After a long return after 1 year I didn't expect this many views on an accidental bird up. Feel free to sub as it means a lot to me and I can make more Item asylum content Feel free to join the discord server: discord.gg/kKpSpcsy Edit: to the comments saying “Why did you attack judgement” it was an accidental bird up because nobody know who had what
@@vivelespatat2670Weirdly enough I sometimes the small health boost helps keep me alive. Though I still die because 3 hp isn’t really going to help me in the middle of a fight
Fun fact: I did the math and the probability to bird up in a regular ffa match is 1 IN 744150 (2 in 110 for getting either lamp or torch for melee, 1 in 123 for getting bird for misc and 1 in 110 for getting judge since that's slightly more common than getting judgement). It's not quite one in a million but those are still some insane odds.
These are the chance of birding up when there are only 3 player on the serv and if you only use the loadout you first spawned with. So these are the chance of birding up in zs with 3 survivors
@@SimpleCatPerson I actually did the math on how likely it is to bird up in a regular zs round. Let's assume that we are in a full, 16 player IA server, and that 4 people became zombies at the start. That would leave 12 people, all of which have both a 3 in 110 chance and a 2 in 123 chance for a bird up item, right? Well, ZS actually bans some items for being too powerful, so the actual chances are 3 in 107 and 2 in 102. Now we multiply those chances for each survivor, then turn those numbers into percentages and then add them up to get our final percentage, right? Well, if one person has a specific bird up piece, another person getting the same bird up piece wouldnt do anything, so we also have to account for that. We also have to account for the fact that after a person gets a bird up item, they cant get anymore (Well, they can, but any bird up item past the first one will be useless), thus reducing the amount we have to multiply our number by. So taking in ALL of that, here are the final percentages of how likely it is for someone in the server to get a useful bird up item, if: No one has gotten a bird up item: 58% Only lamp/torch: 32% Only bird: 42% Only Judge/Judgement: 32% Lamp/torch and bird: 19% Lamp/torch and judge/judgement: 10% Bird and Judge/Judgement: 19% And ALL OF THIS, isn't even factoring in the chance that a fallen gets one of the melee bird up items. I decided not to count the fallen, because mutation chance works pretty weirdly. There's probably a mistake in here or something I forgot to account for, since im not very familiar with probabilities. I also dont know how to turn this into a singular percentage chance.
@@okay2048 Did the calculations on that one too. Basically i just took the percentage of getting a useful bird up item with no other bird up item on the field, converted it into a fraction, then i did the same with the rest of the possibilities, and then multiplied them together. From my calculations, you have either a 3.5%, 1.8% or 4.6% chance to bird up in zs. If we take the average of all those numbers, our final percentage chance of birding up with only survivors in zs comes out to 3.3%.