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It takes "less than 10 years" to bring a nuclear power program to the grid: Dr Adi Paterson 

Nuclear for Australia
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✍️ SIGN OUR PETITION TO LIFT THE NUCLEAR BANS IN AUSTRALIA:
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ABOUT NUCLEAR FOR AUSTRALIA:
Nuclear for Australia is Australia's largest campaign for nuclear energy. Our aim is to disseminate information about nuclear energy to help advance and inform the debate.
Nuclear for Australia is a registered charity. The organisation is proudly non partisan and is currently chaired by the former CEO of ANSTO and nuclear science advocate, Dr Adi Paterson.
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26 авг 2024

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Комментарии : 42   
@lokai7914
@lokai7914 Месяц назад
Keep up the great work.! The UAE's reactors were built by South Korea, building exact copies of the four identical reactors the Koreans had built for themselves. Since the 14970s, the South Koreans have built 25 reactors with an average construction time of 5.56 years.
@Reginaldesq
@Reginaldesq Месяц назад
Japan built one in 4.5 years, so, yes it can be done. Average build time is about 7 years. However, this is Australia, with all our safety regs etc it will likely take about 15 years for the 1st one. On average Nuclear is about 3 times the price of coal or solar. The cherry picked countries usual quoted as having price drops from nuclear are usually countries that have no natural fossil fuel resources.
@factnotfiction5915
@factnotfiction5915 Месяц назад
@@Reginaldesq The point isn't that it will take 4.5 y, 5.56 y, 7 y, or 15 y - the point is that those are choices - it CAN be done in under 15 y. Or you can hire the wrong contractor, require the wrong regulations to be met, and permit the wrong lawsuits to come forward. > On average Nuclear is about 3 times the price of coal or solar. Agreed! The price of a NPP is 3x the price of a coal power plant or solar farm. However, the price of electricity from a NPP is less than the price of electricity from said solar farm. Why? In Australia, only about 40% of the retail cost of electricity is from generation. The rest is transmission/distribution/firming/etc. So, even if the cost of NPP generation is a bit more than say solar - it doesn't matter if the price of transmission/distribution/firming/etc doesn't have to be paid! Firming - well that is obvious for nuclear, but uncosted for solar. Transmission - yup, wires in place from the coal plants NPPs would replace - so also done for nuclear, but uncosted for solar. Distribution - yup, grid designed for 1-way flow from centralized plant to distributed consumers, so also done for nuclear, but uncosted to bring grid up to scratch to accommodate the reverse flow. etc, etc
@Reginaldesq
@Reginaldesq Месяц назад
@@factnotfiction5915 Whilst I agree it can be done in under 15 years, there is no way it will be done in under 15 years in Australia. There will be massive arguments just on the transport of materials through states etc. Then safety concerns, well, when I drive through The 15 or so road works to get to work, I note that at many of them the infrastructure workers are outnumbered 5 to 1 by road safety people. These safety costs and regulations have a massive cost in time and $.
@SonderZensei
@SonderZensei 22 дня назад
@@factnotfiction5915 Nuclear has already lost the race, regardless of any back of the envelope costings. In 15 years time the energy transition to renewable's will be mostly complete. The whole debate is moot. Even if the ban on nuclear is raised (how many election cycles will that take?) and regulations formulated (again, how many election cycles for that to happen) by then our grid will be mostly renewable's. Either way, I don't think nuclear will arrive any time soon.
@factnotfiction5915
@factnotfiction5915 22 дня назад
@@SonderZensei > Nuclear has already lost the race, regardless of any back of the envelope costings. In 15 years time the energy transition to renewable's will be mostly complete. Sadly, you have a better than even chance of being correct. The grid will be mostly VREs + storage, and lots of coal - Australia is likely to continue its high-emission, high-cost trajectory. Your country is likely to be the new poster-child (Germany having to begun to swing the pendulum back) for how not to decarbonize a grid.
@johnd5953
@johnd5953 Месяц назад
We must explore the option
@richardcox3713
@richardcox3713 Месяц назад
If it takes 10 years, then start tomorrow. No other answer.
@bencoad8492
@bencoad8492 Месяц назад
yea don't need to use water, you actually don't want to use water, better off using molten salt or CO2 for your coolant/heat transfer
@Reginaldesq
@Reginaldesq Месяц назад
I read somewhere recently that the molten salt option is good (Bill Gates currently building one) but a lot more expensive.
@grahamsengineering.2532
@grahamsengineering.2532 Месяц назад
Who would would have believed that Blackout Bowen hasn't a clue in the world.
@dannyarcherg2630
@dannyarcherg2630 Месяц назад
Bot
@alanharrison573
@alanharrison573 Месяц назад
Australia needs a mix of coal, gas and uranium fired energy. The proportions will change as technology evolves. Thats the reality Labor doesnt grasp.
@footbru
@footbru Месяц назад
Here's a different picture of the timeline and costs when building a NPP: "the Czech government sought tenders from three firms to build at least two, and possibly four 1000 MW reactors. After Westinghouse was excluded for unspecified failures to meet tender conditions, two contenders remained: EDF and KNHP. On 17 July it was announced that KNHP had submitted the winning bid, which, coincidentally, set the cost per GW at $8.6 billion. Sadly for nuclear advocates, that figure is in $US. Converted to $A, it’s 12.8 billion, around 50 per cent more than the CSIRO Gencost estimate. At that price, the LCOE, even on the most favorable assumptions, will exceed $225/MWh. And unlike the case in Australia, Czechia is offering a brownfield site, at no additional cost. The new plants will replace existing Soviet-era reactors at Dukovany. By contrast, in Australia under Dutton’s proposals, the costs of a nuclear plant would need to include the compulsory acquisition of existing sites, from mostly unwilling vendors. The bad news doesn’t stop there. The (inevitably optimistic) target date for electricity generation is 2038, about the time Australia’s last coal plants will be closing. But the Czechs have at least a five year head start on Australia, even assuming that a Dutton government could begin a tender process soon after taking office. In reality, it would be necessary to establish and staff both a publicly owned nuclear generation enterprise and a nuclear regulatory agency with an appropriate legislative framework." copied from reneweconomy
@Glenrok
@Glenrok Месяц назад
Huh. So Bowen has no idea what he’s talking about? Who knew……..? 🙄
@aeroearth
@aeroearth Месяц назад
Do it in 3 years.
@desking8065
@desking8065 Месяц назад
The thing here the Dr is talking about SMR,s not large scale nuke plants. There is a gigantic difference between each type of reactor. One is medical use only which acts on a pressurised sealed tank reactor. And the other operates on several tons of uranium at varying degrees of potency. The small one takes about 5 years construction, The large scale reactor for electricity take as much as 10-15 years construction according to siting problems that no one can put a cost on.
@factnotfiction5915
@factnotfiction5915 Месяц назад
The Barakah reactors he was talking about in the UAE are all big 1+ GW power reactors, not small research reactors.
@landcruiser11rum
@landcruiser11rum Месяц назад
@@factnotfiction5915yes, 1.4 GW or 1400MW x 4 = 5.6GW Australia uses about 35 GWH’s of energy, so 6 or 7 of these would completely power Australia hypothetically.
@footbru
@footbru Месяц назад
@@factnotfiction5915 I read that the Barakah Nuclear Power plant in the UAE is the first and only nuclear power plant in the Arab world. Contracted in 2009, Unit 1 entered commercial operation in 2021. The fourth and final unit started operation in March 2024. In 2023, the UAE stated its' intention to build two more plants. Barakah has four APR-1400 reactors, nameplate capacity 5600 MW. Total cost USD$25B - that's AUD$36B or so. Here's an interesting note: "In December 2017, the rebel Houthis group claimed to have fired a cruise missile in the direction of the Barakah plant, but the Emirati authorities said that no missiles had actually reached the UAE"
@factnotfiction5915
@factnotfiction5915 Месяц назад
@@footbru great to see you doing some research! Here is a comparison of Stockyard Hill Wind Farm, apparently the biggest wind farm in Australia vs Barakah. Stockyard Hill Wind Farm 3 years - construction time Projected cost $900 million AUD, which I'm rounding to 1 billion for ease of computation 530 MW - 177 MW/y construction 1,626 GWh - 542 GWh/y construction 530 MW/1 billion AUD 1,626 GWh/1 billion AUD PROJECTED c.f. 50% ACTUAL c.f. 35% (2023, and 2024 is already 1 month behind 2023) (table indicates no curtailment in 2023 or 2024) -------------- Barakah 13 years - construction time (14 from contract) 36 billion AUD cost (thank you footbru) 5600 MW - 430 MW/y construction (at 85% c.f., global average) 41,726 GWh - 3209 GWh/y construction 155 MW/1 bilion AUD 1159 MW/1 bilion AUD -------------- en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stockyard_Hill_Wind_Farm en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barakah_nuclear_power_plant -------------- Ok, so slightly more expensive generation with nuclear NOW, we need to realize: * generation is about 40% of the cost in the Australian grid. * nuclear can be sited closer to cities, where the demand is, so need little or no extra transmission. * wind/solar are sited where the wind/sun is, not near demand, so need a LOT of extra transmission. * nuclear does not need much storage/gas, because the steady supply + storage can meet demand load with optimized storage/gas. * wind/solar need a lot of storage/gas for backup, because intermittency is well, intermittent. * (or alternatively EXTRA EXTRA transmission to move juice around the country + storage/gas) We can see nuclear is nearly competitive already, and once you add in all the 'extras' that wind/solar demand ....
@factnotfiction5915
@factnotfiction5915 Месяц назад
@@footbru > Here's an interesting note: "In December 2017, the rebel Houthis group claimed to have fired a cruise missile in the direction of the Barakah plant, but the Emirati authorities said that no missiles had actually reached the UAE" Of course, the only non-state actor with a known terrorist attack - was a Green Party member! - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cha%C3%AFm_Nissim Yup, an eco-terrorist is what NPPs need to look out for, even more than the Russian Army! (vs the Russian Federation, a state actor, which can't decide if they want a 2nd power plant terror attack - the first being against the RE Karkhova Dam, killing 100s of people - or want a safety zone for their troops).
@desking8065
@desking8065 Месяц назад
The Dr's opinion is untrue about unaffected water coming out of the reactor. IT has a half life of 12 years and it's called light water. Who is paying who around here.
@factnotfiction5915
@factnotfiction5915 Месяц назад
sigh. First, the water 'consumed' by the plant is to cool the waste heat of the primary cooling loops. This cooling water (in the secondary or tertiary cooling loop) doesn't pick up radioactivity. Only water in the reactors (the primary cooling loop) picks up radioactivity. The primary cooling loop is a closed circuit - that water isn't replaced during operations. The water in the primary NEVER mixes with the water in the secondary (some designs having also tertiary water loops) loop. The water in the primary cooling loop is highly pure, and it would destroy the plant to contaminate it with river/lake/seawater. Secondly, tritium is created in the primary cooling loop - special systems are in place to capture this and remove it from the primary loop (because it is mostly gaseous hydrogen vs water). Lastly, Tritiated water is HEAVY water. Regular water is LIGHT water. You have it backwards.
@polarbear7255
@polarbear7255 Месяц назад
@@factnotfiction5915 well said Sir. People spread so much fear and misinformation on this topic.
@landcruiser11rum
@landcruiser11rum Месяц назад
@@polarbear7255mostly Albo & Bowen.
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