Is A 5% Cash Rate For Australia On The Cards? 

As I discussed on my live show, on Tuesday night with Leith van Onselen, the RBA decided to hold the cash rate at 4.35%, but there were signs of a more hawkish tone from the meeting notes, and the subsequent press conference (which I might add is becoming less useful each time thanks to weak questions supporting weak answers, come on MSM do your job….)
Bullock was clear, we need more data, there are risks to the upside from sticky inflation, but employment is also an important factor, given their dual mandate.
Just remember folks, the RBA at 4.35% is significantly below several other Central Banks, including the Bank of England, which held rates on Thursday at 5.25%, despite inflation falling to 2% last month, Bank of Canada which cut rates by 0.25% to 4.75% and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank holding rates at 5.5%, despite driving the economy there into recession.
Which begs the question, has the RBA done enough on rates to squeeze inflation out of the economy in Australia, despite being lower the peers, mainly because in Australia a greater proportion of mortgages are linked to variable rates than other countries. Economists are divided, with Leith still holding the next cut will be down, as unemployment rises.
But writing on Monday, before the RBA decided to hold rates on Tuesday, Economist Warren Hogan, at the more bullish end of commentators on RBA rates, wrote in the AFR that the flow of data since the last meeting in early May made it a very close call to hold off on further tightening.
The narrow path is still attainable, but it increasingly looks like we will need to get rates up closer to 5 per cent to stay on it.
www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at walktheworld.com.au/
Find more at digitalfinanceanalytics.com/b... where you can subscribe to our research alerts
Please consider supporting our work via Patreon: / digitalfinanceanalytics
Or make a one-off contribution to help cover our costs via PayPal at: www.paypal.me/MartinDFA
We also can receive bitcoins at: 13zBL1oRib9VJu8Uc9zUGNhxKDBBgUpDN1
Please share this post to help to spread the word about the state of things....
Caveat Emptor! Note: this is NOT financial or property advice!!
🚨BEWARE OF SCAMMERS🚨
As there are accounts impersonating Walk The World in the comments on RU-vid, note that our comments will have a distinguishable verified symbol. And remember that we will never message you asking you to give us money or talk to us on other platforms such as WhatsApp or Telegram