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Forecasting time series using R by Prof Rob J Hyndman at Melbourne R Users 

Jeromy Anglim
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Presenter: Prof Rob J Hyndman
Slides available: robjhyndman.com...
Melbourne R Users: www.meetup.com/...
Other R User Group Videos: www.vcasmo.com/...
Info on upcoming book: robjhyndman.com...
I will look at the various facilities for time series forecasting available in R, concentrating on the forecast package. This package implements several automatic methods for forecasting time series including foreasts from ARIMA models, ARFIMA models and exponential smoothing models. I will also look more generally at how to go about forecasting non-seasonal data, seasonal data, seasonal data with high frequency, and seasonal data with multiple frequencies. Examples will be taken from my own consulting experience. I will give an overview of what's possible and available and where it is useful, rather than give the mathematical details of any specific time series methods.
Rob J Hyndman is Professor of Statistics at Monash University and Director of the Monash University Business and Economic Forecasting Unit. He completed a science degree at the University of Melbourne in 1988 and a PhD on nonlinear time series modelling at the same university in 1992. He has worked at the University of Melbourne, Colorado State University, the Australian National University and Monash University. Rob is Editor-in-Chief of the "International Journal of Forecasting" and a Director of the International Institute of Forecasters. He has written over 100 research papers in statistical science. In 2007, he received the Moran medal from the Australian Academy of Science for his contributions to statistical research. Rob is co-author of the well-known textbook "Forecasting: methods and applications" (Wiley, 3rd ed., 1998) and of the book "Forecasting with exponential smoothing: the state space approach" (Springer, 2008). He is also the author of the widely-used "forecast" package for R. For over 25 years, Rob has maintained an active consulting practice, assisting hundreds of companies and organizations on forecasting problems. His recent consulting work has involved forecasting electricity demand, tourism demand and the Australian government health budget. More information is available on his website at robjhyndman.com.
Thank you to Pedro Olaya for filming the talk and Deloitte for providing the venue.

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29 авг 2024

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Комментарии : 26   
@OutOfaBlueSky
@OutOfaBlueSky 11 лет назад
I'm just astounded by the sophistication he programmed into this forecasting package. We'll be using this in our petroleum analysis this year. I must tip my hat to Mr. Hyndman.
@viszokid
@viszokid 11 лет назад
Thank you very much Prof. Hyndman for this video and for the package! It is incredibly useful.
@RobJHyndman
@RobJHyndman 11 лет назад
They are part of the fpp package on CRAN.
@arifbutex
@arifbutex 2 года назад
Thanks for the lecture professor
@MickJaggerr1
@MickJaggerr1 8 лет назад
warning near the end the camera man will clap your eardrums to pieces, turn volume down when Rob explains the website
@AmanAhuja
@AmanAhuja 12 лет назад
Great talk, thanks for putting this online. I'll be sure to check out your book (fpp)!
@scrumdiddly
@scrumdiddly 10 лет назад
Seems a good talk if you don't end up wanting to throttle the camera man.
@wadanda
@wadanda 8 лет назад
Thank you professor
@JeromyAnglim
@JeromyAnglim 11 лет назад
He's using the open source IDE for R called RStudio.
@muchangakanyuira7128
@muchangakanyuira7128 Год назад
I am an expert in this, should anyone need more explanation. Kindly reach out.
@ChetanAhuja1970
@ChetanAhuja1970 10 лет назад
The best so far
@pankajjoshi2310
@pankajjoshi2310 7 лет назад
Great presentation Prof, I am going to buy your book now :)
@chintanshah2332
@chintanshah2332 7 лет назад
can someone please explain why does MAPE need to have a y that has a natural 0?
@tsrevo1
@tsrevo1 8 лет назад
In some parts of the world this camera man would be punished severely...
@alivarzxorany2892
@alivarzxorany2892 3 года назад
LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
@adtrombley
@adtrombley 11 лет назад
I am getting the following when I try to upload fpp --> Please help Warning message: package ‘fpp ’ is not available (for R version 2.15.2)
@child031
@child031 9 лет назад
I have data with time interval of every 15 minutes from Year 2011 to Jan 2014 and require time series forecasting for next 2 days (i.e. 192 recodes). R is able to provide time series forecasting by every 15 minutes? If yes please provide step for the same.
@hypnoz123
@hypnoz123 8 лет назад
It's definitely possible. Go to Rob's website. Review his book. Watch tutorials online. You'll figure it out
@Gyve796
@Gyve796 11 лет назад
I am new to R. How does Professor make his R window look like that with 4 different panel in the screen? Console on the bottom, editor, graph & his graph window has options too. i never see those. I have Rgui 2.14.2 is he using the free version?
@abineshkumarkumaravel4533
@abineshkumarkumaravel4533 7 лет назад
It is R studio.
@vicfcs
@vicfcs 11 лет назад
where can i download the dataset? e.g. the gdp and beer? thanks!
@Gyve796
@Gyve796 11 лет назад
Also, how can i download the taylor file? xls or csv?
@scada67
@scada67 8 лет назад
i get motion sickness from all that camera shaking.
@JustMe-pt7bc
@JustMe-pt7bc 10 лет назад
The voice is not clear..
@31Sparrow
@31Sparrow 12 лет назад
thanks for this video but hey cameraman...less is more. Hold still already!!!
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