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Can China Fix Its Trillion-Dollar Local Debt Crisis? 

Bloomberg Quicktake
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China has seen the world’s largest infrastructure boom over the past decade, making it one of the primary drivers of the Asian nation’s economic growth.
But companies that borrowed money to finance the development surge are now facing unprecedented debt pressures. What happens to them next could very well determine the future of China’s entire economy.
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22 авг 2023

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Комментарии : 91   
@zo9fg
@zo9fg 10 месяцев назад
sounds like someone making minimum payment and interest and rolling the debt, never paying the principal back
@ZackyVillain
@ZackyVillain Месяц назад
they will pay back principals in the long run if the interest rate is lower than inflation rate. they have planned to tanstfer debts from local to national, and do a lot of easing policies.
@amunra5330
@amunra5330 10 месяцев назад
The key here is grow more SLOWLY not completely collapse. The way the media talk about this you would think that the world was coming to an end.
@jordie4423
@jordie4423 8 месяцев назад
It’s not, it’s just a shift from one powerhouse to another. It happened to Japan and is now happening with China. It’s not just the debt, and the real estate crisis. It’s the aging population. The new thing will be India with a growing population and low labour costs. India will be the new growth engine, especially now India has introduced an alternative route for the Southern Belt trade route
@posthocprior
@posthocprior 10 месяцев назад
A very good explanation.
@Buttersausage
@Buttersausage 10 месяцев назад
All that infrastructures will need to be rebuilt soon and at a very pricy amount
@davenoi9609
@davenoi9609 10 месяцев назад
So if Evergrand and Country Garden fill chapter 10? Who will be the big looser? BlackRock? And why would China care if Wall Street takes a beating?
@amunra5330
@amunra5330 10 месяцев назад
Yea they can
@joewong438
@joewong438 10 месяцев назад
This is public works. Are you talking about EverGrande? That is a privately own company and it is their bond holders are holding the bag. I am certain that lot of foreign investment bankers are scrutinized cover their losses. That’s my thought.
@joewong438
@joewong438 10 месяцев назад
Correction: foreign investment bankers are scrambling to cover their losses.
@tonyh7158
@tonyh7158 10 месяцев назад
even tough china is so doom and broke, don't know why american offical still goto china for financial help.
@aaronely759
@aaronely759 10 месяцев назад
Somehow I feel like this will hurt us more than them if they dont...
@MasticinaAkicta
@MasticinaAkicta 9 месяцев назад
Remember when people were like "Look CHINA can build a high say train system within years, and bridges and whole cities. Why can't we?" Well the reality is is, debt, huge amounts of debts. Debts that can't and won't be paid off. That is the difference.
@Kenneth-jt7ul
@Kenneth-jt7ul 10 месяцев назад
China is running out of money.. 😆
@J_X999
@J_X999 10 месяцев назад
I remember people saying that in 2010. You do as well. "B-b-but this time it's literwally happening 🥺"
@SeeLasSee
@SeeLasSee 10 месяцев назад
@@J_X999yes and they went on a 15 stimulus binge beginning in 2008.
@J_X999
@J_X999 10 месяцев назад
@@SeeLasSee Which cannot happen again due to debt and unsustainable growth model.
@Trueye-sl2mr
@Trueye-sl2mr 6 месяцев назад
Why not?
@dachochiyo3992
@dachochiyo3992 10 месяцев назад
32 Trillions?
@HKim0072
@HKim0072 10 месяцев назад
Basically, it will be pushing a wet noodle.
@vicparmi1939
@vicparmi1939 10 месяцев назад
it could china put more of their money to military structure.
@richardoang8373
@richardoang8373 4 месяца назад
They can easily fix it they will just unload more US treasury note and used they own reserves like GOLD : )
@panoptijohn
@panoptijohn 10 месяцев назад
Lots of bridges to nowhere
@DK-ev9dg
@DK-ev9dg 10 месяцев назад
Your country must be crumbling everywhere
@SeeLasSee
@SeeLasSee 10 месяцев назад
I thought the LGFVs were the ones ‘selling’ land for development and thereby generating revenue for the local governments.
@HKim0072
@HKim0072 10 месяцев назад
LGFVs were setup because it was illegal for local governments to issue muni debt, lol. A really stupid system. (They can issue debt directly now.)
@petersonmonteirodejesus5967
@petersonmonteirodejesus5967 10 месяцев назад
Música nova "problemas na backstage" e "problemas na backstage"
@Semper_Iratus
@Semper_Iratus 10 месяцев назад
I know! Print more m-o-n-e-y. 😊
@GoGoPooerRangers
@GoGoPooerRangers 10 месяцев назад
China does not have the same reserve currency status as the US. It would also sink the yuan.
@leihtory7423
@leihtory7423 10 месяцев назад
@@GoGoPooerRangers well great then. cheaper exports. is not China accused of de-valuing their currency? to gain economic advantage.
@osvaldotobon3675
@osvaldotobon3675 10 месяцев назад
@@leihtory7423that would put India onto becoming potential growing larger then china due to decline in population and lack of economic growth but this is just speculation.
@colombard140
@colombard140 7 месяцев назад
❤❤❤❤ Practically all of China's debt are denominated in the Chinese local currency i.e. the Yuan which can be legally printed or created out of thin air by the Chinese government. So what's the problem? The USA owes $34 trillion, all in US dollars and as such it can still continue to print more dollars without much danger to itself. The danger is to those holding large amounts of US dollars as their weath will be diluted with more devalued dollars flooding the market. 😊😊😊😊
@MasticinaAkicta
@MasticinaAkicta 7 месяцев назад
The problem is GDP based. China has a HUGE debt. Yes other countries have a HUGE debt too. And if you compared the DEBT to the GDP you can see how BAD it is. And China... oh god, oh god, has a HUGE overspill in debts compared to its GDP. Sure the USA and EUROPE too.. so where is the problem... the absolute crazy speed it got it! It seems that China in 30 years or so has build up the same level of debt as the USA in.. way longer. I hope that you see the problem.
@ssuwandi3240
@ssuwandi3240 6 месяцев назад
Lies. IMF tracker stated 77% China vs USA 133% Debt to GDP ratios.
@wyz9815
@wyz9815 6 месяцев назад
​@@MasticinaAkicta US has 34 trillion dollar debt over 10 times that of China's, with only 1/4 population of China , Canada also has about 3 trillions dollar debt with only 1/35 the Chinese population, and behind China's debts, there are infrastructures and house and bridges, all real assets! US debt is purely debts, nothing behind it. but... but.... China's issue is huge and its debt is about to explode. Great brainwashing video with great logic fed by stupids.
@albertjr.wagner5823
@albertjr.wagner5823 10 месяцев назад
A faltering Chinese economy would likely place nations heavily reliant on Chinese markets and investments, particularly those closely engaged in the Belt and Road Initiative, in precarious positions. Additionally, China's economic challenges could exacerbate domestic tensions, potentially prompting a more assertive diplomatic stance by the Xi Jinping administration as a diversionary tactic, a phenomenon that has already begun to manifest itself to some extent.The current Chinese government bears responsibility for the economic crisis. The prevailing lack of trust in the regime has eroded market and capital confidence, a situation unlikely to be rectified in the foreseeable future given China's current political landscape. As such, the world should really prepare for the deepening of China's economic shock.
@jordie4423
@jordie4423 8 месяцев назад
True that, especially now India has introduced an alternative route for the Southern Belt trade route
@judyl.7811
@judyl.7811 9 месяцев назад
0:25 LGFV, Local government financing vehicles. 0:50 it's free or cheap that will never be paid back. 1:35 LGFVs have always been able to meet payments due on their bonds. 2:05 roll over n.轉滾法 (用舊債券購買新債券) roll over the debt like we did before. 2:45 when a bank lose their wealth, it can be a huge shock to the financial system. (bankruptcy)
@TheeRomantic
@TheeRomantic 10 месяцев назад
China "new high tech"
@iggy5347
@iggy5347 10 месяцев назад
Its better spend $1 trilliuns on new better infrastructure then spending $2 trilliuns on useless afghan war and $5 trilliuns on iraq war lmao
@SeeLasSee
@SeeLasSee 10 месяцев назад
True. Though China is getting sucked into the same issues now gradually. Look at their militarization of Pakistan.
@iggy5347
@iggy5347 10 месяцев назад
@@SeeLasSee china outside military bases only in africa in djabuti . And south china sea on reef .there is no military bases other then that. While the US got 800 military bases around the world
@guntumsiregar7176
@guntumsiregar7176 5 месяцев назад
I am looking for investors or funder who are interested to invest in Indonesia. Shipyard and Oil Refinery project in Indonesia
@silentwatcher1455
@silentwatcher1455 7 месяцев назад
US has 33 trillion debt problem. Very urgent.
@ZackyVillain
@ZackyVillain Месяц назад
in terms of debt to gdp ratio, that is half of what China has now.
@zmax683
@zmax683 8 месяцев назад
Ahh why you worried about china,?,instead of broadcasting about homeless u have under Brooklyn bridges 😂😂
@siantopablo9149
@siantopablo9149 8 месяцев назад
😂😂
@timothy1949
@timothy1949 10 месяцев назад
Up next: Can US Fix Its 32.6 Trillion-Dollar National Debt Crisis?
@GoGoPooerRangers
@GoGoPooerRangers 10 месяцев назад
I understand that your question may not be aimed at seeking a sincere response, possibly reflecting a "whataboutism" approach. Nonetheless, it is indeed feasible for the United States to address its national debt, as it has successfully done in the past during Bill Clinton's administration. Achieving this would necessitate a clear demonstration of political determination, involving measures such as raising taxes on high-income earners, reducing government expenditures, overhauling the complex tax code, and ensuring accelerated economic growth. Notably, a significant portion of the national debt, nearly 70%, is held domestically, which has its advantages. It means that, barring any unwarranted actions, such as default initiated by certain factions, the U.S. government can always secure additional funding from domestic investors. However, this also implies that the U.S. government will incur higher interest payments on its debt, underscoring the importance of imposing taxes on the ultra-wealthy. In contrast, Chinese debt carries a different set of risks. A substantial portion of China's debt, approximately 65%, is foreign-held, which exposes them to currency risk. Unlike China, the U.S. debt is denominated in its own currency, the U.S. dollar, which shields the U.S. government from currency-related uncertainties.
@ewomavese2490
@ewomavese2490 10 месяцев назад
@@GoGoPooerRangers very cool/Interesting analysis on USA''s ability to repay but it needs a lot more flesh which infact i'm going to ask ChaTgpT & even search on RU-vid, but about Chinese Debt being more foreign denominated, you might be slightly wrong, here's what ChaTgPT gave me ChaTgPt - "As of my knowledge cutoff in September 2021, China's domestic debt holdings accounted for a significant proportion of its total debt. Estimates suggest that the majority of China's debt, around 70% to 80%, is held domestically by its own government, financial institutions, and corporations. This includes debt held by state-owned banks, local governments, policy banks, and other domestic entities"
@kongwee1978
@kongwee1978 10 месяцев назад
Yes with ceiling up to 52 trillion dollar!
@timothy1949
@timothy1949 10 месяцев назад
@@GoGoPooerRangers full of nonsense, might want to look into dedollarization and history of world reverse currency. it is not possible to address US national debt issue, you can print however much you want, until the entire thing blows up and you become the next venezuela. US household saving rate is around 5%, chinese household saving rate is around 50%. 57% of US households cant afford a $1000 emergency bill, thats why they had to hand out cash during COVID and the last time the government shuts down. then look at what happen to the FEDs balance sheet, its never coming down, and then inflation and then interest rate. they are raising the debt ceiling to borrow more so they can pay interest on their previous debt, and guess what happen to your interest payment when you raise interest rate, it goes UP. everyone is waiting for the music to stop and end of an era.
@warso-spt1
@warso-spt1 10 месяцев назад
​@@GoGoPooerRangers"China debt is owned by foreign entities" 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@gautamhalder5929
@gautamhalder5929 10 месяцев назад
Internal debt can be managed by printing currency. China slow down is overrated.
@farzana6676
@farzana6676 10 месяцев назад
China will be stuck in a middle income trap for the next 3 decades.
@huas5350
@huas5350 10 месяцев назад
The Chinese economy does have some problems, and there are some different problems every year, but Americans and Europeans habitually magnify these problems by 50 times to continuously publicize them to comfort their inner expectations. Its subtext is: China is almost finished. But in fact, the Chinese economy is much healthier than the American economy, and Even less trouble than the German economy and the British economy. China does not bear a debt of 30 trillion yuan, which is much larger than GDP, and 1/4 of the world's industrial production capacity is in China, which can be used as the basis for repairing economic problems. If China's economy is doomed, then the United States will surely be doomed earlier than it is. This is a fact that no one wants to face. Acknowledging problems and solving them is one of the fundamental reasons why China keeps moving so fast. Ignoring its own problems and focusing on its opponents is the reason why the United States is sinking. If this mentality of Westerners does not change, the world will definitely shift to the East and South. Look at how many countries expect to enter the BRICS alliance, has no one seriously reflected on the essential reasons? 1990. The Economist. China's economy has come to a halt. 1996. The Economist. China's economy will face a hard landing 1998. The Economist: China's economy entering a dangerous period of sluggish growth. 1999. Bank of Canada: Likelihood of a hard landing for the Chinese economy. 2000. Chicago Tribune: China currency move nails hard landing risk coffin. 2001. Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas: A hard landing in China. 2002. Westchester University: China Anxiously Seeks a Soft Economic Landing 2003. KWR International: How to find a soft landing if China.. 2004. The Economist: The great fall of China? 2005. Nouriel Roubini: The Risk of a Hard Landing in China 2006. International Economy: Can China Achieve a Soft Landing? 2007. TIME: Is China's Economy Overheating? Can China avoid a hard landing? 2008. Forbes: Hard Landing In China? 2009. Fortune: China's hard landing. China must find a way to recover. 2010. Nouriel Roubini: Hard landing coming in China. 2011. Business Insider: A Chinese Hard Landing May Be Closer Than You Think 2012. American Interest: Dismal Economic News from China: A Hard Landing 2013. Zero Hedge: A Hard Landing In China 2014. CNBC: A hard landing in China. 2015. Forbes: Congratulations, You Got Yourself A Chinese Hard Landing …. 2016. The Economist: Hard landing looms for China 2017. National Interest: Is China's Economy Going To Crash? 2018. CNN: Forget the trade war, China’s economy has other big problems 2019. BBC : China's economy grows at slowest pace since 1990s 2020. Economics Explained: The Scary Solution to the Chinese Debt Crisis 2021. Global Economics: Has China's Downfall Started? 2022. Nikkei Asia: China's debt bomb looks ready to explode 2023. Wall Street Journal: China's 'Ticking Time Bomb' Economy
@iggy5347
@iggy5347 10 месяцев назад
The listen from gordon chang the collapse of china 2001 and second book 2010. All fake news
@SeeLasSee
@SeeLasSee 10 месяцев назад
You overestimate the messaging to the average westerner which is surprisingly positive on China. The US economy is also much more diversified and robust than you suggest.
@karlz6018
@karlz6018 10 месяцев назад
@@SeeLasSee The US economy looks diversified and robust only because US Army and US dollar system.Once US Navy loses control of the second island chain and the Middle East...I cant even imagine. It will be even more chaotic than when USSR collapsed
@jordie4423
@jordie4423 8 месяцев назад
China’s debt vs GDP is much higher than in the USA, 220% versus 120% debt to GDP in the USA. The debt ratio is much unhealthier in China. Biggest problem China faces is the aging and shrinking population and workforce. With the collapse of the real estate bubble, China needs a new economic model. They can’t be the production house anymore with the shrinking population. They need consumerism in China but Chinese wealth is invested in real estate and that bubble is now popping. It’s comparable tot what Japan went trough. India will be the new production house in Asia. Cheap labor, growing population and the my invest in an alternative trade route than the Southern belt.
@huas5350
@huas5350 8 месяцев назад
@@jordie4423 220%..lol. One of the famous stupid ideas spread among Indians. One only has to go to China to see how stupid it is 😅
@mikerussell3298
@mikerussell3298 10 месяцев назад
Of course it will. Meanwhile the US decline continues at a faster pace.
@user-vh3fr3lb8w
@user-vh3fr3lb8w 7 месяцев назад
Decline in what?? Talk china here that's what is talked about.
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