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Explaining possible swings in Lok Sabha elections 2024 | Data 

The Hindu
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What do the Assembly election results in various States tell us about possible vote swings in the Lok Sabha elections?
In this video, The Hindu uses an interactive graphic to look at what it would take for the BJP/NDA to win big and conversely for the opposition to weaken it.
The Hindu has an in-depth interactive that looks at State-wise and overall results in the 2019 and 2014 Lok Sabha elections and phase-wise voting trends in the ongoing 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Please scan the QR code to visit the interactive. You can filter the results for different Regions (South, North, West India for e.g.), Population Density (Rural vs Urban), Type of Contest (Bipolar, Triangular etc), Margin of victory, Reserved constituencies, Performance of Turncoat candidates and so on. Click the link: www.thehindu.c...
Presentation: Srinivasan VR and Vignesh Radhakrishnan
Production: Sambavi Parthasarathy
Videography: Thamodharan B
#loksabhaelection2024 #loksabhapolls2024 #generalelections
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Опубликовано:

 

26 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 115   
@jsnaidu2
@jsnaidu2 4 месяца назад
Poor visual presentation.Enhanced graphics will attract the viewers
@Arteta_ka_chota_beta
@Arteta_ka_chota_beta 3 месяца назад
Excellent content, terrible technically. Very poor audio. Hindu is known for quality. Pls work on it for videos.
@guntakameswararao3185
@guntakameswararao3185 3 месяца назад
PK prediction of BRS coming to power is proved to be untrue.!
@VINULAL2
@VINULAL2 3 месяца назад
PK's prediction about DMK coming to power in TN 2021 and Congress coming to power in KA 2023 had been proved to be true in South.
@ttagore1552
@ttagore1552 3 месяца назад
Rajnath singh son, piyush goel, anurag takur, amith shah son ,bs Yeddyurappa sons all are dynasties.
@anirudhsharma2720
@anirudhsharma2720 3 месяца назад
And your supreme leaders of your fav. parties: Stalin & son, Lalu & son, Rahul & Dynasty, Akhilesh &son, Mamata & Nephew, Kejriwal & wife.
@ttagore1552
@ttagore1552 3 месяца назад
@@anirudhsharma2720 so what is the difference between BJP & other parties.all are sailing in the same boat, we people are fools sir.
@imtiwalling7184
@imtiwalling7184 3 месяца назад
What is dynasts? 😂
@hameed7939
@hameed7939 3 месяца назад
I wish a National English daily like The Hindu newspaper which was started in 1878 has a much more articulative person to explain to its audience the forecast or projections of the outcome of 2024 lok sabha elections.The one who is wearing spectacle doesn't even know when someone is arrested and not convinced up and till today must be said alleged corruption charges.
@Adonis91
@Adonis91 3 месяца назад
This somehow brings back the memories from my undergrad on how me and my friend were presenting our project to our HOD
@SaurabhGhosh760
@SaurabhGhosh760 3 месяца назад
This man from South has completely missed out Modi Factor & bringing assembly election in every state ...India is not Tamil Nadu ...bogus analysis
@nilgiri98
@nilgiri98 3 месяца назад
Evidently a bhakt… I wait for the day when the feku pm will finally quit… what a bogus man we have had for ten years
@ramkumarrudrabhatla1861
@ramkumarrudrabhatla1861 3 месяца назад
Very clumsy presentation. Hope it was structured presentation. The conversational format is not effective.
@nishantrao9303
@nishantrao9303 4 месяца назад
my condolences to the ummah
@DivyanshShukla-cb3dw
@DivyanshShukla-cb3dw 3 месяца назад
😂😂
@LalitheswaraRajuValluru
@LalitheswaraRajuValluru 4 месяца назад
It is definite that the incumbent would make it to 340 -350 per se despite certain shortfalls in Karnataka n Maharashtra.
@AmalVijayThachancode
@AmalVijayThachancode 3 месяца назад
Where will they gain ?? They are going down in every states. Even in UP, Bihar, Bengal, Rajastan, Gujarat, Delhi and few others. Baseless numbers can only be supported by EVM manipulation.
@kakun63
@kakun63 3 месяца назад
@@AmalVijayThachancode they will gain hardly 6 seats in north west combines they will recover this 6 from kerala and punjab, now they are gaining 10 in up 7 in bengal 5 in odisha 3 in ap 4 in telangana and 1 each in eastern states bjp will cross 335 at minimum see u on 4th
@AmalVijayThachancode
@AmalVijayThachancode 3 месяца назад
@@kakun63 I'm from Kerala this time also BJP is 0 same in Punjab most of the candidates are not even allowed to visit home there. In Bengal Congress and Left alliance is going to make big. Anti Mamta vote is going to alliance. BJP's best ever happened in 2019 with 18 seats.
@shajudheens2992
@shajudheens2992 3 месяца назад
​@@kakun63BJP zero in Kerala
@kakun63
@kakun63 3 месяца назад
@@AmalVijayThachancode bengal bjp at min 22 may go upto 28. punjab bjp minimum 5 dont be surpirsed if they get 7 or 8 too wait and watch kiddo elections are not fought on social media
@jagthal
@jagthal 3 месяца назад
It's like Maths class.. don't waste your time The Hindu is managed by DMK
@kgravikumar
@kgravikumar 3 месяца назад
Why do u have to quote Pulwama so many times. Going by that logic we will keep quoting Sikh massacre in Delhi and BJP walks with all seats in punjab
@kannappankamalanathan2220
@kannappankamalanathan2220 3 месяца назад
Very good analysis. But the audio is poor and the data shown on the megascreen is not readable until it is shown very close. The election result may come close to your analysis.
@funfactsandreactions6438
@funfactsandreactions6438 3 месяца назад
Right right right right right right right right right right right right right
@tsgopalakrishnan
@tsgopalakrishnan 3 месяца назад
The quality of the video tells a lot on the reliability of the Survey by none other than the Ravan of The Hindu (the anti Hinuthva N Ram)
@lakshminarayanannatarajan1861
@lakshminarayanannatarajan1861 3 месяца назад
In Andhra NDA has won only 3 seats(TDP).You have mentioned it as 10
@lakshminarayanannatarajan1861
@lakshminarayanannatarajan1861 3 месяца назад
Even in UP they mentioned the figures of 2014 not 2019.My guess is 320 seats for NDA with a simple majority of 290 seats for BJP.This is my conservative estimate for NDA.It may get beyond that
@CAA8084
@CAA8084 3 месяца назад
You guys were wrong about the AP numbers , it was 22-3 for YSRCP vs TDP in 2019
@KrishnanSridhar-v8h
@KrishnanSridhar-v8h 3 месяца назад
This is very partial projection. So wait for the surprise results bjp will win again
@MsAnjireddy
@MsAnjireddy 3 месяца назад
In Andhra pradesh ysr congress got 22 seats and TDP got 3 seats only in 2019..But you have given the wrong numbers about AP in your presentation. Check your numbers. Anjireddy v. ANU.
@9223224532
@9223224532 3 месяца назад
In Andhra Pradesh 2019 , number of seats won by YSRCP ?
@swithinsankaran99
@swithinsankaran99 4 месяца назад
Too many assumptions and hypothetical analysis ...skewed data
@RamanaBhaskarkommineni
@RamanaBhaskarkommineni 3 месяца назад
NDA DID NOT WIN 10 seats in 2019 in andhra pradesh , 22 YSRCP and 3 TDP
@hello-my6hf
@hello-my6hf 4 месяца назад
Realistic assessments from ground
@melesa1234
@melesa1234 3 месяца назад
Very poor presentation
@hameed7939
@hameed7939 3 месяца назад
How can you assume that Shinde faction of the Shiv Sena is the largest mere on the fact that they have the symbol?????However, on the contrary Shinde faction is contesting nearly half the seats they had in 2019.
@vssrao7691
@vssrao7691 3 месяца назад
Your audio is not clear, very low and irritating to hear.
@rakendmedayil2050
@rakendmedayil2050 3 месяца назад
I also believe that the bjp seats will go down, but how can you use assembly election data for Loksabha election predictions? clearly the voting pattern is different
@kgravikumar
@kgravikumar 3 месяца назад
Karnataka vote pattern for state and center are very different. U cannot simply correlate
@MahiGaya3
@MahiGaya3 3 месяца назад
You shown wrong map of Andhra Pradesh. It's a bifurcated state and AP map is different now. You are included Telangana in AP map 🤦🤦🤦🤦
@venkatramansundarrajan8690
@venkatramansundarrajan8690 3 месяца назад
Whereever they want to reduce the BJP seat they will bring state percentage. They have come to the dececion that BJP is loosing and InD alliance will win. All maran inlaw Ram decision. Why hindu lost its credirability in TN because of Ram's attitude. 1960 to 2000 i was a regular reader of Hindu. Most of the people stopped buying Hindu and swirched to Times of India
@Sriram-pt3qm
@Sriram-pt3qm 4 месяца назад
Adjusting the data to arrive the conclusion that they wish for. All of you please watch this video on 4th June.
@cathodic22
@cathodic22 3 месяца назад
First this presentation is Archaic The Visibility and graphics are exclusive territory of the presenters Right Right Right However technical and scientific you both may be Your objectives are lost in translation
@gopaakrishnanmvenkataraman9129
@gopaakrishnanmvenkataraman9129 4 месяца назад
The Hindu only asset DMK Dk mouthpiece
@kgravikumar
@kgravikumar 3 месяца назад
Folks I like the way things are presented. But trying to do analysis without primary data u r off target by miles.
@1970naveen
@1970naveen 4 месяца назад
YSRCP won 22 MP seats in 2019
@sambaviparthasarathy1244
@sambaviparthasarathy1244 3 месяца назад
Yes. But if you take the alliance from 2024 (TDP plus BJP plus JSP) and calculate their vote shares in 2019..they would have won 10 seats and YSRCP 15. Since swings are calculated for the alliance in 2024, this is how it should be done.
@vssrao7691
@vssrao7691 3 месяца назад
Why include the Telangana Map with Andhra Pradesh? You are insulting the People of Telangana.
@nandakumar-xq2qi
@nandakumar-xq2qi 4 месяца назад
N Ram sitting in his Tam brahm perch can halluvlcinate . Sad to see how Hindu has drgeneated into a legtist vehicle ...probably funded ny newsclick..
@chellapandi7107
@chellapandi7107 4 месяца назад
Anyhow BJP will win
@RajanikanthBaratam
@RajanikanthBaratam 4 месяца назад
your seat calculation in Andhra Pradesh. In 2019 YSRCP won 22 seats. it is misrepresented here as 15 in this analysis. I still think YSRCP will scrape through in Assembly and win close to 15-17 seats in parliament
@SrinivasanRamani
@SrinivasanRamani 3 месяца назад
It is not misrepresented. The alliance from 2024 in projected and their seats are calculated by combining vote shares in 2019 and then applying possible swings from there in 2024. YSRCP won 22 seats, but if you add up TDP plus JSP plus BJP.. the NDA would have won 10 seats in 2019, leaving 15 to YSRCP. This is how you will have to calculate swings.
@HundensCamera
@HundensCamera 3 месяца назад
Clown to clown conversation.
@rhutukrishna7026
@rhutukrishna7026 3 месяца назад
Best poll analysis video I’ve seen ❤❤❤
@perumalraja3627
@perumalraja3627 3 месяца назад
Left right...left right.... Left right..Left right.... Dear Hindu... I don't expect or don't want you to support BJP... But it seems Mr.Ram sold The Hindu to DMK ..it is disheartening ...
@hameed7939
@hameed7939 3 месяца назад
By the way the 3 rd largest political party in Tamil Nadu is Nam Tamilar Katchi(NTK).Clearly the 'so-called' analyst's love for the BJP clouded the well-known fact even though the Hindu is headquartered in Chennai.
@RavishankarSubramanian1962
@RavishankarSubramanian1962 3 месяца назад
Good effort but Very poor presentation. I am sad that the great Hindu is going down.
@shivakumarm6576
@shivakumarm6576 3 месяца назад
Is that fellow n ram still the chief in your outfit? If that is true, all I can say is 🤮
@shivkantmishra2702
@shivkantmishra2702 3 месяца назад
4 din ki chandini hai beta The,Hindu valo ki. 4 june se agle 5 sal khatam hone ka intezar fir karna.
@arpitaacs
@arpitaacs 3 месяца назад
Gold as a liberal melt down video on 4th. Pathetic, biased, if wishes were horses....
@deepakseth6256
@deepakseth6256 3 месяца назад
What ever be the result of this election i would request Rahul Gandhi to take Sanyas from Politics in the best interest of Congress and the Nation
@ganesh599
@ganesh599 3 месяца назад
Karnataka bjp 10 its wrong, Karnataka bjp 20 to 22 seat
@bearonsky2073
@bearonsky2073 3 месяца назад
Voting for Lokhsabha election & voting for assembly election are different, but foolish hindu paper staff can't understand
@balajid1157
@balajid1157 3 месяца назад
In Andhra Pradesh jagan is really doing well. Due to the association with BJP which openly kept saying that they will abolish Muslim quota TDP and JANASENA were in the defensive. Anti-incumbency got completely neutralised by this one big factor alone. The ground reports from Andhra Pradesh is giving a clean sweep for jagan. There fore NDA may not be getting 17 seats as per your projection but will just get somewhere around 7-8 seats a drop of ten seats. Similarly in Himachal Pradesh the modi government didn't give any form of notable assistance to the congress led government during the unprecedented floods that occurred some time back clubbed with the women's wrestlers issue, farmers protest, Agni veer scheme. Quite a number of youngsters used to join the army from haryana, this scheme has greatly demotivated them for they not only thinks of defending the nation but also it gives them job security. The jats are also equally angry with the JJP as their votes are against the BJP but dushyant joined hands with BJP just to get his father out of Jail. Hence in all probability BJP may not get more than 1-2 seats. In himachal pradesh Congress govt is in power and has done lot of good work and the people are also equally angry that an elected government by them was tried to be toppled by the BJP. Hence here too BJP may not get more than 1 seat out of 4. In orissa pandian campaigned extensively with bijuji. For that matter this time inspite of his relatively poor health bijuji campaigned extensively and addressed a number of rallies and sabha 's. BJP will get lesser seats compared to 2019. If we take into consideration all these factors combining with the fact BJP and NDA are going to loose big in the north east. There is no way BJP or for that matter NDA is going to form the next government. In all likelihood NDA as a whole may be restricted to 200-210seats. The shiv sainiks are emotionally attached to the tackrey family. Shinde is no where near the charisma and popularity of uddahav combined with maratha quota agitation , onion farmers agitation due to ban imposed on exports . Though the present shinde government passed the maratha quota reservation it is not going to stand in the court of law as a similar law passed by the previous government got squashed by the supreme court. I expected a much more in-depth analysis to support your claims but am really disappointed. INDIA ALLIANCE will form the next government on June 4th that will take care of the welfare of all sections of the society. Please be little bit more analytical in future. I am an ardent reader of THE HINDU for nearly 30 years and alway have great regards in it's reporting and hence felt left down by your projection format .
@balajid1157
@balajid1157 3 месяца назад
😊
@carrollsangnghina2187
@carrollsangnghina2187 4 месяца назад
Justifying assessment
@SubramaniamIyer-yt4zn
@SubramaniamIyer-yt4zn 3 месяца назад
Bjp 340+ alone
@dinesanp
@dinesanp 3 месяца назад
Dear Hindu, Only mathematics will not work on politics
@AvidEntrepreneur
@AvidEntrepreneur 3 месяца назад
Are you so strapped for funds, you can't afford a decent presentation? You could have even outsourced this to a freelancer who could have helped you out in a major way!
@maheshagarwal2424
@maheshagarwal2424 3 месяца назад
Please save this country, democracy and constitution 🙏 Vote for INDIA gathbandhan 🙏
@SubramaniamIyer-yt4zn
@SubramaniamIyer-yt4zn 3 месяца назад
No way indi gatbandhan is full of thieves and corrupt criminals so forget it BJP only for Bharat jai shree Ram
@pichumanisankar2617
@pichumanisankar2617 3 месяца назад
Pitiable presentation, you go to sleep. I am skipping it after 10 minutes 😂
@senthilkumarr5079
@senthilkumarr5079 3 месяца назад
Lot of opinion poll which one is true 😂
@RKV0785
@RKV0785 4 месяца назад
Dream come true situation for I N D I Alliance Rahul Gandhi is PM Sonia Gandhi is next President Priyanka ji is Home Minister Vadra is EAM His son Vadra is Youth minister
@mohithpm4954
@mohithpm4954 4 месяца назад
Better than fake tea seller..as said..even Anjana Om kasyap is better...why not rahul .
@Jack-lr5ol
@Jack-lr5ol 3 месяца назад
What is your love for a white Man who rolls in bed in Bangkok
@palungshakkum2640
@palungshakkum2640 3 месяца назад
You want Modi remarry with Anjana Om? This time: MODI PM, AMIT SHAH HOME Again, Jay shah Youth Sports minister, Revana youth wing President, Kangana Renault Women minister, , NDA again with 530 seats sure.... You know Modi is God... Even Mahaprabhu jagannath follow Modi,, Sambit Patra said.. 😅😅😅😅😅 what do you say? Don't believe in fake news... Just like my dream... Always questioning in my mind: What if Modi marry Mamata?
@murugeshmurugesh6942
@murugeshmurugesh6942 3 месяца назад
MODI WATCH MAN
@Jack-lr5ol
@Jack-lr5ol 3 месяца назад
@@murugeshmurugesh6942 Probably you will be the Jailor
@RakeshKumar-gb3ez
@RakeshKumar-gb3ez 3 месяца назад
Bjp will win may be come 270 to 295
@philemontr1437
@philemontr1437 3 месяца назад
😅 😅😅😊 25:32 25:33 25:33
@abhijiths4193
@abhijiths4193 3 месяца назад
hindu channel😂😂😂
@ravi-it3vj
@ravi-it3vj 3 месяца назад
swing does not know which area is hindutva and which area is muslim dominated. Its simply not possible to gauge WB result by showing swing because muslim votes are concentrated in few districts heavily. Take 15 seats from Karnataka and 10 seats from WB from BJP's tally of 303 and sit with a glass of water on 4th june. BJP wont win jalpaiguri alipurduar raiganj balurghat malda uttor bankura jhargram medinipur hooghly bardhaman durgapur asansol tamluk this time. They can take only arambagh from tmc.
@vishnuvarthanan4935
@vishnuvarthanan4935 3 месяца назад
77 seats bjp won less than 1 lakh and out of which 40 seats by 50000 votes. Half of which if swings then seat is gone. So don't look by vote share as average acroos, as it's wrong calculation
@kgravikumar
@kgravikumar 3 месяца назад
Podalanga analysis
@sujaanney6283
@sujaanney6283 3 месяца назад
BJP win congress will form govt
@peruvambaramanarayanan9332
@peruvambaramanarayanan9332 3 месяца назад
This time the final result is india alliance will win and form the govt and this is Subject to no hanky Panky happening with evm machines
@vetokeyho8264
@vetokeyho8264 3 месяца назад
PK work with Modi before and now working with BJP Modi again so should not believe his prediction
@sajeevanm8872
@sajeevanm8872 3 месяца назад
No need for your kichadi calculation the bjp is not foarming goverment
@sajic9378
@sajic9378 3 месяца назад
Thanks fir the immense efforts taken ti convert the national election to sum of panchayath elections😂😂😂😂
@kgravikumar
@kgravikumar 3 месяца назад
Rama janmabhoomi is there
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