think Alabama is dead 💀 this year 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

I don't have a dog in this fight, but it would be funny to see all the assholes pucker up if UT and OU win them all and meet for the championship.

Florida is gonna have a bad year.. As sipp state fan I think we can definitely beat Florida.. Idk bout the other SEC teams but very confident in the florida game. Sanford is the only game you can say florida wins for certain.

The SEC set up Texas with a pathetically easy schedule... The only top programs UT plays is Georgia and a Michigan program with a new coach and a new QB.. 5 bottom feeders in AK, FL, KY, MState, and hapless Vandy. OU and TAMU are what they are average programs with a 2nd year head coach and new qb and an AM program with a new coach and a bunch of unknown players. UGA will beat UT in Austin and not go undefeated...FACT

People, calm down. He is not hating on anyone. It is a system. This is so early and no one has any idea what's going to happen. I wish all of you guys that are hating on this dude would put your predictions out there for every sec team. It is ridiculously incredibly terribly hard to do. Even Vegas doesn't get it anywhere close to write in the preseason.

Bama goes 10-2 at worst even with all those players that left bama still has one of the most talented rosters in all of cfb. And most of those players weren’t good enough too play. And bama just picked up a coach who was just in the natty? And with the 2nd recruiting class? Nah bama making another top 4 appearance in my opinion

“The question is who plays QB” bro does not know ball LaNorris Sellers is elite

Texas spends 8 figures they will not be a surprise. Oklahoma would be a surprise if they win 9 games.

Can’t really take this guy serious when he calls Buffalo, Bowling Green and Murray State, Maine.

Usc and Florida both shouldnt be considered great schools until they prove it again. The name cant carry that much anymore. Florida hasnt been good since 2009 and usc hasnt been good since 2008. Both had 1 really good year. Since. Florida during covid against bama in the sec championship and USC in 2016 in the rose bowl vs penn state. Its annoying hearing these teams are still good just because of their brand because they are not.

I got Florida going 6-6 its bad but its not 2-10 bad

ALABAMA QB Room Jalen Milroe, Ty Simpson , Dilylan Llnegram, Austin Mack RB - Justice Haynes, Jam Miller, Richard Young WR Room- Ryan Williams 5*, Jermiem Bernard, Kendrick Law, Kobe Prentice, Jalen Hale 5*Emmanuel Henderson.. LOADED OL Parker Brailsford #1OC in the country, Tyler Booker, Elijah Pritchard COULD win Joe Moore Award.... DEFENSE Great LB's Solid DL Very Good DB's but young.... Bama could go 12-0 or 8-4

Based on what?

Go somewhere with that bull Alabama will win more games than Texas you missed on a lot of games last year you don’t know what you’re talking about Roll Tide all day keep it up this year to and miss on all the games you pick😂

Aggies 9-3 or 10-2

LSU Host Ole Miss

Can't go by the NAMES OF THE TEAMS.Gators win at least 8.