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Flatten The Curve - How to Control an Artificial Life Pandemic 

Dave Ackley
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A simple agent-based model of viral infections inspired by current news about COVID-19. Healthy and sick agents interact in a two-dimensional world. How many will survive?
Model code available at: github.com/DaveAckley/SPLATTh...

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2 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 31   
@jamesmathai1138
@jamesmathai1138 4 года назад
Really love these demos. Thanks!
@fabriziodutto7508
@fabriziodutto7508 4 года назад
It's always very interesting to see how well your language helps in better understand and simulate real life!
@guilldea
@guilldea 4 года назад
Awesome to see you back! Very well explained
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Thanks! Been too long!
@sean...
@sean... 4 года назад
Very interesting, thank you Dave :-)
@AndrewBrownK
@AndrewBrownK 4 года назад
"you R naught" HA
@djmccarrel
@djmccarrel 4 года назад
Interesting and informative. Mr. Ackley inadvertently demonstrates The need for another critical human intervention to reduce the spread of infection: he touches his nose and face at least 20 times during this video.
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Yeah, it's tough. I put all the cast and crew at risk.
@joanackley8126
@joanackley8126 4 года назад
Dave - get a pair of disposal gloves
@taiyibureau9963
@taiyibureau9963 4 года назад
Nice and informative demonstration of the effects and especially the goal of prevention measures. Even if it might not be accurate considering covid19 it shows that every small change in behaviour can have a big impact overall!
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
R0 is destiny.
@roshanram
@roshanram 4 года назад
Hi Prof. Ackley, great video. Sharing on social media!
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Thanks for the boost!
@marlowweston5625
@marlowweston5625 4 года назад
@@DaveAckley we're all boosting. Do you have your model available for playing with while we're all stuck at home waiting for the world to be a mess?
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Hey @@marlowweston5625 ! Code's at github.com/DaveAckley/SPLATTheCurve !
@marlowweston5625
@marlowweston5625 4 года назад
Thank you! That's the best name for a repo.
@03bbrevenge
@03bbrevenge 4 года назад
Hi professor Ackley great video, sharing to signal boost
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Hey Sean thanks!
@acuteioa
@acuteioa 4 года назад
Can you model in that people change their behaviour only when the treat becomes visible to them? For example, today I realized that I probably only going to start wearing a mask when I see at least 10% of other people wear a mask.
@likeyou3317
@likeyou3317 4 года назад
Masks don't stop you from getting an airborne virus. Tho they lessen the chance of you spreading the disease if u're coughing.
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Could add like 'Masked' types and work on rules for how they are created and how others react to them. Hard part is trying to keep it relatively simple.
@nicholascorliss9014
@nicholascorliss9014 4 года назад
Fantastic work! The whole presentation was brilliant and to end with the R-not was the icing on the cake. Keep these videos coming, there's a lot to learn from them. Thank you!
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Thanks!
@Wondermass
@Wondermass 3 года назад
For an alternative version where the code is perhaps a little easier to understand: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-YD4XmoH64wo.html
@grimtin10
@grimtin10 3 года назад
hi 5 months later it's bad
@brett.eastwood
@brett.eastwood 4 года назад
Sounds like hes getting a dry cough
@DaveAckley
@DaveAckley 4 года назад
Will see what develops.
@tristunalekzander5608
@tristunalekzander5608 3 года назад
Flattening the curve is good, but inversely, you are also _elongating_ the curve by doing so. Even in your simulation where almost every single person became infected at some point, it only halved the deaths. So if that flattened curve were twice as long (if it were more realistic), there would have been no difference in deaths. Moreover, it's possible to have _more deaths_ from a flatter curve. Great video!
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