Cyclone chances increasing for India this week 

Cyclone rumblings continue across the Indian Ocean, with Cyclone Ialy continuing its push near the Seychelles, a borderline tropical cyclone very close to the equator to the east, and a potential major cyclone for India late this week.
Cyclone Ialy is starting to weaken, and is still pulling further west than expected, bringing into question whether cyclone impacts might be felt in Tanzania, Kenya, and even Somalia later in the week. Model projections still show the storm's remnants reaching the equator and entering the northern hemisphere, throwing rain along the east African coast, which may lead to flooding concerns.
An area of interest near the British Indian Ocean territory is showing signs of becoming a tropical cyclone, and contains storm force winds. This would be quite comfortably the closest storm to the equator to form in the South Indian Ocean, but it is not likely to affect land and will be very brief in its existence.
An area of interest is likely to develop quickly during the week in the Bay of Bengal, and may rapidly intensify over very warm waters as it propels itself towards northern India. At the moment, models are suggesting a landfall in West Bengal.
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