Is Pakistan on Its Way to an "Arab Spring"? | TCM Explains 

Best analysis than all the lifafas combined.

An absolute thorough, well articulated, well synthesised analysis

Dr Adeel abd TCM thank you for the Vlog

sooner or later we will have it. As nation we are very slow in learning.

100% True. I listen Some one who thought exactly matches with me

Bohat Aala Analysis.

very good journalism . keep up the good work

Very well explained... This is reality and facts which are not understandable by our incompetent and so called corrupt politicians and institutions

Very well said doc. 💯

ہماری آنکھیں کھل گئی ہیں ۔۔۔ پر جرنیلوں کی ابھی بھی بند ہیں۔ گریٹ vlog۔

Great analysis ,its an eye opener to us.

Asim Munir & the post of COAS is biggest national security threat for Pakistan & Pakistaniyat

Yw foj nahiin mafia.hai

پاکستان کے ریٹائرڈ سرکاری ملازمین پنشن کی مد میں سالانہ 1800 ارب روپے لے رہے ہیں، یہ رقم اتنی بڑی ہے کہ ہم پاکستان میں تمام طلباء کو 100فیصد مفت یونیورسٹی کی تعلیم، اعلیٰ معیار کے ہاسٹل اور بہترین کھانا دے سکتے ہیں، اور پھر بھی ہمارے پاس ایک بڑی رقم باقی رہ جاے

Wonderful vlog. Appreciated.

To listen more of him

Excellent analysis. Keep it up.

Agreed with analyst....

Good point

Very good analysis

Good initiative, things will change once we start dialogue.

Amazing he is right . Can ask him to talk about Imran Khan and his future please 😊

Wonderful Analysis, you guys have nailed it.

Good researcher

WELL DONE SIR

Brilliant work

You narrated facts, very well.

Very well explained by the this gentleman

Best analysics

How can I get his written article?

Very nice analysis

WB Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) for instance in one of the Arab spring countries (Egypt) shows that in 2011 it was 11% raised to 13percent in 2022 and 33% in 2023. almost same trend in other A.S countries

Good analysis

This video has been heavily edited!

A good analysis

System of Authoritarian Elite family power sharing who protect each other. This is why accountability doesn't proceed as they are not coming through a merit system but nepotism. Each one has self interests and each one is a mafia with its own territory.

Please provide link to the paper written by the Professor ... Thanks ...

زبردست تجزیہ ۔ Very impressive

Realistic analysis

Brilliant

Very well said that power is potent only as long as it is masked

Arab spring and correction of democratic norms are two different things.

Good views

Exactly Analysis based on Reality

Pakistan public has no problem with Army. They have a problem with their unnecessary interference in politics, business, economy and in general administration. Also people are of the view that Army is promoting corrupt politicians and parties and not letting upright and educated individuals to come into politics.

Pak is with who ever throws money at them

It's the reality of Pakistan of today generals n co are trying to maintain the status quo but it will not stay this it's now or never situation now

This show is much better than Raftaar Tv who always do anti imran shows

Pakistani army general will not even qualify for clerk job in other countries. .

You are missing one cardinal point that when people want to see a govt to fail then every thing starts moving in the reverse direction. This is exactly what is happening in Pakistan

Zabardast video

CHANGE IS COMING ❤ IN SHA ALLAH

In Pakistan every important gov position is control by army. Army select prime minister. Army control judges, police, business, internal and foreign policy, rail way and pia telecom and construction of roads and highways. Borders and checkposts are control by army. Pakistan is run by army.

As per comments, I would say Jesi awam wese hukmuran.

2/2:-Also Read: Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power The indifference or the lack thereof on the economic meltdown is perplexing nonetheless economic stability will remain an important variable that may quickly change the prevailing courtship. Pakistan is facing an existential crisis with the debt surmounting over $274 billion amidst unrelenting plunder of state institutions/infrastructure and mortgaging these for seeking more loans, reducing fiscal independence and drastically impacting sovereign decision-making. David O Smith’s assumption, “The military may have finally realized that the true centre of gravity of Pakistan National Security lies in its economy and not in the military capacity alone”, hopefully must have been reckoned with in its entirety. Or we will mercilessly and in bewilderment see the ship sinking and do nothing in the name of neutrality. Intriguing though it may appear, the neutrality notion contextualization by Amir Zia says it all, “Many view the fall of the Imran Khan’s government amid this buzz of ‘neutrality’ as a switching of sides by the army, or worse, abject surrender to the much-tried, tested and failed corrupt political dynasties in this country”. Intended Purpose and Objectives Resultantly, the unfortunate conflagration of hatred and rift between the society and the state (sic the military) - a fervent desire of the inimical forces, which ironically have been callously choreographed by none other than the political cartel in its internecine struggle and lust for power with such purported objectives, as: Propping up the dwarfing image of the political elite, marred by corruption scandals (Panama leaks, money laundering, etc.). Drawing the military down from the high moral pedestal and deriding its iconic image of being a guardian of national interest. Yield space to the US and bring the military establishment under control. A more confident and emboldened political establishment, having regained space, endeavor a more intrusive and searching role in affairs of the military, curtailing its freedom of action on particularly strategic and nuclear issues. Make the military accomplice in state dispensation and when needed apportion blame, making the military a scapegoat for its inept handling of important foreign and domestic issues. Silence the political dissent and disarray the political opposition by insinuating a military hand in the ongoing political unrest. If all else fails, eventually, provoke the military in taking any unconstitutional step to remove the government and become a political martyr yet again to improve political stature. Let the military/caretaker government deal with the difficult multifarious socio-economic challenges and clean the Augean stables. Modus Operandi While appearing to play a second fiddle to the military, let the military have a say on issues of national import, with their own perfidious characteristic indifference to national affairs. Keep the military leadership in good humour through obliging and appeasing actions of routine nature, while continuing to guard and advance their political and commercial interests. Through astute political brinkmanship consolidate their rabid dispensation by appeasing the political allies, shrinking the space for the political opponents, and precluding the possibility of any Bonapartist corrective course by the military. Create organized chaos, turbulence, and disorder and induce a managed economic collapse to an extent that holding of elections appears of secondary importance and redundant - thereby seeking more time for consolidating political rule on the pretext of propping up the faltering economy. Diminishing Military Support A stock check of the entire situation and the current state of the civil-military relations in Pakistan reveal one straight fact i.e. the military seems to be the principal loser in this ongoing fratricide. Over the years, the fraternal bond of love, affection, and reverence that the military so painstakingly built with the populace with its blood and sweat, emerging as a saviour in almost every national crisis, has come crashing down. Also Read: Protests in Georgia over the Foreign Agents Bill The ensuing animus between the Pakistan Army and the people has affected national unity drastically. All this is perhaps due to the inadvertent misstep of becoming indifferent and aloof (apolitical) - as a consequence, ushering in a corrupt political cartel and then turning a blind eye to the flagrant incompetence, misgovernance, mishandling, and rampant loot and plunder. The romance with the military has been a dream gone sour, which could only be re-lived, if the miltablishment lives up to its image, understand people’s aspiration, and dole out an even hand, ensuring transparency, fair play, and nudges the stakeholders to sort out the political impasse - rather than leaving an impression of political vicitimisation or a witch-hunt against its erstwhile political master. The panacea of prevailing crises is hence none other than adherence to the constitution and the rule of law by all state organs without prejudice and distinction and an earnest recourse to the free-fair polls. Considering Possibilities While the time of much talked about and expected possibility of sending the political order packing and replacing it with a technocratic government (otherwise a non-starter) to institute a reformative political and economic agenda is gone, there is no other alternative at hand than the resort to bring in a legitimate political dispensation. The present turn of events suggests the following immediate remedial and imperatives: First and foremost is a perception reset - the battered and sullied image of the military in public eyes needs to be restored. Undertake a Public Relations (PR) initiative to win the hearts and minds of the people. Notwithstanding the government tactics of distancing itself from the episode, ensure that the inquiry into Arshad Sharif’s murder and Imran Khan’s killing attempt is conducted justly and in earnest - and in that, if there is a need for internal institutional reshuffles - it ought to be done! With malice towards none, the military needs to live up to its resolve of remaining apolitical and stop, shun, and refrain from political engineering, eschewing playing the favorites. The image, however, of the COAS and the would-be caretaker Chief Minister of Punjab together at the Kaaba’s doorsteps didn’t serve well, sullying the impression of impartiality further. Being the only institution that has a lien over other state organs (Judiciary, FIA, NAB, IB, Election Commission, et al), yields its influence to enable, empower and engender a righteous course for instituting a just and fair system. Inducement of political pressure on the government to bring in some semblance of political order. Let the situation be taken over by events, while the military continues lending a helping hand on important foreign, domestic, and nation-building issues. Nudging the government for sustainable foreign, defence, and economic policies, as these are potential instability triggers, which indirectly affect the deterrence capability. Last Word The founding father was categorical in defining the military’s role - stating, “Don’t forget that the armed forces are the servants of the people. You don’t make national policy; it is the civilians, who decide these issues and it is your duty to carry out these tasks with which you are entrusted” - ironically, however, the dictum has been trampled time and again in the name of national interest and progress. The genius of military leadership demands that it lives up to the abiding aphorism and for a change finally go back to the barracks, but not before cleaning the Augean stables. If you have started it, you ought to finish it also!

What's your views on PTM and their future

ilam ka aam hona sa socio-economic conditions awr topographies tabdeel nai hoti. jo quomain idaron mai apnay duties ko taj pehnati hain wo real hoti hain....arab spring na begairati awr deprivation ko nahi shakal mai introduce ki hain.... plz check their national identities and so-called economics

Bohat khassi awaam hay, ye kuch nahy kar sakty

Professor sb kia Arab spring k bad Libya,Syria, Iraq,Yemen wahan security hy,kia wahan par roozgar hy,kia wahan pa insaf hy,logoon ki izzat mehfooz hy,agr ye nai hay to plz awaam ko gumrah mat karyn, Pakistan is our mother land,our pride,AP b Pakistan ki wajah se oxford my hu,keep it in mind

Everyone know this, nothing new. Pakistan needs reforms and their is no Arab Spring.

social media to khatam samjho ab pakistan men

Every one is waiting for Qayamat, but Qayamat will not come until Pakistani elites become Insaan - which will never happen, so Mahdi nahi ayega

Great analysis ❤️‍🩹❤️‍🩹

Oh military orrr kro political engineering....u are welcome....kal ko kahany ko b ni mily ga

Duffers ko Kon samjhaye

آرمی بھی اب انہی اشرافیہ اور مافیا کا حصہ ہیں

Unfortunately What Molana Abdul kalam Azad said about Pakistan in 1946 is coming true

Yaha kabi kuch ni badla r na hi badly ga

Amreeki Yahoodi Ghulami Namanzur!! Magribi Imdaad namanzur!

Punjabi kab jagay ga is mulk mai ye bataow.

Laiken phir bhi yahan KEE JAHIL AUR BAYAQAL AWAM PPP , MQM, A TO Z LEAGUE KO HEE APNA khuda manay gee, aur kahay gee Pakistan nahi toot sukta kyunki yahan darga wa Mezaar hain.....

Punjabi lobby destroy🇵🇰 system

Imf ko end honi chya Inshallah

Pakistan mai musallah baghawat K ABHEE BHEE NAE Hogee.. yeh ap mujh say likh kar lay lain..aur es ske kuch bunyaadi wajoohaat hain.being student of IR ( International Relations)ans International Politics and sociology.. i can guarantee you this.

Jahan Arab spring wahan kya hua kuch bhi nai. Egypt, Syria, Tunisia sb jga wohi log wapis agye. Or Pakistan mn bhi kuch nahi hona. Professor sahab ko kahen oxford mn chill marain.

عمران خان ❤

1k likes thank me later

Tcm you should not be showing faces of corrupt politicians especially this nawaz and his cartel sharam kr lo

Hopeless analysis

Pehle tum age hona. Take spring ka maza tuje first mile.

خاصی بے ربط گفتگو فرمائی

We no Arabs we only have spring

We made the video it’s Gona be Asian spring

Lanat is napak foj par

why not shria for pakistan 🇵🇰 😢😢

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