I love you guys. Amidst so much noise, the clarity of thoughts and analyses is exceptional and bring so much to your Jewish and non Jewish audience. Thank you.
What about southern Lebanon becoming a home for persecuted minorities in the Arab world - Druze, Yazidi, Kurds, etc. Would help address Israel's security and some humanitarian problems in multiple countries in the region
I’ve been listening to this podcast for about a year now. I’ve never given a shout out. That’s my bad. It’s probably the master class on this conflict.
Good podcast. One point. I like your optimism about a new future for the middle east. Netanyahu was trying to suggest a similar thing in the un. I am highly sceptical about that. I know you talk of moderate sunny states. But there is a solid 1400 year solid track record of Islam and the region. For these dreams to come true then 1400 years of historical precedent would have to be up ended. My personal opinion and I hope I am wrong the only way for this vision to come true is if the moderate and moderate parties in the middle east all start to drift away from Islam totally. Or that there is a giant reformation of the religion that changes it beyond recognition and isn't reversible.
Very interesting and informative. But I think Dan overestimates the effect of these strikes. Is hezbo going to be moved back and kept from the northern border? What will prevent the irgc from rebuilding hezbo,? Is the Iran regime nuke program going to be ended? Green zone , thinking.
Great analysis. This is hopefully a pivotal point in this war. It was looking not great until 2 weeks ago but the tide seems to have changed. Hamas still needs to be finished in Gaza and still more work in Lebanon but it looks very different today. Then Iran. Just like the north Israel has invested a lot in Iran so hopefully we will see some results there as well.
question: is it possible that the Mossad and the airforce are better "oiled machines" over the "shabak and the army"; thereby creating the vast difference in action regarding Gaza and the West Bank vs the rest of the ME ? ? is there credibility to this thought?
I'd argue the vastly different situations on the ground in two dramatically different theaters. Regardless of anyone's opinions on Bibi's actions related to the hostages, the fact is that every strike in Gaza has the added consideration of the potential harm to the hostages, which obviously is not present in the north. The fact that the Lebanese have seen what has happened in Gaza, when the IDF says to leave the area, they don't ignore it. This makes clearing the battlespace of potential civilians mich more effective. Also, Gaza had the benefit of initiative in their preparedness. By choosing the time of the attack, they were able to prepare for the response, so IDF had to respond in a way that was not obvious, not walking straight into a trap. In the North, the year long tit for tat basically set the rhythm of the conflict to a somewhat predictable cadence. This allowed for Israel to have the opportunity to create an element of surprise in a fight that is ongoing. It's a great show of deception and striking on Isreal's part. Not that one force is better or worse, its combat in very different theaters, very different factors influencing their strike options, different postures of the enemies on the other side.
@@goldberg7019 yes - but I neglected to clarify that I was referring to the lead up to "before Oct 7th" - clearly both the shabak and the army failed in every facet of their HW and were complacent. underestimating many many facrts on the ground. Now it will take years to "clean up". I am personally nervous that it won't be done with proper thought.
It’s is abundantly clear from this conversation and all others like it, that as a society we value the lives of female soldiers more. Was it therefore a mistake to staff the border with 70% females for the sake of DEI?
