Terrific analysis! I hold only a small position in ARM when it was already overvalued. It's even more overvalued now. No way I am adding more at this price.
@@TheIntelligentInvestor I bought them at around $117.50, so I'm up about 56%. I only have about $1,000 initally invested in it. One interesting name I came across recently is Nvent (NVT). They make liquid cooling systems for data centers amongst other products. It's lesser known than Vertiv (VRT), which is a good thing in keeping the share price low. I picked up a few share today and plan to pick up some more if the company continues to perform. I would love it if you can do an analysis on it.
@@TheIntelligentInvestor I bought them at around $117.50, so I'm up around 56%. I had only about $1,000 invested in it. An interesting name I recently came across is Nvent (NVT), a company that makes liquid cooling system for data centers. It's lesser known than Vertiv (VRT), which is a good thing in keeping the share price low. I picked up a few shares today and plan to pick up a few more in the future if the company continues to perform well. I would love it if you can do an analysis on it. Thanks, Victor.
@@TheIntelligentInvestor I bought at $128,81, my profit is about %38,5 now. I am not going to sell it because I only have one share :D I will keep it forever😀😀
Thanks for watching, SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son admitted that the made a huge mistake selling Nvidia a few years ago. So SoftBank is betting big on Arm to benefit a lot from AI and eventually AGI/ASI going forward.
It depends on the business. You have to use a higher terminal growth rate for growth companies like AMD. You would use a very slow growth rate (similar to GDP growth) for very mature companies like Walmart that has very slow growth.
Oddly enough, ARM's stock price aiming for the 200s by the end of this year is feasible. When one of the largest think tanks in tech suggests that ARM could capture at least 45 percent of the PC market share, especially with support coming from Qualcomm and Microsoft, you have a future-oriented stock with massive potential. Even NVIDIA is moving in that direction and is glancing at ARM as a tight partner. I consider investing in a company because of what it can achieve, not just its current performance. Otherwise, I risk being the one who feeds the early birds. I also will not be influenced by hype stocks like GameStop, RDDT, DJT and Chewy no matter the extreme short term profit.
I have a different perspective. In the PC market, it’s dominated by x86 CPUs made by Intel and AMD. I think it will be very hard for ARM to take away a large chunk of x86 CPU market shares since most windows applications and games are optimized for x86 CPUs. For example, many games don’t run well on ARM-based laptops at all. As a PC user, I would rather keep investing in AMD CPUs because I play many AAA games. Arm’s CEO is aiming to capture 50% of the PC market over the next 5 years. I think it’s more realistic if Arm can capture 10% to 20% of the PC market over the long term. Arm’s current forward PE is another issue. Its forward PE is even higher than Nvidia and most magnificent seven stocks.
@@TheIntelligentInvestor AMD is, of course, wonderful. As a gamer, I also echo the sentiment, 'Scotty, we need more power!' Let's see where ARM will take us. What are your thoughts on SK Hynix? I hope you don't mind me probing your expertise just a bit.
I haven’t looked into SK Hynix yet. I don’t think it’s traded in the US. Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron are the biggest memory makers. I think they will continue report very high earnings growth over the next several quarters because of HBM sales from AI.
I’m not sure about how small flow would affect the downsize risk. But interestingly, I said in ARM is clearly overvalued in the video. Now, it has tanked a lot after earnings release. Fundamentals and earnings matter the most in the long run.
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