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Is the SpaceX Polaris Dawn mission too risky? Let's talk about the first commercial space walk 

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28 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 140   
@fladder1
@fladder1 2 месяца назад
Still less risky than a test flight in Starliner....
@dancingdog2790
@dancingdog2790 2 месяца назад
Literally true!
@Rennrogue
@Rennrogue Месяц назад
Or a 737.
@Harald-
@Harald- 2 месяца назад
This commercial adventure will be a lot less risky than getting into the Starliner on the laaunch pad!
@raytribble8075
@raytribble8075 2 месяца назад
I made it to 64… that was after many motocross wrecks, knocked out surfing, free style rock climbing disasters, 272 skydiving jumps, falling from a mountain in 1996 on a remote hiking trip, numerous being thrown, knocked off and various mishaps on horses… and no… I never learned when to stop. My body finally said “enough” and in 2020 I was in the hospital diagnosed with heart failure and put on a heart transplant list… fast forward to 2024 and I was taken off the transplant list and told by my cardio team… “we have no idea, how your heart repaired itself”… the future and journey ahead has just as many risks as before… but we survive from struggle and gain strength from what we learn… I never liked living “inside of the lines” although humbled these past few years… I would fly on Polaris Dawn in a minute
@jtjames79
@jtjames79 2 месяца назад
It's not like it's Boeing. The door isn't just going to fly off for no reason.
@nightlightabcd
@nightlightabcd 2 месяца назад
No shortage of bragging about ones self here!
@TheScottShepard
@TheScottShepard 2 месяца назад
For the people worried about risk, they are blessed to live in a world where they feel safe. For some people though, risk is just part of the environment you are in to accomplish your goals. I didn’t think I’d live past my 20’s. The rest is just extra.
@raytribble8075
@raytribble8075 2 месяца назад
@@TheScottShepard I agree with you. We (myself included) tend to take what we have for granted. I try not to any longer… we are not guaranteed tomorrow
@davidhuber6251
@davidhuber6251 2 месяца назад
I'm envious of the life you've lead. I've always been so risk-averse that I've passed up many an adventure. Good for you!
@ghost307
@ghost307 2 месяца назад
There's a first time for EVERYTHING.
@Dwagginz
@Dwagginz 2 месяца назад
It is risky, yes, but so is a lot of what we do in life. We wouldn't be in space in the first place if we didn't take these risks, so I don't see this as too much of a problem. I will, of course, be hoping that everything functions correctly and that the crew will indeed return safely.
@KatharineLikesCake
@KatharineLikesCake 2 месяца назад
Just found your channel, luv it, subscribed!
@Khemani_RL
@Khemani_RL 2 месяца назад
Your channel is seriously underrated
@antbotsquad6769
@antbotsquad6769 2 месяца назад
It is crazy that the gemini astronauts that did space walks in the early 60s is perfectly normal but the spaceX EVA is the biggest deal in the world. Anyways, I loved the video.
@skat1140
@skat1140 2 месяца назад
Examine the first part of your sentence: they were actual NASA astronauts. Not billionaires.
@joaohenriqueneuhaus2023
@joaohenriqueneuhaus2023 2 месяца назад
10:33 I was also a bit worried for the spacesuit, because "vacuum" is scary thing, but then I listened to the interview and they mentioned they literally already walked inside a vacuum chamber. I wondered about that a lot and I was sure they wouldn't risk that, but they did, so they're as prepared as you can be.
@adastraspace
@adastraspace 2 месяца назад
Yes! They tested all of this and practiced in a vacuum chamber. I do think their preparation for this is solid.
@kiikaala
@kiikaala 2 месяца назад
Such an informative video with all the details! Thank you!
@TheStarHound
@TheStarHound 2 месяца назад
There also may be legal constraints on NASA accepting Jared Issacson's generous offer to repair the Hubble Space Telescope. Generally, federal law prohibits the Government agencies from accepting voluntary services. But I would love to see the Hubble repaired and upgraded. This looks like a risky and interesting mission. Thank you for the detailed preview. Best wishes to the crew. I am enjoying your videos here and your posts on Threads, Swapna.
@Steve16305
@Steve16305 2 месяца назад
venting the capsule with other astronauts inside was done during Apollo 9 spacewalk in 1969.
@ReinReads
@ReinReads 2 месяца назад
Apollo 9 was only with a crew of 3. A few months before that was the Soyuz 5-to-4 crew transfer. After attaching in orbit both Soyuz 4 & 5 were depressurized. The pilots for each stayed in place while 2 crew spacewalked from 5 to 4. Both the capsules were repressurized and returned separately.
@catbertz
@catbertz 2 месяца назад
Very excited for this mission, and the Polaris program in general. 🔥🚀
@Allan_aka_RocKITEman
@Allan_aka_RocKITEman 2 месяца назад
Swapna, at about 06:12 in this video... *_"Space is inherently risky because it is actively always trying to kill you."_* _Space_ is like _Australia,_ minus all the unique animals...😉
@mrfairplay
@mrfairplay 2 месяца назад
As exciting as this sounds, I keep getting Reed Richards vibes from the whole thing. Hoping for the best!
@skat1140
@skat1140 2 месяца назад
I get Stockton Rush vibes, but to each his own. It's just weird when billionaires ensconce themselves in these missions.
@minigpracing3068
@minigpracing3068 2 месяца назад
Humans have always performed risky things to advance knowledge. As long as all the participants know every risk and have a voice going forward when something that wasn't predicted happens, then that's really up to them. No one on the ground should really have the final say, only those with their lives on the line can make those final choices. Unanimous or abort, the only choice between that crew.
@victorkrawchuk9141
@victorkrawchuk9141 2 месяца назад
An excellent video! Perhaps because NASA has become so risk-averse, we need missions like this to test new technology and procedures. I'm sure NASA will eventually use the new SpaceX EVA suits, the Skywalker adapter, Starlink laser communications, etc, but their internal procedures make it difficult to allow this until the things have been properly tested. Almost a Catch-22, but this is where private missions like this break the deadlock. If the final Polaris mission succeeds this will surely accelerate Starship's crew certification process.
@GordonSturrock
@GordonSturrock 2 месяца назад
"Risk adverse" for good reasons.
@victorkrawchuk9141
@victorkrawchuk9141 2 месяца назад
@@GordonSturrock I'm not saying that NASA's risk-aversion is bad, but at some point someone does need to take risks to move things forward and this is where missions like Polaris Dawn come in. I see the Polaris program as a logical extension to NASA's desire to delegate development work to commercial entities. NASA will integrate new technology once it's been properly tested, either under the umbrella of fixed-price contracts or as free submissions from companies and private individuals performing missions like this. It's actually a good delegation strategy that's working because of the growth in commercial opportunities in space.
@GordonSturrock
@GordonSturrock 2 месяца назад
@@victorkrawchuk9141 always chasing "technology". Isn't that what's killing us, or perhaps you haven't found out yet, that almost all of us will be dead soon?
@bernieeod57
@bernieeod57 2 месяца назад
No more risky than Ed Whites first EVA from Gemini
@_stardust62
@_stardust62 2 месяца назад
Correct...and Ed said he felt like a million dollars when he walked. 🎉
@benjaminfranklinkivettiv9433
@benjaminfranklinkivettiv9433 2 месяца назад
Humans are designed to take risks! Risk is what brings happiness in life. Good luck to the crew of polaris dawn!!
@brianfristensky521
@brianfristensky521 2 месяца назад
Information packed presentation, as usual! Thanks for all of your work in bringing us these broadcasts.
@adastraspace
@adastraspace 2 месяца назад
Thank you for the kind comment!
@alkimball8920
@alkimball8920 2 месяца назад
All four astronauts have experienced near vacuum conditions in test chambers here on Earth. So we know the suits can work and work well.
@paulalexandredumasseauvan2357
@paulalexandredumasseauvan2357 2 месяца назад
excellent summary! 👍☺ i am looking forward to your video on what went right and wrong on this mission after its completion 🤔
@briansully1ut
@briansully1ut 2 месяца назад
Excellent!
@robertreedy414
@robertreedy414 2 месяца назад
Your diction is stellar. Luv it. Great job, great video and content.
@Oblivionsurveyor
@Oblivionsurveyor 2 месяца назад
similar to the early Gemini missions. Next step after this is docking a dragon with another dragon :-D
@doug3691
@doug3691 2 месяца назад
Excellent presentation, thank you.
@stevecam724
@stevecam724 2 месяца назад
Can you imagine Boeing offering the same mission to Sony and Butch? I'm sure there would be a microsecond before responding "thanks but no thanks" 😂😂
@adastraspace
@adastraspace 2 месяца назад
😬😂
@rolfw2336
@rolfw2336 2 месяца назад
Enjoyed hearing the detailed rundown of the risks! Personally, I am going to be the most worried about the suits (never tested in space) and whether the craft can re-pressurize ok. But, it's an exciting mission for sure!
@themc6281
@themc6281 2 месяца назад
Spinning will not create artificial gravity. It will only be temporary. But finally Blue Origins dream of a cylinder rotating station goes kaput.
@larscederberg8564
@larscederberg8564 2 месяца назад
Sounds like all the training they have been through will face the music when they open the door for the spacewalk.
@chrissingleton6029
@chrissingleton6029 2 месяца назад
Another GREAT video! Thank-you -
@isletsweb
@isletsweb Месяц назад
Well done! This was quite good in discussing some of the details.about the mission that are directly relevant to risk-informed decision making in space medicine and human spaceflight more generally, Toward the end, it also nicely reviewed a wide range of practices that have been utilized in preparation for human spaceflight, both as analog environments for training and as sources of evidence about hazards and associated risk.Thank you for distilling complex scientific, technical, and operational content into plain language and an educationally effective presentation. For one of your next videos on Polaris Dawn, I personally would be interesting in hearing a bit more about the characteristics of the radiation environment at that altitude that are different from exposures in prior missions. Also, what are plausible design reference missions to which such difference are relevant? Thanks again.
@ottomatix3397
@ottomatix3397 2 месяца назад
Very exciting and quite brave to be honest. 🚀🧑‍🚀🙏🏻
@rikkafe6050
@rikkafe6050 2 месяца назад
Enjoyed the video thanks.
@13Jared
@13Jared 2 месяца назад
I think in 10-20 years there will be more private citizens in space than professionals. So it makes sense that going forward LEO firsts will mostly be from those private citizens. I would absolutely volunteer for something risky to potentially move space flight forward. If the other Jared wants to hit me up, I science well. I'm excited to see the rest of the Polaris flights and to see what they get into testing. I'm especially excited to see the first crewed Starship flight.
@stub2022
@stub2022 2 месяца назад
We'll learn a lot from this, succeed or fail.
@zam6877
@zam6877 2 месяца назад
Since there are plans for repetitive and long term space missions This is a place for building reliability All we need to have one crew coming up dead to sober people up
@move4dts
@move4dts 2 месяца назад
Great content, presentation, very informative Swapna. On what data did SpaceX rely on to determine that the Van Allen belt radiation exposure risk is acceptable?
@pucmahone3893
@pucmahone3893 2 месяца назад
EVERYTHING we do in life is risky. No risk, no reward.
@DeveloperChris
@DeveloperChris 2 месяца назад
I hope the suits can plug into "life support" in case they cannot re-pressurise the craft.
@mohdafnanazmi1674
@mohdafnanazmi1674 2 месяца назад
The Eva SpaceX suit will always be connected to the spacecraft life support for this mission which is the white umbilical cord shown in an earlier trailer for this mission.
@CoyoteRedoak
@CoyoteRedoak 2 месяца назад
This project is ALOT safer than Mercury, we know more and have better materials...I'm not worried, but rather hopeful.
@georgepate7408
@georgepate7408 2 месяца назад
Hello dumb question... When they take all the oxygen out of the crew module for the space walk where is it stored?
@robertthomas4329
@robertthomas4329 Месяц назад
Oh no. Who knew that going to space might be risky?
@ARWest-bp4yb
@ARWest-bp4yb 2 месяца назад
Might we see Swapna conducting research on a future Polaris mission?🤔🚀
@40MileDesertRat
@40MileDesertRat 2 месяца назад
Space is too risky. But we have to do it. Otherwise we just all stay home, get fat, and eventually die. Go rocket-men!
@_stardust62
@_stardust62 2 месяца назад
I was listening to the radio today talking about this story but the lady announcer was saying Polaris wrong 😅 ...as Polar-is...oh well 🤷‍♂️
@TimothyLipinski
@TimothyLipinski 2 месяца назад
Great Video ! You speak Latin ? Does the HLS have an Air Lock ? Also does the HLS also have a LIDS Docking Port ? The Tech developed to return to the moon to stay, can take US and the world to Mars and beyond ! tjl
@stargot1
@stargot1 2 месяца назад
SpaceX spacesute work on lower psi than NASA spacesuit. Azote in the bloodstream must be cleared for 2 hours before venting.... Would be interested to understand the wall process
@oliverherzog7702
@oliverherzog7702 2 месяца назад
@adastraspace There is a difference between leisure space flights and privat funded research spaceflight!
@sartonite
@sartonite 2 месяца назад
It will ultimately be interesting to learn if humans can live extra long in space or on Mars without having the Earth’s microbiome along. It seems that we not only have our own individual and unique microbiomes but constantly interact and exchange microbes with our environment as we move through it. This won’t be available on Mars. What might be the long term health effects?
@adastraspace
@adastraspace 2 месяца назад
I’m very curious about this as well. And we know about low Earth orbit but what about further out, with less (or no) protection from Earth’s magnetosphere? We have to figure it out
@robindehood207
@robindehood207 2 месяца назад
So none of these were learned during the Apollo missions?
@robkeshav800
@robkeshav800 2 месяца назад
Good video. Does this capsule have toilets for the astronauts? It will be hard for them to hold for 5 days!
@dl2839
@dl2839 2 месяца назад
Yes, if it doesn't break.
@leefletcher7527
@leefletcher7527 2 месяца назад
One in nine who attempted Everest died. These people a competent adults who know what they're about.
@RoBear-xo6zw
@RoBear-xo6zw 2 месяца назад
100% oxygen blood saturation for spacewalk and inside capsule 🔥
@danielmccann4055
@danielmccann4055 2 месяца назад
Does anyone know if someone is offering odds on this?
@southofhollywood4199
@southofhollywood4199 2 месяца назад
As long as Boeing isn't involved they should be OK.
@robertpastor4061
@robertpastor4061 2 месяца назад
Has dragon been depressurized before?
@donscheid97
@donscheid97 2 месяца назад
I saw another channel refer to the main astronaut of the mission as a thrill seeker, that is a dangerous place to have his mind for this. Apollo was all military who are trained to do it precisely a certain way but be ready to react to whatever happens. A thrill seeker will risk doing things that might end very badly without knowing how to deal with the repercussions. It may all work fine because they are not the first to do it, but they are using new equipment, so I am a bit nervous.
@Interstellar-in5wb
@Interstellar-in5wb 2 месяца назад
Sound of a cat rrrawing at 3:43 !
@kjetilhvalstrand1009
@kjetilhvalstrand1009 2 месяца назад
Yeh, its pretty risky, I’m not sure it’s too risky, modifications and unknowns, hopefully they make sure every system works before Polaris Dawn, if there is a leek, they can pressure again quickly, if that system works, so that is critical.
@AR_Wald
@AR_Wald 2 месяца назад
Thx for that
@dominicm2175
@dominicm2175 2 месяца назад
Yes, but EVERY trip to space is risky
@longboardfella5306
@longboardfella5306 2 месяца назад
They are professionals and have done risk analysis. Same as racing cars on a track or scuba diving. There is new knowledge to be gained and I for one applaud Jarrod and colleagues for this mission which is end to end well examined for risk from everything Jarrod and SpaceX have documented.
@robindehood207
@robindehood207 2 месяца назад
"Jarrod" is a great guy, isn't he? 😅
@kjetilhvalstrand1009
@kjetilhvalstrand1009 2 месяца назад
Some problems, in early space program there was problem with ballooning, we now see how that works. 😅
@jacquesjacques-yh8hh
@jacquesjacques-yh8hh 2 месяца назад
Good explanations....I think it would have been much more relevant for this mission to go to the Hubble space telescope and to repair it...Just floating in space has no purpose...
@maniacslap1623
@maniacslap1623 2 месяца назад
Fam. So they supposed to go and try to fix Hubble when they don’t even know if the EVA works properly? You do realize that this mission HAS to come before that kind of mission right? Dragon also needs a robotic arm which it doesn’t have to my knowledge.
@jacquesjacques-yh8hh
@jacquesjacques-yh8hh 2 месяца назад
@@maniacslap1623 Yes..Perhaps Hubble only needs some small parts to be replaced with no need of a robotic arms. They will see if a Polaris 2 mission can be useful. NASA should have developped an improved Shuttle ( smaller, with falcon 9 design recoverable boosters, better tiles, best H2 tank insulation, etc...) instead of wasting money with a Starliner
@johneberhard8412
@johneberhard8412 2 месяца назад
Polaris was the name of Tom Corbetts rocket ship
@fred36956
@fred36956 2 месяца назад
I am curious why Elon Musk himself has not flown in to space. If I were him I would want to at least fly once just to experience weightlessness and the incredible views of the Earth. Jeff Bezos and Richard Branson both flew on very short flight just barely above the Karman line of 62 miles in altitude. So why hasn't Elon Musk flown at least one time as he's such as space "guru?"
@intelligentdesign4435
@intelligentdesign4435 2 месяца назад
there is no artificial Gravity... maybe you are talking about a pulling force that is created by machines...
@karlthemel2678
@karlthemel2678 2 месяца назад
Space missions are among the few useful things that taxpayers fund.
@olafbaeyens8955
@olafbaeyens8955 2 месяца назад
So they are going into the lower radiation belt.
@adastraspace
@adastraspace 2 месяца назад
Yes!! Through the lowest part of the Van Allen belts, what’s called the South Atlantic anomaly-which fun fact might be caused by pieces of another planet buried deep in the Earth’s mantle
@clementine_awesomeness
@clementine_awesomeness 2 месяца назад
cray
@nightlightabcd
@nightlightabcd 2 месяца назад
You said that the thing you were most interested in was artificial gravity, well so am I, but you say nothing else about it! What kind if test or experiment are you referring to? How will they experiment and how will they go about this! Are just going to spin the capsule around? That is not going to work. Are they going to use a tether , abut a quarter of a mile long each way? You didn't tell us anything about it! It is the most important task of this whole flight and there is nothing about it! If they are just going to spin the capsule around, that will not prove or reveal anything! IT seems, according to y=the video or comments, that no one else has any interest in the test of artificial gravity! I'm pretty sure, what ever the test or experiments! Where is there more information abut this?
@markoreilly3414
@markoreilly3414 2 месяца назад
Leonov did this 59 yrs ago ! How is this "News" ?
@jebediahkerman3946
@jebediahkerman3946 2 месяца назад
Are you kidding me? Driving from West Palm Beach to Miami on I-95 is more risky than Polaris Dawn! 😂
@JamesHardaker
@JamesHardaker 2 месяца назад
its an acceptable risk, I suppose. But if it goes horribly wrong the cleanup is going to be like something out of Event Horizon (movie)
@pauljohansen8043
@pauljohansen8043 2 месяца назад
We have been to the moon several times. No way we don’t have great information about the Van Allen belt already….. good video!
@zanesnep
@zanesnep 2 месяца назад
Why be glad that your tax dollars don't go to space exploration and research? If I could guarantee that my tax dollars all went to just that, I'd happily pay tax! What a weird comment from that person, though...
@kokomo9764
@kokomo9764 2 месяца назад
Not only is it risky (kind of), but it has no purpose. This is a vanity project by Isaacman. None of the stated goals of this mission requires humans. I'm getting tired of billionaires.
@williampace4773
@williampace4773 2 месяца назад
Go big or stay home.
@adak2050
@adak2050 2 месяца назад
They have been practicing this like crazy for 2 years, with some of the best engineers on the planet backing them up. Jared Isaacman, Scott Poteet, Anna Menon, & Sarah Gillis are a kick ass crew. Since they are so experienced I believe they are doing all the Polaris missions including test flying the Starship. Jared even told NASA that he would fix the Hubble Space telescope on his dime, not the taxpayers but NASA like usual choked. If humans were adverse to risks, we would still be living in caves.
@richardlake8078
@richardlake8078 2 месяца назад
Love you're comments, however I am irritated by you always over useing your hand movements to much !
@jfkesq
@jfkesq 2 месяца назад
No risk, no reward.
@oldgandy5355
@oldgandy5355 2 месяца назад
If the hatch fails to seal after the spacewalk is complete, we have four dead people. I think the rest is manageable. There is nothing to be learned on this flight which couldn't be postponed until there was a better way to egress the capsule in a vacuum. Reminds me of a tourist submarine that died a year ago, because the owner and financier, who was onboard, had a giant ego. Space is no place for egos. A small orbiting lab vessel they could dock with, equipped with a double airlock and extra air could have been built and sent up on an accompanying rocket. Plus, it could have been re-usable, so Polaris could perform more flights. The biggest thing we will learn from this one is whether or not four people can survive the opening and closing of the hatch in a vacuum.
@marksmadhousemetaphysicalm2938
@marksmadhousemetaphysicalm2938 2 месяца назад
It’s risky driving on the road…if we didn’t take risk we’d still be in the trees in the African savanna worrying about finding fruit and avoiding snakes…and other primates…life without risk isn’t worth living
@JohnBdog
@JohnBdog 2 месяца назад
NASA and Boeing need to do some serious internal maintenance before they launch another rocket that involves human cargo.
@AQDuck
@AQDuck 2 месяца назад
This mission has nothing to do with neither NASA nor Boeing...
@JohnBdog
@JohnBdog 2 месяца назад
@AQDuck Yep. My comment had to do with their current 8 day mission turning into an 8 month debacle.
@nuance9000
@nuance9000 2 месяца назад
​@@AQDuck Dead internet robot apocalypses mixed with useful id!ots
@Seastallion
@Seastallion 2 месяца назад
If people can hang off of cliffs for photos, people can do potentially dangerous space missions for the advancement of science and technology.
@manojswain8143
@manojswain8143 2 месяца назад
I'm second
@strangeplacestv
@strangeplacestv 2 месяца назад
Whats the deal with all the hand movements? Distracting.
@Trex531
@Trex531 2 месяца назад
You sound kind of pessimistic. Since the beginning of Space exploration risk is always present and has been in many other human endeavors. But how we learn, how we make progress? By taking risks and learning. That’s how humanity has reached the present status of civilization.
@ReinReads
@ReinReads 2 месяца назад
Less pessimistic, more realistic.
@EricWebster-d6b
@EricWebster-d6b 2 месяца назад
Small risk when you think of the risk of going to mars, Space will always be dangerous.
@Me__Myself__and__I
@Me__Myself__and__I 2 месяца назад
Fear mongering about space isn't cool. Yes of course there are risks, but someone hyping the risks isn't helpful. I'm blocking your channel and hope others do as well. No one needs this type of content.
@SpaceXfan-b7p
@SpaceXfan-b7p 2 месяца назад
I’m first.
@geraldscott4302
@geraldscott4302 2 месяца назад
Yes, this mission is risky. Extremely risky. It is a "thrill seeker" mission, not much different from the OceanGate Titan disaster. If someone wants to risk their life, and possibly kill themselves doing something stupid, that is their right. I am 65, and have done a lot of stupid things in my life. I am now seriously disabled, I have extensive joint and connective tissue damage, have a serious loss of mobility, and am in constant pain. I am also diabetic and have stage 3 kidney disease. Do I regret doing all the dumb things I have done? For the most part, yes. I could still have had a lot of fun without doing nearly so much damage to myself. Yes, some risks are worth it. But taking extreme risks just for recreational purposes is just plain STUPID. If I were SpaceX, I would not be participating in it. If someone dies, SpaceX will likely be blamed. And given the situation with the POS Boeing Starliner, and the fact that we now have two astronauts stuck on the ISS for another 6 months, I think this mission should be scrapped, and instead used to bring those astronauts home.
@rons4301
@rons4301 2 месяца назад
You do not have the expertise to decide the risk. Get a life.
@RoryCoop-vb1un
@RoryCoop-vb1un 2 месяца назад
I know you want to sound all scientific and all but for us dumb Americans could you use Miles too just so we understand
@kiwabro2009
@kiwabro2009 2 месяца назад
Keep your goddam hands still.
@1horatius
@1horatius 2 месяца назад
You talk like Pocahontas ,if they decides to do that let them without mediocre comments its their lives.
@Ac_a
@Ac_a 2 месяца назад
All the Tesla recalls, manufacturing problems, stock drops, and Elon F’n Musk Do NOT inspire confidence or trust in me.
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