Absolutely delightful from both of you. Will be looking for more from Saulo. A great character to rep the top levels of the greatest game in the world.
32:55 Very good point here. Feels like BB's range is too polarised and we beat the bottom part(54, bricked hearts etc) w/ our K-high FDs so I am never reopening with that hand.We simply beat (almost)every bluff of VIllain and unlikely making him fold a made hand.
Love the videos Nick. It’s been great to watch your thought process develop so well over this series and your other videos. Saulo is a great guest. I would ask if you would ever consider running these with a subscriber?
Hand 5 no punt. I'm serious. Someone does this to me I tag them as a good reg. On triple broadway boards, everyone has a piece of the flop so play becomes much tighter than normal. Top pair is marginal, and everything below top pair is shit so it becomes a bluff candidate. KQ's showdown value is practically inexistent. Of course the point is to get him off an ace, and he has many : AK, ATs, and partials of all smaller suited aces. GTO Wizard approved play. AJhh 60% fold on the river in opponent's shoes.
In hand 1, if you jam you're risking 1200 to win lik 150, so you need villain not to be nutted like 15% of the time, and that's assuming he never calls you with some bluff catcher, and I think he is nutted at least 15% of the time when he makes this bet and has something he just can't fold like Q9.
He just had a soul read that our dude was over betting AT for thin value because that's meta now, maybe he thought all the boat combos and straight draws woulda bet the turn so villain has marginal made hands and air only. But no.
About hand 4: I would surely ingame check too with the same thought process OOP on the turn. But isnt any pair IP but an Ace indifferent on this flop, when our checkraises are very polar unlike on a T high board? I imagine even some Ax want to fold flop? Just wondering about other possibilities
Just had a look in GTO Wizard and yeah you're right, tons of Ax indifferent on the flop here. AQss is mixing fold! Much prefers the ones with a backdoor heart or bdsd.
Idk if Saulo reads comments here, but hand 4's river analysis seemed quite off to me. Shouldn't OOP just rip everything that beats AK? On this super clean river I wouldn't expect a decent midstakes reg to fold too many aces if any vs aggro guy. In this case IP facing check could just shove 99+ as those have ~100% equity vs OOP giveup range. He mentioned some ambitious guys might try folding out A6, this is very different from the way I see this spot. Anyway thanks for the video, fun hands.
