Why did Moscow need to tighten the conditions for mobilisation? What long war is Russia preparing for? How will the war affect the 2024 elections in Russia? Is there a chance of any Western intervention? Why is Russian government spokesman Dmitry Peskov so alarmed? Does the vote of Russians who fled abroad count for anything? In the two great waves of refugees, how many have left Russia in the last year? What margin of victory would spectacularly strengthen Putin's legitimacy? Are there any potential rivals? Who could be potential leaders among the current power elite? Why did Prime Minister Mikhail Mysustyn and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin step back from the public during the war, and could they have other ambitions? Does the Russian business elite have any influence on political strategy today? Are there any Russian oligarchs who could or would oppose the Russian President? Can there be any public political competition and a democratic electoral situation?
Ukrainian tragedy and Russian disaster: what are the three factors that could influence the outcome of the war and when it ends? What is the role of the West in sustaining the war and the Ukrainian economy?
What is the new Russian world political doctrine? What post-euro-Atlantic world order does Moscow envisage? Is the war in Ukraine an end in itself or just one of the potential areas of operation of the new world order? How does the war in Ukraine affect Moscow's influence on the members of the Commonwealth of Independent States? New. Is the Tokayev-led Kazakhstan, a strong ally of China, seeking ways to break away from Moscow? How close has Azerbaijan's military ties with Turkey become? How is Russian-Chinese relations developing? Where does Beijing stand or not stand with Moscow? How is China trying to avoid being hit by economic sanctions because of its ties with Russia? How is the tenfold superiority of the Chinese economy reflected in bilateral relations, can they be equal players in a relationship? How important a consequence of the war for Moscow is the complete loss of international confidence, and how difficult does this make any peace agreement?
Zoltán Bíró, historian, Russia expert in the Inforádió Aréna programme on 25.04.2023. Podcast.
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9 сен 2024
