I absolutely LOVE that call w your set of 8's! Liked the hand enough that I had to pause to comment. I love you trusting the gut and I really like him going for that bet w the 7-2 no flush. What a couple of plays. Well done, Sam.
23:32 You need 33% equity to call profitably. If he has a flush, you have 20% equity (10 outs). Let's assume that if he's bluffing, he has one club in his hand. If he's bluffing with a club, he has 8 outs (all the clubs except 2c), or you have about 85% equity. So you need him to be bluffing roughly 20% of the time for the call to be profitable. 20% x 85% (%bluffs x equity against bluffs) + 80% x 20% (%flushes x equity against flushes) = about 33%
77: Sometimes setting up a river shove should not be your first thought, especially when villain calls your flop raise on a monotone board IMO. The thought should be "Is he capped?" If he is, bet bigger; if not, geometric bet sizing only gets you into trouble. In this situation, if villain is holding a hand like A4cc, he does not need to raise to be all in by the river, so I'd argue that not 3betting the flop does NOT cap his range. Shoving on the turn might have effectively capped his range though. Villain does not have to make this raise when he is in position with only a pot sized bet remaining. He can let you put him all-in or shove after you bet small or check. Btw, if I were bluffing, I would definitely show you the Ac. (Raising from the cut-off, he can have a fair number of Acx.) If I had the A4cc for the flush, I'd show you the 4c to make you wonder if I bluffed the straight flush draw. 😂
@@BluffaloSam 1. You are not limited to 2 equal sized bets. You can bet smaller and overbet. 2. Why are you trying to get stacks in vs an overpair if you are pretty sure he has a flush? I just think it's crazy to always be betting using geometric sizing no matter the likely range of your opponent.
I guess you knew this opponent well when you folded the set of 7s? I know tons of villains in population who would absolutely shove a hand like AA with the Ac at that stack depth. Assuming he never showed the other card? Btw have fun on your trip, sounds like it will be very exciting
There were a lot of tells, and my gut was already screaming at me before my turn bet. If he showed the other card it would have made the vlog for sure, especially if it wasn't a club!
First time commenting but I've been following you from the start! Love your vids. I'm curious about your sizing on the KQ - K99 board hand. You said would go 40% turn 40% with both your value hands and your bluffs, which I get for the sake of balance, but aren't you worried about most of your river bluffs getting called for that price? Whereas if you shove turn you avoid that problem. Thanks!
We always look to maximize value first, then pair those value hands with our bluff hands as well. Using geometric sizing here forces our opponent to call with more of their range, leading to a higher EV return
Hey bro. Big Fan and subscriber. In Tacoma Washington for the week. Was curious what places you recommend to play poker at. I recall I couple episodes I watched where you were playing in Washington. Thanks in advance!
@@BluffaloSam ahh yea fair enough actually! No filming is crazy since they invited you but hey man good luck on the felt! I’m sure we all saw the absolute sun run one of the online poker streamers had in Vietnam last summer, would be so cool to see you run deep in a tourney setting! Stay sharp you are a beast!
Sam, love you & your vids but nodded off before the end. (My attention span for watching long poker vlogs is limited to live poker streams these days but fall asleep while they're running in the background as well.) Have fun in Korea. (I left my fanny pack in the airport personal belongings security scanner in 1981. Can you ask if they still have it?)
85s: you said you need the nfd to raise. The nfd does not need as much fold equity as a lower flush. You also said villain called with the worst bluffcatcher. Blocking straight draws is only bad on the river when the draw bricks. On the turn it's not really that big a deal. What strong hands are you making this move with after just calling preflop AND on this wet flop with another player to act behind you? You don't have KK after just calling pre, and rarely have KJ/JJ/44 after just calling the flop bet on such a wet board with a player to act behind you. You also don't likely cold-call 33 on the flop. Point is: You have very few strong hands but a LOT of possible bluffs, meaning it is likely that you are over-bluffing, regardless of villain's blockers. Incidentally, villain also heavily blocks KQ.
This move wasn't based on my range, it was 100% exploit. The villian in the hand seemed like he had a marginal hand, so I went for it. We are too deep to consider raising weaker flush draws on the Flop, we want to cooler lower flushes ourselves
Look guys we turned a guy shot. So we’re just gonna have to bluff a additional $1200 dollars I don’t make the rules I don’t make the rules!! Lmaooo 😂😂😂
I hope you’re balanced when you show a card! In about 15+ years of live poker I would say players are incredibly weighted to bluffs when showing one card after going allin, usually trying to dissuade their opponent out of a call, like not exaggerating when saying it’s been a bluff at over a 90% frequency lifetime in this situation! I’m sure you probably are balanced in your card showing actually, but I would imagine most opponents who have a fair amount of a live poker background would have a similar experience in regards to bluffing frequencies in this spot. So Even if you are balanced in your showing they probably don’t know this, so personally I would exploitatively prefer to be more value heavy when I show a card!
@@BluffaloSam Glad it works for you! I usually default to call if I’m on the fence and someone shows just bc it’s been so skewed to bluff for what I’ve seen lifetime
You want to open smaller than normal with the straddle on, especially when it cuts the effective stack by so much. Opening 3.5x with a straddle vs 3x without means you can't profitably play an absurd amount of hands. More hands > slightly inflated pot with less hands
@@BluffaloSam Interesting take. I usually open 4x+1/limper standard 2/5 and 3.5x+1/limper for straddle. My reasoning is that when I have RFI and the better hand/range, I want to realize that equity with more money in the middle.
@@olinater5 I used to open larger as well, but after speaking to players much much better than me, they all say the EV difference (especially preflop when the pot is so small) is so negligible, they'd rather open 5-10% more hands with smaller opens, and easily fold without investing too much when they get 3b
Moderation ✔️ these games the once or twice donk donk the pòt can be so juicy when have shown more bluffs than fleas on a dogs back lmao wee so juicccy
Rampage style honestly isn't that bad at low stakes and home games 🤷♂️ It doesn't work for Rampage anymore because he now has a huge reputation and he's playing against some legit pros That being said, I also agree w you. I do enjoy the earlier, more thoughtful BS vlogs
