@@RedPolitics1776 He’s doomed. Zero moderates for him. DeSantis Republicans will not turn out. Gen Z will turn out heavily for Biden. Trump has a 40% chance at best to win.
@@uspc.politics Have you forgot Trump will be running against an 81 year old with Carter-like approvals who is arguably the most unpopular president in American history? 75% of independents didn’t want Joe Biden to run for re-election, they think this country is on the wrong track and if Donald Trump hammers the issue of the economy which is the #1 issue going into the 2024 election what makes you think independents and working class American areas/voters won’t vote for him especially in places like WI, MI, and PA where he looks very, very strong in early polling. Allan Lictmans 13 keys system currently has Biden at 7 keys and Donald Trump at 6 keys. If Ukraine falls to Russia, boom, that’s the end of Joe Biden’s re-election campaign. If there’s any signs of a recession and if even a mild recession happens, boom, that’s the end of Joe Biden’s re-election campaign. 2020, Covid happened and Donald Trump barely lost. 2022, Dobbs was struck down and Republicans still won the popular vote. 2024, you have the most unpopular incumbent president in American history who has terrible support among independents, adults, and RV’S and where the economy and immigration will be the #1 and #2 issue for voters where Biden has ultimately failed in both of those categories. What makes you think voters won’t look to somebody else?
