Kind of a long shot question but was wondering if you could make a model for pitcher fantasy score for prize picks? it’s an underrated market that is very profitable
You can get the odds from the website. Pinnacle is geo-location blocked for the U.S. so you aren't going to be able to get an account but accessing the odds is all you need for the model.
@@bowman_chris2615 with the Kelly criterion you will bet more when the bet outcome is more likely to happen(along with the +EV edge). So for odds that are on the favorite side of a moneyline your wager amount will be higher. Let me know if you have further questions.
@@ExcelHelpNow Thanks for the quick reply! So for example, tonight, public odds were -125 Red Sox ML, break even was -114, my book was offering -120. on a $2000 Account Value, it wanted me to wager $1,093.51. That cant be right, can it?
Yes, OddsJam does this for you and has some proprietary calculations for their 'fair odds'. This excel based model gives you a chance to do it yourself if you aren't looking to do a subscription service. I personally sub to OddsJam but recognize not everyone can commit to the price point or isn't fully committed to +EV betting so I hope my models provide another avenue for those either wanting to learn more and understand the math behind the bets or want a one-time purchase option.