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Bayes' Theorem of Probability With Tree Diagrams & Venn Diagrams 

The Organic Chemistry Tutor
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1 окт 2024

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@TheOrganicChemistryTutor
@TheOrganicChemistryTutor Год назад
Probability Formula Sheet: bit.ly/3zb22rW Final Exams and Video Playlists: www.video-tutor.net/ Full-Length Videos & Worksheets: www.patreon.com/MathScienceTutor/collections Next Video: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-3PWKQiLK41M.html
@ahsank.
@ahsank. 3 года назад
I'd rather pay you my 2500$ tuition fee than paying it to a university
@dimentionalanimayshuns2984
@dimentionalanimayshuns2984 3 года назад
I AM DOING THIS IN NINETH GRADE E
@CigdemO279
@CigdemO279 3 года назад
@@dimentionalanimayshuns2984 it shows
@randaabdelbasit1413
@randaabdelbasit1413 3 года назад
He deserves
@ayahjalal470
@ayahjalal470 3 года назад
TOTALLY AGREEEEEEE
@ahmedmamdouh3964
@ahmedmamdouh3964 3 года назад
I'd rather not pay it at all XD
@AlvinCwk
@AlvinCwk 5 лет назад
p(A video from you is awesome) = 1
@chineduanulugwo6227
@chineduanulugwo6227 2 года назад
Cringe
@thedailyhazelnut1709
@thedailyhazelnut1709 2 года назад
@@chineduanulugwo6227 based
@jesalgandhi
@jesalgandhi 2 года назад
@@chineduanulugwo6227 Why so mad
@malikm3941
@malikm3941 2 года назад
@@jesalgandhi honestly
@Meta-Drew
@Meta-Drew 3 года назад
So amazing how many times I find my way back to this channel since using it for actual organic chemistry back when the channel was young, came back for calc 1+2, and now discrete math 1+2. He teaches every subject perfectly every time. He has saved me so many times. This man is a gift to the world of learning. Thank you!
@mavisqueen6769
@mavisqueen6769 2 года назад
me too in that exact order omg
@racheldebella6966
@racheldebella6966 2 года назад
I am in total agreement...I purposely seek out this channel to help explain difficult-to-understand concepts!!! Thank you for sharing your knowledge!!
@sahadatislam.6336
@sahadatislam.6336 2 года назад
he is literally my university
@Gsalinas4869
@Gsalinas4869 Год назад
what is the playlist for discrete math, I can't find it
@RajpalTiger
@RajpalTiger 6 месяцев назад
bro bouncin on it 😭
@ronefana4015
@ronefana4015 5 месяцев назад
i have final exams in medicine but studying it to teach my gf whos architect :) worthy baby i love you honey soooo muchhhhh
@MarkLikesSpace
@MarkLikesSpace 5 лет назад
You are single-handedly saving my Theory of Probability grade. Thank you.
@chiefskittlez1690
@chiefskittlez1690 2 года назад
When I hear your voice. Peace comes. And I know all my studies are gonna be okay. Literally all my studies. Physics, Math, Chemistry, Electrical Engineering, Quantum Theory, it's all covered. When I graduate I'm donating a large sum to you. I highly encourage those struggling and do well for themselves to do the same. We need to become like you. And spread out knowledge as articulately as you sir. Thank you. Thank you so much.
@HotFiya05
@HotFiya05 2 года назад
He deserves all of our tuition in these classes. My college professors suck!
@MathNINJA-hf5mv
@MathNINJA-hf5mv Год назад
I am in A Levels and Studying this concept. What College Year are you in and what's your major in which such concept is being taught ?
@sohailkhan-eu6uo
@sohailkhan-eu6uo Год назад
zip it up when ur done
@anon1963
@anon1963 10 месяцев назад
@@MathNINJA-hf5mv what does it matter?
@jaddaoud3532
@jaddaoud3532 10 месяцев назад
ight bro i think he came
@db2885
@db2885 4 года назад
Btw why are books so bad at explaining ???
@Mimyyyyy
@Mimyyyyy 4 года назад
😂😂for real they're so hard to understand...😑
@briann10
@briann10 4 года назад
probably "advanced" terminology
@hasfgrfcjk6670
@hasfgrfcjk6670 4 года назад
What Because
@kaijufan6246
@kaijufan6246 3 года назад
@@briann10 they forget who they're talking to. Students who never, NEVER, dealt with that stuff before
@blakeelzinga1168
@blakeelzinga1168 3 года назад
all stat books are garbage anyways
@camerongridley9065
@camerongridley9065 4 года назад
Wow, terrific. I have watched a lot of videos on Bayes Theorem and this is by far the best one. Thank you, JG!
@ghanamalmutairi9674
@ghanamalmutairi9674 2 года назад
The organic Chemistry UNIVERSITY :)
@chloehealy476
@chloehealy476 5 лет назад
i listen to this guy so much, i'm starting to fall in love with his voice
@muhammadnurfirdaus6723
@muhammadnurfirdaus6723 4 года назад
Correct
@fish2399
@fish2399 3 года назад
I also love the mathman
@karlcupid1274
@karlcupid1274 3 года назад
It's just Mark Wahlberg
@Test-ri2kr
@Test-ri2kr 3 года назад
Sexual harassment
@silmarillion_cowboy2548
@silmarillion_cowboy2548 3 года назад
he sounds like Sir Lewis Hamilton (F1 Driver)
@emiliospowerballer1441
@emiliospowerballer1441 5 лет назад
what i learned from this: if you have cancer, relax, just use the conditional probabilities and see that its all just a probability, that will cure your depression for sure
@الإسلامدينالحق-خ5ت
Just trust in Allah Almighty, and know that this is what He has determined for you to test whether you will be patient or not, and that if you are patient, he will be satisfied with you and you will attain eternal paradise, just do this and you will always rest, nothing is more comfortable psychologically than being a true Muslim
@ItsTornHD
@ItsTornHD 3 года назад
@@الإسلامدينالحق-خ5ت fuck man, the Christian I met last week was telling me the same thing. Idk who to choose. Can you demonstrate why I should pick Allah over the Christian god?
@adityabhardwaj3495
@adityabhardwaj3495 3 года назад
@@ItsTornHD wait.. what?
@khadijasallam8662
@khadijasallam8662 3 года назад
@@ItsTornHD they're the same God
@ItsTornHD
@ItsTornHD 3 года назад
@@adityabhardwaj3495 he claimed trust Allah, a Christian says the same thing. Demonstrate way Allah is more trustworthy over the Christian god
@SciHeartJourney
@SciHeartJourney 4 года назад
I just realized something: P(A|B) = P(A & B)/P(B) is the same as P(A & B) * 1/P(B). This might seem trivial, but consider what the inverse of probability is! It's a "rate of occurrence", or something like that. Because you already know event B happens, it only makes sense that we need to use the inverse of probability to properly scale the probability P(A & B). Dividing by a probability "increases" the conditional probability, which is what you would expect given that event B is known to have happened. Consider that the P(B) is very low, like 1/1000. If event B known to happen, that makes P(A|B) 1000 x more likely than P(A&B), which is 1/P(B). When I realized this, the concept seems to sink in easier. Thanks for this video that helped me make the connection!
@jeromechua1820
@jeromechua1820 5 лет назад
best explanation of Bayes' Theorem on RU-vid by far
@lakshay-musicalscientist2144
@lakshay-musicalscientist2144 2 года назад
Yess
@khushbusehrawat3915
@khushbusehrawat3915 Год назад
Yes
@黄嘉宇-z6l
@黄嘉宇-z6l 3 года назад
step 1: play uni recording step 2: find the topic step 3: search in TOCT step 4: REALLY starting learning
@debasismondal3619
@debasismondal3619 3 года назад
I have never seen such an easier explanation or believed that Bayes theorem is so simple. Can not thank you enough!
@thedishmastersa
@thedishmastersa 6 месяцев назад
I don't know why in college they just make everything seem complicated like... The difference between the way you are explaining it and the way my lecturer explained is like night and day.... I'd rather pay you to be my personal tutor and skip my classes than go there and listen to that guy...
@1989sherif
@1989sherif 2 года назад
You are truely a tutor. I struggled to undestand this theorem for 2 days, looked everywhere and nobody could explain in simple words, but YOU. Thank you for your work and time and dedication to channel. Bless you!
@ilhamusman3252
@ilhamusman3252 Год назад
Thanks for simplifying these complex bayes theorem am so gratefull
@Neo_Vuyelwa
@Neo_Vuyelwa Год назад
I struggled for a semester with math and now I understand everything within a week of studying all of my chapters covered , I really am looking forward to donating when I graduate .
@miray8939
@miray8939 Год назад
i have a question, thank you for the video but doesnt a false positive test result means negative? in the explanation you wrote (+/nc) and i think it should be (-/nc) @TheOrganicChemistryTutor, please correct me if i am wrong, thank you
@rubyl6249
@rubyl6249 3 года назад
I hope you are a teacher irl because our societies need teachers like you, instead of the ones that teach nothing but earning our tuition salaries....
@scorpion777silvermoon3
@scorpion777silvermoon3 3 года назад
so true half the time you cant even understand in class even
@B.I.G_22_08
@B.I.G_22_08 Год назад
Thank you. I just don't understand why you used /5 for P (B/A) and /9 for P(A/B).... It seems like you're using different formulas😢
@darkhighwayman1757
@darkhighwayman1757 7 месяцев назад
when you college prof cant seem to teach things very well...back to the OCT
@professorpanda5050
@professorpanda5050 4 года назад
Wow that second method where you create a tree diagram based off of an actual population estimate was really cleaver! Thanks for sharing.
@MarthaKwofie-k3i
@MarthaKwofie-k3i 8 месяцев назад
Please I think you made a mistake with the tree diagram,the 0.06 is the probability of those getting a negative test results
@ahmedmamdouh3964
@ahmedmamdouh3964 3 года назад
I want to contact you, I would like to do some front-end web development on your website for free as an appreciation for your great efforts.
@deadxaim
@deadxaim 3 года назад
Thank you very much for this series of videos! I have been struggling with my WGU course for a few weeks, trying to understand these concepts, and this video is really helping me to turn a corner.
@yayajinji
@yayajinji 5 лет назад
just watched 2 of your videos & immediately subscribed. thx for the good content!
@Princesses8999
@Princesses8999 4 года назад
may god bless you for all your good work!!
@samanthastricker180
@samanthastricker180 Год назад
You have literally carried me through my degree since day one, thank you legend
@quantaali543
@quantaali543 5 лет назад
I did not get the point why the channel name is The Organic Chemistry Tutor
@ccuuttww
@ccuuttww 5 лет назад
Actually it is organic tutor :)
@thobekalanga1452
@thobekalanga1452 2 года назад
You Sir are awesome :-) I have an exam in 2 days time and you have helped me understand Bayes' Theorem much better and fun to learn than other sources.
@Sk8erMorris
@Sk8erMorris 4 года назад
thanks for this one.. Bayes Rule had me really confused when trying to learn from the book.. first road block in Statistics and Probability
@ndeshi_m_w
@ndeshi_m_w Год назад
We need more teacher that teach like this maybe then passing rates will be much better than now
@rendanimamidza3501
@rendanimamidza3501 3 года назад
I don't get how a positive test result is the same as a false positive test result. Is it just me or should I get a refund from my English teacher 😂
@Bermaba
@Bermaba 3 года назад
exactly my only problem
@richardwalters9249
@richardwalters9249 5 лет назад
Watching this vid ... I had a major conceptual error. I thought A and B were sequential events. But I see that are simultaneous events. It would help to say: “what’s the probability that A HAS occurred given B.” (Not “will” occur. Will implies a future sequential event. ).
@iktmx8567
@iktmx8567 3 года назад
I have watched a lot of the vids from this channel and start to question my self why i have to pay my tuition fee, the only Bayes' theory the lecturer teach me is... *call out its name* and that is, literally teach me nothing and jump to the problem solving. I don't know whether i have to say f*ck my life or the college. Thank you for your vids THANK YOU
@chadx8269
@chadx8269 3 года назад
F##k them after you leave by not sending them money.
@elsiegama1474
@elsiegama1474 Год назад
You don't know how many times you have saved my life!!!
@shantanu925
@shantanu925 Год назад
I love you. Note to self: When in future, I pass my classes and get a job, make sure to pay him back by supporting his patron!
@michaeltheisen
@michaeltheisen Год назад
Thanks for getting me through pre-algebra in Highschool. And, now, thanks for getting me through A.I. and ML. I graduate with my CS degree next week!
@RayRay-yt5pe
@RayRay-yt5pe 9 месяцев назад
Man, I just want to say that, I am grateful for all your videos. They all involve examples and are straight to the point.
@chrissa100zoe
@chrissa100zoe 3 года назад
If the p(a and b)= P(A) x P(B) then wouldnt P(A|B) always just equal P(A)?????
@BrainGainzOfficial
@BrainGainzOfficial 5 лет назад
Love me some probability! Great vid as always!
@lancemelocoton198
@lancemelocoton198 3 года назад
The best professor so far, thank you
@tzitzikas2004
@tzitzikas2004 4 года назад
Thank you! Excellent video. Do you have a playlist for Probability in your channel?
@khadijasallam8662
@khadijasallam8662 3 года назад
I'm not really sure if I'm watching because I have exams or coz I' m falling in love with his voice
@majorswagger2945
@majorswagger2945 5 лет назад
thank god this video came in time as I just started stats my stats class
@husnainhyder6713
@husnainhyder6713 3 года назад
You have made something very easy which I regreted to learn in college Thanks a lot
@kurshy
@kurshy 5 месяцев назад
false positive means negative?? so the probability will change. kindly check
@wuwuw5433
@wuwuw5433 4 месяца назад
False here means that the person doesn't have cancer ,although the test says that he has , so it is a false positive
@Panaceas_19
@Panaceas_19 7 месяцев назад
Romba nalla irruk!! Tamil! India❤🇮🇳
@الإسلامدينالحق-خ5ت
You are really cool, you must become a Muslim
@alishahbaz6062
@alishahbaz6062 4 года назад
can anybody explain how he got the formula for P(+)?
@ciscokid3775
@ciscokid3775 4 года назад
P(t) means the person has a positive result so there are two conditions first, man tests positive and has cancer. second, man tests positive but does not have cancer. I think
@alishahbaz6062
@alishahbaz6062 4 года назад
@@ciscokid3775 Thanks! that helped!
@josephlam6560
@josephlam6560 2 года назад
Best illustration of what Bayes Theorem is - dealing with 2 probabilities in series. Thanks a lot.
@phinehasbetremussie2976
@phinehasbetremussie2976 3 года назад
What surprises me is the flawed testing system. Because I’m thinking about this logically to the best of my ability and you can not have cancer and still get a positive result. It would be like a ton of bricks hitting your head
@hydershariff5737
@hydershariff5737 Год назад
here is a comment for the algorithem bro
@iqrazainab-459
@iqrazainab-459 4 года назад
how will we come to know that whether we are asked to use conditional probability r baye's theorem?
@trenetae
@trenetae 2 года назад
Another Great lesson, sir! Thank you so much!
@jacksonsinpawa9690
@jacksonsinpawa9690 3 года назад
Never mind anything but only thing that I really appreciate and serious is about my relationship with my Holy Creater the Father of all living things.
@Bermaba
@Bermaba 3 года назад
For the prostate cancer in men question...what exactly is the meaning of false-positive? From my understanding, a false-positive means a negative test results (indicating a safer or better results) and a false-negative means a positive test result (indicating a worse or not soo good condition). If you agree with my definition of false-positive, then I believe you may need to review the probability calculations there. Regards.
@camilleranebern1508
@camilleranebern1508 3 года назад
me too I do have confusions with the term false positive. and I end up searching it so here's what I've got False positive: A result that indicates that a given condition is present when it is not. An example of a false positive would be if a particular test designed to detect cancer returns a positive result but the person does not have 'cancer.
@OhMyJawsh
@OhMyJawsh 2 года назад
This may be a very late response. But a "false positive" is a test result that comes back positive but is actually negative.
@sagorbiswas9442
@sagorbiswas9442 Год назад
নমস্কার
@ducbinhnguyen6721
@ducbinhnguyen6721 7 месяцев назад
I will never thank you enough for making these videos. I am grateful for that !
@yeeshenlee5619
@yeeshenlee5619 3 года назад
I have a good lecturer to explain well in 3 hours, but here only need 19 mins. Time saver :)
@SamuelLisita
@SamuelLisita 7 месяцев назад
Uliwakulefye bro, you're the G.O.A.T 🐐 👑
@BMSKARATE
@BMSKARATE 3 года назад
Followed this in my Jupyter Notebook. Plugged in all values as they came. Amazing lesson!
@006_cse_afreeths7
@006_cse_afreeths7 4 года назад
bro show your real face I am eager to see it
@theMerdan
@theMerdan 2 года назад
You Rock! Where did you learn all of that?
@muhammedashrafyunusa4862
@muhammedashrafyunusa4862 10 месяцев назад
Truly this guy is a master class teacher, He makes learning completely easy. I love you man
@saramaryammalik5460
@saramaryammalik5460 3 года назад
Sir With due respect, you have covered most of the topic in your videos, including the tiny ones ... However, there's a dire need of understanding Laplase Transform from you sir ... Hoping for videos on that topic too ...
@TakoGoksadze
@TakoGoksadze 2 года назад
These explanations are so good that everything seems obvious, as if you already knew this. Thanks.
@muhammaddarab7474
@muhammaddarab7474 Год назад
In The first exercise, P(B|A) would be P(B intersection A)/p(A). P(B intersection A) would be P(B) * P(A). 5/9 * 6/9 = 10/27 which divided by P(A) doesnt give 2/5
@delacruzfamily5008
@delacruzfamily5008 3 года назад
BASED Theorem
@sthefanyguzman8209
@sthefanyguzman8209 2 года назад
so it is okay if I only use the previous formula?
@nashnash3469
@nashnash3469 2 года назад
You are always very helpful. I appreciate you
@14dayztimeap8
@14dayztimeap8 Год назад
Great Video.
@jim2376
@jim2376 7 месяцев назад
(what you're looking for) / ( (what you're looking for) + (not what you're looking for, but with the same condition) )
@fernandolozano9898
@fernandolozano9898 Год назад
Amazing video. This theorem definitely required me to attempt a practice problem to properly understand it.
@onepeopletv6531
@onepeopletv6531 2 года назад
This helpful
@tech2day365
@tech2day365 2 года назад
Damn this man teaches every course you could imagine of, truly a gem
@logicboard7746
@logicboard7746 2 года назад
Tree @11:20
@ahmedismailbinamrai1080
@ahmedismailbinamrai1080 2 месяца назад
You are simply amazing, Thank you for this clear explanation.
@nobodynoway3429
@nobodynoway3429 4 года назад
anyone who can recommend me a school with now grading system. I hAte the grading system school. instead of learning more because grading system, I cannot even get to my own learning minimum limit and I hate that. I want unlimited learning. band the grading system it is unfair for students and for some reasoning probability is good for the world. there are lots of negative probability having grading system. and more positive probability without it. think about it everyone. or am I the only one who think about it.
@Mehaksaini02
@Mehaksaini02 2 года назад
I FUCKING LOVE YOU!!! No I seriously do. You have to be god sent.
@saieshanooguru8707
@saieshanooguru8707 2 года назад
Why did he use conditional probability (given) for the 95% who are positive and have cancer. Shouldn't it just be union (because it is "and")?
@Kiddo_X
@Kiddo_X 10 месяцев назад
I've been out of school due to medical, but happened upon this formula & your methods for solving them. Why aren't you instructing?😮😮
@bushraw66
@bushraw66 Год назад
at 13:00 I don't understand how did he calculate the amount of test results, I know logically it makes sense but is there an equation to follow once one probability is not found. also at 18:25 should the number of people who have cancer is 1200 instead of 1140? when he calculated the amount of positive test result he used the sum 1140 + 528 why only using the 1140 when calculating the number of people who have cancer shouldn't also contain the number of people who have cancer but got negative test results? I'd really appreciate some help here.
@cihancanatan6749
@cihancanatan6749 2 года назад
From chemistry to statistics this teaches almost everything
@princeakpabli7988
@princeakpabli7988 2 года назад
Please Sir, preamble says; a man without a prostate cancer has 6% chance of getting a "false positive test results". Please I don't understand the statement in quote, kindly help Sir
@roycierra
@roycierra 16 дней назад
can you explain: why p(+) is not equal to p(+|c) + p(+|nc) ??
@TokBunchanth
@TokBunchanth 13 дней назад
please solve that prob blem in another way Called condictomal probabitily
@marcoventura9451
@marcoventura9451 3 года назад
Great video, as usual well explained with meaningful example. Thank You.
@yusram.6175
@yusram.6175 Год назад
near the end, shouldnt you multiply 1140 by 1200 in the numerator?
@MainframeSupertasker
@MainframeSupertasker 5 месяцев назад
AW HELL NAW YOU BLEW MY FUCKING MIND WITH A SHOTGUN AND NOW ITS FREE
@DoinksandArctic
@DoinksandArctic 2 года назад
How do I keep ending up on this channel lol You're the goat!!!
@ikartikthakur
@ikartikthakur Год назад
I will definitely pay back once I start earning with all the knowledge you gave us . Unless college which sucks money , teaches nothing and annoys with assignment n 75% attendance
@ZacZach
@ZacZach 4 месяца назад
i used to reads the comments of people saying they have a test the following day. it didn't age well because tomorrow it is I who is going to get crushed especially testing hypotheses and confidence interval (:
@virendeshpande4191
@virendeshpande4191 2 года назад
Your video is amazing. Just one thing can you please remove the prostate cancer example.
@TwerpZ
@TwerpZ 3 года назад
Don't forget to get checked out! You never know, so 2 fingers to better you probability
@naiaoxe4784
@naiaoxe4784 3 года назад
at 13:00 why did we have to do the whole multiplication thing when the purpose of that was to know how many people have cancer and get positive test results and we already have that: 0.95. if anyone could explain
@ajeanvi11e
@ajeanvi11e 5 месяцев назад
A brilliant video, thank you 👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽
@bigsmerdo
@bigsmerdo Год назад
16:02 blimey is this city Chernobyl or something ahaha
@user-wy7wl5on7l
@user-wy7wl5on7l 2 года назад
This was remarkably clearly explained. Thanks so much!
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