Nobody's sending Starship to other star systems, but chances are that when we start building ships that will go to other stars, SpaceX will be the ones building them
Trips to Mars are currently NOT when Earth and Mars are "closest" as stated in the video. It is when Earth and Mars will be lined up for a minimum energy Hohmann transfer orbit, which is an elliptical solar orbit that has a maximum distance from the sun at the orbit of Mars.
SpaceX could use Starship to loft materials to build EarthMars Aldrin Cycler ships to be boosted into solar orbits that have a short leg and long leg, and encounter Earth and Mars during every orbit. Once established into solar orbit, they wouldn't require further major ∆v changes. Starship could ferry people and freight to meet these Cyclers that would consist of two groups, such that people would board the "short" trips each way, while freight would be shipped via the "long" return legs of each group's orbital periods between Earth and Mars SpaceX Aldrin Cyclers would be the efficient way to move people and supplies between Earth and Mars.
3:40 I always found it dumb how people say that things like quadrillions of dollars are in an asteroid as if somehow prices of rare metals wouldn't crash as soon as the technology to mine and return metals from asteroids was proven. Supply and demand dictate that if we increase the supply of gold and platinum and iron, et al, (barring some DeBeers diamond cartel situation) then the prices of metal will become so cheap that the money in these asteroids will immediately be lowered by a titanic margin. In the same vein we better start aggressively protecting our forests more because wood will be more valuable than gold as soon as we starting mining asteroids.
its only worth what the markets will pay, once its mined, refined, and transported to earth (expensive process). flooding the market with rare stuff will just lower the price you can get for it. its better to just create a space economy, do the manufacturing in space, and just cut earth out of the loop.
We can set up contained environments to grow whatever plants we need. In fact, I support the idea of such greenhouse type environments throughout the colonies to keep species of both plants and animals from becoming extinct. In addition to providing for the needs of the colonies.
Good points, but the control over the mining, refining, and delivery of such metals would be by the asteroid mining companies. They could easily dictate the inflation, demand, etc. artificially. I think that a self-governing Mars that would “control” said mining would be bad for Earth since they would then dictate such variables! Now, if there was significant government control with a steady supply, and I’m not normally one to suggest that level of government control, we would be able to remove most artificial economic barriers that would skyrocket (some pun intended) such costs!
@@jayrose6312 You do realize, the costs of creating the colonies and space habitats, refineries etc, will be expensive. Private companies will be building these for profit. Why shouldn’t they get a fair return? No one will invest if some made up government is going to regulate you out of business. Huge profits NEED to be made at first, to make it worthwhile. Things will stabilize after they become routine.
@@883kodiak exactly. you can't run a self-sustaining technological civilization w/ 10k ppl. Unless you have post-scarcity tech, which we don't currently have.
That's probably for an indefinitely self-sustaining colony. 100 could get you through 2 generations of travel but that's assuming you'd be able to meet many more at your destination.
Two completely overrated countries compared to the rest of the world. That's why the Paris syndrome exists. People get depression, when visiting Paris, because it is so awful compared to what they think about it.
@@juliane__ I spend a good part of the year in each of these countries and I don't shed a tear if something doesn't meet the inflated expectations of an overseas tourist. Just don't come there, go elsewhere, go to bloody Mars if you want, and leave France for those who can understand it.
No one is going to colonize space without us producing a space craft that is very very large. And at least a nuclear propulsion system. All else is pie in the sky. Probably also able to create artificial gravity inside the space craft.
@@JOlivier2011 noone huge ship is to dangerous both to build and to finance. it will be done by armada of small aND MDIUM SIZED SHIP REDUNDUNCY INCASE A VECHILE FAILS HALF WAY THERE,
Is it a coincidence that since Elon endorsed Trump, the FAA has been more difficult? Imagine if government bureaucracy severely inhibited the genius of Einstein, Edison and Tesla. America needs to be first in innovation.
That’s why “thrust gravity” is more attractive/preferred/natural(?) than gravity by rotating (especially when traveling and not being a station in orbit). But the issue is fuel efficiency.. Now assuming we’ve solved the fuel issue and have loooooots of energy for less fuel then: A constant acceleration along the direction of moving will create gravity in the opposite direction (the expanse is the best example). The spaceships will be like buildings flying on their side with people walking perpendicular to direction of motion. 1/3g constant acceleration for 10 months - turn of thrust (and gravity for the flip) - flip the ship 180 degrees - deceleration of 1/3g for next few months. Now the floors become ceiling.
@@errolfoster1101 The issue with spin gravity is that the radius needs to be huge so that revolutions need not be too quick. Also if ship is big, it’ll need huuuuge thrust and energy to accelerate/decelerate, change direction even a little bit. That’s why thrust gravity is more versatile/preferred I guess. Spin gravity will be perfect for stations that will only stay in orbit and don’t need to travel.
*Without a Heavy AR500 armor Shield 685CM thick a pea sized piece iron will destroy any spacecraft with a blast equal to 30 Tons of TNT if we can even get near pathetically slow speeds of 150,000 MPH which would take 17,000 years to get to Proxima Centauri. l just did the math on my computer program. The armor shield necessary to protect the space-craft from space dust and larger practical's would weigh 85,000 tons!!! Good luck folks! We need a smart AI to out-think us or we will not travel long distances for a long LONG time. We should instead be working on FASTER THAN LIGHT COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS FIRST! The 2 best reasons are. 'Communication with our people and any space-probes' and secondly 'Communication with any Neighbor's that could give us a technological hand!'*
There are monumental problems that will need to be resolved for interstellar travel to become even remotely possible. even if we could build a fusion powered ship with building sized ion engine that can reach lets say 10% the speed of light, it would still take approx 50 years to reach Alpha Century and thats our nearest Star. Then the ship would require shielding to protect it from the Interstellar Medium... Imagine a micro meteorite impacting the ship at 10% light speed... The ship would be incinerated in a multi mega tonne nuclear explosion. The reality of interstellar travel will be something like the film Passengers. people spending Centuries in Cryogenic Sleep to reach a new world. People who will never be seen or heard off again once they leave Earth. There will be no communications, no help from Earth, once they leave they are on their own. And thats just for starters. the list of hurdles that will need to be overcome is immense. As things stand right now Interstellar Travel is Centuries away....
Oh boy, there is so much wrong with this vid that its hilarious 😂 I really encourage you to educaate yourself first before spitting so much nonsense. Good place to start would be recent Scott Manley's video on nuclear propulsion. There are plenty of other good science-based (not fiction-based like your channel) channels out there. Go, seek them out, learn from them, and then come back in few months. For now, this channel is just a laughing stock of the entire 'Space YT' 😂 You have been featured few times just as a logo on 'debunking nonsense' channels 😂 Treat this as a sign
I’ll try to put this as gently as possible so the pro Russia dems on RU-vid don’t pull this comment too… you’re dumb. You’re not a physicist clearly. No one cares what you think
Asteroid is valued at up to umpteen Trillin dollars… Only by idiots who assume that mining will cost nothing and that increasing the supply of barely in demand rare metal X won’t crash the price…
The true value of anything mined off Earth is if industry that can use it is also up there or even local to source. It does highlight a major problem any talk of off world purpose has which is why? If there is no money and huge profit in it nobody will bother. My thinking on that asteroid is big business down here would pay not to have it come down for the very reason it would destroy the delicate balance they control.
@@billweberx This is silly. Jewel grade Diamonds are a luxury good that have a high retail price (but are worth only a fraction of the price of you try to resell) because of that controlled supply. They contribute nothing, nada, to the functioning of the the productive economy. And if the supply increases even slightly - which is what will happen to rare metals mined in space - the price will fall. A lot. You can’t have increased supply and artificially maintained scarcity at the same time!
Mars has somethings asteroids do not, starting with a gravity well that is expensive to get out of, more expensive than the moon and less expensive that the Earth. In comparison the fuel needed to get to an asteroid is tiny. It also has sandstorms and almost as much radiation as empty space. Its actually more economical to go to any of the million or so main belt asteroids than to Mars *or the Moon* because of those pesky gravity wells. Also large spinning space habitats are easier to build when you are right next to the materials needed to build them.
But look what spacex has done; in how many years they have around space exploration is getting slightly and more profitable! Launch 🚀 are getting as regular as commercial air travel
@@dumitrulangham1721 I don’t think you understand, this isn’t just a matter of better rockets, it’s a matter of completely new technology. We need at the very least nuclear fusion powered engines, but possibly some sort of antimatter fusion hybrid, cryogenic hibernation for humans (however much people would like to talk about it, no sane person wants to live on a generation ship of their whole life), massive I’ve advances in in space mining and manufacturing, ISRU and advances light weight materials and radiation shielding. And then we need hundreds of billions of dollars to build and interstellar ship, and find at least 10,000 people to go to colonise inhospitable planets with no possibility of return.
Did some reading on the Alcubierre "Warp" Drive. While physicists agree it's achievable within the realm of known physics and possibility, it only takes the energy of a Neutron Star to power it. Anyone got one of those handy ? 🤔
I hope I'm wrong but this may all be a mathematician's fantasy as yet no one to date has produced a real world demonstration. The first calculations showed the mass of half the universe required, the next the the suns mass, then Jupiter mass and currently Dr Harold Sonny White, formally of NASA's Eagleworks calculates the "mass energy" Equivalent of the voyager space craft (one ton matter+ one ton anti matter?). Ideas and calculation's on possible field geometries are changing all the time who knows but its nice to dream "Mr. Sulu ahead warp factor one."
You’re obviously very in tune with world economics. Stop making dumb comments while eating Doritos and sitting on the couch you bought with your three other loser roommates
@@cjsmith5787 I'm pretty average, intelligence -wise, But I'm good at learning about stuff which interests me . Tesla are now in deep trouble. There is no demand for non- specialist science on mars, no one will pay to live in a tiny bubble of certain death.
a rooster, duck, and a sheep were the first hot air balloon passengers in 1783 in France. The de Havilland Comet was the first commercial jet airliner to carry passengers, debuting in 1952. Just a matter of time.
so....about 200 years till whatever this idiot said comes true.... that is if great leaps are taken(like rapid advancement in aviation during world wars)
Linear extrapolation can't work forever. Eventually, you hit some limits of physics. A great example is the shrinking of features sizes in semiconductors. we are are about 3 or 4 um now and we can go smaller. But "zero" is a hard limit. We will never get there. So shrinking will need to stop in not too many years. Many things are like this, they move now but will hit a wall later. And the wall is like that zero, not something technology can cross.
@@chrisalbertson5838 Escherichia coli (E. coli) bacteria use rotary motors called bacterial flagellar motors (BFMs) to move their flagella, which act like propellers, through water at high speeds. We will, uh find a way.
@@chrisalbertson5838I was recently thinking about this same thing. My undergraduate was in Comp Sci from a very reputable school, but I eventually got burnt out in computing and went back to school for business to only finish my career in accounting. That said, I don’t believe that quantum computing will ever get to a point where it will be accurate enough for practical use, and that would still be only possible with all of the specific requirements that it needs such as an extreme cold environment and the like. So that would preclude it from going mainstream like the PC did. The thing is that we could still have regular binary computing see progression if we could get closer to the quantum size limitations. I know, that’s difficult and we have made huge strides. That said, I think, but am not certain, that the semiconductor industry will need to segue into a vertical design technology. Perhaps layering levels of semiconductors on top of each other will afford tremendous increases in computing power. I don’t know why that would be difficult and how the current design methodology fits in, but the thought of parallel layers could offer an exponential increase in processing power if done right while still maintaining a very tiny footprint.
@@chrisalbertson5838Technically “zero” would not be the hard limit, but rather one discrete Planck Length unit (lp) would be the hard limit for size, although we would need a few Planck Length units to make it minimally practical for each “transistor” per semiconductor unit. Considering we would essentially need a PNP or NPN design for a basic transistor and there needs to be a doping region between each conductive area, I would opine that 5 lp would be the minimum length of a single transistor in theory. Perhaps we would need to bring it up to the atomic scale to ensure what is positive, negative, doping, etc., but “zero” would never be the case since no physical matter could exist that is smaller than Planck Length (lp). Just a thought.
SpaceX's vision is currently driven by Elon Musk. The question should be: Who is going to continue that vision after Musk? My fear is that after Musk, SpaceX will end up as another Boeing.
theyll probably focus on just the economics, lower earth orbit and missions to the moon. Just have to hope NASA is properly administered and funded by then when that happens.
Hopefully the governments of the world will realise that privatising space and allowing greedy corporations to control entire areas of land on other planets is an awful idea and Space X will be absorbed into NASA. Either that, or, the colonists on Mars get tired of being treated like trash by Musk and the corrupt businessmen of Earth and revolt
Who the heck wants to live on Mars? Stuck inside all day everyday. Yeah would be cool for a week but to live there? That sounds depressing. Keep all the plebs on mars maintaining the mining robots while only the ultra rich live on a paradise earth. Not far fetched from the way things are going.
Melon Tusk is good at creating hype, but even for its size the Starship is just a delivery van and not a cruise ship. I wonder if Starship is even a good choice for the route to Mars.
we probably wont go to mars on a starship, too slow and the cosmic radiation would be unacceptable over 9 months, we'd probably use a nuclear powered redundant spacecraft, but without starship we wouldn't even be able to build said spaceship, and ss is VITAL for future space economic growth
In the past 4-5 years, Elon is a liability to any company he is involved in. He is too terminally online, too petty, too thin-skinned and too egocentric.
@@Orangefalcon-hp4wn Because it runs on chemical propellants. Nuclear rockets are just around the corner and make way more sense for a journey to Mars.
Genetic diversity in breeding stock DOES NOT mean racial diversity. In fact, if you have a self-contained population with no support from earth, you would want to avoid too much genetic distance as well as too little. There is a goldilocks zone, so to speak. For instance, you would want to maximize blood and organ donation capability, and eliminate oddball genetic diseases. This means choosing your crew from ONE racial group. Basic IQ parsing dictates that this should be northeast Asians or Europeans.
Na what are the racists doing here. Genetic diversity is key in these kinds of missions. All the Iq stuff is because of racism. Start 100m back from the finish line and the other team starts only 50 all other things being equal you come last
@@ecthelion1735 brother people across racial groups Cana lol have blood donation capacity with each other and transplant organs (assuming there is a genetic match). Race mostly only affects skin colour and some basic proportions on the face. Organs and blood can all be the same
@@sussyscylla3414 No, that is very off-base. While blood types don't vary significantly by race, organ compatibility does. Skin color is perhaps the least important and least interesting thing about race, genetically speaking. The average FST distance between randomly selected individuals of self-identified blacks and whites in the United States is actually greater than the divide between many subspecies.
Fetuses are Not going to develop properly in space, Period. And it's a moot point because Humans cannot sustain prolonged periods in Space. It is all a fantasy without Gravity.
When and how, for now after forty years of trying, no Earthling can survive the conditions of the moon, how many centuries will it take to survive on Mars.
This is why the development of Starship is very important. We need a large vehicle to transport building materials to create livable spaces. Starship is reusable too, so they can make many round trips, as often as possible, to build a sturdy colony.
Realistically it'll be robots and space probes that go first, if only to test out the technology. They'd also be helpful in giving us detailed info on what we'd find before we go. It doesn't seem likely to me that there are any Earth-like planets in any star systems nearby (I'd love it if I were wrong, though). Anything less would require a heckuva lot of supporting infrastructure, like we'll need for Mars. My guess is that we're more likely to be expanding humanity in our own solar system for a long time before we venture far outside of it
Keep in mind robot batteries don’t do well at cold temperatures, but being SpaceX they will find that out once robots are on mars but they can’t figure why the robots don’t power up 😂😂😂
It would take Starship 45,000 years to reach the nearest star. Space X isn't colonizing shit. They MIGHT build a warehouse on Mars. But I highly doubt it.
At "SpaceX plans to send 1 million people to Mars by 2050" I laughed so loud Frank Borman woke up and started laughing with me. You all don't believe this shit, do you? We haven't even sent ONE person to the god damn moon in over fifty years. A million to Mars. That's funny.
Thanks for an amazing, thought provoking video. As crazy as Elon's idea seems, it makes more sense than anything else I've heard. And he's just the man to make the impossible mearly late. Lol The first mission will be done by Optimus.
Starship "practicing" an orbital refueling by transferring fuel from one tank to another aboard the same spacecraft and calling that a successful test is so funny. It's like if the first spacewalk just saw the astronauts vent the capsule but never leave their seats.
Transferring between tanks in 2 different spacecraft is only a small step beyond transferring between two tanks in one ship. Having 2 spacecraft meet each other in space and lock on is a solved problem. NASA has been doing that since the 60s.
@@bluesteel8376 You are completely true! Needing to vehicles anywhere is totally solved whether it be orbit or space or the atmosphere or the ocean even during storms
Ok dude 😂 This title is misleading. Do you mean Mars or the solar system, not the galaxy? I doubt the company will still be around for that when we start doing that
Yet another person who thinks if you only wait long enough Star Trek will come true. No, impossible things will NEVER happen. Faster then light travel is just not going to happen. Even near light speed has a huge problem: Space is not empty. There are thousands of neutral hydrogen atoms in each cubic meter of space. Crashing into on at near light speed is, well not good. So now you need a Star Trek "deflector beam" and this is never going to happen. We are stuck using nuclear rockets and going at some small fraction of the speed of light. Travel between stars will take century. This is not a problem. The only problem is the shortness of the human lifespan. If the crew lived for 100,000 year they would not care if the trip took 3,000 years. The solution is to find a long-lived crew.
In the past 4-5 years, Elon is a liability to any company he is involved in. He is too terminally online, too petty, too thin-skinned and too egocentric.
Jeff Greason's solar wind plasma motor requires no propellant nor a nuclear reactor for outgoing flight, only for slowing down once you get to where you're going. It can achieve 20% of the speed of light much faster than most nuclear can easily achieve. We should be asking for proof of concept from spacex, its cheap.
@@tbounds4812I don’t mean to sound negative , but so far it’s like a race of snails on mandrax. We have so far had ridiculous claims of getting a million people to mars by a date not far away , and we are so far away, we might as well be on Alpha centuri waiting for a pizza delivery 😂.
@@mikldude9376 i believe mars is possible in the next 50 years but definetely not star systems i think travelling to star systems may never be possible but who knows what technology may come up
I say Mercury, not Mars is the best place to start your industrial domination of the Solar System. Gravity is about the same, ship building resources abundant, solar power super cheap. all the better to power your anti-matter production supercolliders.
@@Bow-to-the-absurd their spacecraft will fail somewhere, much like every other industry china has tried to pioneer (ie steal intellectual property from people who figured it out first)
Even if we had a spacecraft that could travel close to the speed of light, the closest star is Proxima Centauri at 4.24 light years away. That's too abstract of a distance for comprehension, so, light travels 6,000,000,000,000 (yes, 6 TRILLION MILES!) in a year. Times 4.24 light years to Proxima Centauri is 25,440,000,000,000 (25.44 TRILLION MILES) away. That's a fair distance and even at light speed it will take 4.24 years to get there. With no guarantee that upon arrival it won't be all molten lava, entirely covered a mile deep in toxic methane ice, populated by things that would make a Tyrannosaurus Rex🦖 look like a kitten 😺, or have huge continuous thunderstorms and thousands of tornadoes and hundreds of hurricanes ever day, or an average daytime temperature range from -400°F to +250°F, etc..., etc...
@@errolfoster1101 I think that is hard to compare to me saying that I think the probability of interstellar travel with humans (what I meant) is extremely low. If you go and watch some nerdy talks on the challenges of interstellar travel, I think you will agree with me.
Fortunately, the Galaxy is already full of life, intelligent life, much more evoluated (technically speaking, and also spiritually), and will not need the Earthlings to colonize it anymore. However, when we will be ready, we will be well received in the galactic ... people, so to speak. Besides, for making interstellar travel viable, an huge paradigm shift is needed in physics.
1:17 Not True Atlantis Escape Earth in 4033 B.C , Two Tribes of Native Indians Left the Earth in 395 A.D, Odin Viking Left the Earth 473 A.D, Maria Orsic In !945, Japanese Solders on 1945, All Left Earth and Found New Planets. 6:32 Best way is Shungite Engine Anti Gravity
Can you make a video about the spacecraft we see in games like No Man Sky and Star Citizen. I am talking about the ones with four legs which can easily leave orbit and re enter easily
Your news videos seem like they're generally pretty good, but this is one of the worst videos I've ever seen in terms of good effort put into writing, audio, and visuals, with zero effort put into making something worth watching. There is nothing worth discussing here. Every part of this is based on misunderstandings or lies.. it's upsetting.
They have made a warp bubble and looking to build the engine for it. Which if able like you said it would drop the needed 10 years to just around a month or few months. One of the things the find is you can create the warp bubble, but the thing pushing you forward has to be conventional engines or impulse drives. Then if we can get there with a ship. Do we design a ship simply to go out and look or do we design a craft that can drop someone off or even one that can go down and take off again which is really hard.
i dont really get musks obsession with mars hes trying to run before he can walk establishing a presence on the moon will be ridiculously hard as is and he wants to skip to mars
Live in domes or under the ground. Never breathing fresh planetary air invigorated by a thunder storm or feeling the wind upon your face, the earth under your feet or even a stormy rainy day. Never walk through a hilly or mountainous area with the sweat running down your back and then jumping into a cool pond fed by a small waterfall at the end of the trail. etc. SOUNDS AWFUL. Give me the sweet green earth.
The worst part about being a spacex fan is all the Musk fanboys who think he's Tesla when he's really Edison. The thought of Musk being on Mars to rule over his own personal de-regulated fiefdom sounds like a nightmare.
If he builds it, it’s his to do with as he pleases. It should be self governing ideally. If he and SpaceX are the only ones who can get there, then us earthlings have no say in the Martian Colony.
800 breeding crew over 50 years planned 3 primary generations, give room for a sub generation because humans don't breed like we would think we would even when it needs to be controlled in this type of setting humans have kids when they can't support them enough on earth so you'd need to have space, consumable and renewable supply's for probably 4k to 5k people fifty years flight plus initial start up colony. But at a point population control and breeding would not only need to be monitored and regulated it would be essential to survive on a mission like that
They fail to mention how to deflect space debris like Rocks, pebbles while trying to reach fast speeds. The debris would puncture the ship and pass clean through killing all on board. Yeah the wild ride to death. Good luck.
One thing that was not addressed in relation to faster than light travel. Notice that we appear to be zooming at incredible speeds past stars, nebula, planets, etc. How are we going to be able to navigate in faster than light travel without crashing into upcoming objects?
A million people would never go and live in Antarctica never mind that many people are even less likely to travel to Mars in the foreseeable future. Even if you built in Antarctic whatever you intend to build on Mars people would be sick of it in months and would be desperate leave and get back to normal life. There is no life on Mars, no weather, no pleasurable experience, no nothing but red dirt, cold and radiation everywhere. Intrepid scientists would go there in pursuit of knowledge but few would visit more than once or twice for short periods I imagine.
Goodness, he now started shouting about INTERSTELLAR travels? Sometimes I think that Musk is a genius not only in business project management but also in self-disgrace for his stupid claims.
It always cracks me up when folks figure out how much Psyche is “worth” by just adding up the current market value of all the component minerals. Aside from the enormous cost to extract and transport, much greater than mining on earth, there’s limited demand for most of those resources, and flooding the market with that much product would cause the price to collapse.
Yep none of it will ever be used on Earth. Far too many rich people would stop that. Now if you had space based factories nearby then you could save a lot of money by using what’s up in space but we’re not exactly tripping over companies saying they’re going to do it are we? Come back in a few hundred years and maybe unmanned mining and factories will be a thing in the asteroid belt but everything we need is here on planet.
@@billweberx This is incredibly ignorant. By definition space mining increases the supply, so the price will fall. And more importantly, it’s a hugely capital intensive business and you have to pay a return on that capital. Let’s say you manage to get by for a mere 200B - the cost of sending a dozen crew cuts to the moon with Apollo. You still have to find 15B a year to pay the cost of capital. Which means at least that much in gross profit, which suggests at normal margins 300B in sales a year. In addition to all the platinum or whatever currently sold. “Slowly” my space ass!
I am amused that you are so casually referring to an anti-matter star drive for the "super starship" ;) We do not have the capacity right now to make more than a few micrograms of anti matter fuel, and it costs billions upon billions a kilogram ;) You would need an anti matter factor 1st, in space, which needs designing , using basic nuclear accelerator concepts but optimized for mass quantities of anti matter, not precise value :) THEN you have to make a reliable and mass produced way to safely store anti-matter(likely anti hydrogen) at cryogenic temperatures in a more advanced magnetic bottle than we currently have :) There are already ideas for a much safer fusion drive(which does not work like a reactor) via various means, and it includes ideas for a more advanced Orion drive(which would need to be built with the ship in space). All this will need an existing space based industry, which we do not have yet ;) Plus colonizing Mars 1st is silly, the Moon is the logical stepping stone via private industry and NOT half-comatose bureaucratic NASA. And launching direct from an isolated area on the Moon via Orion drive would not be an issue, and far cheaper. There is a little problem with the Alcubierre warp drive...last I checked(maybe it had changed) it would require the mass of Jupiter converted to energy to work ;) Then there is the problem of the wave of radiation that the warp drive would push ahead of itself, and other issues. Radiation protection could either use large water tanks around crew areas, special high H plastics, or both.
Starship was supposed to reach mars in 2020 according to Elons dreaming. It's 2024, Starship hasn't reached orbit yet. Without any payload. One million people on Mars will not happen: do the math, how many Starships will ve needed, all needing ten Starships for fuelling. This Will Not Happen.
@@TheGreatAmphibianit has to be yours specifically and can’t be lower then 1 gallon of it! goodluck you got 20 minutes and i’ll send u a cup that’ll arrive in 19 minutes
It should be noted that this almost certainly won’t be possible in our lifetimes or even the lifetimes of our grandchildren but it will likely happen in the distant future
All this sounds very nice, but I don’t think 1 million people on mars by 2050 is not realistic at all, not even close. Elon is good at advertising, but if your think about if it goes well we will first start build a small base on moon by 2030… a small base on mars by 2050 ? Sure I think it’s possible, but not self sustaining 1 million people colony… You also forget that SpaceX isn’t relying on private money only. In facts it relays HEAVILY on states subsidies and as such is dependent on US government and congress.
Lots of overly optimistic speculation in this video. For example, the estimate of colonization by 2050 is off by at least an order of magnitude. It ignores the fact that Mars is a fundamentally hostile environment for human life. It will be centuries, not decades before human presence on Mars can be characterized as a "colony". For the foreseeable future human presence on Mars will have much the same character as human presence in Antarctica, (temporary occupation by teams of scientists conducting research) for much the same reason ... the fundamental incompatibility between human life and the environment. For human habitation to become permanent either the planet or the species or both will have to change. That will take quite some time.
Put a world girdling, magnetic launch rack around the moon and fire off payloads at near light speed. Sending probes to stellar distances should be possible with enough payload/fuel/sails to decelerate at their destination, or just do a flyby.
6:43 This is definitely wrong. If you can harvest the energy from matter / antimatter reaction, you could theoretically earn all the energy contained in the particles. That's at very least a 1000 times more energy perfect fission could produce. And i am vastly underestimating here. A fusion drive should already be able to give an order og magnitude more energy and for certain it is more than that. Btw. Musk won't be alive when Mars becomes 100% sustainable. We are not living in a video game. The upfront cost of this extremely risky endevour will be in tens, more like hundreds of billions and way more. While on earth we are preparing for WW3.
i love the idea, however the technology devolving today will not have us colonizing space in my life time. Should i be fortunate enough to live another 80 years, as technology stand, in my life time no one will reach a different star system, much less be interstellar. as Alpha Centauri is over four light years away. it is far more than a generational trip. sorry. Our current technology doesn’t quite match the speed of light! The fastest spacecraft we’ve sent, New Horizons, took about 10 years to reach Pluto. Now, the distance to Alpha Centauri is approximately 277,000 astronomical units away (or 4.4 light-years). If we were willing to wait, New Horizons could make the journey, but it would take a whopping 70,000 years
