Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2024 (Updated) - Hyperactive 

This is going to be one hell of a summer for the US. Hurricanes, heat, civil unrest, economic collapse, etc. Makes me wonder if we'll make it to Christmas...

That heat map for this Year looks insane. Time to pray everyone.🙏

Glad you are planning on providing live stream in the Caribbean. We in Dominican Republic don’t get enough time sensitive info . Thanks so much 🙏🏼✨

Built a house in Cape Coral 1979 - Never got hit hard (tree damage - Yes), never structural all these years, even last year with Ian. Sold the property last November not because of the fear of the weather, in a Tropical Climate _ Expect that. However the drop in property prices, the cost of or the cancellation of Insurance, rising Taxes. Paradise Lost.

I live in Jamaica. Considering we may have a couple tornadic hurricanes this year I'm doing everything I can't to set up my parents home to be storm proof. These storms have the ability to blow down concrete walls when they hit small islands. May God have mercy on us all😢❤

Hi David! I just found your channel today and subbed. This is the first weather outlook I have been able to understand. Thank you so much! I live in Mississippi in the Southern part and am really concerned about this outlook. Im glad I found your channel!

So is the sky falling? Chicken Little

They say the same thing every year. Expect a very active hurricane season and nothing just like last year.

The North Atlantic is becoming the West Pacific in terms of activity it seems.

*Me a New Jerseyan hoping we get a landfall so my area actually gets measurable rain this summer and so I can storm chase*

Should be an interesting year

I think NYC is going to get a tropical storm this year. Probably on July or August.

Thank you David,we're so lucky to have forecasters with clairvoyance to give us accurate forecast of what will happen in the future,it's a powerful gift.

Thanks, David! I live in the Midwest so hurricanes usually don’t bother me, unless one decides to blow through the states😬 I enjoyed listening to this update.

Well… we booked a 7 night cruise from Galveston to western Caribbean (Roatan, Costa Maya and Cozumel) Aug 25-Sept 1! 😅

Hey David. Like what features you will be doing during this hurricane season. Very good update as well. Curious, will you also be showing camera footage,if available, on an approaching storm before,during landfall,etc? Again, I like how you will be going with this; very nice. Thanks.

It is very, very concerning about how ugly this atlantic hurricane season can get. Alarming on how ingredients are coming together. If June, July ends up well above average in terms of named storm this could spell trouble. 2005 had 2 major hurricane in July that felt like September. Won't surprise me if major hurricane forms in June-July. Hasn't happened in a while. Very alarming on what I am seeing. Penn State forecast is red flag!!!

Congrats David 😃 me and my mom started watching you after a recommendation from Diamond at Oppenheimer Ranch and you’ve come so far!!! Keep up the good work 😘 MsVibe ✨

One of the precipitation models looks like a boxing kangaroo that could be concerning because kangaroos are mean sometimes 😂

Thank you for your service providing this information. As a resident of Florida, I will be watching closely. Subscribed.

A Big one - on the way

Latent heat of vaporization is the amount of energy required to change water from a liquid to a vapor or gaseous state. Essentially hurricanes extract 590-600 calories from 1 gram of ocean water surface. Yes but it has to be above 80 degrees for it to be realized

Yeah. Here comes rate hike for insurance companies

I love listening about the music and you have to work on changing your voice moderation same voice for 24 minutes. Makes it very hard to listen to the entire video.

Everyone on gulf states neeeds be prepared be ready

Wait for the NOAA outlook.

Everyone keep an Eye on the SAL!! This will cool the SSTs and DRY out the mid levels from 700-500 mb.

Keep a eye on before the start of season. That Sahara dust in 2020 was very strong but there was a lot of storms before

After the terrible 2005 season they gave some crazy inflated 2006 prediction and were off by like 90%. They even considered no longer giving the predictions but they persist. They also update the initial prediction randomly throughout the season for some reason. What is the point of the prediction if you don't stick with it. It's kind of like making a Vegas bet and being able to change it after the cards show.

Sooooo don’t go anywhere in the Caribbean or Florida for vacation at the end of July? This is what I need to know

La Nina is developing and possibly earlier than expected

3 weeks ago i dreamt of a massive hurricane in NC by the coast area sometime in June. Only to see hurricanes happening two days after my dream. Then on 4/26 i woke up from an earthquake dream, felt real as i thought my room was shaking.

We can only be so lucky

2024 it’s really going to try to break the record set in 2020. This could be as hyperactive as the 2020 season. If you put like a landfall forecast, I would assume about 5 to 7 US impacts. If the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is bad I wonder what the 2054 hurricane season could look like in a warming planet.

So what you’re saying is I should visit New Orleans now before it sinks into the ocean?

The La Niña will endure into hurricane season but will dissipate late summer so expect a rapid uptake late in the season

When wil the NOAA outlook come out? Is there any date?

After hearing about the record number of storms predicted for this upcoming season, hearing that we'll have "maybe a few fish storms" is truly worrying, and likely not inaccurate either.

By Florida SST are going to stick to below average. I believe most storms will stay south of Florida

I have a vacation planned last week of sept/first week of Oct. Should I cancel it now?

Just because they say x amount of storms doesn’t mean they all hit land. Everyone needs to pump the brakes and take it one storm at a time. I know so many here in Florida especially ft Myers area that now have hurricane ptsd. They see stuff like this and talking about moving back up north or further inland.

I expect it to extremely active this year

hi dave

Is mobile Alabama and Pensacola florida going to get anything

At least the gulf isn’t warm

This data scares me cuz I believe a major hurricane 🌀 will pass through the southern windward islands thus year and few other small TS.

you list me at I'm excited.

I Philadelphia

Nononono.. Im getting 2017 vibes for sxm 😢

New england is overdue for a hurricane land strike

hey brother it’s me johnny your long time friend it’s been quite sometime since we last communicated i been watching your videos and just to let you know on April 18th 2024 I lost my uncle to kidney and heart failure it’s been rather tough on me. I’ve lost 3 people in 2 years 2022 stepdad 2023 mom 2024 my uncle mike anyways getting this aside do you think Louisiana will get hit by hurricanes this year?

Dont forget highy toxic wildfire smoke from the igniting Canadian boreal forests - inundating the entire lower 48

Forget this stuff they can't even tell where they are going 80 miles offshore. That big one on the east coast they said at first, it's staying offshore the next day it was going to hit Tampa the next day Orlando it shot across the whole state slowing down but it hit us on the east coast the guy down the street lost his whole screened in patio it flew into the trees lots of debris it took 2 weeks to clean up this area. I think the only thing that should be living in Florida are gators and snakes which I have 2 rat snakes they are the best they keep the mice away.

What is that dark blue blob near Greenland? Something to do with all the seas circulations? The end is near.

Will Trinidad be at risk?

Im excited. Powerful hurricanes are so cool.

Kermit and Miss Piggy, @David Schlotthauer

Wait for May 15th NOAA official outlook

I’ve seen them forecast a busy season and many times the hurricanes are fish killers hopefully it’s just a repeat of that 😊

In 1990, the IPCC First Assessment Report acknowledged that "Human-made aerosols, from sulphur emitted largely in fossil fuel combustion can modify clouds and this may act to lower temperatures", while "a decrease in emissions of sulphur might be expected to increase global temperatures". Since the 1980s, a decrease in air pollution has led to a partial reversal of the dimming trend, sometimes referred to as global brightening. This global brightening had contributed to the acceleration of global warming which began in the 1990s. Cutting more SO2 means larger storms and hotter oceans. Starting in the 1980s, the reduction in global dimming has contributed to higher global temperatures. Hot extremes accelerated as global dimming abated. It has been estimated that since the mid-1990s, peak daily temperatures in northeast Asia and hottest days of the year in Western Europe would have been substantially less hot if aerosol concentrations had stayed the same as before.

22-33 named storms!?! You gotta be kidding me

I sure hope that the whole state of texas gets a tropical sorm or hurricane to sit over for few days. We still need the rain badly

I live in central coastal NC near Emerald Isle. I'm pretty sure were going to get a hurricane this year, maybe a major hurricane, and multiple hurricanes.....back to back hurricanes. The climate is changing and weather is becoming more intense as years progress. This year is also supposed to be another warm year, maybe the warmest on record. I know the oceans are heating up and the La-Nina is coming back which are two ingredients needed to make for a lot of hurricanes. However, that High Pressure that sits out over the middle of the Atlantic called the bermuda high will determine where the majority of these storms go with a good many out to sea and labeled "fish storms", but I suspect a good few of these storms will ravage Florida, the Gulf coast states, and maybe NC and the rest of the Atlantic Seaboard.....maybe NY, NJ, New England this year for they haven't been hit since 2012 during storm sandy...22 years and that's about the average amount of time for a storm to hit that area.....they usually take a strike there from a hurricane once ever 18-26 years on Average where as here in NC its once ever 3-7 years on average.

Excellent David… You know I’ll be watching for your videos as I have been subbed for several years now and love your work… Cynthia form Fort Myers Florida

How old are you David?

I thought everyone reported that last year would be the worst in history. There is a story by this dude named Aesop. Read it sometime, it's called "The Boy Who Cried Wolf".

This year is going to be like no other year that we've had. We are directly under the cosmic microwave pulse coming from the blackhole in the middle of our galaxy. I hope everyone stays as safe as they can possibly be. This year if you are given a warning for any type of weather, its best to evacuate the era or go into your under ground shelter. The US government should be talking to the people about this but i had to find out from all the other countries bc the US government and senates can not do their job. I always thought our government would prepare us about something so life changing. Thank you United Nations, Europe, and China for informing your people of the cataclysims that are happening this year, United States of America, get your head out of your butt and do your job! The rest of the worlds watching you in disbelief bc you are not giving your people freedom of anything right now and you are making the situation bad for the entire world. Once again, thank you United Nations, Europe, and China for informing your people so they could inform us and let us know about the potential dangers taking place right now. 90% of the USA still doesnt know because we have so much on our plate that we can't even take a breath with out being stepped all over by our gop. Siberia, hopefully you are all okay and taking extra precaution bc youre the one being hit the worse right now. My prayers go out to all of you who have been going through these cataclysims on a daily basis. Hopefully, we will get through this together when everyone finds out the things only 35% of the world knows.

The use of the specifically human concept 'should' has no meaning re: natural phenomena, which simply is. Ditto 'normal'. What you're referring to is average, which is a collection and division of human measurement of particular datum over an infinitesimal period of earth's planetary history. It can certainly be a useful albeit highly limited (due to the tiny data set vs the actual history) predictive metric, and in meteorology primarily over a very short time frame (it's an applied science that's a far too complex system still relatively little understood to have much useful predictive use beyond the very short term (3-4 weeks, which is why that's the length of the longest term wx models, which become less predictive the further out--even in that limited period--they go.) 'Normal' has become a cheat synonym used by illiterate broadcast meteorologists in an attempt to anthropomorphize nature to make it more interesting/relatable to people, as most can only think of things in human behavioral terms. It's scientifically meaningless to apply abstract terms judgement of human behavior to the natural world. It just IS. That's what separates pre-modern, pre-scientific ages (everything was thought of in human terms, i.e. if a volcano erupted is was a sign of nature (sometimes called 'gods') being angry/meting out punishment etc.) from the present. Although in fairness, we're regressing to those perspectives, of superstitious primitives, rapidly (often intentionally so, hidden in deceptive 'science-y' sounding language for purposes of various financial/business scams, accrual of power, etc.) FWIW.

I don’t subscribe to “ expert predictions “. The southeast coast was supposed to be hit last summer. It wasn’t. I’m not living my life in fear or worry. My plan is simple. Close up the condo and get out of its way. Every year it’s the same song and dance. Ocean water hotter than normal. Yeah and? That’s not the sole factor for steering a hurricane. I’m just going to enjoy the summer and I’ll worry about it when it’s coming at me. I think of Dorian which was coming right at Ft. Lauderdale. It stalled and then turned north. You can’t predict actual direction even when the storm looks like it’s coming. They predicted a category five which was catastrophic damage exactly where I live. We didn’t even get a drop of rain. Am I grateful for that; absolutely but I’m not going to live my life in fear over something that may or may not happen

Hurricane Dennis hurricane Michael Hurricane Katrina Hurricane Ivan hurricane Sally hurricane Ida

Florida is going to get wrecked

All that assessment, and you make no mention of the Saharan dust, or how it may influence storms, or how it has influenced storms in the past.

69 years since 1955… The modern record of sea temperatures… Sun is estimated to be around 4.6 billion years… Science needs more drama… Kinda like cow bell..:

We gone get f up

I blame the climate alarmist for making it hotter and worse storms. They are not making it better. Evidence shows global warming is mostly cause by reduced air particulates and reduced SO2 while Tonga volcano added 10% more moisture. Then they cut SO2 out of ship track emissions. Which the SO2 would of helped with condensation. And cloud cover cooling the ocean. Making storms and hurricanes less sever.

Just give Trump a Sharpie. He will keep us safe with a map redraw!

Gonna raise the BS flag here.

This is also an indication of how to tell the waters are rising from the polar melting and you just showed it around 5:30 to 5:40. The waters are rising and taking over the land.

🥱🥱🥱

Jesus Christ......these fools always make the wrong predictions then they revise because they overshot and then they are wrong again. Every year this happens.

In what right does Penn State have to do hurricane predictions? They are not even an ocean state. I trust CSU more

I'm tired of people hiking things up🤨🤨

Will the water be as warm as a fart that is squeezed out of my cheeks? 🤔

At this time last year, your community was losing its collective mind over the hot water temps in the Caribbean etc.. Idalia was the worst US-landfall hurricane. The hype machine has to stop.

Trump2024