31:50 when you said that it was nl25 and not nl50 i was convinced that villain was actually me, but then i couldnt find the hand in my database, but i found very similar one to this :D
Just incredible content. Idea: a poll sticky comment, "1st hand would you normally have f/c/r?" Results mean nothing really but it's fun and you could work it into first few mins of vid... "Pause and vote..." then we can all see the consensus ish.
Wow last hand amazing . Villain getting sicko tag and our hero if im at the table u prolly shoulda know which tag would get:) What a soul read i would feel in villain shoes that hero has access to my cards for real
Unfortunately being the sicko type who jams naked As facing overbet on a flush completing river, you would be surprised how many times I have gotten snap called by QQ or something there at 25z.
@@jeffshackleford3152Yeah even regs don't like folding in spots where nobody ever bluffs. It always surprises me. And it's not about notes on me either, they do it even when I have a fresh nickname.
If i was villain in the last hand i would note and mark him as "fish who gets married to AA and never ever ever folds" xD In reality i start liking the bluff, as the hand really really looks like "a rly rly strong hand that just wants to give itself an easy fold if stuff starts happening"
Nice video. Thank for sharing also you mental challenged Kit. Question about the grapgh. The redline looks way more stable than mine. In the beginning i was jeaulos about it. But after seeing the video I also think a part has to do that Kit is quite a calling station in situations were pool is underbluffing. How do you think about it? That AK bluff by villain... lets dont overestimate the 25nl pool, maybe he was thinking it was a value raise
On the last hand, what a shove by villain. I would have folded, personally. However, while the Ace of spades is a great card to bluff with, isn't the K kind of bad? Wouldn't villain want us to have a K in our hands? I get that he blocks top set, but is it unreasonable to fold KK here as Hero anyway? It seems that AQ or AJ would be better bluffing combos, as they unblock our single and two-paired Kings, as well as blocking the QJ/J9 straight. It's probably okay what villain did - I bet he was furious that he made a good move and got punished so hard.
If I were villain in last hand I'd need to quit for a few days. I'd go from being so happy to finding the only hand I make that play with and being proud of myself for actually pulling the trigger to just wondering why I'm ever bluffing in any spot. Like if the straight flush snapped me off fine that happens if a different flush tank calls okay but ouch. Hand 2 I wonder at which point we can start folding river raise as an exploit. For that price I call too but I actually wonder if we are really good there 1 in 5 times.
so in the hand in question the following line of reasoning exists: 1) players do not trap enough in the micros after seeing opponents check back. therefore we expect villain arrives at the raise opportunity node with very few value candidates. 2) villain has many combinations of KQ, a hand which is quite appetising as a bluff candidate. 3) if villain is the type who would ever consider bluffing this spot it is actually quite likely to be overbluffed not underbluffed due to the abundance of bluff candidates compared to value candidates. 4) hero's line looks like it's full of shit. this might make some villains more inclined to bluff.
@@DrSuage Now that I'm at my computer and actually have time I will say the kind of players that bluff adequately in this spot let alone over bluff are far more maniacal than I am. I probably at least slightly under bluff there and definitely only have 3 bluff combos (which given how few value hands I have, that would be more than enough if I pulled the trigger 100% of the time). What is interesting to me is hero's line looking full of shit probably causes me to make a confused bluff catch more often than I should but would definitely make me less likely to turn something into a bluff.
Car Park sounds like a playground where cars go to play. Love the content as always. Doubt I would've found that bluff raise with T9. I'm surprised pool wouldn't be playing a lot of weak Ax that way. Seems like underpairs would prefer checking at some point rather than continuing to bet with a polarizing card like an A out there.
While I almost definitely don't end up bluff raising either, I'm not sure how often it actually is a small A (or any A given small sizing) here. With the 3-bet a lot of people are C-betting small close to 100 on that board, then might check turn if A didn't pair. They also really shouldn't have many small aces here unless they are deciding to play A6s+ as 3-bets pre (and honestly even if they 3-bet every suited A it is still fewer combos than the 24 under pairs).
@@qazzaqstan If you're talking population tendencies then you may be right, but in theory BB should have way more small Axs than HJ after HJ calls the raise. BB should be 3b A8s-A2s about 50% of the time (according to Pete's own solved ranges). The A makes it so that HJ's more condensed pre-flop range is now way ahead/way behind and most of it--such as all those middle pairs--won't be able to stand up to sizable bets, and the hands that can do that, like AQ/AJ, are ahead of those small Ax except A5/A3. A hand like AK and A5 can go for big bets hoping to stack AQ or AJ. KK-JJ should definitely mix in some checking, though it's probably fine if they continue betting small as long as AX small is included in that range. If that small betting range becomes too KK-JJ heavy then it's vulnerable to plays exactly like this.
@@jonathanhenderson9422 I agree on the theory I just think they are correct that population is playing this line super unbalanced so they just don’t have nearly enough Ax in their small bet range. If they are going to be taking this line with under-pairs they “should” be mixing in some AJ and AQ where they have off suit 3-bets. Side note if I played A4s that way and got jammed on I’m still hating life because population also doesn’t tend to bluff raise river nearly enough (Though MDF would make it a clear call at least theory-wise)
Yes of course, why would we not bluff a hand that has even worse showdown value than T9? It even blocks AK and AJ combos that villain would call with, but that's pretty irrelevant since the whole point we want to bluff the spot is because villain's hand is face up high pocket pair because of his sizings.
@@pierrearr Having KJs here blocks folds aswell.Six combos to be precise,which is a lot given the narrow range we have assigned to the villain. Personally if I decide to bluff here I would stick with the type of hand in the video,or some low pps when we arrive on the river with them.Maybe bluff those every time,and fold the busted fds containing a high card.
@@tomislavbikic4649 Yeah I almost added KJs blocking KK JJ folds too in my comment but left it out since blockers are irrelevant there because villain is so incredibly face up and capped. Against a villain who turns their range face up and is clearly a weaker player you don't have to construct your bluffing range so carefully, you can just overbluff for max exploit.
@@pierrearr Yeah,we are definitely in agreement that this is mostly a caped and face up range and we should be bluff jaming in his face a lot as an exploit. It just feels off putting to me to jam that type of hand,and KQdd and KJdd specifically would be the only 2 combos that I fold here.Perhaps a mental game leak on my part.I really dont know to be honest. One thing that nodelocking in the solver has taught me(other then exploits obv) is that we do not want to go overboard with our assumptions,but to be more moderate with them.Maybe thats why I have this gut feeling of it being wrong....dunno really
@@pierrearr Yeah,we are definitely in agreement that this is mostly a caped and face up range and we should be bluff jaming in his face a lot as an exploit. It just feels off putting to me to jam that type of hand,and KQdd and KJdd specifically would be the only 2 combos that I fold here.Perhaps a mental game leak on my part.I really dont know to be honest. One thing that nodelocking in the solver has taught me(other then exploits obv) is that we do not want to go overboard with our assumptions,but to be more moderate with them.Maybe thats why I have this gut feeling of it being wrong....dunno really
Is it true that most of the pros we see playing live on tv, do not make money online? Does Ivy make money online, Negreanu, Brunsons? And why is it when I watch tubers playing online, no one ever experiences the suckouts and rivers I do, EVERY DAY, every week, every month I never get a streak longer than an hour or two when I don't get killed by some huge bs hand. Every day, for almost a year..... There are no choices I can make to change this. Why doesn't anyone get that??? I understand there is a different way of playing, I could change everything, maybe become one of these guys that apparently make money, BUT why should I have to do that because of suckouts and way too frequent bad luck. Why would that change no matter how I play? Like, what I am saying is that all this GTO logic, ok, it makes you better than people playing the game for 40years, very smart, dedicated people, but how is it relevant at all, to whether the last card goes against you. Did GTO player know he was hitting his 30% on THIS hand, cz he just folded to my last 4 bets when he was probably at least 30%, but he check raises this time, I sus out his bluff, and call, we showdown, I'm 70%, he hits river. - if this didn't happen, 30x a day, I would be a millionaire. This week on PS in 6 card, I lost 5 hands, 4 top boats and a top flush, to the straight flush. 5x! in about 11 hrs! I even mitigated these losses very well. But nothing matters, lol. I jut get dealt so much cooling bullshit it is unmanageable for anyone, I guarantee it. It's so fkng stupid. No one outplays me, tricks me, traps me, you can see all that stuff if it is happening, and you are honest with yourself. But it doesn't. It's exactly like a slot machine, it just looks good, but you know the high odds result is coming, and it does. You can predict it, right? Online poker is EXACTLY like that for me. What everyone has is obvious, just watching, the computer run out it's program. It's making me hate life, distrust the world even more, and I haven't lost half a paycheck in 9 months. But I should be a winner, it's soooo wrong. I think these places will eventually be busted. That's why it's banned in so many countries, cz they know it's impossible to get a fair game. So are all you guys fools, employees, liars, WTF is going on? My experience is the only thing to me that can be considered real, and you just heard it. SO, WTF??? Peace
@@zaheerahman7266 lol, maybe, but I dont think this is crying. I have given myself that speech may times, my friend. One of the tipping points is that I extend my patience, and improve my mental game, and improve my play, endlessly, and everytime the losing streak goes just a little bit longer. Like I'm being played with. It's like the more I improve, the more they tweak the program. I can even admit, the more leaks I fill, as I improve, so does the curve. My complaints might sound stupid after saying that, but,I'm not typingit all, but there is a very sensible story to fit that, to everyting being random and unbiased, and just as it would be in real life, but a slide bar that can set the % where thy want or need it, that just trims that amount off every player's play wheel. If you believe in a God or the matrix, everyone's experience is unique, aything could behappening with my interface. Goblins, demons, lol. I'm friendly with some of the pros, Idk if they really mke, but they say thy do. I point out a hand, they say, well that was really bad luck, nothing yu can do, it happens. Ok, but that was minor, and it or worse happens 10x a day, so wtf.Ifyou ca say that, but it does't happen enough to kill you, then we have very different interfaces.... Idk, peace
