In fairness, Dan did give it quite a bit of attention earlier in its run (including, if memory serves, when it became A24’s top grosser), but I hope he’ll do a final analysis of it when it leaves theaters and its final tally is known.
Top Gun Maverick is the first movie I’ve seen multiple times in theaters since 2019. Obviously lots of people saw Spider-Man multiple times but for me that’s what’s so impressive about Maverick, not only did I sing it’s praises I took other people to see it and have plans to see it a 3rd time. It’s awesome to see this film succeed so much
Absolutely. I support this movie way more than any other film I’ve seen in a while. Definitely going to buy it on Blu-ray, and I’ve even considered going to watch it in theaters again, which I NEVER do.
Since I didn’t see it on the show, I’ll bring up that Everything Everywhere All At Once has now become A24’s highest grossing film worldwide, beating out Hereditary. Sorry about Hereditary Dan, but those are both some great movies that apparently a healthy amount of people saw.
I'm gunna say it, The Bob's Burger's Movie deserved better. It reached the gross predictions, but I think it's only made about half it's budget despite it being an incredible hilarious ride.
I didn’t see any hype for this movie. I blame the marketing. I totally would have seen this if I would have known about it before it’s opening weekend.
Bob's Burgers is likely to make back it's budget on the small screen, so the box office total won't matter as much as other films that don't have such a huge in-home audience.
Animated movies based on television shows don't usually make a lot of money, unless they're a cultural phenomenon like The Simpsons, SpongeBob and Rugrats. I think it's because most people have the belief that they can just watch the show at home rather than spending extra money to see a longer episode in the theatre (The Simpsons Movie even starts with Homer giving this same sentiment). The Bob's Burgers Movie will probably wind up with somewhere around $30 million domestic, which is about what the Teen Titans Go Movie made a few years ago.
The last movie ticket I bought, when translated from UK pounds to US dollars, was only $8.40. But that's because a) it was a cheap ticket (£6.99 for the cheap seats at my local multiplex, cheapest cinema price I've encountered since I lived in France and one multiplex near where I lived did 5 Euro tickets on Sundays) and b) the pound-dollar exchange rate is in the toilet thanks to the spiral of idiocy we've been in since 2016. In 2003 I think £6.99 would have been well over $10.
Something I love about you Dan is that you don’t let your opinion on a film affect your carting analysis and reporting. You could be openly sour on Dominion’s numbers, but you are a professional and don’t I respect that. Personally, in this post pandemic world, I’m just happy seeing films still be able to make big bucks at the theaters.
It differs based on where you live. This is also an estimate in the absence of hard data. I saw some people saying it was $12, which is possible, but the ticket price has never jumped that much in such a short period of time.
My predicitons for the top 5 next week is: 1. Lightyear 2. Top Gun: Maverick 3. Jurassic World: Dominion 4. Doctor Strange and the Multiverse of Madness 5. The Bad Guys
Did you take into account the possibility that "Squid Game's" numbers may also be due to password sharing? This would have been before Netflix started cracking down on that activity.
The ticket price is not the best way to figure out audience attendance because ticket prices change based on day, time you see film, and depending on type of showing like IMAX, BigD, Dolby Cinema, 3-D, or 3-D X
@@DanMurrellMovies Right I get that. But that makes me wonder when you have all those different price screenings, plus AMC A-List vs back in 1986 where there were fewer types of screening prices on tickets how do we know that there were not more people who saw Top Gun vs 2022? Although I know Top Gun Maverick is way more popular now vs the original film since word of mouth and popularity over the decades.
Outside of an exact head count? We will never know. I wasn't around in 1986 (well, I was, but I was three), so I can't really speak to the buzz on the street for the original vs Maverick.
Do you have any intentions of seeing and reviewing RRR? I keep seeing people on film Twitter raving about it, and I'm thinking about checking it out while it's still in theaters.
Absolutely do that. It's basically if someone made a Fast and Furious movie where every single frame was the peak of Micheal Bay's cinematography, with the best action direction and choreography that has been put on screen. If there's any movie that I wish I saw in theater it's that.
BITS seems just as inflated as inflation, maybe even more. I want to see "per capita" numbers on all these movies. What percentage of the country watched Jurassic Park? What percentage of the world watched Multiverse of Madness? (Yes, despite the issues mentioned at the 13-minute mark.)
I understand, but there's only so much I can do every single week. That kind of operation is a little beyond my capabilities as a one-person stats resource.
Jurassic World was meh. It was definitely designed to appeal to 8 year olds imo. Graphically it was amazing but who ever designed the fight scenes needs a new line of work. It was the best Jurassic World of the 3 but behind the original 3 in terms of story.
2022: The year when Paramount found a lot of success with sequels to movies about characters with the need for speed. Weird coincidence, but there you go.
@@kevindavis8646 Sonic the Hedgehog 2 is, to the best of my knowledge, near-universally regarded as a hit (and was released by Paramount). Not on the scale of Top Gun: Maverick, true enough, but a hit nonetheless.
I was not a fan of Dominion, but I think it may have legs. My theater clapped when it was over, which means they liked it much more than I did. General audiences seem to like it. I guess people just want to see dinosaur action.
Same with my theater. They clapped, but I just couldn't bring myself to do it lol. After Fallen Kingdom I decided to just not have any expectations and enjoy the ride and the return of the OGs.
I remember a TV program in the UK years ago where they did a countdown of the (I think) 100 films which had put the most BITS in the UK over the years. Some of the top ones were what you'd expect (Star Wars, Titanic, Jurassic Park), but a surprising number of the highest were from the 1940s, including ones I've never heard of and probably never heard of since, in large part (I presume) because people simply went to the cinema more before TV.
Man the fact that we are consistent in beating the 2015-2019 average makes me super excited. Just the fact that people are CHOOSING to go the theater with all the other streaming services thriving as well. It shows that theaters and streaming can actually work. The people that want to go to the movies will always choose going to the movies.
I feel like the pandemic made people realize how boring it is to watch every movie at home like streaming is nice every now and then but it's fun to go out and get some popcorn and watch something fun
@@athenajaxon2397 YES!! To some people going to the movies is a whole experience. The smell of popcorn as you walk in, all the posters for all the cool movies and the amazing sound and picture in the auditorium. It's pure magic!
Regarding Universal's 'Firestarter' shenanigans, I remember Dan reporting back in 2018 how Disney packaged 'A Wrinkle in Time' (which was already on bluray) as a double-bill with the the brand-new 'Incredibles 2' at drive-ins to push its theatrical box-office over $100million.
Hey, Dan, just thought you should know Ukraine is opening up movie theaters again and Doctor Strange In The Multiverse Of Madness will open there on Thursday. So how much do u think it’ll make before it hits Disney+ next Wednesday?
Never thought I would see the day when a Sonic film woul be more profitable than a film from the Harry Potter franchise. Dumbledore may have taken $2 million more in revenue but cost $200m to make plus marketing while Sonic 2 cost $110 to make plus marketing.
This is actually a pet peeve of mine, because most films aren't actually shot for IMAX. Top Gun actually used IMAX cameras, Thor did too, and Nope did as well. Dominion didn't use them at all (which is odd, you'd think they'd want a taller frame for ya know... Dinosaurs). I get not wanting to waste a theater, but Top Gun is still reliably pulling in audiences. For me, IMAX is a specific format, not just "ooh bigger screen." So if there's a movie actually made for IMAX, I think it should get preference.
Great job as always Dan. I really love your content and appreciate all your hard work and how honest and respectful you are. I trust anyone in my family to watch your videos if they wanted to. Not to be rude but your much better than that one gal who also does movie math on Mondays.
I was hoping to see Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero from Japan opening release on the WW chart but it got $5.04m from what I saw so barely off the top 5. I remember you having DBS: Broly on charts a few years ago so I'm waiting to see the franchise show up again in August
I think it's really interesting that blockbusters are getting about the same or fewer butts in seats now than in the 80s and 90s. I don't know what it means, but I'm sure it's important.
One thing it indicates is that a smaller fraction of the population are going to see them than 25-40 years ago, which makes sense: -There are more options to see them in other ways than there were back then (TV, VOD, streaming, DVD, Blu-Ray etc. with them often becoming available within weeks of coming out in cinemas instead of having to wait 6 months or more to get them on VHS or TV) -Home entertainment systems are much better able to produce a cinema-like experience -There are far more options for entertainment competing with them - dozens or hundreds of TV channels, streaming services, video games etc. In general, at least in the English-speaking world or the "Western" world, I think people just don't treat the cinema as A Day Out anywhere near as much as they used to - people don't just walk or drive down to their local cinema and buy a ticket for whatever looks good and everyone in the group can agree on. This will massively reduce the number of "casual moviegoers" seeing a film, which is probably why franchises and other things with "brand recognition" are so dominant among films actually shown in cinemas. Back in Ye Olden Dayes, you would probably have millions of cinemagoers in a large country like the USA seeing really very mediocre mid-budget action movies, romcoms, slapstick comedies, thrillers etc. with little or no brand recognition or "star power" (the kind of thing which nowadays would sell very few cinema tickets, go straight to streaming or just not get made), simply because they were one of only a few options to see at the cinema. I remember a TV program in the UK years ago where they did something like Dan's "butts on seats" analysis and did a countdown of the (I think) 100 films which had sold the most tickets in the UK over the years. Some of the top ones were what you'd expect (Star Wars, Titanic, Jurassic Park), but a surprising number of the highest were from the 1940s, including ones I've never heard of and probably never heard of since, in large part (I presume) because people simply went to the cinema more before TV.
I've been working buying films for TV for 20 years and I've never understood why people look at the box office instead of the admissions. Thanks to my custom of tracking number of people going to watch the film I have a good memory of how films have performed across the years comparing each other (and how each kind of film has been changing through the years, at least in my country)
Box Office is what is reported, because it's a bigger (and therefore flashier) number. And since that is reported, it's easier for outlets to them parrot those number instead of doing the analysis that Dan does of dividing by average ticket price. There's also ticket pricing issues that became an issue, especially as theaters are now starting to charge more for tentpole movies, which makes the average ticket price less reliable for those movies.
@@xger21 Add to that, in bigger countries the ticket price may vary a lot based on location and polarized demographics can mess with the average calculation. (And the US, which has been *the* market to look at traditionally for Hollywood movies, is definitely a big and varying country in this sense.) Edit: Also, of course the studios care more about the money and the publicity that comes with the awe factor of *"sooo much money"*.
Money $$$ is the whole reason why the movie industry, or any industry, exists so how much money a movie makes is always going to be the most important mark of success. Acclaim/prestige is really the only competing marker with award shows and RottenTomatoes. Also if we were just to look at the admissions it'd be hard to compare that to a film's budget and therefore gauge if it was profitable or not/how profitable it was, which will inform if studios will still invest in similar films or sequels.
Lovely to see Dan try so hard to have the original Jurassic Park at the #1 spot in one of the rankings that included the movies from the franchise. Thanks for taking the effort and help folks understand the impact the original movie had on the movie going audiences.
Thinking on it, I don't think the bits index would really be more accurate since population growth isn't factored in. Even if the movie going population is pretty much the same percent, a larger population would means more butts to potentially sit in those seats
As always, a great show today. Keep them coming. You're looking at this with a level granularity no one else is. Realized today: is not Avg $/Theatre inadvertently measuring the (average) socioeconomic status of the areas in which it plays?
Locusts.... You have hundreds of dinosaurs to choose from, and 2/3 about the movie is about locusts.... Locusts!!!!! I watched it last night and couldn't believe what I was seeing. Locusts!!!!
@@Cotsos88 There is plenty of Dino screen time in this movie. People always talk about how much they like the first movie, it only has 15 minutes of dinosaurs. The locusts are part of a story about genetic power that lines up with the franchise themes.
People are unhappy because we got just as much focus on Locusts as Dinosaurs . Also they gave us another human espionage story when when what was needed was a Dawn of the Planet of the Apes type film with a slight hint of Dino horrors. I found this film visually quite balnd compared Spielberg's first two Jurassic Park movies . Colin Treverrow's direction style is getting worse with every move he makes. For all the problems Fallen Kingdom had at least J.A Bayona has an interesting visual style. As a conclusiion to a 29 year saga Dominion was too safe in some areas whilst taking a really bad risk with those locusts . I don't want to see Dinos in a park or reserve anymore I want to see them tearing up cities.
It's entirely predictable. If you asked me in January, I would have told you that critics wouldn't like the movie, and the loud portions of the internet wouldn't like the movie. But it would still make money, because neither the critics nor the loud portions of the internet are actually representative of real life. I enjoyed it a good bit (I'd put it 3rd of the 6 movies), and the other person I know that saw it also enjoyed it.
I really did not like the last 2 Jurassic movies in paricular . They wasted the setup that was done in Fallen Kingdom . This should have been Dawn of of the Planet of the Apes but with with Dinosaurs where Dinosaurs , other animals and humans all the same time . What we got was an an generic espionage thriller with giant locusts with Dinosaurs thrown in now and again. Heck I even find Jurassic Park 3 so bad its good kind of fun compared to Fallen Kingdom and Dominion .
Yes.! Watching LightYear in IMAX this wekend.! I remember when I said Jurassic world back in 2015 at AMC Theaters with a date she was utterly Perfection but we never worked out LOL 😆😅
I hope you will keep the seats comparison from now on, it makes more sense than earnings. It's how it's counted in France by the way. They count the number of tickets sold, not the earnings gross.
People just starving for a Made for SyFy like dino movie that looks way better than Made for SyFy . . . written . . . . . hey a popcorn movie, that's what the kids big and small say.
I hope Lightyear overperforms in America this coming weekend to make up for countries banning it over Disney, after backlash to the Don’t Say Gay bill, reinserting and standing by the inclusion of a genuine LGBTQ scene in the movie.
I was dreading to go see Jurassic World 3 given all of the bad critical reception; However, I was pleasantly surprised. My rock bottom expectations actually turned into a fairly decent time at the theater!
Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero opened on Saturday with $4.99 million USD for just Saturday and Sunday, so looking forward to maybe seeing it on the worldwide charts next week
SPOILER for Dominion: ... ... ... Kinda disappointed that they didn't go the Planet of the Apes route at the end with a sad ending in which human society collapses (I guess from the locusts depleting crops haha), and non-avian dinosaurs re-conquer the world. Was the most exciting concept I thought they were teasing but like the idea of dinosaurs existing on a global scale, they didn't commit.
SPOILER .... .... .... .... They could in theory still return to that. Lots of dinosaurs still in the wild, and the locusts already devastated the eco-system. If they make another, it could be set in a more Planet of the Apes style setting because of the collapse that likely still occurred (not 100% collapse, but probably like 50% or more)
Tho worst Jurassic movie of all time still makes so much money. They will never stop making garbage movies that treat their audience like idiots who don’t deserve a good film, because the rubbish they make still sells.
I know this isn't Movie-related per se, but seeing as Dan has gotten into Anime as of recently and since I know he watched all of Season 1 of Demon Slayer, it feels appropriate enough to mention that this past week, the entertainment/Anime industry lost a great young Voice Actor to Colon Cancer. Billy Kametz passed away a little less than a week ago and the 35 year old was responsible for doing the English Voice work for Anime characters like, Rui in Demon Slayer, Josuke Higashikita in Jojo's Bizarre Adventure: Diamond is Unbreakable, Naofumi Iwatani in Rising of the Shield Hero, and Video Game characters like Ferdinand Von Aegir from Fire Emblem Three Houses.
Also, this movie dispels a myth that I was concerned about for decades. The fans have been complaining about the wrong thing(s). The problem with the later Jurassic Park films had nothing to do with "lack of puppets" or animatronics and everything is too CGI. That was never important. If the first Jurassic Park wasn't a good movie in general, no one would've cared how good the effects were or how well they've held up almost 30 years later. At the end of the day, if the movie isn't good, then all of that effect and technical mastery used to bring these dinosaurs to life practically just goes away and won't get the credit in the end. I thought Jurassic World 3 had some of the BEST dinosaur effects I've ever seen in any film. However, due to its critical reception, a lot of that is going to sadly be forgotten and overlooked.
NCIS is always on the Nelson. But never on your chart. (I might be exaggerating). Is that because NCIS had traditional 22-24 episode seasons so it is taller hurtle for a entire season to get watched. Plus the Nelson doesn't say a specific season. But your chart does.
The new metric BITS(Butts in the seats) is the best way to measure the success of a movie! Average Ticket prices were $6 and now are $10, skewing box office $ figures. Please use it going forward and recalculate past movies with it too.
The drive in my family and I went to was showing Shang-Chi with The multiverse of madness. I would be curious if Shang-Chi's total gross went up during Dr. Strangs run.
My favorite part of the movie, was when Blue said "What are we, some sort of Jurassic Park?" Then Evan Thunderquads said in response "No, we are a Dominon."
Most of the grosses of Indian movies - especially the gross from India - is exaggerated. The fan club rivalry of different actors drive this trend. In addition, there is no data collection body to validate these numbers. Fans of movie star A claim that his movie grossed X rupees and fans of movie star B will try to one-up that by claiming the latter’s movie grossed X+ rupees.
Would you consider using your Murrell Metric PFV for the Nielsen data as well? I feel like Netflix is at a huge advantage in terms of hours watched because they dump entire seasons at once compared to streaming services that release episode by episode like Amazon Prime or Disney Plus
Not only is inflation crazy, but we now the extra charges for blockbuster movies when they are released. The average price of tickets for the first couple weeks of a big release will be different than a smaller release or even what prices would be after a few weeks, right? But I guess there is a little of this is in the past, i.e. Avatar was 3d ticket heavy, so its average ticket price was higher than that year's average. But maybe I don't understand average ticket prices.
I still don't believe the viewing numbers for Red Notice. I know it's popular and Netflix heavily promoted it and showed it prominently on their front page, but I have yet to meet anyone who has seen it.
Two ad reads in this video, hrm. Linus has been doing that for a while, but DeFranco has also started this recently. Is this becoming more of a thing? Oy vey.
Top gun Maverick has a wide-ranging demographic from people in their 20s and 30s who grew up watching it on cable and video to people like me in their mid-50s saw that the theater and people older than me and all of us other people who grew up with Tom Cruise
I'm still so baffled by Red Notice's popularity because I don't know a single person who has watched that film and certainly no one in my circles s talking about it so who was watching it.
Watched jurassic park last weekend, don't plan to watch it again as it was genuinely disappointing but i definitely plan to go see top gun again over fathers day weekend