I wonder who produces this show? Do they care about people watching? If so can they watch the successful ESPN broadcasts. During the coverage of the main event no active number of how many people left. Constantly asking people to like and subscribe. It's like boomers who've never watching content online took over the greatest poker tournament in the world and were like I know what people want, a paywall and for our commentators to say like and subscribe over and over .
In fact they even want people to pay for an annual subscription to PokerGO , because they offer a $20 off bonus code it's pretty annoying for the people that just want to see this one tournament which is the biggest one in the year. ppv is not even available...
My thoughts exactly. That was more of a punt than Kristen's. He is jamming into a 4 bet having to get through 2 other players and on final table no less. What do I know though. Too afraid to even play a $100 buyin.
Astedt is like a computer running all of the numbers and figuring out his decision before he even moves. Absolute baller. Brian Kim is one of my favorite players as well. This whole hand is incredible. Great street poker with the button opening wide, Brian being capable and exploiting it and Astedt being flawless in his play 🔥
Fish are commenting the punt, but they don't appreciate the 4b induce with TT. Most people would shove or fold with TT there and they get no extra chips
@@sonbaoho No. You're never supposed to cold call a 3bet there from the BB in this distribution. You should rarely cold call three bets, unless someone is already all in.
It's been this way for multiple years and it's valid since it doesn't block A5s that can 4b/f obviously and 99 and potentially TT since Lena almost folded.
I noticed a strange issue: 1. **Angelov's original raise:** 4,600,000 2. **Kim's 3bet:** 11,800,000 3. **Difference:** 11,800,000 - 4,600,000 = 7,200,000 Based on this difference, Astedt's minimum 4bet should be: 11,800,000 + 7,200,000 = 19,000,000 However, in the picture, it shows Astedt raising to 18,000,000, which is indeed less than the minimum raise required by the rules. According to the rules, his raise is not valid; the minimum should be 19,000,000. Therefore, Astedt's raise is indeed less than the minimum raise required by the rules.
@@russellalesi5715dealer said 18 million out loud AND you can see him put in 3 grays (5 mil a piece) and 3 pink (1 mil a piece). Was just an oversight by dealer and maybe everyone because no player nor commentator brought it up
@Cerealkiller050 hey bro...I had the sound off and just watched...calm down bro...humans make mistakes...you too...and that extra million had no bearing on the premises...only in your pedantic skull...
@@untouchable360x when did this term “blocker” become a thing? Like “oh I have a king so it’s impossible for him to have king king or a stronger king”. I saw another comment on another punt video about “well he had the jack of diamonds so it’s unlikely the other guy had a diamond draw” lol I know, cause you have one diamond the other guy can’t have 2 in his hand
@@Nasdupree9090This blocker became a thing ever since people started using solvers. Only thing blocker is supposed to do is show the obvious chance of them having the same card or same suit is lower than chance of them having other cards. But just because they have lower chance, they assume they dont have it. Thats where the leak is of the blocker mentality. That's what OP was making fun of. Just because he's holding K6, of all the range of hands Astedt can hold, he has lower chance of having KK than AA, QQ, JJ, TT. And indeed, he was right. 😂
why is the 4-bet to 18 mil? it should be to 19 mil. Kim raises 7.2, from 4.6 to 11.8. So, the min raise should be 7.2 and the total should be 11.8 + 7.2 = 19
Yes ur right. Kim's hand was a punt for sure. I've seen him play a lot he plays well usually. BB is never ever folding here after the 4b with those stacks
but brooo its easy to say like that.. but if you know LENA he is such a agresiive player which can 4bet some garbage.. and thats what he thought i think
He saw the monster stack 4-betting pre flop and assumed they had a weaker hand like theirs probably lol. A pair of tens ain’t exactly a hot hand either
bluffing is how you win. you cant just rely on lucky coolers to cash big. its always a punt when they run into the nuts but its genius when it works. poker is a ridiculous game
@@russellalesi5715 I don’t play I make my money in sales. Poker is stupid unless you’re an autistic gto nerd that wants to grind hundreds of tournaments and deal with variance.
@@russellalesi5715 I don’t play. Poker is stupid. Where do you play? You a big winner? Pretty sure you’re not cus you wouldn’t have asked me that petty question. Would love to see you’re lose rate
Brian and Kristen should sit down together for a cup of coffee, then honestly ask each other the same friendly question: “What the f… were you thinking?”
This really isn't a punt unless you're playing against nits. Lena absolutely should be caging Kim with the 4bet. I'll give you some free coaching since the nits and fun players are out in droves. The btn's range is basically irrelevant as it's so wide so Kim knows that and elects to 3bet bluff, Lena being the absolute end game online boss that wins everything decides to 4b. Which can be a lot wider than people realize since it can get btn to fold a vast majority of their range and also Kim can't really flat (hence using the minbet; I know it wasn't a legal bet, moving on). So that's why he clicks it back. With those dynamics in mind Kim has a hand that blocks a decent bit of stuff that calls like KK and AK. Unsure what KQs does for Lena but you get the idea. It also unblocks 99-QQ which most combos are calling but it's not like he's in terrible shape vs any of those, plus TT wanted to fold here but had to call ultimately.
His main mistake was to not count the chips. 1) Astedt just has to call $35.9M to win $114.4M 2) Astedt had so many chips over so even losing this hand He would’ve had $117M on chips…so That move could’ve been done if Kim had more chips and put Astedt on verge of elimination.
I once punted K6 suited preflop on BTN jam 15BBs with 20 players left in a 2k player field. That was a $600 tourney so Brian makes me feel a lot better 😂
Another sometimes easier way to calculate the min raise is to double the last bet and take away previous bet, 11.8 * 2 - 4.6 = 19, same equation rearranged. Dealer made a small error, no biggie. Players are also responsible for following the action and can (and should?) speak up if they see mistakes, but none of them did.
K6 suited all in preflop after grinding for 9 days to get to the final table. I guess all that poker does take a toll on your mind. I was hoping he would take it down since seeing him play on live at the bike. Maybe if he was deeper that all in would work but opp is basically priced in with his 10s at that point
are you implying they "let" him not do a full legal min. raise? at the biggest tournament on the planet? moreover, you're implying they DID let him do that, AND if he made it a measly extra 400k, Kim folds instead of jams? this is why poker is not dead.
I just watched this hand back again on the highlight reel and, as Lon astutely points out, players don't have to double the raise but they do have to match the raise of the last player. Unfortunately, Lon failed to notice that Astedt did NOT match the previous raise and was a million short if the graphics are correct. 4.6 to 11.8 is a raise of 7.2, but 11.8 to 18 is only a raise of 6.2. I realize this is inconsequential to the outcome of the hand but any dealer at the final table of the WSOP should have noticed.
He was targeting Angelov, but on his reckoning he didn't think Nicklas would even consider calling or raising behind him. This was sickening to watch. Nicklas to dominate and will have no opposition on the run in now, unless someone luckboxes.
Analysis: It’s always an interesting dynamic when play folds around on the button late in a tournament as stacks are short and picking up blinds and antes become essential to survive & win. In truth, most players struggle with button vs blind play as most common poker theory dramatically changes in this spot. Some players will relentlessly defend their blinds especially to the more than standard 2x raise late in a tourney claiming they have enough pot odds to justify a call with rags out of the BB. In most cases, making these calls will just have you bleed more chips over time and have you make more mistakes as you are at a big disadvantage post flop being both out of position, have no betting lead, or a range advantage. In this hand Angelov has an unsuited Ace on the button and there is no reason not to take a stab at the blinds. He raises a little more than 2x which I like a lot as a bigger button raise deters the blinds from defending and if they choose to defend than they put themselves in a disadvantage with a bigger pot. Kim picks up K6 suited in the SB and in most cases, you are just going to muck this hand, but Kim decides to take a stand with this hand. I like the play using this as a raise or fold strategy from the SB, but think he is much better off doing this with a suited wheel Ace. Astedt in the BB picks up a real hand with his pocket 10’s - he is the massive chip leader and covers both players combined. Calling here with his stack would be the worst thing to do as 1010 oop 3 ways becomes a much weaker holding. What is interesting about his 4 bet was how small it was at is only a min 4 bet. If I was in this position covering both players only have 1/3 of my stack at risk - I would have made a 4 bet around 26-30M, put both players to the test and most likely take the pot down preflop, but I’m not a world class bro - his 4 bet sizing gets an easy fold Angelov. Kim now decides to take a stand and shove against Astedt representing a big hand. I love the heart and these are plays you have to make to win a big tournament - but the timing is probably wrong. Hard to think Astedt is bluffing with his 4 bet here and bullying around these two, but Kim who had a rough start at the final table losing a large portion of his stack to Griff when his nut flush ran into a Griff boat might have been tilting a little. This isn’t exactly an easy call by Astedt as Kim is representing a huge hand & Astedt is hoping that he is in a coin flip situation as he doesn’t block any AA-JJ. Let’s look at the math and range Kim is representing. Kim’s 3 bet in the SB followed by a shove is representing the top range. AA-JJ, AK, mixing in a few bluffs on this range chart - Astedt is a little more than 40%. It costs Astedt 41M to win a pot of 114M almost 3-1 needing him to be a 33% dog to be mathematically correct. If you factor in ICM and the fact that Astert only has to risk 1/3 of his stack and if he loses is still second in chips it’s a fairly easy call. Turns out he was way ahead and a 68% favorite. Astedt called hit his set on the flop, the turn gave Kim a flush draw but a brick river gave Astedt the hand. Of course, everyone will look at this play and think it’s an insane move by Kim. This is a genius 4 bet by Astedt as he is almost forcing Kim to do anything but fold with this small sizing and shows why he is one of the best in the world. Kim had the right idea but the wrong situation here - as folding to the 4 bet would have put him as the bottom stack but still not that far behind the field. Kim who was second in chips to start the final table had run into some tough luck and unfortunately was probably a little tilted in the heat of battle on this one here.
Dealer tells him he owes one more after Kim jams because I think earpiece let him know it was illegal. If Lena folds he’d have had to put in the extra million.
Just let Lon call it the kitchen. It is, after all, where everything starts cooking. Even though I call it a window myself. I can't even call it the door, like a few others do.
There was a Big mistake from the Dealer and nobody noticed, Kim raise 11.8 so 7.2 mil on top of Angelov 4.6, Astedt should raise minimum 19mil but instead he raise 18mill.
Everyone being outcome dependent here. 99% of the time Kim has AK+ including bigger pocket pairs the majority of that 99% of the time. This was actually a bad call with TT. Just happened to work this time
I agree. 1010 4bet then facing shove should have you worried. Even if it's a potential bluff. This is the WSOP final table....how many more will you make. Is 1010 worth it?
@@karanswaich9601 correct. Facing a 5bet TT is just a bluff catcher. And how many people are bluffing in the main final table? Not many. Maybe less than 5% of the time ever in that spot is someone bluffing. He just happens to catch him bluffing with a very very bad hand and flopped a set. Overall in the long run this is a - EV call. But hey It worked out. Happy for him
@@antzooma if you think it’s a punt. Ask yourself this. If Kim had QQ+… and he called off 26bb with TT after being 5 bet would you think that’s also a punt?… if your answer isn’t also that it’s a punt. Then you are being outcome biased… Because calling off with TT after being 5 bet is equally bad too…
