Fisher Investments’ founder, Executive Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer, Ken Fisher, examines the historical market impact of central bank policy decisions. According to Ken, central bank policy is widely discussed and pre-priced by markets. Therefore, Ken believes it’s better to let others do the worrying because what central bankers do shouldn’t affect stocks much.
Ken also says the conventional wisdom that rate hikes are bad for stocks is wrong. Today’s bull market began amidst a rate hiking cycle and has thrived despite higher rates. Conversely, Ken notes central bank cuts have not been overwhelmingly positive for stocks, as they typically occur too late amidst a weak economy. Instead of dwelling on what central banks may or may not do, Ken suggests focusing on what everybody else isn’t worried about, as surprises tend to move stocks the most.
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Investing in securities involves a risk of loss. Past performance is never a guarantee of future returns. Investing in foreign stock markets involves additional risks, such as the risk of currency fluctuations. The foregoing constitutes the general views of Fisher Investments and should not be regarded as personalized investment advice. Nothing herein is intended to be a recommendation. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
19 сен 2024
