Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical strategist, speaker, and author. His latest book is "The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization." www.zeihan.com
@@PelicansCourtsideClubI don’t think it was due to RU-vid censorship. He had an exclusivity contract with Spotify. That contract has come to an end and he can upload to other platforms.
An interesting interview. Joe asked a lot of good questions, listened, and then asked more questions for clarification of points or to dig deeper before moving on to his next question. It sounds like work went into preparing the interview questions.. Peter Zeihan is very knowledgeable, big picture kind of guy and he tends to approach things with logical point of view..
Joe and his people really need to do a follow up interview here with Peter, i believe this episode is about a year old so another episode would line up perfectly. Revisit the talking points and aee where it all stands now. Peter might not be 100% correct on everything but people would be foolish not to listen and take note of what he says.
@@sinesaiisometimes you are just riffing with the boys and next thing you know you are spitballing in India to a conference of business executives about how to take geo political advantage of Chinas imminent collapse
Yes! Progressive updates is good for us to hear. Peter is speculative and at least knows that anything can change at any time so his assessment of the future will always be evolving.
Peter’s been wrong substantially especially with domestic politics. And he’s been wrong on Ukraine as well, the sanctions he along with every other state department member shouted from the hills that it would cripple the Russian economy… it didn’t. Juxtapose that with John Mearsheimer’s positions and well…Peter’s not the end all be all to say the least.
About 3 weeks ago, Zeihan said in an interview with RNZ "Biden will win the election 100% in a landslide." He may be smart but his commonsense is way off sometimes.
This is also a year old... a lot has changed since then but more importantly news coverage is a bit more critical on even traditionally left leaning news sources.
This man deserves to be shamed for the rest of his life for saying that the price of Bitcoin would decrease by $17000 when the price was $16000, implying that it would go down to trade at a negative price. Not only is it absolutely idiotic to think that a purely digital, and absolutely scarce, currency could trade for a negative quality of dollars, what actually happened after this video aired made him look so, so foolish. Price went up for the next year, without any huge pullbacks, up to about $70,000. Peter is an idiot.
This man deserves to be shamed for the rest of his life for saying that the price of Bitcoin would decrease by $17000 when the price was $16000, implying that it would go down to trade at a negative price. Not only is it absolutely idiotic to think that a purely digital, and absolutely scarce, currency could trade for a negative quality of dollars, what actually happened after this video aired made him look so, so foolish. Price went up for the next year, without any huge pullbacks, up to about $70,000. Peter is an idiot.
Zeihan has a predictive ratio of exactly zero. He makes noise and runs away. You can find him taking every side at one time or another. Earlier predictions of absolute Russian victory transform into Ukrainian romps. Putin's steel trap mind becomes a neurological mine field. How he is affecting Joe is sad to see. Zeihan is a kind of con man, preacher like the part Burt Lancaster played in "Elmer Gantry". He wouldn't be so annoying if he wasn't so wrong about important things. Now, as he is a barker for the neo-cons , I wouldn't be surprised if he tries to make a rational-sounding excuse for us to drop a couple nukes.
@@charlesmcdonald1973 Good luck with THAT prognosis. If anything is heading to zero its most probably the US dollar. Go look up the BRICS mBridge project and their future use of a Gold backed blockchain digital currency for international settlement between members. 59 nations have said they want to join the BRICS. The US dollar as THE global reserve currency is heading for the toilet. Shame you probably didn't buy BTC years ago when it was a lot cheaper. Now it is out of many people's purchasing power and soon to get even more expensive.
The fact that ANY body in the world could take this clown seriously boggles the mind. At least now we can check how freaking off he was in his scholarly calculations. My god...!
Uh, im getting a noxious just listening to him. I was listening his podcast couple of times and when you revisit them after some time like this one he gets everything wrong!!!!! For me he's so much out of touch!
It always makes me skeptical when someone has a concise answer to everything, as if complex relationships can be boiled down to witty statemments and the future is a linear projection.
@@lfnt7069it’s been HiS Job His Entire Life. When Your View of the world is the Screen In Your Hand. That is the Size of Your Playing Field. PZ travels the World and is Engaged in it. Unlike most People in Merica that Chant USA USA every touchdown Their team scores…. A limited view… Good Morning…..
@@lfnt7069He doesn't have 5 hours to sit and give lectures about politics and geopolitics. If you're that invested just read books and follow news from sources that have been fact checked to a higher degree. Peter isn't linear at all. At all instances he gives multiple situations of what could happen. If you're not convinced then follow his channel and see for yourself.
It would be good if someone would match Zeihan's predictions to what has actually happened. I don't think his percentage would be very high. China is on the verge of economic collapse, but not for the reasons he predicted.
He’s not predicting zeitgeist; he’s actually really bad at that stuff. He’s telling us what is possible based on economics, demographics, geography, and supply chains. He predicted Ukraine several years before it happened. He also predicted the demographic collapse.
For example he said very confidently that in Transylvania the vast majority of people are hungarian ethnic which is completely false. The vast majority are Romanians who were there approximately 12 centuries before them. I come from Romania. Secondly, are his statements regarding the war in Ukraine. Everybody in that part of the world knows what really happened in Ukraine. For example everything started with so called popular revolution Maidan in 2014 that we romanians saw it as a copycat of what happened in Bucharest in 1989. The similarity was absolutely shocking ( foreign intervention making people on the street believe that theyb actually made the revolution - we were the useful idiots). So, he is just blowing hot air. He has indeed many good points on many other subjects, and that makes him very credible talking about what it is going to happened in 25 years from now ....
@@JohnMarinescu-q7hhe might be wrong about certain facts but what you are saying about the Maidan is not accurate. It was very much a peoples movement, talk to anyone from western Ukraine and they will tell you that they stood behind the protesters. Yes there was foreign support, all of it under the pretext of supporting the rights of the people under oppression... btw where have we heard that pretext before? In the unlawful invasion of the Donbas.
This guy Zeihan is reasonably knowledgeable about certain international geopolitical issues. HOWEVER, that's about all. He really needs to check his ego and stay in his lane of expertise. Two factual criticisms about this guy: 1.) he doesn't know what he's talking about regarding matters of both domestic and international energy 2.) he definitely doesn't know what he's talking about regarding the Mexican drug trade. In this interview Zeihan stated that the over the past 20 years, the Mexican drug cartels "killed off all of the Black gangs". That is laughably stupid. OBVIOUSLY, this man has no concept of the dynamics of urban criminal activity and illegal drug trafficking in the United States.
God why do old posts keep getting on RU-vid showing "7 days ago" etc. Very annoying. I had to watch 9 minutes of this (great interview) until it became clear that is at least 2 years old. Grrrrrrr
Channels are reposting everything to regenerate views and stats for the youtube algorythm. It isn't obvz but says Jan '23 in the desc at the very bottom.
Does Zeihan believe Russia lost half a million troops in Afghanistan, both Chechen wars, Transnistria and Georgia? I'm no Russian apologist but this smacks of intentional misinformation. I don't hate Zeihan but experts should avoid speaking in absolute terms if they want to be taken seriously. I think John Mearsheimer is a little more pragmatic and even handed with his analysis(though not without his narrative bias).
Why do we NEED to keep Peter front and center on social media? It isn't like any policy makers read these comments. They don't care about hearing the voices of the people they represent.
This was back when Zeihan was still being non partisan or playing the I am a smart fact based liberal who hangs out with conservatives. Now he is a far left civ intel agent again.
This guy talks a lot of bs. Absolute disinformation from Peter. I see this guy as a western tool to convince a population that they stand a chance against Russia
IMO his version of geopolitics is suspicious because it is the version that aligns the most with the US government, his source of income. They need proof to act on their policies and he provides it. His tone probably mirrors the tone he is accustomed to using during pitches with a Powerpoint presentation, which is why he sounds like such a know-it-all. I want to like this guy, I just wish he provided a few more sides of the argument instead of the democrat version of America first.
Russia has zero aspirations in taking Poland. The o ly reason they invaded ukraine was self preservation. They had warned the west that ukraine cam mot become a NATO member and when that happened they had to intervene. This effin guy and his dribble
Remember a couple facts when it comes to Peter Zeihan, namely he has been saying "China has 10 years at most" since 1995, and from day 1 he has been saying "Ukraine is winning" despite the fact that multiple videos have come out showing they are grabbing old men and young boys off the street to throw them at the front and the average age in the Ukranian military is 53 because all the conscription age men that could escape fled to Poland.
This conversation took place shortly before Yevgeny Prigozhin’s abortive 2023 march on Moscow. Though not specifically predicted, that oddly started and badly ended effort was the sort of event that Mr. Zeihan’s warnings comprehend. If proper attention is accorded to Mr. Zeihan’s careful caveating, the facile nature of some ‘headline predictions’ is less important than consideration of longer term relevance.
Green energy does Peter guy talks about tall tall windmills is the solution what's a reality is windmills have several drawbacks and the wind is not constant constant but there is one thing that is constant and that is the tide of the oceans going in and then going out and then flowing out this would be the only solution is to use large wheeled type generators that would produce electricity just like a water wheel does on a river Hydro tidal wave energy source how this guy doesn't realize that is beyond me😮
This guy spouts Western propaganda nonsense. Considering this was from Jun 8, 20203, Right at the start of the Counter Offensive, which was a total disaster for Ukraine, there was insane optimism for Ukraine. It was nonsense jut like this guy. Btw, his takes on China are just as insane.
Peter shows a flat vision of the world. Keeps repeating ideas by heart. No evolution of concepts and missing important human values. I prefer Niall Ferguson.
At 1:49:37 Peter asks.. "What's Bitcoin now $16,000?" and right now Bitcoin is $62,053.25. And it hasn't been near $16,000.00 since 1/16/2022 so YEP... This is an old show!
I keep hearing about how Bitcoin is such a good investment, and clearly it has some value, but I've always seen it as being worthless, because it's not backed by anything except for people's belief that it has value. (The same could be said of any fiat currency.) I wonder if Ziehan has changed his tune, but people like Charlie Munger didn't have anything good to say about it either. I'm sure that it was started by criminals looking for a way to conduct business outside of the normal financial system.
@@jeffgkrehmer1095 fiat currencies can be great......if you don't have lefties buying votes.....NORWAY is an example.....start letting a trillion a year of our debt be paid
I'm not sure if this guy is a Psy-op. Or he just believes all the BS he speaks there or the other guy could not call out the propaganda... this is confusing.
Use thorium instead of uranium because there isn't plutonium as a byproduct. A long time ago the military insisted on Uranium instead of using thorium so it could use the plutonium for thermonuclear weapons. I believe that the modular nuclear power stations are exploring using thorium for this reason and it has a much shorter radioactive decay time frame than uranium 235.
I mean they’re doing a tax in Russia right now so I’d say they’re doing pretty good. Now Russia has to give China a bunch of land because they’re just not able really do anything about it.
@@entrenchgamer I mean he is only just estimating based on the knowledge he has at that moment. It's impossible to 100% tell the future because well it's the future.
Let’s talk a LITTLE about Ukraine corruption. More than half of their aid disappeared into someone’s pocket. He sounds like a Ukraine propagandist, not an analyst
@@denniszakowicz8589 Its a damn hard one to solve now. Once both parties are stubborn and have their wants, and they hate each other, then peace is hard. Shouldve stopped this long ago, its like trying to stop ww2 or ww1 in the middle of it, its really hard. Russia annexed 4 regions already, Putin said those are non-negotiable, and Ukraine probably wants everything back.
@rrandor I agree. I watch a lot of Peter Zeihan and I think he has a good analysis on a lot of things. But his bias with the Ukraine-Russian conflict can be frustrating.
IF China has this alleged age crisis, it can literally be fixed in 13-15 years, by increasing the child birth rate, by offering incentives to young people. China isn't going to collapse in a decade due to aging population...
Birth rates are no that easy to fix. South Korea and Japan have been giving cash incentives, government dating programs etc for decades and its barely made a dent
I hate to break it to you, but the demographic data coming out of China (the official data, mind you) has actually gotten an order of magnitude worse in the year since this interview. The birthrate has declined since 2017 faster than what happened to the Jews of Europe during the Holocaust. As @Jacksaxby pointed out, fixing a declining birth rate is actually incredibly difficult. It requires allocating huge sums of money and space to families, and the policy of China is to do the opposite in order to maintain a controlled economy. Even if that was politically feasible (and it isn't), you'd then need to make sure their parents are taken care of so they can afford to have children without worrying about having to feed/take care of elderly relatives, something else that isn't happening. And you'd need to make sure that they have access to homes with enough rooms, enough spare spending money to feel they can afford a child, and on and on and on... and the worst part is that if you do every single one of those things, it STILL doesn't guarantee that the birth rate will improve at all. And of course there's the final issue; it's too late for children born today to help fix the population crisis. We've long passed the point of no return; that happened 20 years ago. The problem with demographics is that tomorrow's catastrophe can very well be today's boom... and that's exactly what a demographic dividend is. When China's economy was booming, nobody was thinking about how urbanization would drive the country to ruin in 40 years.
I studied just enough Chinese to understand this, and it's continual pain to hear everyone butcher the pronunciation :( Problem is, when his name is the same as an English pronoun, most can't seem to bring themselves to say it properly even if they've been informed.
He just has read Russian and Soviet history and been to the place. I live 300 km from the war zone in Ukraine. Anyone who had lived through the Soviet regime knows what the Russians are doing, regardless of the propaganda they put out for the rest of the world
Peter Ziban gives you the knowledge to understand the world & took me 6 yrs of courses in economic development, geology, geography. He is brilliant the way he integrates knowdge.
@@user-ww8nz5oo2l I try to keep an open mind. But nobody who calls him a liar ever provides examples. I'd be happy to learn about any fact checking you've done.
@@andybenis Ukraine winning the war China collapsing socioeconomically in 10 yrs Ukraine having less deaths than Russia Russia not having enough military assets Bitcoin will go to zero United States has stable birthrates. The United States didn't blow up the gas line All emphatically stated lies
He's a moron. Dead wrong on China for years. Dead wrong on Russia for years. Not one thing right in his so-called 'analysis' 😅 of Ukraine war. Poor guy is in a mental prison of his own biases. He's a moron.
I’ve actually had a 180-degree turn on Peter Zeihan’s geopolitical analysis and with in the beginning of discussion he explains that he’s a generalist. He definitely knows the importance of free trade with in NAFTA and also solid understanding of what has gone on in Eastern Europe and that USA is definitely not an island needs trading partners. He definitely knows his global Agriculture Energy and Mining sectors. As an American he’s very well informed and I’m saying this as a compliment and my 180-degree turn.
The beauty of his youtube interactions. He has been on a few yrs. You can see how his predictions pan out. He is right often. Sometimes not. His work assumes smart people won't change course and everything is static in his world. But I do enjoy his info. Some of best out there IMO.
He was completely wrong with his statement about the earth consistently warming since the late 1800s. It is not disputed in science that the surface of the earth was warmer during the Industrial Revolution than it is today. What has all of the climate scientists concerned is that the RATE of RECENT annual temperature increase (surface of the earth) is occurring at a faster pace than ever recorded. This guy Zeihan needs to stick with geopolitics and back off of the science, because he is not a scientist.
"In 1859, John Tyndall discovered that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas. By that he meant that carbon dioxide can absorb and hold heat. In 1896, Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish scientist claimed that burning coal, oil and natural gas releases carbon dioxide into the atmosphere and will eventually warm the planet." This is what he ment.
@@R3L4X97 - Burning ANYTHING releases carbon dioxide - it's not just "coal, oil and natural gas". Wood burning releases the same amounts of carbon dioxide as does petroleum compounds.
