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How P-Values Help Us Test Hypotheses: Crash Course Statistics #21 

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23 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 133   
@TheCaptain14
@TheCaptain14 6 лет назад
Most useful CrashCouse episode of all-time for academics and scientists
@ifeobikoya3559
@ifeobikoya3559 5 лет назад
truer word have never been spoken
@D1yude
@D1yude 5 лет назад
only 100k views a year later, I guess we are going extinct
@sagar5945
@sagar5945 5 лет назад
As someone who is studying statistics at uni, you explain these things better than most of my Professors. I feel like it fell into place now!
@KristenRoseWild
@KristenRoseWild 5 лет назад
I'm in college now and have been watching videos from this channel since high school. Needless to say, they've been so helpful. So crazy and great I can find a resource as great as this on RU-vid!
@Levy957
@Levy957 6 лет назад
omg this statistics series is awesome! they really put effort in this.
@xstephanx94
@xstephanx94 6 лет назад
PSYCH MAJORS, WHERE YOU AT!?
@Ginatron
@Ginatron 6 лет назад
taking 4000 level biostatistics and this is much more effective, and efficient, explanation of hypothesis testing! I feel like I wasted hours reading a book that is written in archaic jargon, when everything I needed to understand the logical concepts is right here.
@ArchOfWinter
@ArchOfWinter 6 лет назад
"Reductio absurdum!!!" Yelled Harry Potter pointing his wand at Voldemort.
@jerryhu9005
@jerryhu9005 6 лет назад
And just like that, the Dark Lord turned into a giraffe with 200 spots
@oldcowbb
@oldcowbb 6 лет назад
well, the spells in harry potter are inspired by latin
@abidinglove3409
@abidinglove3409 6 лет назад
Please make a series on linguistics too. After all, language matters.
@greensteve9307
@greensteve9307 5 лет назад
One 12min vid explained this topic better than six hours of classes.
@stormyandsnowy
@stormyandsnowy 6 лет назад
Reductio ad Absurdum sounds like a magic trick!
@FreedVoid
@FreedVoid 6 лет назад
Great timing, came in just as my class started going into p-values ^^
@noalear
@noalear 6 лет назад
I'm very thankful for you breaking it down so well. I got worried with the last video. Love the series!
@Mewzyque
@Mewzyque 6 лет назад
10:27 Statistically Significant = unlikely to be due to Random Chance alone
@WMTeWu
@WMTeWu 5 лет назад
It's more like 10:12
@shreddits684
@shreddits684 5 лет назад
you should add: given that the null is true
@andreasmuller3006
@andreasmuller3006 6 лет назад
FINALLY understood p value! Thanks!
@valor36az
@valor36az 6 лет назад
This was better than any explanation I have read so far
@annikarettich1079
@annikarettich1079 6 лет назад
I'd love to see a crash course on psychometrics (CTT, IRT etc.) - to combine those psychology and statistic courses!
@Therover19
@Therover19 5 лет назад
Couldn't pay attention to the null hypothesis. Guy lounging on a tree and eating was way too distracting.
@deeghali8719
@deeghali8719 5 лет назад
literally i couldn't follow the null hypothesis for those eating scenes either what the heck!! that was so distracting why did they do that!
@BharCode09
@BharCode09 4 года назад
@@deeghali8719 Exactly I was thinking I'm the weirdo, always about eating :P
@13varunp65
@13varunp65 11 месяцев назад
statistically significant
@aNytmare
@aNytmare 6 лет назад
I was promised golden pants! And you wonder why DFTBAQ doesn't take off... smh
@Tuckems
@Tuckems 6 лет назад
Nyt Mare I WAS PROMISED DFTBAQ PANTS! LIES! ITS ALL LIES! THIS IS WHY THEY SHOULD HAVE STUCK WITH HANK AND JOHN
@acatindisguise
@acatindisguise 6 лет назад
What does the Q stand for?
@dolph1nch1ca46
@dolph1nch1ca46 4 года назад
thanks this was extremely helpful
@ferngirltlc
@ferngirltlc 6 лет назад
I love the giraffe example because I work at a zoo and I run the public giraffe feeds XD
@WMTeWu
@WMTeWu 5 лет назад
8:13 - Where is 8.99% comming from? I've got about 6% with this R code: "1 - pnorm(2400, mean=2300, sd=(500/sqrt(60)))"
@nikhilgopal6075
@nikhilgopal6075 5 лет назад
Yup, I got the same thing.. 8.99 is wrong.
@TheElitebumbershoot
@TheElitebumbershoot 5 лет назад
Same thing: ~6%. 60 samples: (2400cal - 2300cal)/(500sd/sqrt(60)) = 1.549 z-score => 6.0691% complementary cumulative
@emilytopham5069
@emilytopham5069 6 лет назад
Heart melted by giraffe wave!
@gaborigt
@gaborigt 6 лет назад
Wow!!! That was amazing, really clarified few things that were disturbing me. Thanks!
@rahultherash
@rahultherash 4 года назад
6:10 golden words
@rkpetry
@rkpetry 6 лет назад
*_...sometimes statistics talks so slightly about usability, that it looks offtrack from any-use-at-all (mathematics isn't to blame)-When I consider votation outside the entropic zone of indistinguishability from random-voting, I include the likelihood of rejected results being returned for a specific reprocessing (e.g. contested Laws returned to the Supreme Court whose workload is fixed), and I perhaps-arbitrarily for otherwise-general use select σ√2π as where the 'Normal' bottoms-out..._*
@jakepointer5494
@jakepointer5494 4 года назад
My god, I think after watching this about 3 times, I've got it
@reubenbelenjr.9100
@reubenbelenjr.9100 4 года назад
I find it difficult to elevate my competence in statistics... maybe I am not simply predisposed to possess the proclivity of a Math Genius.
@Marcos-qv3mz
@Marcos-qv3mz 6 лет назад
What's coming will be the best part. It's very relevant in today's scientific enviroment,
@joeydeg
@joeydeg 6 лет назад
I'd like to see you explain why it would an reductio, that would be hardcore scientism if you'd ask me.
@adrianfernandez3885
@adrianfernandez3885 6 лет назад
Alternative way to define the p-value: The probability of wrongly rejecting the null (hypothesis)
@teunvandenbrand1324
@teunvandenbrand1324 6 лет назад
That is called a type 1 error.
@peep4254
@peep4254 5 лет назад
we get assigned these videos for our stats class and I literally have no idea what ur talking about half the time lol
@kujmous
@kujmous 6 лет назад
This series is significant.
@anastasialisina8922
@anastasialisina8922 5 лет назад
I love this series!!!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 6 лет назад
Awesome!
@seragsdks
@seragsdks 5 лет назад
Could you please talk about effect size. And if it’s as important as statistical significance. Especially with complete population stats (like census). So we divided the us population into males and females, can we use effect size?
@philosophyindepth.3696
@philosophyindepth.3696 3 месяца назад
Reading for data science and machine learning
@deemoore8699
@deemoore8699 5 лет назад
THANK YOU!!
@TheyCallMeNewb
@TheyCallMeNewb 6 лет назад
Ytterbium-171 atomic clocks demarcate a second with their transition frequency of 518, 295, 836, 591, 614 (518 trillion and change), with an Allan's deviation of 10^17! And you thought that you had control over your p.
@noalear
@noalear 6 лет назад
How long have you waited to tell that joke? I love it.
@fernandoraphael95
@fernandoraphael95 6 лет назад
I'm in love with this lady ❤️ she's amazing!
@gabestewart-guido8299
@gabestewart-guido8299 6 лет назад
good job
@ncooty
@ncooty 6 лет назад
+CrashCourse: In the title, I think you mean "hypotheses" (plural)... and the "p" and "v" should be in lower case.
@patrickmeehan6856
@patrickmeehan6856 5 лет назад
Echoing the comments about food...Food serves as a such a perfect source of relevant and manipulatable examples for a stats course. Three thoughts: 1) She does a great job using food in just this way in every one of the videos I've watched so far (up through 21) 2) People with eating disorders should look to Khan Academy for their video-based stats ejumukashun. Though inferior to CC in myriad ways and overall, at least his chicken scratch drawings and overly assumptive examples in no way resemble something comestible. His videos rival unadorned chicken breast in blandness and enjoyability. CC videos, well, chicken parm baked by a Neapolitano grandma named Maria! 3) She's an obvious plant by the Koch brothers and big-ag.
@sammorningstar6818
@sammorningstar6818 6 лет назад
I used program to generate a normal curve stated in last problem with mean of 2300 and SD of 500/sqrt(60) to get p value of 12% and not 18% as said in the video. CC please expaln?
@chillsahoy2640
@chillsahoy2640 6 лет назад
If you get a p-value that is in the 90s, it's guaranteed to be X-TREME!.
@mielthebee
@mielthebee Год назад
It’s a crime that the intro doesn’t use “DFTBAQ” in the speech bubble for the intro.
@alexandersullivan4313
@alexandersullivan4313 6 лет назад
Can we get a crash course economics, and have half of the series to macroeconomics, and the other half to microeconomics.
@rahulkrbhadani
@rahulkrbhadani 6 лет назад
Hey what softwares you use to make graphics and animations?
@dtl19
@dtl19 6 лет назад
25 baby giraffes! 😍😍 Where is this zoo!?
@ShakalDraconis
@ShakalDraconis 6 лет назад
Would this not also mean that we should expect "statistically significant" findings to be incorrect up to 5% of the time?
@teunvandenbrand1324
@teunvandenbrand1324 6 лет назад
No. You should expect statistically significant findings to be incorrect more than 5% of the time, because statistically insignificant findings are very rarely reported. Also keep in mind that you can sample your population 20 times, for which you can expect 1 significant finding. To counteract this, you correct for multiple testing by controlling the family wise error rate or false discovery rate.
@coreyfro
@coreyfro 6 лет назад
Why doesn't this series have a playlist? I want to share this. This series needs a playlist. Please fix.
@coreyfro
@coreyfro 6 лет назад
Nevermind, the dumb RU-vid app doesn't list more than 20 or so playlists....which is dumb.
@coreyfro
@coreyfro 6 лет назад
Yeah... I said it... I said dumb twice... Dumb! ;-)
@WMTeWu
@WMTeWu 5 лет назад
It's good to know, that as a YT user, you can create your own playlists, and share with your friends.
@elliscoulter9444
@elliscoulter9444 4 года назад
Was that guy eating a clove of garlic?¿
@partyof2539
@partyof2539 6 лет назад
Where was this six months ago?!
@LiteralCats
@LiteralCats 6 лет назад
Wait, how are p-values determined in the very first place?
@jyotiyadav8608
@jyotiyadav8608 6 лет назад
Free Again After the data is collected, any of the suitable statistical tests (e.g., t-test) can be performed to get the p-value.
@LiteralCats
@LiteralCats 6 лет назад
Jyoti Yadav thanks! I don't think she mentioned the t-test in this video (or I wasn't paying attention) but I'll give it a look.
@jyotiyadav8608
@jyotiyadav8608 6 лет назад
Free Again No, she didn't mention the it. I am just telling you what I know from my biostatistics class. 😅
@teunvandenbrand1324
@teunvandenbrand1324 6 лет назад
You take a look at the distribution of your null hypothesis and calculate the area under the line from the value of your test statistic towards infinitely more extreme. The area under the the line of the entirety of your null hypothesis distribution should add up to exactly 1, thus the area that you are calculating for your statistic has to be smaller than 1.
@themightykarnak
@themightykarnak 5 лет назад
arbitrarily.
@NisargJain
@NisargJain 5 лет назад
I lost them when people started eating.
@mtksbctk
@mtksbctk 5 лет назад
4:54
@djinnieernshof1263
@djinnieernshof1263 5 лет назад
Im a little disapointed that there were no gold pants
@timeaesnyx
@timeaesnyx 6 лет назад
So reduction ad absurdum is not always a logical fallacy?
@CarterFGlenn
@CarterFGlenn 6 лет назад
Why couldn't you have had these when I was in High School? haha
@so_raajas
@so_raajas 5 лет назад
Notice how she says Buzzfeed 6:10
@user-xb2kw2qy3d
@user-xb2kw2qy3d 6 лет назад
Where was this video 2months ago
@pmcgee003
@pmcgee003 6 лет назад
I'd really like to love this series, like the many excellent other subjects, but it doesn't quite have the same flair. Disappointing to see logical contradiction compared to unlikely.
@jamespaz4333
@jamespaz4333 4 года назад
Why food examples? I am hungry now.hehe
@iefe65
@iefe65 5 лет назад
Can someone explain to me this conclusion 8:08 ? : I understand that 9% of mean caloric intake are higher than 2400. And that since the distribution is symmetric, 9% higher than 2300 is 9% lower than 2300. But how does they add up ? WHY THE HECK do we care to use the symmetric rule to say that 18% are away from 2300. Where does 2400 fit in this conclusion ??? I need help seriously y_y
@freezerburnfreeze
@freezerburnfreeze 5 лет назад
The p-value is the probability of the data randomly occurring. If the p-value is high, then the data is considered not significant and you fail to reject the null hypothesis. If the p-value is low, then the data is likely not random and you have statistically significant data (you fail to reject). The p-value for this problem is .09, while the standardized p-value cut off in statistics is .05. In this example, the probability of the data randomly occurring is 9%, so we can't say the data is significant since the probability greater than 5%.
@iefe65
@iefe65 5 лет назад
@@freezerburnfreeze Thank for you answer although that is not what I wanted to understand, I actually do understand well the p-value but I don't get how a two sided p-value work in this example. They use the symmetric rule but it is not the logic behind it that I don't understand, it is how do they manage to use it here that is not clear.
@whalefall5901
@whalefall5901 5 лет назад
In this case, the question is whether people with gene X eat a different amount of calories than the general population (NOT whether people with gene X eat HIGHER amount of calories). Although we got the information that the mean of a sample of 60 people with gene X is 2400 and is greater than the mean of general population which is 2300, the mean of the all the people with gene X might be smaller or greater than 2300, so we need two cutoff numbers on both sides to decide whether to reject NHST and it's .025 for each side, and comparing .09 to .025 is just same as comparing .18 to .05.
@lucasong51
@lucasong51 5 лет назад
Ok but where are the gold lamé pants?
@WobblyDave72
@WobblyDave72 5 лет назад
Gold pants?
@qayxswedcrfv1
@qayxswedcrfv1 5 лет назад
hungry while watching...and then 03:50 happens................
@everythinggeorgia1
@everythinggeorgia1 5 лет назад
Why the hell did the guy at 4.00 straight up bite into an onion????????????
@EdgeOfEntropy17
@EdgeOfEntropy17 6 лет назад
BOy this suRe Is iNterestinG. ;)
@LegeFles
@LegeFles 6 лет назад
I just had an exam on statistics today....
@gelpy27
@gelpy27 6 лет назад
i don’t get it.
@horizon241
@horizon241 6 лет назад
Nerds who love nerds who love giraffes who love giraffes!
@apurvmj
@apurvmj 6 лет назад
I love baby giraffe
@pepsifester
@pepsifester 6 лет назад
I hate to nit-pick, but your examples misused standard deviation. 175 spots with a standard deviation would have a bell curve MUCH wider than what is shown. The bell curve shown has a mean of 175 with a standard deviation of approx 11 or 12. Please make your graphics match your examples.
@chelseaparlett8069
@chelseaparlett8069 6 лет назад
the graphs in this example use the standard error, not the standard deviation since it's the mean number of spots for a group of giraffes not just one!
@plsbemyuncle
@plsbemyuncle 5 лет назад
I miss John green
@sfi145
@sfi145 5 лет назад
Delivery was much too fast and the graphics were not on the screen for long enough.
@jbwoutlet732
@jbwoutlet732 5 лет назад
You can change the speed of the video, if that helps?
@laStar972chuck
@laStar972chuck 4 года назад
Slow down the video and stop your entitled complaining over something provided for free, boomer.
@julialavrador6864
@julialavrador6864 5 лет назад
where are the pants
@neomashego
@neomashego 6 лет назад
Not 1st
@thebloxxer22
@thebloxxer22 5 лет назад
Gene X? Lets call it something different so that Chromosomes 22 and 23 are not confused with it.
@jeffreybernath6627
@jeffreybernath6627 6 лет назад
You say that the current consensus is that alpha should be 0.05 - this is standard in the social sciences. But ask a physicist? When they found the Higgs boson they went out 5 standard deviations from the null hypothesis mean.
@elidouglass4833
@elidouglass4833 5 лет назад
what
@1nd93dk3
@1nd93dk3 4 года назад
gold lame pants????
@drpsychonaut
@drpsychonaut 6 лет назад
yayy 1st?
@hkntns
@hkntns 6 лет назад
I took my statistics test on tuesday, wasn't really proud of what I wrote ...
@neomashego
@neomashego 6 лет назад
TK H make peace with the outcome.
@jeffersonkoong
@jeffersonkoong 6 лет назад
She isn't wearing her gold lame pants!
@c.vpadmavathi8114
@c.vpadmavathi8114 7 месяцев назад
.
@vsilverlining
@vsilverlining 5 лет назад
anyone else super grossed out by the men eating
@connorpalazzo9131
@connorpalazzo9131 5 лет назад
She could not have been more unclear in her definitions and examples. She literally made it as complex and confusing as possible even though this concept is actually not so.
@poggersthethird9058
@poggersthethird9058 6 лет назад
First
@fida80
@fida80 5 лет назад
I find Khan academy hypothesis topic much simpler than crash course , isn't crash course ment to be more simple to understand
@greensteve9307
@greensteve9307 5 лет назад
There are other factor than simplicity to consider. For example, I find the speaker on Khan academy very hard to listen too.
@zachmaier6518
@zachmaier6518 6 лет назад
REEEEEEEEEEE
@undisputedboyka12
@undisputedboyka12 6 лет назад
Riddle me this lady, what is the probability of me losing my virginity before im 40?
@kareemelabed3890
@kareemelabed3890 6 лет назад
shout me out first comment
@BernardoPowaga
@BernardoPowaga 6 лет назад
There are so many things wrong in this video I can’t even start to describe. Just get a statistician to take the show and correct the misconceptions, please.
@Zeekar
@Zeekar 6 лет назад
Bernardo Powaga Nothing jumped out at me. Could you name one or two misconceptions in the video? Not a statistician, but interested.
@assalane
@assalane 6 лет назад
I didn't notice anything wrong. Please give an example
@BernardoPowaga
@BernardoPowaga 6 лет назад
Stating that chance alone cause a test to be wrongly significant and use of hard cutoffs are the most common and dangerous misconceptions here. Just read the ASA statement about p-values (February 2016 if I remember correctly) which talk about these issues.
@jinjunliu2401
@jinjunliu2401 6 лет назад
Bernardo Powaga about the cutoffs, she said that there's a lot of discussion on if it's good to do that and she'll dive further into that next video
@laStar972chuck
@laStar972chuck 4 года назад
@@BernardoPowaga There is a whole episode in the serie about that p-value "standard" discussion and the reproductibility crisis in sciencitfic research, tho. And she does mention the ASA statement and provide a link to it.
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