Jim O'Neill: India's Growth Could Pass China 

base on my calculation and I assume gdp of india growth by 10% yearly, and china's gdp growth by 7.5% p.a then india will catch up china only after 60 years but when it will happen?

Aliman Chua If they start making toilets for each house within 5 years , already the GDP growth will increase by one percentage point

Aliman Chua from some 1000 years B.C to around 1500 A.D china held 90 % of world GDP and lead the world, but not india, india is just a joke,

张贵宝 90 percent world GDP wow aint u brain washed wow bloody thieves u fooled the greedy americans stole their technology and got rich now there is no one to steal from lets see how to develop now

India need economies growth 30% yoy for passing china

india + china = us & eu f**ked up.....

Love from India :)

Michael Xu its time to give a kick on the western's ass

Don't forget they have border dispute.

Chinese enjoy peace ? Thats not what many Chinese tourists shown lol

india never lead the world and never as a super in history,but China ever is the leader of the world, fucking india,

wow this shows what kind of attitude you have got,, i said " chinese friends" and you are abusing us ,,great dude,,keep it up,,

lets pray for peace and mutual growth prevail in this part of the subcontinent.

***** Not really, I am a Chinese, and I believe no country not its people actually want a powerful neighbour sitting beside. And I believe that is also the same feeling from India people. However, we must find a way to live together peacefully, maybe talking shit about each other is a good way to release the tension instead of any real conflic. LOL

@@sundeepreddy1612 but modi ji has f economy.

Fr0zenKaos India started Global trade in 1991, China started Global trade in 1978. China was ahead by 13 years. China has 3% Poverty, India has 30% Poverty but is still catching up with Chinese Growth Rate and Economy. What does this say ?

Black Pagan You are correct, some experts say GDP growth rate of India will surpass China's in few years.

+Fr0zenKaos we were never same, there is big difference between Communism and Democracy. And look at history fast catch up is possible. Japan did that after world war 2. And it is still on top.

Ali R Growth rate over a period of 10 years basically predicts an Economy. China grew at 9 - 12% for 10 years from 1990s - 2000s, India is at this stage now with 8% - 12% Growth predicted for the next 10 years, . Wait and watch for the next 10 years and be the judge.

Black Pagan Bro, you are partly correct. But unfortunately, China's economy is slowing down & India is rising. These are the real facts produced by Forbes & TED.

the major reason why people say india will overtake China in the future us cuz the Chinese work force is aging and that will affect the productivity of the nation dramatically so China won't be able to maintain the current growth rate.. while Indias work force is young and is set to increase as more people move from rural areas which amounts for 60% of the population and also due to a 6% population growth.. secondly due to China being an autocracy which will undoubtedly have social problems by the people as time goes on.

manufacturers will start moving base from China to India slowly

DasuberKing I partially agree with it. You overlook the structure global manufacture is now shifting to automatic and AI in the following decade. As a result ,the cheap labor cost is no longer a benefit to industrialise, the robot can replace worker hand in massive production, the western、china would be losing a lot of job compare to robot,so let see china is now upgrading their industry leading to unemployment of the factory worker they used to be. You can see more chinese company is standing up as a giant dominating in different global industry such as metal (steel...)、heavy industry、heavy machinery、Building construction、Shipping、infrastructure、petroleum、electronic products、internet tech、drone....etc. They invest in China and making the whole industry staying in China what you can see.Those company compete with western business giant. But the situation in Indian is the initial stage of industrialization but the govt.with low efficiency、poor infrastructure、business law are critical problem that frustrating the global investment ,and also india is lacking of unique worker,most worker are also low efficiency. Most educated people absolutely don't expect to be a worker in factory, so the poor people do the job but lack of skill as they used to be a farmer , so it spend time and money to transmit the skill ,unlike the situation in china, they already built up vast qualified worker in different sector in china industry through these years,if they open a factory in china, it is much more easy to hire a worker in labor market. So, the cost of starting up a business in India is actually higher than that of china. To sum up, it is challenging to india industrialization, as they lost the best time(1980,1990s) to do so, it is much harder than ever.

China's growth will also slow down.

base on my calculation and I assume gdp of india growth by 10% yearly, and china's gdp growth by 7.5% p.a then india will catch up china only after 60 years

Aliman Chua lol

Aliman Chua 60 years? What the hell are you talking about?

***** The Formula : 2Trillion * (1+10%)^Y = 9.3 Trillion * (1 +7.5%)^Y which Y => year to cacth up, atctually 66 years and 10 months

Aliman Chua keep ur chinese made calculator in ur pocket within 6-7 years india will catch china...chinas economy will slump in few years even big players like US,japan are pulling away from china ...

relay time lapse.. the audio signals takes time to travel

Now that India's GDP is growing at 7-10 regularly

הודו ישראל ההיסטוריה חברים You are right, I think their is no problem even if China becomes superpower. Asia must rise. People in West are now playing the China vs India card just to repeat their policy of Divide and Rule.

+world watch China and India are the both countries which can rise. Yeah. India will take more time to rise but China should lead the east. We have Japan, Russia, Iran all rising from the ashes.

lmao china has issues woth tibet and xingang(muslim). HAHHAHAHAHA

看看这些印度人多蠢，还是说些好话继续哄着

Yong wu, I live in US and the view from here is: China is autocratic, a boiling cauldron that shows only its pretty face to the world but hides all its scars. China is a repressive state where citizens live under the boot strap of the Army. China has illegal possession of Tibet which is going to rise against state repression after Dalai Lama is gone. Chinese economy is already slowing and India's GDP growth is 7% plus this quarter. So, chill out and watch the future. If you are in China, get the hell out of there before the sh!t hits the fan. When that happens, some Chinese would smartly have moved out, some would duck and avoid the sh!t if they are lucky but most would have the stuff smeared on their faces and come out smelling bad.

Sridhar Kaushik You are totally biased about China. I agree that I am also biased about India, because we are very pissed off by your Indian people always say that we are going to surpass China, and we Indian people will become super power! Also, you country interfere with our country's internal issue, think about that, why you and your government thinks China illegally possessed Tibet? You know the map, right? 50 years ago, the independent of Mongolia was under Soviet Union's pressure, how come we still have to surrender when we have that power to keep the land? Remember, Tibet has become china's land since Qing Dynasty, which is 250 years ago, they were willing to become the part of China since 1950's. Do I have to tell you more? Anyways, I pointed out some problems in India, your various races will become a big issue, your strict naming hierarchy system(whatever it called) will lead a big poverty gap in your society. No matter what Chinese did, the Chinese government always point out a very good blue print for its people, and also for all Asians. AIIB is a good example, and your government is the first few countries to ask to join in. We want peace, but, you have to be clear of who you are, and your real enemy is! We laughed at you is not because of you are really bad, but your society is sick, a sick country likely to compete with another country which is 5 times stronger than itself.

yong wu I'm not an Indian but it will be the BRIC nations which will bring a lot of change to the current unipolar world. Next, only three nations will 'clearly' emerge as the largest economies by the end of this decade: The US, China and India. Japan and Germany will be pushed down. But we don't know yet who would be inching towards displacing the US as the #1 economy. This will happen for sure. If China and India unite, it's certain that many in the US and the EU will lose their pants! However, China's foreign policy towards India is driven by animosity and jealousy. No wonder why Chinese 'prepping' up a rogue nation like Pakistan to use it against India. That's one biggest and dumb mistake because it's India which counts for China in the long run. BTW, how many of you know that India and China used to enjoy 50%+ world GDP until 300 years ago? What changed? Colonization. There is one Harvard paper which studied in detail on this context. Having said, India should have move far ahead of China by now but their own Democracy failed them. I point at the lame late 70s Janata Party movement in India which drove away the foreign investments and companies. E.g., IBM, Coke et al. China was no where in the emerging picture until Deng Xiaoping carried reforms on larger scale in early 80s. Hence, Chinese must become friends with Indians. There is no benefit in going for another Cold War like situation between them. Some Chinese shouldn't delude that they can be sole Superpower. That will never happen because of the population (middle class), growth and large economies. IMO, only nationalists and short-sighted fools will ignore the power of India and China working together in the global competition. This will effectively put an end to the current Unipolar world, also vastly reduces the EU annoyance. I wish to see those nations literally buying out 4/5th UK assets, thus making it as the colony of both nations! Some poetic justice, isn't it?

yong wu in 1947 when Inda gained Independence, West said the same u are saying. They said Democracy is not for India it will fall. But here we are after 60 years. Even if China become the next superpower, Indians are Happy.

***** if it wasn't the Indian media which aired the Incident , i am sure no one in the world would have known that the incident has happened, and coming to Chinese media they don't have such freedom

Indians are so humble...

I think the lesson for India to learn is to not become the next western empire...the next america or britain...america is the most disliked country in the world...surveys show that...take what the RSS says...we will reach our rightful place in the world..

dhananjay singh. Possibly. But you would be old or dead by then.

Hua Zhou ! As long as Jim O'Neill doesn't pee in your mouth it is OK.