HUGE NBA Sports Betting Profit - Build a Model in 45 minutes or less!

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Learn how to make winning NBA basketball bets and make extra income at actionbackers.com
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Walking you through my brand new NBA model that I built in less than one hour.
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Опубликовано:

26 июл 2020

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Комментарии : 52

@griffinbeen7944 3 года назад

How do you find projected points using the stats you kept

@92nollag Год назад

There is Absolutly no way this beats betting markets

@questionablecompany2123 Год назад

I'm confused. Why did you pull Phoenix's opponent points from Washington's opponent points column and vice versa? Isn't that stat referencing the avg points scored on each of those teams?

@jgagliardo98 3 года назад

I’m going to join once we get hockey or baseball(regular season) back but what do you use to get each team’s statistics

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

Depends on the sport- but natural stat trick, fangraphs mainly

@wamboyabilton8962 2 года назад

is it possible for me to learn only this model?

@basiliszag 3 года назад

Hey do u have material for modelling player props in basketball? Points, threes etc?

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

I don’t bet basketball, this was just an example, but there are lots of places to get data to model things like that. Google is your friend

@basiliszag 2 года назад

@@ActionBackers thanks, was looking for tutorials like yours not data sources 👍🏻

@cbtri15 4 месяца назад

I am a big fan of your work. Thank you for the videos you have on youtube. I find them very useful. I've watched this particular video about five times. As you state, your regression model outputs are almost exactly the same as the actual PPG For and PPG Against. That being the case, I don't see the need to run a regression. Why don't you just use the PPGF and PPGA that you scraped from the internet without doing a regression? My apologies if I'm being obtuse.

@janipraprotnik6468 3 года назад

hi. i'm not exactly sure this will work well. Due to player injuries and the current COVID-19 situation, you have to create the team linesups. However BOL!

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

This is a basis to start on. Of course you need to take daily lineup information into account, however, a big mistake most people make is over-valuing that information. Sure, if LeBron is out of the lineup, that makes a huge difference, in basketball specifically (where it doesn't have as large an impact in other sports). The point I was making is once you know what you're doing, it's not hard to build a model that can be profitable, with relative ease. Depending on your look-back horizon on stats, you also don't necessarily need to create team lineups, as team stats are reflective of that. Of course, you wouldn't want to just use season to date stats, you would want to incorporate, for instance, last 10 game stats instead. Again, this was meant to be a simple demonstration as to how you can use readily available stats to incorporate them into a model with strong predictive indicators.

@hommie241 3 года назад

Do u have models that are specifically for live in game bets

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

Not at the moment, not something I've really focused on as much.

@hommie241 3 года назад

@@ActionBackers I mean do U bet on real games not fantasy games

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

@@hommie241 of course I bet on real games, not sure why that wouldn’t be clear by all of my videos and the purpose of my channel

@bailey6143 2 года назад

So I’ve been using this model (not exact but made my own and added my own things to it) but I was just wondering what is the point of the regression and all that? Seeing as you don’t actually have to use it

@bailey6143 2 года назад

No hate or anything just a bit confused. Cheers mate keep up the good work ❤️

@ActionBackers 2 года назад

I don’t actually bet on NBA, this was more just an example. As the models get more complex you would want to use some form of regression, whether linear, logistic etc. as you focus more on predictors

@Dee_FitDreamz 4 месяца назад

Is this still available?

@cadenma1320 3 года назад

where can i get the spreadsheet?

@mensahtalk2367 3 года назад

he's using excel but he's offering a service to help you build your template

@dylanhastings2020 2 года назад

Does this also work for college hoops?

@jasoncihanowyz8886 3 года назад

I just made an account for a month, do you have a video that takes you through how to make the model in this video i cant find it

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

Please join the slack chat and we can talk there- but in the "Courses" section you will find a video course that teaches you to start building a model

@RunescapeGamer070 3 года назад

Do you take into account Home Field Advantage?

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

If I were actually betting with this model, I would yes.

@commonsense9166 3 года назад

Nice excel but you don't have home advantage and you don't use ratings based on closing lines and all you use is actual stats. Plus you should make an automated tool for injured players, questionable etc and deduct the fair value of them according to minutes and other values. Hard to win in long term but not impossible as long as you can beat closing lines at least in your data where you are aware of all team news and you can adjust. Keep up the good work

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

This is just a demo- I don’t bet NBA but take everything you’ve mentioned into consideration for sports that I actually do bet

@commonsense9166 3 года назад

@@ActionBackers Happy you don't bet NBA right now and i am sure you will soon when you are confident enough. Try to adjust better your closing lines behind so you don't have more than 2 points difference from market without team news. I apologize for my kind of advices to you but i am a retired basketball trading manager worked in the betting industry 16 years so i always feel like i have to somehow assist people who bet. Wish you the best in your betting and modelling

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

Oh to be clear I have no intention to bet NBA, I am a profitable NHL and MLB bettor, that is what I focus on only. thanks for the comments

@wilson3505 2 года назад

Hi, just a quick question. I`m trying to build my own NBA betting model, but need some advice. What statistics and/or values do you think is most important to consider to implement? Thanks in advance!

@wilson3505 2 года назад

Duke1972 Thank you very much!!

@mensahtalk2367 3 года назад

having an average year using your methods can you afford an average sports car?

@perulv4090 3 года назад

If it was super profitable or did not have a glitch in the plan why not do that instead of getting a few dollars on youtube....

@stubbboss2402 3 года назад

The score in that game was 125-112 .... you would of lost your money

@ActionBackers 3 года назад

Single bets lose all the time. I fail to see your point? My most profitable sport is NHL and I typically have a win percentage of only 48%... that means I lose more than half of my bets but still make large profit. One random basketball game in July doesn’t mean anything for long term profitability.