How Many Artillery Shells Does Russia Have Left? 

West: So now we are providing Ukrainian with cluster munition shells.

Nobody claimed the run out of shells. But aperently the logistics are flaud

@@sH-ed5yf Nobody? So CNN is nobody? CNN claimed that in the late summer of 2022. What are you saying?

"leave them at worst enough to last till march 2023 and that's not even counting new rounds that could be produced in the meantime". Yes, because that was a worst case estimate of only using stockpiles, not factoring any production.

2024: 🫡

Seelow Heights...maybe?

Russia has the advantage with artillery. They have at least a 10 to 1 advantage artillery. So they are trying their best to make it work.

LoL guys we are hearing this since the first week. According to RU-vid specialists Russia should destroyed and Moscow on NATO hands 😂 but in real world Ukraine is shrinking not to mention US & EU on the verge of collapse 👀

@@MarcusSantAnna That must be some good shyte you're smoking.

@White Star Alliance What are you babbling about?

"leave them at worst enough to last till march 2023 and that's not even counting new rounds that could be produced in the meantime". Yes, because that was a worst case estimate, not factoring any production.

@@BobWill1846

It is horrible they every year in Berlin alone there die people to Americans and British bombs, and what does world say?

Bruh

Appreciate the perspective! Yikes, I did not realize such present day impact from a war 80 years ago.

I wanted to comment the same thing. I live close to Bremen and I hear about bomb disposals every week. I have always wondered how it feels like to live in a country where you don't find bombs at a every construction site

@@auspexr4612 Where are you from? Most nations commited genocids in there history. That fact doesn't make the holocaust any better and it is one of the worst genocids in history or even the worst but most nations had blood on their hands at some point in history.

That's because in ww2 Germany had arti superiority and soviets learned the hard way to never ever be outgunned

@@okakokakiev787 True

Having them, and having them in usable condition aren't the same thing

@@SiriusMined I would say they are working fine. Ask the poor Ukrainian civilians.

Yeah but the rifling in the barrel gets shot out which makes the accuracy go to total crap after about 2000 rds fired. The barrel then has to be reworked, or replaced which makes it have to go back to a factory.

so they will upgrade to smoothbore cannons and keep using them 🙂

That's absolutely right. It's the barrels which are the bottleneck, not the shells. I believe there are two factories but the production capacity is not high. They're putting huge resources into trying to keep civil aviation in the sky and next to nothing to ramp tube production. This ties in with how short-term they're being in general. Hell, they're putting their trainers on the frontline, they're not rotating, they're chewing through reserves. They're going to start seeing the effectiveness of the artillery drop over the coming months. That's just physics. Another big factor is their jet engines, they need to overhaul after 300hrs, they're just not able to do that. Another couple of months and we could see planes dropping out of the sky.

As far as I understand it the average barrel life is only about 2000 shells . After that it needs a full factory refurbishment otherwise it’s so inaccurate to be useless .

That's not true, this barrels are from Soviet times and I doubt USSR used back then western tools

The issue with barrel life has to do with the rifling of the barrels. After about 2,500 to 3,000 rounds, the shell stops spinning, so the accuracy is reduced. But, since Russians can’t aim, and don’t care to try, the barrel life is irrelevant for them. They’ll just fire 10-20x the rounds, and rely on luck.

Given the parlous state of their armour coming out of storage I wouldn't bet on russian artillery shells from storage being in top notch condition.

I think their artillery pieces will wear out before shells run out. Artillery experts say that Russian artillery will be worn out and needs to be replaced by the end of the month. It looks like they don’t have artillery replacements because we haven’t seen much artillery enter Ukraine in the last month.

@@MightyRude i believe sanctions were intended to prevent replacement of military equipment.

@@dynamicascension981 Russia is having a huge steel shortage, projects are being put on hold and manufacturing has slowed to a halt, so my guess is that they redirected all steel supplies to dumb weapon manufacturing.

As some other youtuber said, it is more probable that wear and tear get the cannons more and more innacurate, and they will have some troubles changing them, but that´s it. The only way out is destroying Russias artillery ...or their soldiers.

Russia has to be nervous about it they are seizing artillery and rockets from Belarus, Georgia and Chechnya.

Its not like artillery shells are difficult to mass produce.

@@ColonelBragg They aren't difficult to mass procude, but they become expensive. Even the cheapest russian shell costs at least a couple hundred dollars to manufactures, that's the average monthly salary there. If Russia shoots something like 20 or 60 000 shells each day, they are wasting tens of millions of dollars worth of weapons each day. Not mentioning the artillery guns they need to repair each time.

Thanks, I just wanted to know the answer. Saved me some time.

@@bruderbrot5268 it's still a worthwhile video with a lot of information detailing why he doesnt know, and what speculation could determine

Continue copium

Don't know about the Russians, but in India the barrels are made of steel and not titanium like the M777's because steal is malleable and so can easily be beaten back into shape.

@@alexnderrrthewoke4479 bro, lmao he’s right

@@VintageWarfare he is not though. If you think Russia is doing bad because barrel issues then I got another bridge to sell you.

This is like hoping that the thug who is beating you to death is forced to stop because his arms get tired.

I gotta agree with you on this one. They can't produce more artillery pieces as far as I know with all the sanctions. They will have to start taking pieces from other theaters such as Syria (Happy asshole?) and other occupied territories. That's after they use all the old shit in storage. Sooner or later. Russia will have to decide how badly they wish to continue. I always thought the Rusdian people would be a factor. But they are so well trained that they wouldn't know what to do with actual liberty.

Yes I was wondering about this whether barrel wear and replacing/manufacturing the barrels could be more of a limiting factor than shells - I have to say that I doubt it (at least for a while, I'm guessing Russia always planned on fighting an artillery war during the cold war and likely they manufactured and stored the barrels appropriately. But still....

A drill with an engine cylinder hone on an extended shaft will allow field rehab of artillery pieces. If you don't care about losing a few crews from misfires. And Russia seems to place a lot less value on their soldiers than the west.

they lost 20 million to hitlers's nazis. the ukraine nazis can kill 40 million and they'd still find a way to steamroll in.

you only need good artillery barrels if you care about accuracy and safety.

And now they have to buy shells drom notth korea

Yep, and we like to shit on Russia for using older equipment, yet we see Ukraine use lots of old equipment and ammunition, and we don’t see a single problem and call them the winner automatically. It’s strange with people’s mindsets these days.

And He never claimed it wouldnt

@@sH-ed5yf he did say it 🤡. He said by March 2023 Russia may run out.

@@clifflegrand4848 nope He didnt you didnt whatch the video

@@sH-ed5yf I watched the whole video

@@clifflegrand4848 obviosöy not

That’s mad. Thanks for the tip.

Lightning detectors use electric signals produced in a lightning strike, which is not accountable in artillery strike, no?

@@ivanatora Good question. I haven't vetted the idea. I assumed the satellites used the burst of "light" from the strike to measure the size and location, thermal and otherwise. But worth looking up.

@@ivanatora almost certain that the “Lightning strokes” are recorded and triangulated through radio frequency. Not electronic impulses. If it was solely electricity I would imagine it would be a headache to have every node in the network verifying against each other. I could be wrong although.

They're not lightning maps. They're FIRMS maps which are measured using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer system via NASA satellite. There are also some private satellite firms that license the use of their synthetic aperture radar tech to measure fire activity.

I've seen that Russian tank repair shops are refusing to repair the tanks that hasn't been taken by the Ukrainian Tractor Army and actually been rescued by Russian rescue.

@@loganmerryman202 what a load of bullshit

they have more than 20.000 of soviet era BMPs and more than 7.000 tank of which 2.500 of those are T-72

Yes, and Ukrainian artillery is so advanced they cannot be worn out...

@@eliasziad7864 Shhhh you're talking sense

ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-ODc1iKw9K4g.html

This RU-vidr here is rambling based on his speculation not facts, unless it's from an Russian general himself till then this is up for debate.

@@stuartemmanuel3735 But right through the video he states the caveats and that these are estimates. He has not stated his numbers are facts and he has revealed his sources. Your criticism is unwarranted and overreach.

That is the point. Clearly little research goes into the facts.

Yes because fact's are not for u. They're redacted

Their stockpiles from the Cold War era were sold all over the world as soon as The Soviet Union was split up. Their tanks are mostly for parts. As far as ammunition goes, they have the manpower and natural resources to reload every gun in their arsenal.

Also worth noting, they have become pretty good buddies with the most powerful manufacturing country on earth.

He didnt said russia will completly run out by now. And yes by many Standards NK is a second World country. Health System, agriculture and others are severly underdeveloped

@@sH-ed5yfHopeless bigote!🤔. Go and get your 20th cov boost. It is certainly still helping you in your little and limited Orwellian world!🤢

videos like this keep on spewing wishful thinking. It's been four months of "why Russia's going to loose next week " and some people still don't get it. As much as one wants to support Ukraine , at some point you need to aknowlege reality . Russia's winning, they do have the weapons ,they're economy is fine, if they run out of artillery (which I highly doubt) they have a plan B. They've just announced that they were going to intensify attacks and that the real thing had'nt started yet. Since the begining there was that constant smug underestimation of Russia's capacity and plan , I don't know if it's some kind of communication strategy , but it's clearly uneffective to win a war.

Yeah - they are used to supply wars

Yes that no one wants to buy anymore as they are shit

Russia lost a lot of contracts. I think the biggest client were India. After see the results of Russia fighting vehicles on battle field, well you start to think about to buy! And there is a second outcome. Most of the major high tech programs Russia has, it was based on sales abroad which get the money for also internal acquisitions. Example is SU-57 Felon. It seem they have just 10 in the sky. No one want to buy now this aircraft! So no more money for production for PVO.

@@huidaoren You just described your own comment.

Please double check anything you think you learned from that video.

Most of what said here is bullcrap!

@@Uncle_Samn How do you know that for a fact? Explain

@@Uncle_Samn hello Ivan

@@tommyboman7735 hello comrade

That is called 'counter-battery fire.' If you are still sitting in the same place 5 minutes later, life insurance premiums better up-to-date.

most militaries can

fire then scarper

@@tomf4087 shoot and scoot

So what Russia has been doing?

The nice part is their range is short. When 60 to 300 HIMARS start destroying hundreds of tanks and artillery from western Ukraine out of range of almost all of Russia munitions. Only multimillion dollar cruise Missiles are within range and the HIMARS would be gone before they could strike.

@@Alphasig336 2S35 Koalizija-SW, Смерч (РСЗО)

@@Alphasig336 .... they aren't getting 300... they haven't even gotten 20 yet... last I heard they had 12 with another 4 on the way. 16 is going to hurt the Russians. It isn't going to stop them..

Russia is almost out of ammunition.

@@pth6060 where did you hear that? The same people that said they were running out of missiles in March?

Before that even. During WWI, hot air balloons were used to spot for artillery fire.

Yeah, but the spotter has to relay the info, with the help of drone, you can actually see where you hit. That's first in the history of warfare for a howitzer crew ... as a former memeber of one ... to me it seems like cheating.

The only difference is that with a drone this suicide job is done by a machine no one will miss.

They even used ballons before ww1 nothing new under the sun.

Advanced countries use satellite imagery to direct artillery fire, also many artillery shells are either laser or satellite guided munitions.

That's the title of the video, that's what the video establishes at it's core, but the conclusion is doesn't follow the premise, conclusion is that Ukraine may win the war because of Russia's logistical problems....tell me it's copium without telling me it's copium

@@JG-xm8jy Your comment doesn't make sense, who's coping with what? He never claimed either side would win, just tried to explain how hard it can be to supply the Russian front with the artillery shells it DOES have in storage. Tell me you didn't pay attention to the video, without saying you didn't pay attention to the video. Have a nice day.

@@JG-xm8jy If copium had a physical component the current use levels would require under roof manufacturing infrastructure covering half of Ukraine and the sheer volume of raw material needed would see the other half of Ukraine strip-mined to a level deeper than Mariana's trench.

A simple solution, if that becomes a problem at all, is to slightly reduce saturation of the battlefield with shells.

Russia is fighting on its border on russian speaking teritories and you telling us they will have logistic problems? Do you even lift?

i 100% agree with this, i believe western propaganda is mostly to blame for that and i too want a free ukraine but its just the truth

@Non-Stick Pan and what does that tell us? Nothing

@Non-Stick Pan sometimes making thing go boom is more important than making thing move - particularly when battle lines become more static.

@Non-Stick Pan I bet your vehicle's tires are made in china too.

@Non-Stick Pan If you know anything about original Russian military budget intentions, you should be locked up.

Now that sounds like a nice place for a fire to break out at. I wonder if the location is know to the west. No doubt its heavily defended, especially in these times. Something that large could have security weaknesses though. Sounds like another one of those crazy missions such as the Doolittle Raid.

In the latest Russian-Chechen War -- there have been eight -- the Russians bombed the Chechens for ten years. Grozni was reduced to rubble.

@@guyb7995 wake up or you'll sh*t the bed

Dude that would pop off like a nuke lol

This Nevzorov guy is a complete clown. For example, he said that he literally called the Azov by the phone and later said that they are not nazis but brave guys just because they told him so

You should get out more, it's a big beautiful world out there.

@@jarrettbobbett5230 i get out just fine. had a very long tiresome work week and just got off myself so im relaxing then i got the next 2 days off and im doing things

@@jarrettbobbett5230 damn you mean 😮

15 min of nonsense. enjoy

@@jarrettbobbett5230 He is Russian Agent.

Who claimed russia would run out of shells

@@sH-ed5yf idk, 1.5 years ago BBC said that existing supplies would only last for 3 days

@@bomjahed yes you dont know. Cause that is a dirty lie. I looked it up. What they do say is thst precice wapons are in short supply. And this is the case. Cause they barly launch any meaningfull waves of misles anymore. And btw. Hundreds of Videos of russian soildiers indeed imply that they are very short in supply.

@@sH-ed5yf it appears that you are German, your opinion on that matter doesn't count for historical reasons

@@bomjahed hold on. Seriusly. So the crimes that happened two generations before I was even born, disqualifey me to make observations and critizise an evil war. In fact the russians should have learned even more. But time and time again they fall into dictatorship and let their leaders suppress them and other nations. Sad story. You supoort a regime that is basicly commiting genozide to ukraine. Yet you want to tell me how evil my ancastors where. Very sad story, kid

Thanks man! I appreciate it!

More or less. Russia mainly uses 122mm and 152mm artillery, so it is reasonable to assume most of their artillery shells in storage are of those caliber.

@@gattonero2915 LOL, russian lover keyboard warrior detected.

@@gattonero2915 wow, thats... A lot of bullshit to unpack there...

Russia has not changed the caliber is uses in decades.

@@gattonero2915 ... OK comrade. Chinese right? So sad the life of the little internet troll... Poverty, no love, no hope, sad...

no army ever trule runs out of artillery shells but it basically happened in every war that production cant keep up with demand and when supply is low they have to cancel certain artillery bombardments

WTF are you talking about, this is nothing more than wild guesses. They been saying Russia is running out of ammo for months but they keep firing more and more everyday. Its like reality no longer matters to Western audience.

Good channel but be wary of the comment section. These comments have turned quite toxic since the Ukraine ward kicked off,

@@davedavidson8892 Yes wanting accurate information is soooooo toxic.

@@davidmoss2576 he's giving the best estimates a civilian can obtain while pointing out knowledge shortcomings.

@@davidmoss2576 are you providing any information at all? If so, where can I watch it?;

@@relaxingnature2617 That's a LOT of collateral damage even being generous with a 10 percent accuracy rate. I mean eventually there seems like there will be nothing left to "win" in the country for Russia! Not to mention the civilians that live remain in country for Russian rule aren't going to forget it. Just sucks all around

Additionally Russia had 4000 4.5 ton military trucks for logistics. Even assuming half aren't deployed, Russia can deliver that many with a quarter of its truck fleet, even making only 1 trip a day.

And artillery shells have 70%chance of still being usable after storage,and god knows how many have been in total produced from the soviet era to today

@@mrdumbfellow927 putin doesn't care if there are no civilians left.and as for accuracy their targets ARE the civilians. they just destroy the entire town . they did that in chechnia and syria. that's how they fight.

@@SarevokRegor most of those logi trucks are destroyed

No, Ivan. They said that Russia used up 1/3 of their military resources. But keep listening to what Putin says before you’re shipped off to the front lines. Learn to eat dog.

lllllll

Russia does not use conscripts and reservists in Ukraine. Where did you get this false information from?

This is the most salient post on Russian war fighting that i have seen in a long time. The answer is we just don't know what is the residual barrel life of guns in the field along with the ability of the Russians to replace the degraded barrels.

Russia turned old 23mm anti aircraft barrels into shotgun barrels. I don't think there is a manufacturing limitation

@@rerbitd7094 um, probably directly from Ukrainian propaganda. They’ll have you believe that all the Russians in Ukraine are 18-20 year old conscripts, who didn’t know they were going to war and have no training and poor equipment.

1) I agree with you that there are questions to the numbers estimated. I understand him to have used the base seems to be an estimate by Alex Vershinin at RUSI, which estimated shell expenditure from reported number of fire missions. Clearly, even if the reported number of fire missions is honestly reported, the number of guns involved are not necessarily accurate, nor are the number of shells fired per gun per mission. 2) Yes, the number of fires caused per shell fired will vary greatly depending on weather. 3) I think that one would be fairly easy to control for, since they aren't counting individual flashes or impacts, but a fire started by an impact. I appreciate his attempt at estimating the shell numbers, but the error bars are fairly large here.

@@Snagabott I think I get how the ratio was derived. Alex Vershinin's article at RUSI, The Return of Industrial Warfare, uses Russian MoD figures for the number of fire missions, and guesses it's 16 shells per fire mission. Then it's a matter of estimating how many fires FIRMS can detect over a week and compare with the number of Russian MoD fire missions and 16 shells per fire mission. For example, for the week from May 20 till 26, there were 4074 fire missions. FIRMS data for that period has about 220 fires within arty range, so about 18.5 fire missions per fire detected. Assuming 2/3 of those fire missions are from tube arty, and one would get about (4074/220)*(2/3)*16 = 43456 shells fired, while Covert Cabal gives 48-49K. I guess CC used a larger period for his data to derive the ratio of fire missions per FIRMS detected fire, and guessed 2/3 of fire missions were tube arty with 16 shells per fire mission. Note for the time period above, that would mean about 197 shells per FIRMS fire. It also means 50-60K Russian shells fired each day is likely a vast overestimate, or the Russian MoD greatly understates the number of its fire missions and/or Vershinin greatly underestimates the average number of shells per fire mission. Leedrake5 also collects various data points on GitHub, and from FIRMS data, the total radiative power was about 150-200MW in the Donbas region in the second half of May, while June has several spikes above 500MW, and July even got a spike above 3500MW before collapsing to nearly zero. Note some of those fires may have been Ukrainian strikes on ammo dumps, but it also means 50-60K Russian shells on a single day may be possible with those insane spikes, albeit occasionally. Still, with an average of somewhere around 10-20K (I guess) shells fired per day since the beginning of the war, and something of the order of 1K Russian tubes used, we're talking at day 140 of the 3-day war of an average of 1400-2800 shells fired per tube so far. Which means the barrels are likely at or close to their end of life, with accuracy and range losses when the barrel is excessively eroded. The M777 is regularly quoted as having a 2500-round barrel life, though it's unclear if it's the average or the equivalent full charge metric.

i think its more like 50.000 shells a day

What countries use white phosphorus. It’s banned in most countries

@@killagamez4619 who told you it was banned? It's in use by the US Army and NATO allies. It should be banned, but isn't.

@@killagamez4619 it's only banned for use against civilian targets, that's about it.

Yep that's what NATO invested in. Its combined arms not just artillery.

Yeah nuclear artillery, thats the real power

Lol. Russia does not use conscripts in this operation at all. You just seriously damaged by your proapganda. Doctrine is about superiority in firepower. And that's the best approach cause it saves soldiers' lives. Artillery is God of War and it's massive usage reduce losses in Army. Russia uses the most modern munitions in this operation, guided shells, missiles, etc. OF course, when possible old munitions can be used instead. And it's not about stockpiles but about internal military production that your country does not have. Ukraine does not have any military production at all. That's why Russian losses are 10 times less than Ukrainian ones. Ukraine masively uses unprepared conscripts like you did in Vietnam. that's your normal approach.

@@AlexanderTch Up until 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea then Ukraine got their shit together and started doing joint operations with the US and other allies which has vastly improved their training which is why they've been able to hold out as long as they have. And yes Russia has been using conscripts from day 1.

@@AlexanderTch What propaganda might you exactly be referring to?

@@ActuallyJamie You lie. Crimean people made their decision in 2014 on referendum. Go to Crimea and ask people there. UsA does not have proper experience and they didn't improve poor performance of Ukraine army. In 2015 Donbass miners, teachers, metallurgist, ,businessmen created militia and made a few shamefull defeats to Ukrianian army, so they ran away from Donbass and signed Minsk Treaty. And you lie. No coinscripts have ever been involved in this operation. Give me 5-7 of conscripts and from what place there were conscripted and also source of info.

@@AlexanderTch There's these things called books and history that generals from Russia have written, as well as intelligence gathering agencies, other service members from different countries that have also written books on the Russian way of war, their tactics etc. So I mean pick and choose, there are plenty out there. But the biggest teacher has been History. Observation even from the debacle going on now they are still doing combat the way they always have. It's not exactly rocket science here. Doesn't take a genius to put 2 and 2 together to see exactly how they are doing what it is they are doing the way they do it. Honestly could go into a library and do plenty of research. Actually read books from throughout history.

Hopefully we will stop them.

You know the west produced the Soviet military power? Supplied it? Artillery to trucks and guns

@@thinkerly1 who’s we lol

@@VintageWarfare everyone whose not a despicable ghoulish scumbag supporting imperialist invasion of Ukraine

So you are comparing 1945 tech to 2022? Sounds about right for Russia

🤡

your assessment is great, don't listen to russian clowns

Haha 😂 ucrynian army already won lol thnx 4 the comedy

Add to this Polish Crabs (almost as good as PzH 2000) and Dana artilery, and it is even more true

Potential conscripts may want to sabotage those russian factories. Even those guarding those factories might get sent to Ukraine. They mind as well sabotage what they're guarding.

None you mentioned are true

no..totally bullshit

Lollipops 😮

I hope not, watching a Russian turret fly is just like watching a rosebud open... magical and beautiful.

In Transnistria, Moldova for example. Which is determined to remain an ally of Russia regardless of the Moldovan government kissing NATO ass.

@@johnbrooks7144 John Brooks? Hmmm? Generic as fuck english name but supports Russia? Hello Russian bot, how much you getting paid by pappa Putin? Get me that sweet sweet Rubel money :)

sure... ukraine are getting destroyd as we speak

Just send more shells. Problem solved, no need for accurate shooting if you already outtube your enemy.

@@yulusleonard985 Thanks for proving me right!

@@thc6664 No, not really.

Thanks. And that's a good point. I originally had a few more lines about how often barrels need to be replaced, somewhere around 3,000 shells fired. But video was getting too long haha. Plus that'd be another day or two worth of research trying to figure out barrel production. I did think about losses and looked at Orxy site, but then figured the roughly 100 lost was a small enough fraction to not become a factor. Might in the future though.

I went the other way. Honestly almost every country or faction throughout history really really underestimated the amount of material they need for a major, protracted war, with artillery shells being some of the worst hit. Couple that with war typically coming suddenly and production being outstripped by increased use and it becomes really common. Even WWII was not exempt. Though part of the issue re AirPower is how expensive and relatively small professional air forces are and how quite inexperienced Russian forces are with large scale, intricate air ops.

Russia isn't a superpower. It's a regional power.

The battle in Donetsk has been compared to a WW1 war of attrition... probably not with too much accuracy, but just read on the supply and logistics woes of WW1 for an example of how the demands of logistics in an artillery-heavy war of position can quickly become insane. That said, Russia is not now and never will run out of artillery shells... this is another laughable claim made in the PR war and spin that's being put out.

Ukraine has called its army "the strongest in Europe" but even their baseless boasting did not include the "superpower" monicker. In case of Russia, of course, there is no shortage of tanks and artillery shells, they are in practically infinite supply.

Russia removed itself from the list of superpowers about 4months ago :D

I also doubt whether they'll run out of more sophisticated guided missiles as they undoubtedly have many thousands of missiles in random ammo dumps around Russia. I remember seeing a video way way back in the ye olden days of youtube of a Russian ammo dump with missiles in their storage containers pretty much as far as the eye could see.

@@killman369547 They already ran out of many forms of guided missiles a while ago … pilots complained in intercepted communication that they have no guided missiles and hence must use unguided missiles in jets and helicopters increasing the risk of them being shot down … big Russian problem is that more sophisticated equipment did not enter mass production … as they acquired chips and high end parts from France other countries the production of a lit of gear slowed down like the Armata set for delivery in 2025 … but they will not run out of shells … Ukraine rather runs out of soldiers first …

Yes but how quickly can you produce them? Probably not as fast

@@andrerothweiler9191 They can. Artillery is about the most cheap piece of heavy equipment you can manufacture. Is just a bigger tank cannon, without all the things that take time to produce for a tank.

@@Patop2002 I am not sure about this, only one company in Russia can do barell and they have like 2 machines I Believe

I would say both sides have that problem. Russia has been consistently targetting Ukrainian fuel and ammunition dumps. It boils down to which side is the more successful in disrupting the supply lines of the other.

"Javelins, NLAWs and even RPGs" would require 20 miles on foot across the almost completely flat pontic steppe to find a convoy to attack in the first place.

Javelins and nlaws lack the range to be a real threat on the current battlefield except in city fighting. And it seems Russia has a new strategy for cities. Artillery strikes until the city is basically gone.

@@islandwills2778thats been their strategy since the start did you not see mariupol?

Then again depending on the distance they can cover as well as how close the trains get to the front line if you are able to destroy or damage rail tracks you are also slowing them down. Not to mention that might leave an opening to attack the train / blow it up.

yes. you put it right. loss of logistics, many elements in that are a bigger problem, than ammo stores, as this is effective at short term. hence UA targeting this background with the stuff they have, i.e. the HIMARS. cut the line. not only advance is made impossible, (Donbass), but holding a line becomes unbearable after a while. break the legs to make the stronger opponent fall. :)

@Steve Arthur I stand corrected then thank you my friend

Does Russia have 10 facilities? I heard 1-2.

@@dylanc9174 Agree.

@Steve Arthur How do we know this 10% number? It can't be across the board. It's not like Russia has as much other equipment as it has artillery. Russia has used maybe 25-50% of their working tank stalk. We've seen photos of almost 1000 different tanks. Russia is using what they have. They may not be able to do a full mobilisation, but they are running out of some equipment with this many losses. And it's not that they run out of artie around, it's that they will run out of them on the front lines. They consume a fuckload of rounds, it takes a fuckload of trucks they likely don't have to refill the demand of upwards of 60,000 rounds a day plus the 100,000s of rounds Ukraine is destroying a day.

@@dylanc9174 total military is much larger than tank forces. Evidence shows they use maybe 20% total of their military overall, more like 15%

@@Jl-lq5en But you have to take away the percentage that Russia absolutely needs in order to secure the border. They can't use 90% of their military because they need to secure the border and secure government buildings. I'm sure Russia has a lot of stockpile, but if they properly equipped their soldiers with their new equipment some of it would have run out by now. They'd be using cold war era equipment, bulky and ineffective in some cases.

Interesting.

Or Ukrainians could just blow up their entire ammo stockpile, which is what they've been doing for the past week.

@@Reloaded2111 Except it wasn't their entire stockpile of ammo. Besides, their opponent won't be stupid, they will adapt to a more decentralized solution and just ramp up ammo production regardless the costs. So in the long run it will need something to counter that efforts. Something that a financially less robust economy can afford.

What? 🤣🤣🤣

@@uruk-hai3647 Ukraine has lots of BUK, S-300, Manpads, TOR, OSA

@@Gstyle1 dude, they are loosing s300 and buks in great numbers, why then they need so many Murders ,ADATS, and Patriots? Manpads are effective against transport hilos only

Even Soviet made Igla missiles have brought down Russian aircraft. It's apparent they will never gain air superiority, not with numerous effective surface to air missiles in the hands of Ukrainians.

@@Gstyle1 You and Taras here, have been smoking crack with Hunter Biden again. Go download your next thought of the day from CNN.

You are reading western propaganda.

That may be true, but the same applies to Ukraine, which has to move their supplies through entire length of the country, all the while Russia has more or less air dominance and cruise missiles. Also UA can't target railways in Russia while Russia can target railroad infrastructure in Ukraine.

keep coping boy, i remember western analyst saying russia will run out of ammo by the first month of the war, guess that was very wrong as russia literally destroying ukranians by the dozens in the east, lisichansk and severdonetsk fell, next will be bakhmut and sloviansk and the train will keep rolling

You have read wrong.

you should stop reading por Ukrainian sources then.

Ehhhh, his estimate of consumption being below 8k is insane, considering we've literally seen a massive quantity advantage in active fire missions on the Russian side. 17-18k is likely. The vide is otherwise solid.

Where is the evidence?

@@ateliahibiscus6039 The video is bull. There is no shortage. Shells are being produced daily by the thousands. Also the equipment to fire said shells.

it's not as easy as just make shells, fire shells. It's bit more complicated than that.

🙏👍

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@@CalmMind69 thanks for playing. Here is your 🍪