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Is Lululemon’s Stock NOW a "Monster BUY"? 

René Sellmann
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Is Lululemon’s Stock NOW a BUY?
Lululemon's stock price (Ticker symbol: LULU) fell over 15% last week. This drop of Lulu's stock came despite Lululemon reporting strong results for the last quarter of their fiscal year 2023 (which ended in January). The reason for the share price decline of Lululemon? Investors were disappointed with Lululemon's future outlook for the 2024 fiscal year. Lululemon's forecasts for revenue and earnings in the coming year were lower than what analysts expected.
Lululemon shoppers and shippers generally have been spending less on clothes (and other non-essential items) lately. This is partly due to economic concerns. Lululemon has been doing well despite these trends, but Lululemon's recent results and future outlook suggest they might finally be feeling the pinch.
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8 авг 2024

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Комментарии : 57   
3 месяца назад
DO YOU WANT TO GET MENTORED BY ME? www.mentalmodelsmentoring.com/
@platoscavealum902
@platoscavealum902 2 месяца назад
no
@svenhodaka9145
@svenhodaka9145 3 месяца назад
I’ve owned LULU for >10 years. Even at today’s price it’s been more than a 10X return. The current price is a screaming buy if you are a patient long term investor. 📈 LULU is on sale right now at a 30% discount! I would buy their clothes at this discount why wouldn’t I buy the stock? Just sayin’ 🤷‍♂️
@Flyingcabbage101
@Flyingcabbage101 2 месяца назад
Cloth on sale usually means losing pricing power
@stevenbond4637
@stevenbond4637 2 месяца назад
Lululemon is a great company, stock markets be trippin. Up 50% revenue in China in a year, lol. 8% growth in the industry, 30% ROIC. About 260 us dollars per share is the low since June 2020 or so, when revenues were only 40% of what they are now and gross margins were lower too. They have no debt and they are buying back shares every year. They under estimate earnings all the time and buy shares back when they drop. Looks like wall street will be feeding the 'news' stations negativity for the rest of the year on this one, want us to sell them all our shares on the cheap, lol, hopefully it gets back below 250, hell 150 and a PE of 10 or 12, lol, it's not LVMH but this brand won't dissapear in a year, gobble gobble :)
2 месяца назад
Largely agree with your take.
@bsdrvr1
@bsdrvr1 8 дней назад
I was at a Lululemon store yesterday in the Atlanta, Georgia (USA)area with my wife, yesterday. The store was really busy with a majority of female customers. I own some of their apparel and the quality is very high. I bought a pair of trail walking shoes. The quality is really good and are very comfortable. Edit: I'm considering starting a position.
7 дней назад
@@bsdrvr1 if you do, I hope the investment does well for you.
@cricbuzz1123
@cricbuzz1123 3 месяца назад
Wonderful analysis. I agree with you analysis about its MOAT based mainly on its BRAND which may not be long lasting in the space it operates and hence I would also need this to trade at a much lower valuation to be interested in it. Given the strong return on capital employed in the last 10 years, in excess of 30% (WOW), even half of that would do. However I would think of buying it if it ever comes below 275, where the current PE would be below 22.5 and it would trade at half the valuations it has normally traded and would offer me some good margin of safety.
3 месяца назад
Thanks for sharing! Let's see where the stock goes.
@UziBert1997
@UziBert1997 3 месяца назад
Love your channel!! Keep it up and I’m sure you’ll be big! Great quality information and help us busy retail investors with our DD on individual stocks
3 месяца назад
Thank you! Will do!
@lekang8179
@lekang8179 2 месяца назад
their stores are always busy in shopping mall, don't know why, but i will definitely put lulu in my watchlist
@gk9670
@gk9670 2 месяца назад
I know when i see world class. You are a class act Rene. Fantastic analysis. So fortunate to hear you.
2 месяца назад
Thank you!
@platoscavealum902
@platoscavealum902 2 месяца назад
I agree
@EverGreenElephant
@EverGreenElephant 3 месяца назад
Bought in 2020 and I'm considering to buy again. Your analysis is excellent! Based on the NTM it's trading for a P/E under 24. This isn't expensive for such a quality business.
3 месяца назад
I don't consider 24x earnings (optically) cheap either though (obviously there's much more to valuation which I cannot get into here; and the stock might nonetheless be cheap). Thank you for your comment.
3 месяца назад
What do you think about Lululemon at the current price?
@leswhynin913
@leswhynin913 3 месяца назад
I like it at the current price on a risk/reward basis. Pros: great margins,FCf, and ROCE, narrow moat, expansion possibilities in Asia Pacific and Europe, and fair valuation. Cons: buybacks at high prices, risk of changes in fashion trends. I am long LULU
@Allen-L-Canada
@Allen-L-Canada 3 месяца назад
@@leswhynin913 fashion trends is not so predictable.
@leswhynin913
@leswhynin913 3 месяца назад
@@Allen-L-Canada I agree. But Lululemon has been around long enough in North America to have passed from fad to staple clothing item
@Allen-L-Canada
@Allen-L-Canada 3 месяца назад
@@leswhynin913 it all comes down to circle of competence. If you are a fashion trend follower or observer, then you can take the pulse of this industry well. As a fashion dummy, I don't think I have an edge on this industry. 😀
3 месяца назад
@leswhynin913 All the best. I can see why you are very bullish. Risk reward seems at least decent.
@platoscavealum902
@platoscavealum902 2 месяца назад
Thank you
2 месяца назад
You're welcome
@martinithechobit
@martinithechobit 2 месяца назад
Even better now.
@whatabout_carry7911
@whatabout_carry7911 3 месяца назад
Great video as always.
3 месяца назад
Thanks!
@Nabileuuh
@Nabileuuh 7 дней назад
Let It Sink In
@jeremynewell9903
@jeremynewell9903 3 месяца назад
As a Canadian, this is a fashion statement that many of us wish would go away ( gymwear that people wear in public ). It started to become popular 10 years ago and it feels like they have saturated their own target market here.
3 месяца назад
Haha that's an interesting point you make and I agree from a fashion point of view.
@marcoformica861
@marcoformica861 3 месяца назад
More video like this
3 месяца назад
I’ll try my best
@amyx231
@amyx231 3 месяца назад
As a consumer, who owns their clothes, umm…. I’ve lost interest mostly. Sorry?
3 месяца назад
Why?
@ominollo
@ominollo 3 месяца назад
Brand cult is very very important
3 месяца назад
Absolutely. How do you assess the sustainability of the LULU cult?
@platoscavealum902
@platoscavealum902 2 месяца назад
🔔 Earnings after the bell, today
2 месяца назад
Let's see what we get!
@platoscavealum902
@platoscavealum902 2 месяца назад
📈 LULU
@Thomas-fk6ep
@Thomas-fk6ep 2 месяца назад
Earnings coming up. Are you still bullish on LULU?
2 месяца назад
There‘s not point in trying to predict quarterly results. Try to get the long-term trajectory right.
@Thomas-fk6ep
@Thomas-fk6ep 2 месяца назад
Thanks
@Beautiful-Sensation
@Beautiful-Sensation 2 месяца назад
Lululemon is falling off because of the apparels quality. The apparel has gone down hill. I mean, the main reason people purchased from Lululemon was because of their buttery soft signature Aligns but now that they have changed the fabric, the switch has ran myself and others off. Plus the colors are repetitive and getting ugly and uglier.
@riumudamc4686
@riumudamc4686 3 месяца назад
Trends may be shifting away from Lulu. Recently read that women are no longer seeking brand name gym wear and more interested in functional wear.
3 месяца назад
Yeah, whether that's directionally true or not is an important question.
@kendalkitchen3560
@kendalkitchen3560 3 месяца назад
@my girlfriend makes me go with here there and spends 100s and there is always a line in Ohio I wouldn’t be too sure they are going away
3 месяца назад
@@kendalkitchen3560 I'm not saying they are going away. I'm just saying that I don't understand the durability of the brand well enough and that the durability of fashion brands in general is often rather fickle.
@aaron6806
@aaron6806 2 месяца назад
One word answer to the title question of the video: No.
2 месяца назад
Agreed.
@stevenchow408
@stevenchow408 2 месяца назад
No thanks
@sebfox2194
@sebfox2194 2 месяца назад
Yes, please.
@aaron6806
@aaron6806 2 месяца назад
A fashion brand with no moat whatsoever, that my wife and her afflient friends do not buy or wear. Some of them have never gotten ove the fact that Chip Wilson is a creep, some just arent dumb enough to think that the clothing is special enough to command such hugh prices. These are women who work hard for their money, have plenty of it, amd aren't easily duped by creeps.
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