This video covers the "6 D's Exponential Framework" as a technology becomes: digitized > deceptive > disruptive > dematerialized > demonetized > democratized. Due to the disruption caused by exponentially advancing technology, "the average lifespan of a company listed in the S&P 500 has decreased from 67 years in the 1920's to 15 years today." Progress is exponential in networks/sensors, AI, robotics, 3D printing, synthetic biology, materials sciences.
Make the change, learn to surf it or become chum in its waters! This is it folks. This is the future our children will live in. Are your kids getting the kind of education that will prepare them for a future that no one alive today can imagine? For the future belongs to the productive creatives.
If we stopped being separate companies that succeed or fail and started being a civilization that works together then we wouldn't need to worry about outcompeting each other, we'd just all be in it to help each other out and make life better for the benefit of everyone..
Brilliant insight into tech-into-exponential futurism. I wrote a book on forecasing entitled Spiral Forecasting, which is essentially very similar, since it teaches people to thing exponentially rather than linearly.
And all of that constrained by materials capabilities, which would present the first hurdle to be overcome. That I believe is where young minds should put themselves to work.
Well done to Peter D. Truly inspiring. I used the 6ds to find a very interesting robotics company which is going to revolutionise the house building industry ( Fbr robotics in Australia! I’m in Ireland . I’m looking far abroad for investment ideas ( u won’t find this company on popular investment apps!
he stresses technology. However, he does periodically say, "any product or service" without tagging the word "technology" to it... As his examples of exponential technologies are inspiring, I am interested in hearing, learning from and finding inspiring optimistic 10x/exponential social change agents and thinkers... to hear about their "methods" ...
Brett Van Zandt i am working on an exponential business model for the Cannabis industry in California. Our graphs for the growth of our grow op are on a perfect J curve.
A great scientific breakthrough in the production of graphene and now, goodbye steel industry, which would also be gasoline cars because with graphene you could create supercapacitors and super batteries. Everything is possible.
So, his sulotion to our exponential growing world is to tell our company leaders that they have to adapt, without mentioning that we have to think about ways to have a society that does not produce exponential growth, because exponential growth always leads to a katastrophe. I am so frustrated from that ending.
This video is 7 years old and has only 33 comments ... not cause it’s a bad video ( it’s definitely not ) same comment reference likes and subscribers! It’s because most people are watching time wasting videos which don’t teach you anything.( others are looking at conspiracy rubbish thinking they have the inside track !
Moore's law in practical computational terms has been pretty much dead since. 2009. Look at IPC and FLOPS growth of Intel. The only thing that has been growing at near-old-exponential growth is parallel computational power. But all tasks do NOT fit such computational archs. Further, the power requirements (due to tunnelling, voltage leaks, etc) have gone up almost exponentially. So, Moore's law in practise is DEAD (for now) and so we have a current plateau in exponential computer calculation power growth (that is actually practically utilizable).
I did watch the video. There is nothing new about nested or staggered log-curve growths. Wrote a paper about it myself 20 years ago and I was very late to the party :-D But it is a technology optimist (not systems historian) POV. Most observed systems (so far) have a limited sequential s-curve growth potential (due to systems limitations). We just don't know if we've hit the one on computation. Nobody can tell me what is the next practical s-curve growth is in computation. We've been looking hard for over a decade now. All we have to show for is c. 1000 qubit demo device for less than a dozen users capable of running zero K temps. Nobody knows where the next s will come from or when (or if) we will get one. There are a lot of pipe dreams, let's hope one of them pans out. I know the world needs optimists and does. The world also needs people who sometimes take a hard look at actual proven history and (perceived) limits. Together these two POVs can be stronger than either alone.
It will repace dull and simple jobs which dont create much value,forcing those people to become more educated and perform more valuable jobs for humanity in the end,related to thinking instead of mechanical tasks.
AndressAndress1 Will work for free...look it up. Robots are replacing every sector...the only way man will compete against machine, is by being part machine. I think automation is great and do think we should transition to a universal basic income.
